A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
Improves probabilistic programming by analyzing program structure.
Probabilistic techniques are central to data analysis, but different approaches can be difficult to apply, combine, and compare. This paper introduces composable generative population models (CGPMs), a computational abstraction that extends directed graphical models and can be used to describe and compose a broad class…
Probabilistic programming is a powerful abstraction for statistical machine learning. Applying static analysis methods to probabilistic programs could serve to optimize the learning process, automatically verify properties of models, and improve the programming interface for users. This field of static analysis for pro…
D2PCCA integrates deep learning and probabilistic modeling for nonlinear dynamical systems.
This work connects LLE, factor analysis, and probabilistic PCA through a stochastic perspective.
Probabilistic ML improves healthcare data analysis.
In this tutorial, I will discuss the details about how Probabilistic Latent Semantic Analysis (PLSA) is formalized and how different learning algorithms are proposed to learn the model.
Paper develops a dual formulation for PCA in Hilbert spaces.
In this paper we formulate a probabilistic model for class-specific discriminant subspace learning. The proposed model can naturally incorporate the multi-modal structure of the negative class, which is neglected by existing class-specific methods. Moreover, it can be directly used to define a class-specific probabilis…
Principal Component Analysis (PCA) is a popular tool for dimensionality reduction and feature extraction in data analysis. There is a probabilistic version of PCA, known as Probabilistic PCA (PPCA). However, standard PCA and PPCA are not robust, as they are sensitive to outliers. To alleviate this problem, this paper i…
Proposes a deep probabilistic multi-view model for multi-view learning.
We present a unifying framework which reduces the construction of probabilistic component analysis techniques to a mere selection of the latent neighbourhood, thus providing an elegant and principled framework for creating novel component analysis models as well as constructing probabilistic equivalents of deterministi…
Many data-driven approaches exist to extract neural representations of functional magnetic resonance imaging (fMRI) data, but most of them lack a proper probabilistic formulation. We propose a group level scalable probabilistic sparse factor analysis (psFA) allowing spatially sparse maps, component pruning using automa…
Survey of spectral, probabilistic, and deep metric learning methods.
Paper extends quantile factor analysis with probabilistic methods for better economic policy and financial condition prediction.
Paper introduces probabilistic methods to approximate archetypal analysis, reducing complexity.
Dimensionality reduction on Riemannian manifolds is challenging due to the complex nonlinear data structures. While probabilistic principal geodesic analysis~(PPGA) has been proposed to generalize conventional principal component analysis (PCA) onto manifolds, its effectiveness is limited to data with a single modality…
Study improves probabilistic circuits using transformations for better predictions.
Probabilistic learning for binary classification with categorical variables.
Sobol method applied to probabilistic networks for sensitivity analysis.
We consider an original problem that arises from the issue of security analysis of a power system and that we name optimal discovery with probabilistic expert advice. We address it with an algorithm based on the optimistic paradigm and on the Good-Turing missing mass estimator. We prove two different regret bounds on t…
Study proposes a multi-agent framework to mitigate bias in sentiment analysis.
Survey of factor analysis, PCA, variational inference, and VAE.
New tree splitting criteria improve probabilistic predictions.
We investigate learning of the differential geometric structure of a data manifold embedded in a high-dimensional Euclidean space. We first analyze kernel-based algorithms and show that under the usual regularizations, non-probabilistic methods cannot recover the differential geometric structure, but instead find mostl…
Probabilistic Latent Semantic Analysis is a novel statistical technique for the analysis of two-mode and co-occurrence data, which has applications in information retrieval and filtering, natural language processing, machine learning from text, and in related areas. Compared to standard Latent Semantic Analysis which s…
Probabilistic method proves gap estimates on sphere.
Uncertainty analysis in the form of probabilistic forecasting can provide significant improvements in decision-making processes in the smart power grid for better integrating renewable energies such as wind. Whereas point forecasting provides a single expected value, probabilistic forecasts provide more information in …
We analyze complexity of financial (and general economic) processes by comparing classical and quantum-like models for randomness. Our analysis implies that it might be that a quantum-like probabilistic description is more natural for financial market than the classical one. A part of our analysis is devoted to study t…
PRISM identifies simplex vertices from noisy data.
Probabilistic Temporal Tensor Factorization (PTTF) is an effective algorithm to model the temporal tensor data. It leverages a time constraint to capture the evolving properties of tensor data. Nowadays the exploding dataset demands a large scale PTTF analysis, and a parallel solution is critical to accommodate the tre…
Databases are widespread, yet extracting relevant data can be difficult. Without substantial domain knowledge, multivariate search queries often return sparse or uninformative results. This paper introduces an approach for searching structured data based on probabilistic programming and nonparametric Bayes. Users speci…
PGPCA improves PCA for nonlinear data in neuroscience.
Archetypal analysis represents a set of observations as convex combinations of pure patterns, or archetypes. The original geometric formulation of finding archetypes by approximating the convex hull of the observations assumes them to be real valued. This, unfortunately, is not compatible with many practical situations…
Describing the dimension reduction (DR) techniques by means of probabilistic models has recently been given special attention. Probabilistic models, in addition to a better interpretability of the DR methods, provide a framework for further extensions of such algorithms. One of the new approaches to the probabilistic D…
The paper analyzes the probabilistic structure of DDPMs and bounds their sampling error.
HPPCA improves imputation of longitudinal data with missing values.
Item response theory (IRT) is a non-linear generative probabilistic paradigm for using exams to identify, quantify, and compare latent traits of individuals, relative to their peers, within a population of interest. In pre-existing multidimensional IRT methods, one requires a factorization of the test items. For this t…
In recent years, probabilistic forecasts techniques were proposed in research as well as in applications to integrate volatile renewable energy resources into the electrical grid. These techniques allow decision makers to take the uncertainty of the prediction into account and, therefore, to devise optimal decisions, e…
HeMPPCAT improves PCA for data with varying noise.
Paper analyzes GCNN sensitivity to probabilistic graph perturbations.
Study identifies regions where scoring rules reliably detect forecast errors.
This paper improves PPCA robustness using -distributions.
We derive a novel sensitivity analysis of input variables for predictive epistemic and aleatoric uncertainty. We use Bayesian neural networks with latent variables as a model class and illustrate the usefulness of our sensitivity analysis on real-world datasets. Our method increases the interpretability of complex blac…
A new probabilistic mixup framework improves deep learning generalization.
Entropy analysis via kernel methods for probabilistic inference.
Probabilistic Autoencoder learns latent space weights' distribution.
The paper proves probabilistic alignment between unseen modalities using contrastive learning.