Extends partitioned local depth concept with probabilistic considerations.
problem Uncertain, variable, and conflicting information in data.
method Partitioned local depth with probabilistic concepts of local relevance and support division.
result Extends original ideas to handle uncertain data.
Single-pass method estimates neural network uncertainty.
problem Uncertainty estimation in deep learning requires multiple passes.
method Probabilistic reasoning over neural network depths.
result Single forward pass for uncertainty estimation.
ProHOC detects OOD samples in class hierarchies, predicting them to correct internal nodes.
problem Binary OOD detection ignores semantic relationships between OOD and ID classes.
method Probabilistic hierarchical model using multi-depth networks trained for ID classification.
result ProHOC effectively classifies OOD samples to their correct internal nodes in class hierarchies.
Study introduces a probabilistic framework for air-sea fluxes using neural networks.
problem Accurately quantifying air-sea fluxes for understanding interactions and improving weather/climate models.
method Gaussian distributions conditioned on input variables, artificial neural networks, eddy-covariance data, minimizing negative log-likelihood loss.
result Trained neural networks provide alternative mean flux estimates and quantify uncertainty.
Discusses new probabilistic morphisms and geometric methods in machine and statistical learning.
problem Addressing challenges in statistical, machine, and manifold learning.
method Introduces category of probabilistic morphisms and geometric methods.
result New insights and applications in various learning fields.
Statistical depth metrics help identify risky power grid scenarios.
problem Identifying extreme scenarios for risk mitigation in power grid planning.
method Functional depth metrics for sub-selecting outlying scenarios.
result The proposed approach effectively identifies risky scenarios for operational risk mitigation.
Normalizing flows are shown to be equivalent to Bayesian networks, revealing new insights.
problem Understanding the limitations and capabilities of normalizing flows.
method Revisiting normalizing flows as probabilistic graphical models and analyzing their structure.
result Normalizing flows can be reduced to Bayesian networks, revealing new insights into their structure and capabilities.
UDN adapts depth to data complexity, outperforming standard neural networks.
problem Adapting neural network depth to data complexity.
method Variational inference for infinitely deep neural networks with a novel algorithm.
result UDN outperforms standard neural networks and other infinite-depth approaches.
Probabilistic programming aids in automatically dating ice cores, reducing manual error and uncertainty.
problem Automatically dating ice cores with high accuracy and capturing uncertainty.
method Probabilistic models and probabilistic programming for automatic inference.
result Demonstrated the use of probabilistic programming for ice core dating, showcasing its benefits and limitations.
Scaling ResNets requires careful consideration of the layer depth and output scaling factors.
problem Avoiding vanishing or exploding gradients in deep ResNets as depth increases.
method Probabilistic analysis and continuous-time limit interpretation of ResNets.
result The optimal scaling factor is α L = 1 L α_L = \frac{1}{\sqrt{L}} α L = L 1 for standard i.i.d. initializations. Many practical techniques for probabilistic inference require a sequence of distributions that interpolate between a tractable distribution and an intractable distribution of interest. Usually, the sequences used are simple, e.g., based on geometric averages between distributions. When models are expressed as probabili…
The study analyzes games and social hierarchies, incorporating luck and depth of competition.
problem Analyzing patterns of wins and losses in games and social hierarchies.
method Generalized probabilistic models incorporating luck and depth of competition.
result Social competition tends to be deeper with many distinct levels, but there is often a chance of upset victories.
Even though probabilistic treatments of neural networks have a long history, they have not found widespread use in practice. Sampling approaches are often too slow already for simple networks. The size of the inputs and the depth of typical CNN architectures in computer vision only compound this problem. Uncertainty in…
Probabilistic bounds on neuron death in deep networks, showing depth can be increased indefinitely.
problem Understanding neuron death in deep rectifier networks and its impact on model trainability.
method Deriving upper and lower bounds on neuron death probability as a function of model hyperparameters.
result The probability of neuron death decreases as network depth increases, provided width increases proportionally.
Small neural networks embed arbitrary metric spaces into Gaussian mixtures.
problem Embedding arbitrary metric spaces into a fixed space with low distortion.
method Probabilistic transformers of small depth and width.
result Embeddings with low metric distortion for various metric spaces.
Proposes a new CG interpretation of neural networks for better theoretical analysis.
problem Lack of theoretical analysis in neural networks interpretation.
method Interprets neural networks as chain graphs and feed-forward as approximate inference.
result Provides novel theoretical support and insights for various neural network techniques.
