Bayesian method corrects for model selection multiplicity in regression.
problem Model selection multiplicity in regression analysis.
method Developed a Bayesian prior distribution based on Holm procedure analogy.
result Adequate multiplicity correction requires sparsity not provided by recommended priors.
Proposes a new prior for complex models to improve prediction accuracy.
problem Difficulty in specifying priors for complex models like neural networks.
method Predictive complexity priors defined by comparing model predictions to a reference model, transferred to parameters via change of variables.
result Improves model predictions by reducing unintuitive effects of traditional priors.
Review of priors in Bayesian deep learning models.
problem The importance of prior choices in Bayesian deep learning models.
method Overview of different priors and methods of learning priors from data.
result Motivate practitioners to think carefully about prior specification.
The paper discusses the impact of prior densities on Bayesian model selection.
problem The sensitivity of marginal likelihood to prior choice in Bayesian model selection.
method Analyzes the role of prior densities in model selection, discusses improper priors, and proposes solutions.
result Marginal likelihood can be sensitive to prior choice, but improper priors can still be used with caution.
Informative Bayesian priors are often difficult to elicit, and when this is the case, modelers usually turn to noninformative or objective priors. However, objective priors such as the Jeffreys and reference priors are not tractable to derive for many models of interest. We address this issue by proposing techniques fo…
While Bayesian methods are praised for their ability to incorporate useful prior knowledge, in practice, convenient priors that allow for computationally cheap or tractable inference are commonly used. In this paper, we investigate the following question: for a given model, is it possible to compute an inference result…
This study explores how choosing noninformative priors affects Thompson Sampling in multiparameter bandit models.
problem The optimality of Thompson Sampling (TS) in multiparameter bandit models depends on the choice of priors, especially when models are complex.
method The study extends regret analysis to uniform distributions and proposes a modified TS policy, TS-T, to achieve asymptotic optimality.
result Changing noninformative priors can significantly affect the expected regret in multiparameter bandit models.
Optimality of TS with noninformative priors proven for Pareto model.
problem Optimality of Thompson Sampling with noninformative priors for Pareto bandits.
method Proved optimality of TS with certain probability matching priors, showed suboptimality with others, and found effectiveness of truncation procedures.
result TS with certain probability matching priors achieves optimal regret bound for Pareto model.
Proposes NUV priors for half-space and box constraints.
problem Adding constraints to linear Gaussian models without computational cost.
method Introduces NUV representations for half-space and box constraints.
result Adds constraints to linear Gaussian models without affecting computational tractability.
Introduces foundation priors for using model-generated data in empirical research.
problem Using model-generated data as real observations in empirical research.
method Introduces foundation priors as an exponential-tilted, generalized Bayesian update of the user's primitive prior.
result Synthetic data reflects both model patterns and user's priors, enabling principled use in empirical work.
New priors improve robustness and interpretability in penalized regression.
problem Improper priors in penalized regression lead to suboptimal solutions.
method Developed non-zero priors inspired by human decision heuristics.
result Robust priors yield excellent worst-case performance across various tasks.
There are three principle paradigms of statistical inference: (i) Bayesian, (ii) information-based and (iii) frequentist inference. We describe an objective prior (the weighting or w-prior) which unifies objective Bayes and information-based inference. The w-prior is chosen to make the marginal probability an unbia…
Improves AI-prior reliability for Bayesian inference.
problem Error propagation from predictive models into posterior inference.
method Rectified AI-informed prior elicitation framework.
result Significant reduction in bias and improvement in predictive performance.
A new method learns hierarchical EBM models with diffusion schemes.
problem Challenges in learning EBM models with multi-modal distributions.
method Proposes a diffusion probabilistic scheme to learn EBM models in hierarchical latent spaces.
result Demonstrates superior performance on various tasks with diffusion-learned EBM.
Bayesian model averaging (BMA) is the state of the art approach for overcoming model uncertainty. Yet, especially on small data sets, the results yielded by BMA might be sensitive to the prior over the models. Credal Model Averaging (CMA) addresses this problem by substituting the single prior over the models by a set …
Develops a simulation-based method to translate expert knowledge into prior distributions for Bayesian models.
problem Effective incorporation of expert knowledge into prior distributions for diverse model structures.
method Simulation-based stochastic gradient descent to learn hyperparameters of parametric priors from expert knowledge.
result Method is adaptable to various elicitation techniques and independent of model structure.
