Research
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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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63126189252 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for proactive adaptation

Proceed adapts models proactively against concept drift in online time series forecasting.

problem Concept drift causes forecast models to adapt to outdated concepts, reducing performance.
method Proceed estimates and translates concept drift into parameter adjustments, enhancing model resilience.
result Proceed brings more performance improvements than state-of-the-art online learning methods.

During the past decade, many anomaly detection approaches have been introduced in different fields such as network monitoring, fraud detection, and intrusion detection. However, they require understanding of data pattern and often need a long off-line period to build a model or network for the target data. Providing re…

2020-01-24abs ↗pdf ↗

This research improves capital efficiency and impermanent loss in cryptocurrency markets using multi-token trading pools.

problem Poor impermanent loss and capital efficiency in automated market makers.
method Analysis and construction of a multi-token token proactive market maker (MPMM).
result MPMM shows better impermanent loss and capital efficiency than comparable market makers.

Proposes proactive bed requests to reduce ED boarding and patient wait times.

problem Reduces ED boarding and patient wait times by proactively requesting inpatient beds.
method Formulates as a Markov decision process, uses predictions of admission probability and time to disposition to guide bed requests.
result Proactive aggregate bed requests can reduce boarding times by 30-70% and length of stay by 6-15%.

This paper evaluates targeted data poisoning attacks by focusing on the hardest samples, improving evaluation and defense strategies.

problem The effectiveness of targeted data poisoning attacks is often overestimated due to average evaluation methods.
method The paper introduces metrics to identify the hardest and easiest to poison samples based on clean model information.
result The proposed metrics reliably stratify samples by poisoning vulnerability, enabling rigorous worst-case evaluation and proactive defense.

ProEval efficiently estimates AI performance and discovers failures using pre-trained Gaussian Processes.

problem Resource-intensive evaluation of generative AI models.
method ProEval uses pre-trained Gaussian Processes and Bayesian quadrature to estimate performance and discover failures.
result ProEval requires significantly fewer samples to achieve accurate performance estimates and reveals more diverse failure cases.

Illegal insider trading of stocks is based on releasing non-public information (e.g., new product launch, quarterly financial report, acquisition or merger plan) before the information is made public. Detecting illegal insider trading is difficult due to the complex, nonlinear, and non-stationary nature of the stock ma…

2018-07-02abs ↗pdf ↗

FAQ efficiently evaluates LLMs with statistical guarantees using adaptive query selection.

problem Efficiently evaluating many LLMs on a large suite of benchmarks is expensive.
method FAQ uses Bayesian factor models, adaptive sampling, and proactive active inference to select queries.
result FAQ delivers up to 5x effective sample size gains over baselines, matching CI width with fewer queries.

HyPV-LEAD detects cryptocurrency anomalies proactively, improving financial security.

problem Cryptocurrency anomalies like mixing, fraud, and pump-and-dump operations are hard to detect due to class imbalance and temporal volatility.
method HyPV-LEAD integrates lead time into anomaly detection through window-horizon modeling, Peak-Valley sampling, and hyperbolic embedding.
result HyPV-LEAD achieves a PR-AUC of 0.9624 on Bitcoin transaction data, significantly outperforming state-of-the-art methods.

Paper analyzes liquidity for everlasting options in DeFi, offering strategies to reduce costs.

problem Challenges of perpetual derivatives in decentralized finance markets.
method Dynamic proactive market maker model, simulations, hedging strategies.
result Liquidity providers can achieve net positive PnL with effective strategies.

In recent times, the manufacturing processes are faced with many external or internal (the increase of customized product rescheduling , process reliability,..) changes. Therefore, monitoring and quality management activities for these manufacturing processes are difficult. Thus, the managers need more proactive approa…

2018-04-05abs ↗pdf ↗

Patients whose transfer to the Intensive Care Unit (ICU) is unplanned are prone to higher mortality rates than those who were admitted directly to the ICU. Recent advances in machine learning to predict patient deterioration have introduced the possibility of \emph{proactive transfer} from the ward to the ICU. In this …

2020-02-14abs ↗pdf ↗

Machine learning models are vulnerable to adversarial inputs that induce seemingly unjustifiable errors. As automated classifiers are increasingly used in industrial control systems and machinery, these adversarial errors could grow to be a serious problem. Despite numerous studies over the past few years, the field of…

2019-11-19abs ↗pdf ↗

MASA framework uses RL to balance portfolio returns and risks.

problem Managing portfolio risk in turbulent financial markets.
method Multi-agent reinforcement learning with a market observer.
result MASA framework outperforms RL approaches in balancing returns and risks.