Paper improves probabilistic forecasts of electricity prices.
problem Combining multivariate probabilistic forecasts with dependencies.
method Online learning algorithm using Bernstein Online Aggregation (BOA).
result Significant improvement in CRPS over uniform combination.
Quantum circuits represent binary classification trees with binary features.
problem Classifying data using binary classification trees with binary features.
method Quantum circuits and probabilistic approach for traversing decision trees.
result First realization of a decision tree classifier on a quantum device.
Prob-GNN quantifies travel demand uncertainty with deep learning.
problem Uncertainty in travel demand prediction.
method Probabilistic Graph Neural Networks (Prob-GNN) framework.
result Probabilistic assumptions significantly impact uncertainty prediction.
Tensor networks improve sequence modeling with efficient sampling and parallelism.
problem Efficient probabilistic modeling of sequence data.
method Uniform matrix product state (u-MPS) model for sequence data.
result u-MPS enable efficient sampling and parallel evaluation of sequences.
Study on deep neural networks using branching processes and Mehler's formula.
problem Understanding the mathematical role of activation functions in compositional neural networks.
method Connection between compositional kernels and branching processes via Mehler's formula; new random features algorithm.
result Explicit formulas for eigenvalues of compositional kernels quantify complexity.
DEQs converge to optimal solutions with mild over-parameterization.
problem Training over-parameterized deep equilibrium models.
method Solves equilibrium point directly, uses gradient descent, and analyzes convergence via linear rate.
result Gradient descent converges to a globally optimal solution at a linear rate for quadratic loss.
Introduces Gaussian Processes and Relevance Vector Machines, connecting them to Kalman filtering.
problem Regression, smoothing, interpolation, and filtering problems.
method Bayesian kernel-based methods, Gaussian Processes, Relevance Vector Machines, connections to Kalman filtering.
result Developed a common framework for understanding these methods.
Compact Gaussian model approximates deep ensemble predictions.
problem Efficiently approximating deep ensemble models for image prediction.
method Sparse-structured multivariate Gaussian with Cholesky parameterization trained to match pre-trained ensemble outputs.
result Compact representation captures uncertainty and structured correlations explicitly.
In this paper, we present work in progress on activity recognition and prediction in real homes using either binary sensor data or depth video data. We present our field trial and set-up for collecting and storing the data, our methods, and our current results. We compare the accuracy of predicting the next binary sens…
We prove a scaling limit theorem for the super-replication cost of options in a Cox--Ross--Rubinstein binomial model with transient price impact. The correct scaling turns out to keep the market depth parameter constant while resilience over fixed periods of time grows in inverse proportion with the duration between tr…
We proposed a probabilistic approach to joint modeling of participants' reliability and humans' regularity in crowdsourced affective studies. Reliability measures how likely a subject will respond to a question seriously; and regularity measures how often a human will agree with other seriously-entered responses coming…
A new depth measure for non-convex data supports, faster than halfspace depth.
problem Non-convex data supports in multivariate statistics.
method Extending halfspace depth to Reproducing Kernel Hilbert Space (RKHS).
result The new depth measure is consistent and can be computed faster.
The paper studies randomized approximations of Tukey's depth for log-concave isotropic data.
problem The challenge of approximating Tukey's depth in high dimensions.
method The study examines randomized algorithms for approximating Tukey's depth for log-concave isotropic data.
result Randomized algorithms correctly approximate maximal depth and close to zero depths but not intermediate depths.
This paper connects functional data analysis with machine learning techniques.
problem Lack of theoretical analysis for functional depths.
method Viewing functional depths as kernel mean embeddings in machine learning.
result Facilitates answers to open questions about functional depths.
Self-attention models benefit equally from width and depth, but beyond a certain point, depth becomes less efficient.
problem Understanding the optimal balance between depth and width in self-attention models.
method Theoretical predictions and empirical ablations on networks of varying depths and widths.
result An optimal width of 30K is recommended for a 1-Trillion parameter network, marking a significant width for self-attention models.
A new depth measure based on optimal control theory captures multi-modal data.
problem Statistical depths for high-dimensional data.
method Eikonal equations and optimal control theory.
result The new depth measure is robust under adversarial models.
A new depth measure and median defined on Hadamard manifolds.
problem Statistical depth and median on Hadamard manifolds.
method Horospherical depth and Busemann median defined using renormalized distance functions.
result The Busemann median exists for every Borel probability measure on Hadamard manifolds.