A new prior for VAEs improves model capacity by allowing a more flexible latent space.
problem Standard Gaussian priors in VAEs limit model capacity and performance.
method Proposed a Riemannian Brownian motion prior over a Riemannian structure of the latent space.
result The new prior significantly increases model capacity with only one additional scalar parameter.
This paper uses reference priors to improve deep learning models with unlabeled and labeled data.
problem Improving deep learning models with limited labeled data and unlabeled data from the same or related tasks.
method Develops and applies generalizations of reference priors for deep networks to exploit unlabeled and labeled data.
result Demonstrates new semi-supervised learning and pretraining methods for transfer learning.
Weak diffusion priors can still perform well in inverse problems.
problem Using mismatched or low-fidelity diffusion priors in inverse problems.
method Extensive experiments and theoretical analysis combining Bayesian-consistency theory and local-correlation analysis.
result Weak priors succeed when measurements are highly informative, and they fail in other regimes.
AutoElicit uses LLMs to quickly create expert priors for predictive models.
problem Creating accurate priors for predictive models is time-consuming and costly.
method AutoElicit extracts knowledge from LLMs to construct priors for predictive models.
result AutoElicit yields priors that reduce error and save labelling effort.
SIGMA prior enables federated learning for non-factorizable models.
problem Current FL methods assume conditional independence, limiting applicability to non-factorizable models.
method SIGMA prior approximates deep generative model to induce conditional independence structure.
result SIGMA prior expands FL applicability to fields requiring modeling dependencies.
New optimal prior avoids bias in complex models with limited data.
problem Bias in inference from limited data using Jeffreys prior.
method Developed a principled choice of measure that avoids bias, dependent on data quantity.
result Optimal prior leads to unbiased inference in complex models.
TSFlow uses Gaussian processes to match priors for better time series forecasting.
problem Difficulties in aligning generative models' priors with time series data.
method Conditional flow matching (CFM) with Gaussian processes, optimal transport, and data-dependent priors.
result TSFlow produces high-quality unconditional samples and competitive forecasting results.
Additive Bayesian networks are types of graphical models that extend the usual Bayesian generalized linear model to multiple dependent variables through the factorisation of the joint probability distribution of the underlying variables. When fitting an ABN model, the choice of the prior of the parameters is of crucial…
Study proposes learning optimal priors from data for better Bayesian inference.
problem Challenges the use of noninformative uniform priors in Bayesian inference.
method Machine learning approach to learn optimal priors from data using a target function.
result Study models consistently outperformed baseline models in Wikipedia category classification.
Improves transparency and incorporates prior knowledge in Gaussian Process models.
problem Challenges in understanding and expressing prior assumptions in complex Bayesian models.
method Introduces self-explaining variational posterior distributions for Gaussian Processes.
result Allows incorporation of both general and feature-specific prior knowledge.
Paper introduces a method to generate physically feasible dynamics with physical priors.
problem Challenges in generating physically feasible dynamics under physical priors.
method Seamlessly incorporates physical priors into diffusion-based generative models.
result Efficient generation of physically realistic dynamics across various physical phenomena.
New method samples Jeffreys prior for objective Bayesian inference.
problem Sampling from Jeffreys prior is challenging.
method Metropolis-Adjusted Langevin Algorithm
result Samples can be directly used in Bayesian methods.
Bayesian models use hyperparameters to indirectly assign priors, and this work shows how these priors can be derived from maximum entropy principles.
problem Understanding the assumptions and dependencies in Bayesian hierarchical models.
method Demonstrates how canonical distributions and maximum entropy principles can be used to derive marginal priors in hierarchical models.
result Marginal priors in hierarchical models derived from maximum entropy principles have different constraints compared to the original priors.
It is well-known that the distribution over functions induced through a zero-mean iid prior distribution over the parameters of a multi-layer perceptron (MLP) converges to a Gaussian process (GP), under mild conditions. We extend this result firstly to independent priors with general zero or non-zero means, and secondl…
Generative models produce realistic objects in many domains, including text, image, video, and audio synthesis. Most popular models---Generative Adversarial Networks (GANs) and Variational Autoencoders (VAEs)---usually employ a standard Gaussian distribution as a prior. Previous works show that the richer family of pri…
Generative models improve inverse problems by providing tailored priors.
problem Analyzing the error in inverse problems solved with generative priors.
method Quantitative error bounds for minimum Wasserstein-2 generative models.
result The error in the posterior due to the generative prior is bounded by the prior's error in Wasserstein-1 distance.
