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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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59117176234 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for prior volume

The Gibbs algorithm's generalization error is bounded, improving with prior volume in low temperatures.

problem Bounding the generalization error of the Gibbs algorithm in low temperature regimes.
method Analyzes the Gibbs algorithm's performance, extending known high-temperature bounds to low-temperature scenarios.
result With high probability, the generalization error decreases with the total prior volume of similar hypotheses.

The paper proves finite topological type theorems for open manifolds with non-negative Ricci curvature and almost maximal local rewinding volume.

problem Proving finite topological type theorems for open manifolds with non-negative Ricci curvature and almost maximal local rewinding volume.
method The approach removes constraints of sectional curvature or conjugate radius and extends to previous related studies.
result Theorems are proven for open manifolds with non-negative Ricci curvature and almost maximal local rewinding volume, without the need for triangle comparison of Toponogov type.

Paper proves optimal systolic inequality for manifolds with positive triRic curvature.

problem Optimal systolic inequality for manifolds with positive triRic curvature.
method Stable weighted kk-slicing, volume comparison theorem, and metric deformation.
result Proves an optimal systolic inequality and characterizes the equality case.

This paper studies the geometry of minimum-volume confidence sets for multinomial parameters.

problem Determining if minimum-volume confidence sets for multinomial outcomes are disjoint.
method Enumerating and covering the continuous regions of the exact p-value function to study the geometry of minimum-volume confidence sets.
result The geometry of minimum-volume confidence sets for multinomial parameters is studied, providing insights into their structure and properties.

Framework evaluates the impact of prior knowledge in deep learning models.

problem Mitigating data-driven model shortcomings like data dependence and generalization ability.
method Model-agnostic framework inspired by interpretable machine learning, assessing data volume and estimation range effects.
result Complex relationship between data and knowledge, including dependence, synergistic, and substitution effects.

A new policy minimizes loss in high-volume, short-lived multi-armed bandit problems.

problem Minimizing loss in high-volume, short-lived multi-armed bandit problems.
method Proposed a Bayesian policy to minimize loss over a large class of prior distributions.
result Our policy outperforms existing methods by 4.32% in total duration and 7.48% in total number of click-throughs.

EB-VAE combines tumor growth and dropout data for personalized treatment response modeling.

problem Challenges in integrating longitudinal tumor measurements, dropout information, and genetic covariates.
method Extended EB-VAE framework to jointly model longitudinal and time-to-event data, incorporating dropout hazard and genetic covariates.
result Hybrid decoder formulation yields consistent treatment-effect parameters and prior predictive performance comparable to neural decoder.

New method uses quotient predictor space for better PAC-Bayes bounds, reducing KL divergence and improving model performance.

problem Overparameterized models with continuous symmetries can lead to biased predictions.
method Perform PAC-Bayesian analysis on quotient predictor space, constructing a canonical prior that reflects model's implicit bias.
result The new prior reduces KL divergence and improves model performance in experiments.

This work improves the accuracy of OEF and DBV maps from qBOLD MRI data.

problem Noisy and inaccurate inference of OEF and DBV from qBOLD MRI data.
method Flexible amortized variational inference using a scaled multivariate logit-Normal distribution.
result Smooth and physiologically plausible OEF and DBV maps inferred with fewer training data.

In this paper, we present a multi-period trading model by assuming that traders face not only asymmetric information but also heterogenous prior beliefs, under the requirement that the insider publicly disclose his stock trades after the fact. We show that there is an equilibrium in which the irrational insider camoufl…

2011-05-12abs ↗pdf ↗

Improved learning of probabilistic box embeddings by modeling parameters with Gumbel distributions.

problem Local identifiability issues in geometric embeddings.
method Modeling box parameters with min and max Gumbel distributions, calculating expected intersection volume.
result Improves the ability of probabilistic box embeddings to learn.

In many large-scale machine learning applications, data are accumulated with time, and thus, an appropriate model should be able to update in an online paradigm. Moreover, as the whole data volume is unknown when constructing the model, it is desired to scan each data item only once with a storage independent with the …

2017-06-08abs ↗pdf ↗

We exhibit a concentration-collapse decomposition of singularities of fourth order curvature flows, including the L2L^2 curvature flow and Calabi flow, in dimensions n4n \leq 4. The proof requires the development of several new a priori estimates. First, we develop a smoothing result for initial metrics with small ener…

2013-11-05abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper treats prediction markets as Bayesian inverse problems to quantify uncertainty and identify event outcomes.

problem Uncertainty and identifiability in prediction market outcomes from price-volume histories.
method Formulates prediction markets as Bayesian inverse problems, introduces a log-odds observation model, and derives posterior uncertainty quantification and identifiability criteria.
result Explicit diagnostics for informative and stable inference regimes, and validation through synthetic data experiments.