Proactive DP optimizes privacy and utility in DP-SGD with a fixed privacy budget.

problem Balancing privacy and utility in differential privacy for machine learning.
method Proposes a pro-active DP framework that allows a-priori selection of DP-SGD parameters to maximize test accuracy.
result Proactive DP can optimize utility of DP-SGD with a fixed privacy budget (ε, δ).

New hybrid model combines GARCH and reinforcement learning for improved VaR estimation.

problem Inaccurate VaR estimation in volatile financial markets.
method Combines GARCH volatility models with DDQN reinforcement learning for dynamic risk forecasting.
result Significant improvement in VaR accuracy and reduction in breaches.

Suitability filter detects model performance degradation in real-world deployment.

problem Ensuring model reliability in safety-critical domains without access to ground truth labels.
method Uses suitability signals to evaluate classifier performance on unlabeled user data.
result The suitability filter reliably detects performance deviations due to covariate shift.

ExpertNet uses noisy labels to improve deep learning robustness.

problem Improving deep learning robustness against noisy labels.
method ExpertNet framework combining Amateur and Expert models, iteratively learning from noisy labels and images.
result ExpertNet achieves robust classification with as little as 20-50% training data, outperforming state-of-the-art models.

AdvMind detects adversary intent in black-box attacks with high accuracy.

problem Detecting adversary intent in black-box adversarial attacks is challenging.
method AdvMind accounts for adversary adaptiveness and synthesizes queries to expose intent.
result AdvMind detects adversary intent with over 75% accuracy after observing less than 3 query batches.

ReRe detects anomalies in real-time for time series data.

problem Real-time anomaly detection for time series data requires human intervention or domain knowledge and high computation complexity.
method ReRe uses two lightweight LSTM models to predict and determine anomalies based on historical data and adaptive thresholds.
result ReRe detects anomalies in real-time without requiring human intervention or domain knowledge.

Rainfall prediction is one of the challenging and uncertain tasks which has a significant impact on human society. Timely and accurate predictions can help to proactively reduce human and financial loss. This study presents a set of experiments which involve the use of prevalent machine learning techniques to build mod…

2019-10-29abs ↗pdf ↗

It has been suggested that adversarial examples cause deep learning models to make incorrect predictions with high confidence. In this work, we take the opposite stance: an overly confident model is more likely to be vulnerable to adversarial examples. This work is one of the most proactive approaches taken to date, as…

2018-02-13abs ↗pdf ↗

Analysis finds no evidence of banks managing deposit run risk prior to 2023 Regional Banking Crisis.

problem Determining factors for deposit run risk management before a regional banking crisis.
method Cross-sectional analysis of interest rate and equity use by banks.
result No evidence of banks managing deposit run risk via their balance sheet.

The dynamics of financial markets are driven by the interactions between participants, as well as the trading mechanisms and regulatory frameworks that govern these interactions. Decision-makers would rather not ignore the impact of other participants on these dynamics and should employ tools and models that take this …

2019-11-28abs ↗pdf ↗

Unstructured data refers to information that does not have a predefined data model or is not organized in a pre-defined manner. Loosely speaking, unstructured data refers to text data that is generated by humans. In after-sales service businesses, there are two main sources of unstructured data: customer complaints, wh…

2016-07-26abs ↗pdf ↗

The behaviors of patients with depression are usually difficult to predict because the patients demonstrate the symptoms of a depressive episode without a warning at unexpected times. The goal of this research is to build algorithms that detect signals of such unusual moments so that doctors can be proactive in approac…

2016-03-24abs ↗pdf ↗

Abstraction and realization are bilateral processes that are key in deriving intelligence and creativity. In many domains, the two processes are approached through rules: high-level principles that reveal invariances within similar yet diverse examples. Under a probabilistic setting for discrete input spaces, we focus …

2017-09-06abs ↗pdf ↗