PriorGrad improves speech synthesis models by using data-dependent adaptive priors.
problem Inefficiency in denoising diffusion models due to mismatch between prior and data distributions.
method Proposes PriorGrad, an adaptive prior derived from data statistics based on conditional information.
result PriorGrad achieves faster convergence and superior performance in speech synthesis models.
Regression Prior Networks improve ensemble performance on regression tasks.
problem Improving ensemble performance on regression tasks.
method Extending Prior Networks and Ensemble Distribution Distillation (EnD2) to regression tasks using the Normal-Wishart distribution. result Regression Prior Networks yield performance competitive with ensemble approaches on regression tasks.
SAHMM-VAE separates sources adaptively using hidden Markov priors.
problem Unsupervised blind source separation.
method Source-wise adaptive Hidden Markov prior variational autoencoder.
result Different latent dimensions align with different source-specific temporal organizations.
Proposes diffusion models using mixed Gaussian priors for better data representation.
problem Improving data representation in diffusion models.
method Structured diffusion models with a mixture of Gaussians as prior.
result Improved model performance compared to classical diffusion models.
We propose a novel approach for nonlinear regression using a two-layer neural network (NN) model structure with sparsity-favoring hierarchical priors on the network weights. We present an expectation propagation (EP) approach for approximate integration over the posterior distribution of the weights, the hierarchical s…
Residual Prior Diffusion integrates coarse latent priors with diffusion models for better generative tasks.
problem Diffusion models struggle with representing both large-scale and fine-scale details in data distributions.
method Two-stage framework: first a coarse prior model captures large-scale structure, then a diffusion model represents the residual.
result RPD accurately captures fine-scale details while preserving large-scale structure, outperforming standard diffusion models.
Proposes I-prior extension for additive interaction models.
problem Challenges in estimating and selecting models with interactions.
method Extends I-prior methodology to multiple covariates, introducing a parsimonious model specification.
result Improves estimation and model selection for additive interaction models.
Most deep latent factor models choose simple priors for simplicity, tractability or not knowing what prior to use. Recent studies show that the choice of the prior may have a profound effect on the expressiveness of the model,especially when its generative network has limited capacity. In this paper, we propose to lear…
Proposes method for eliciting non-parametric joint priors using normalizing flows.
problem Learning complex non-parametric joint priors for model parameters.
method Expert elicitation combined with normalizing flows for generative modeling.
result Framework supports elicitation of both parametric and non-parametric priors.
Bayesian neural networks incorporate domain knowledge through variational inference.
problem Specifying priors for Bayesian neural networks that capture domain knowledge is challenging.
method Proposes a framework for integrating domain knowledge into BNN priors through variational inference.
result BNNs with proposed domain knowledge priors outperform those with standard priors, achieving better predictive performance.
We construct geometric shrinkage priors for Kählerian signal filters. Based on the characteristics of Kähler manifolds, an efficient and robust algorithm for finding superharmonic priors which outperform the Jeffreys prior is introduced. Several ansätze for the Bayesian predictive priors are also suggested. In particul…
Bayesian Cox model identifies biomarkers from multi-omics data.
problem Produce interpretable survival prognosis from multi-omics data.
method Penalized semiparametric Bayesian Cox model with graph-structured selection priors.
result Model identifies new biomarkers and improves survival prediction.
The behavior of many Bayesian models used in machine learning critically depends on the choice of prior distributions, controlled by some hyperparameters that are typically selected by Bayesian optimization or cross-validation. This requires repeated, costly, posterior inference. We provide an alternative for selecting…
We use diffusion models to sample from complex GP priors in climate data.
problem Sampling from non-stationary Gaussian process priors is computationally hard.
method Replace GP prior with a diffusion model surrogate and use training-free guidance algorithms.
result Generated distributions are close to GP priors and can be fine-tuned.
Extends Gaussian Process regression for handling multiple prior distributions.
problem Handling multiple prior distributions in Bayesian Machine Learning models.
method Mixtures of Gaussian Processes with analytical and Sparse Variational approaches.
result Effective in accounting for prior misspecification in functional regression problems.
Bounded rationality investigates utility-optimizing decision-makers with limited information-processing power. In particular, information theoretic bounded rationality models formalize resource constraints abstractly in terms of relative Shannon information, namely the Kullback-Leibler Divergence between the agents' pr…