RVRAE combines deep learning and dynamic factor models for better stock returns prediction.
problem Improving stock returns prediction in volatile markets.
method Combines dynamic factor modeling with variational recurrent autoencoder (VRAE). Uses prior-posterior learning for optimal factor model.
result RVRAE outperforms traditional methods in predicting stock returns and estimating variances.
Given discrete time observations over a fixed time interval, we study a nonparametric Bayesian approach to estimation of the volatility coefficient of a stochastic differential equation. We postulate a histogram-type prior on the volatility with piecewise constant realisations on bins forming a partition of the time in…
Proposes SDE framework for uncertainty quantification in graph neural networks.
problem Lack of uncertainty quantification in graph neural networks.
method Introduces Latent Graph Neural Stochastic Differential Equations (LGNSDE) with Bayesian prior-posterior mechanism and Brownian motion.
result LGNSDEs provide theoretically sensible guarantees for uncertainty estimates and are robust to perturbations.
We address the problem of continual learning in multi-task Gaussian process (GP) models for handling sequential input-output observations. Our approach extends the existing prior-posterior recursion of online Bayesian inference, i.e.\ past posterior discoveries become future prior beliefs, to the infinite functional sp…
Develops a fast variational approximation for high-dimensional empirical Bayes posteriors.
problem Optimal posterior computation in high-dimensional settings with prior tails effect.
method Variational approximation of empirical Bayes posterior with data-driven centers and thin-tailed conjugate priors.
result Retains optimal concentration rate properties and superior performance compared to existing methods.
New priors improve Bayesian neural networks without cooling.
problem Bayesian neural networks underfit on clean datasets.
method Introduce DirClip and confidence priors to replace cooling.
result DirClip and confidence priors outperform cold posterior.
New theory for BNNs with Gaussian priors achieves optimal posterior concentration rates.
problem Lack of theoretical results for BNNs with Gaussian priors.
method New approximation theory for non-sparse DNNs with bounded parameters.
result BNNs with non-sparse general priors can achieve near-minimax optimal posterior concentration rates.
We establish large deviation principles for convolutional neural networks.
problem Understanding the behavior of convolutional neural networks in the infinite-channel limit.
method We establish large deviation principles for convolutional neural networks under Gaussian prior and posterior distributions.
result We provide a large deviation principle for the sequence of conditional covariance matrices and the posterior distribution.
Bayesian neural network achieves nearly optimal performance in Besov space.
problem Bayesian neural networks in Besov space.
method Spike-and-slab prior and shrinkage prior for posterior convergence rate.
result The posterior convergence rate is nearly minimax and adaptive to unknown smoothness.
Transformer pretraining yields strong EB performance without explicit adaptation.
problem Empirical Bayes problems with unknown test distributions.
method Indirect analysis of pretrained transformer's performance under universal priors.
result Near-optimal regret bound of O ~ ( 1 n ) \widetilde{O}(\frac{1}{n}) O ( n 1 ) for arbitrary test distributions. Estimates mode of discrete distributions with fewer samples.
problem Identifying the mode of a discrete distribution with high probability.
method Generalizes PPR martingale confidence sequences to handle multiple modes.
result PPR-1v1 stopping rule is asymptotically optimal and significantly more efficient.
New research challenges the flatness-generalization link in deep neural networks.
problem The correlation between flatness of the loss landscape and generalization in deep neural networks is questioned.
method The study examines various flatness measures and popular SGD variants, finding some break the flatness-generalization link. It proposes using log P ( f ) \log P(f) log P ( f ) , a global quantity, as a predictor of generalization. result The log of Bayesian prior upon initialization, log P ( f ) \log P(f) log P ( f ) , is a significantly more robust predictor of generalization than flatness measures. Unified CS for GLMs improves bandit regret bounds.
problem Improving regret bounds for GLMs in bandit settings.
method Unified likelihood ratio-based CS with PAC-Bayesian bound.
result Unified CS attains poly(S)-free regret for Bernoulli.
AI-driven Bayesian inference improves decision-making uncertainty.
problem Lack of certainty in AI predictions.
method Non-parametric Bayesian framework with Dirichlet process prior and AI-driven baseline.
result AI predictions can be integrated into Bayesian analysis for predictive inference and uncertainty quantification.