New approach uses loss functions to extend data depth for anomaly detection.
problem Anomaly detection in high-dimensional data.
method Introducing loss depths to generalize halfspace depth.
result New loss depths improve anomaly detection efficiency and interpretability.
Proves depth 2 neural networks can't approximate certain functions as well as depth 3 networks.
problem Approximating functions with depth 2 networks in high dimensions.
method Lower bound proof using worst-to-average-case random self-reducibility.
result Proves depth 2 networks can't approximate certain functions as well as depth 3 networks, resolving an open problem.
New findings on depth vs. width in neural networks, showing depth can improve learnability.
problem Understanding the role of depth in neural networks, especially when width is unbounded.
method Analyzing sample complexity for learnability in norm-controlled depth-2 and depth-3 ReLU networks.
result Depth can improve learnability of functions that are otherwise unlearnable with depth-2 networks.
Learning based methods have shown very promising results for the task of depth estimation in single images. However, most existing approaches treat depth prediction as a supervised regression problem and as a result, require vast quantities of corresponding ground truth depth data for training. Just recording quality d…
Introduces Polar Depth for analyzing multivariate heavy-tailed data extremes.
problem Analyzing the behavior of extremes from multivariate heavy-tailed distributions.
method Introduces Polar Depth, a novel statistical depth function expressed in polar coordinates.
result The polar depth of the largest observations converges to the polar depth of the limiting distribution as the threshold increases.
We present a generalization of the Cauchy/Lorentzian, Geman-McClure, Welsch/Leclerc, generalized Charbonnier, Charbonnier/pseudo-Huber/L1-L2, and L2 loss functions. By introducing robustness as a continuous parameter, our loss function allows algorithms built around robust loss minimization to be generalized, which imp…
Study on feature learning dynamics in infinite-depth neural networks, focusing on ResNets.
problem Understanding how features evolve during training in deep neural networks, especially in the large-depth limit.
method Conditional Gaussian representations and SDE system with decoupled backward weights.
result Depth-induced suppression of forward-backward coupling in infinite-depth networks, leading to a decoupled forward-backward SDE system.
Following the seminal idea of Tukey, data depth is a function that measures how close an arbitrary point of the space is located to an implicitly defined center of a data cloud. Having undergone theoretical and computational developments, it is now employed in numerous applications with classification being the most po…
Enhances SSL methods with depth cues for better image understanding.
problem Lack of depth cues in 2D image pixel maps limits SSL performance.
method Integrates depth signals from a pretrained monocular RGB-to-depth model into contrastive learning frameworks.
result Improves SSL methods' robustness and generalization with depth signals.
Deep Gaussian processes can have non-degenerate and non-Gaussian limits.
problem Understanding the behavior of deep Gaussian processes as depth grows.
method Studying the limit of compositional Gaussian processes where each layer is a Gaussian process.
result Identified a sharp bandwidth threshold above which the limit is degenerate, and proved that for bandwidths below this threshold, the limit is a non-degenerate and non-Gaussian distribution.
The paper proves barriers to approximating functions with small weights and depth in neural networks.
problem Proving barriers to approximating functions with constant depth neural networks.
method Reduction to open problems and natural-proof barriers in circuit complexity, and a new approach to polynomially-bounded functions.
result There are fundamental barriers to proving results beyond depth 4 for constant-depth neural networks.
Proposes a new method to estimate Bayesian neural network depth.
problem Estimating the depth of Bayesian neural networks.
method Uses a discrete truncated normal distribution to learn depth mean and variance, inferring posterior distributions by minimizing variational free energy.
result Improves test accuracy and reduces posterior depth variance on the spiral dataset.
seMCD computes depth functions with statistical guarantees using sequential Monte Carlo.
problem Computing depth functions is computationally challenging, especially in high dimensions.
method Sequential Monte Carlo methodology with theoretical and empirical guarantees.
result The seMCD method provides accurate depth approximations with fewer samples than traditional methods.
A new depth function improves multivariate data analysis by considering variability directions.
problem Developing a depth function that respects quantile properties and is affine-invariant.
method Integrating rank-weighted depth with affine-invariance and covariance matrices.
result The AI-IRW depth function provides accurate quantile estimates and is robust to data variability.
Data depth aids in identifying anomalies in multivariate data.
problem Detecting abnormal observations in multivariate datasets.
method Using data depth to assign abnormality labels to observations with lower depth values.
result Data depth effectively identifies anomalies in multivariate settings.