A common challenge in nonparametric inference is its high computational complexity when data volume is large. In this paper, we develop computationally efficient nonparametric testing by employing a random projection strategy. In the specific kernel ridge regression setup, a simple distance-based test statistic is prop…

2018-02-17abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper focuses on the problem of determining as large a region as possible where a function exceeds a given threshold with high probability. We assume that we only have access to a noise-corrupted version of the function and that function evaluations are costly. To select the next query point, we propose maximizing…

2018-11-25abs ↗pdf ↗

Develops a unified framework for computing n-dimensional quasi-conformal mappings.

problem Effective mapping methods for higher-dimensional objects with geometric constraints.
method Variational model integrating quasi-conformal distortion, volumetric distortion, and other factors.
result Existence and efficient numerical methods for solving the optimization problem.

Researchers predict butt rot volume using harvester data and remote sensing.

problem Predicting butt rot volume in Norway spruce stands for optimal forest management.
method Used random forest models with harvester information, remote sensing, and environmental data.
result Remotely sensed predictor variables were more important than environmental variables.

Study analyzes cryptocurrency pump-and-dump dynamics using minute-level data.

problem Identifying and quantifying insider trading in cryptocurrency markets.
method Algorithmic identification of insider volume spikes, conservative profit bounds calculation, social-media verification.
result Median returns above 100%, upper-quartile returns exceeding 2000% for insider profits.

Despite the robust structure of the Internet, it is still susceptible to disruptive routing updates that prevent network traffic from reaching its destination. Our research shows that BGP announcements that are associated with disruptive updates tend to occur in groups of relatively high frequency, followed by periods …

2019-05-14abs ↗pdf ↗

Let XX be a canonically polarized variety, i.e. a complex projective variety such that its canonical class KXK_{X} defines an ample $\Q-$line bundle, and satisfying the conditions G1G_1 and S2S_2. Our main result says that XX admits a Kähler-Einstein metric iff XX has semi-log canonical singularities i.e. iff XX is…

2013-04-08abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper optimizes trading strategies to minimize risk and maximize profit while accounting for market uncertainty.

problem Optimizing trading strategies to minimize risk and maximize profit while accounting for market uncertainty.
method Relative entropy-regularized robust optimal control problem, modeled as a stochastic differential game.
result Analytical expressions for optimal strategy and trajectory are derived under specific assumptions.

This paper solves the normalizability crisis in sequential inference by introducing bounded information geometry.

problem Structural failure in standard sequential inference architectures when dealing with extreme outliers.
method Non-parametric field actions and bounded information geometry to truncate infinite tails of spatial distributions.
result Empirical benchmarks across three domains show robust estimation without infinite-tailed distributional assumptions.

New finding links hyperbolic manifold systolic volume to triangulation complexity.

problem Understanding the relationship between systolic volume and triangulation complexity in hyperbolic manifolds.
method Proof based on Jørgensen and Thurston's theorem of hyperbolic volume.
result Systolic volume of hyperbolic manifolds is related to triangulation complexity.

In the context of Synthetic Differential Geometry, we describe the square volume of a ``second-infinitesimal simplex'', in terms of square-distance between its vertices. The square-volume function thus described is symmetric in the vertices. The square-volume gives rise to a characterization of the volume form in the t…

2000-06-02abs ↗pdf ↗

The simplicial volume introduced by Gromov provides a topologically accessible lower bound for the minimal volume. Lafont and Schmidt proved that the simplicial volume of closed, locally symmetric spaces of non-compact type is positive. In this paper, we present a generalization of this result to certain non-compact lo…

2007-06-26abs ↗pdf ↗

Quasifuchsian hyperbolic manifolds, or more generally convex co-compact hyperbolic manifolds, have infinite volume, but they have a well-defined ``renormalized'' volume. We outline some relations between this renormalized volume and the volume, or more precisely the ``dual volume'', of the convex core. On one hand, the…

2019-03-23abs ↗pdf ↗

Integral filling volume of mapping tori grows sublinearly with complexity.

problem Characterizing mapping classes with vanishing integral filling volume.
method Analyzing Dehn twists and mapping tori, using simplicial volume and complexity.
result Integral simplicial volume of mapping tori grows sublinearly with respect to the monodromy power.

Integral foliated simplicial volume is a version of simplicial volume combining the rigidity of integral coefficients with the flexibility of measure spaces. In this article, using the language of measure equivalence of groups we prove a proportionality principle for integral foliated simplicial volume for aspherical m…

2014-03-18abs ↗pdf ↗