Bayesian KANs achieve near-minimax posterior contraction rates in anisotropic Besov spaces.
problem Statistical foundation for Bayesian Kolmogorov-Arnold networks in anisotropic Besov spaces.
method Sparse Bayesian KANs with spike-and-slab priors, hyperprior on model size, and approximation complexity bounds.
result Posterior contraction rates depend on intrinsic anisotropic smoothness and effective dimension of the compositional structure.
A single algebraic identity unifies information-theoretic variational results.
problem Deriving and generalizing classical information-theoretic variational results
method Proving a single algebraic mixed coincidence identity
result Unified derivation of classical cornerstones of information theory
Meta-learning adapts models for unseen tasks across AI, robotics, and NLP.
problem Adapting models to unseen tasks efficiently and accurately.
method Black-box, metric-based, layered, and Bayesian approaches.
result Meta-learning enhances model generalization and adaptation to unseen tasks.
Meta-learning improves neural networks by adapting learning algorithms.
problem Conventional AI approaches solve tasks from scratch, but meta-learning aims to improve the learning algorithm.
method Meta-learning adapts a learning algorithm based on multiple learning episodes.
result Meta-learning can tackle deep learning challenges like data and computation bottlenecks.
Survey explores how transfer learning improves deep reinforcement learning.
problem Challenges in reinforcement learning efficiency and effectiveness.
method Categorizes and analyzes transfer learning approaches.
result Transfer learning enhances reinforcement learning performance.
Machine learning models adapt to motor learning but face challenges.
problem Adapting machine learning to handle motor variability and differentiate new movements from known ones.
method Parameter adaptation, transfer and meta-learning, reinforcement learning.
result Challenges in applying machine learning models for motor learning support systems.
New method uses bi-level optimization to learn useful representations for imitation learning.
problem Learning useful representations for multiple tasks in imitation learning settings.
method Formulates representation learning as a bi-level optimization problem.
result Bi-level optimization framework provides sample complexity benefits for imitation learning.
Tabular Q-Learning with learned state abstractions solves continuous control tasks.
problem Challenging reinforcement learning problems in continuous control.
method Learned state abstraction to transform continuous state-space into discrete.
result Tabular Q-Learning with learned abstractions achieves efficient learning in unseen tasks.
Study Whittle index learning algorithms for restless bandits with constant stepsizes.
problem Optimizing decisions in restless multi-armed bandits with constant stepsizes.
method Developed Q-learning algorithms with constant stepsizes for index learning in restless bandits, extending to DQN and function approximations.
result The algorithms learn the Whittle index effectively.
AI learns to learn sequentially without forgetting.
problem Preventing catastrophic forgetting in machine learning models.
method Meta-learning a neuromodulatory activation-gating function to control selective activation in deep neural networks.
result State-of-the-art continual learning performance with 600 classes (9,000 updates).
Poisson learning doesn't solve graph semi-supervised learning issues.
problem Global information loss in graph-based semi-supervised learning.
method Poisson learning is Laplace regularization with thresholding.
result Poisson learning cannot overcome the global information loss problem.
New unsupervised learning technique learns independent kernels for better machine learning tasks.
problem Improving unsupervised representation learning for machine learning tasks.
method Stacking convolutional transforms using alternating proximal minimization scheme.
result DCTL outperforms shallow version CTL on benchmark datasets.
Meta-learning helps models learn quickly from few samples.
problem Deep learning requires many samples, which are hard to get.
method Meta-learning optimizes models to adapt quickly to new tasks.
result Meta-learning can improve model efficiency and adaptability.
New self-imitation learning method improves performance in continuous control tasks.
problem Improving off-policy learning in continuous control tasks.
method Proposes a n-step lower bound to generalize lower-bound Q-learning and introduces a new family of self-imitation learning algorithms.
result n-step lower bound Q-learning achieves a better trade-off between bias and contraction rate, leading to improved performance.
Deep reinforcement learning finds optimal learning policies for adaptive systems.
problem Finding individualized learning plans for learners with unknown latent traits.
method Formulated as a Markov decision process, applied deep Q-learning with a transition model estimator.
result The algorithm efficiently discovers optimal learning policies with small data sets.
Unified framework explains all types of learning, including brain.
problem Lack of clear explanation for deep learning success.
method Constructing a learning principle that equates all learning to probability estimation.
result Unified understanding of learning across different fields.
Cyclical learning rates improve DRL performance without manual tuning.
problem Manual hyperparameter tuning in DRL is time-consuming and error-prone.
method Proposes cyclical learning rates for DRL problems.
result Cyclical learning achieves similar or better results than fixed learning rates.
Study batch reinforcement learning methods for personalized medical treatments.
problem Batch reinforcement learning for personalized medical treatments.
method Direct policy learning and model-based learning approaches.
result Model-based learning is impossible with finite model classes but feasible with relaxed conditions.
A new meta-meta classification method tackles few-shot learning tasks.
problem Learning with limited data in small-data settings.
method Designing an ensemble of learners for a large set of problems, then learning how to combine them for a new problem.
result Meta-meta classification outperforms traditional meta-learning and ensembling approaches in one-shot learning tasks.
The paper proposes a learning algorithm that improves adaptability and generalization.
problem Improving adaptability and generalization in learning models.
method Learning to meta-learn by meta-finetuning on related tasks before adapting to specific tasks.
result Learning to meta-learn improves adaptability and generalization across various tasks.
This paper surveys meta-learning, online, and continual learning.
problem Combining and understanding meta-learning, online, and continual learning.
method Organizing various problem settings using consistent terminology and formal descriptions.
result Fosters further advancements in meta-learning, online, and continual learning.
Relational logistic regression (RLR) is a representation of conditional probability in terms of weighted formulae for modelling multi-relational data. In this paper, we develop a learning algorithm for RLR models. Learning an RLR model from data consists of two steps: 1- learning the set of formulae to be used in the m…
Survey on curriculum learning for reinforcement learning.
problem Efficiently learning complex tasks in reinforcement learning.
method Framework for curriculum learning in reinforcement learning.
result Survey and classification of existing CL methods.
Contrastive learning works well with redundant data views.
problem Improving unsupervised learning with redundant data views.
method Theoretical analysis of contrastive learning in a multi-view setting.
result Linear functions of learned representations are nearly optimal on prediction tasks when views are redundant.
Paper analyzes iterative learning for concept classes and learns half-spaces.
problem Learning concept classes efficiently with iterative learners.
method Analyzes various settings of iterative learning and provides a constructive algorithm for half-spaces.
result Constructive iterative algorithm for learning half-spaces from informant.
This paper introduces Dex, a reinforcement learning environment toolkit specialized for training and evaluation of continual learning methods as well as general reinforcement learning problems. We also present the novel continual learning method of incremental learning, where a challenging environment is solved using o…
Study shows cliff-learning in transfer learning from foundation models.
problem Data-scaling of transfer learning from foundation models in low data regimes.
method Investigation of cliff-learning phenomenon through foundation-model analysis and toy models.
result Cliff-learning reflects compatibility between priors and tasks.
Meta-strategy learns tuning parameters for online learning methods.
problem Difficulty in setting tuning parameters for online learning methods.
method Meta-learning approach to learn parameters from past tasks.
result Meta-strategy improves on learning each task in isolation.
We discuss a general method to learn data representations from multiple tasks. We provide a justification for this method in both settings of multitask learning and learning-to-learn. The method is illustrated in detail in the special case of linear feature learning. Conditions on the theoretical advantage offered by m…
Compared to reinforcement learning, imitation learning (IL) is a powerful paradigm for training agents to learn control policies efficiently from expert demonstrations. However, in most cases, obtaining demonstration data is costly and laborious, which poses a significant challenge in some scenarios. A promising altern…
Machine can learn its own bias from related tasks.
problem Machine learning bias through hand-crafted features.
method Introduces two models: PAC-based and hierarchical Bayes.
result Machine can learn bias from multiple tasks.
This paper aims to define out-of-distribution learning.
problem Lack of formal definitions for out-of-distribution learning.
method Chronological approach using PAC learning framework.
result Established a universally agreed-upon approach to quantify different types of learning.
This paper reviews and proposes a unified framework for contrastive learning.
problem The origins and development of contrastive learning across various fields.
method A comprehensive literature review and a general Contrastive Representation Learning framework.
result A unified framework simplifies and unifies contrastive learning methods.
This survey reviews Heterogeneous Representation Learning (HRL) for diverse data types.
problem Challenges in learning from heterogeneous data types.
method Unified learning framework for modeling various learning settings.
result Unified mathematical framework for multi-view, transfer, privileged, and multi-task learning.