Super Learner combines dynamic predictions from various models to improve survival estimates.
arXiv research
A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
Trend · papers per month
Analyzing electronic health records (EHR) poses significant challenges because often few samples are available describing a patient's health and, when available, their information content is highly diverse. The problem we consider is how to integrate sparsely sampled longitudinal data, missing measurements informative …
Predicts clinical events using a landmark approach with machine learning for large biomarker histories.
The paper proposes a new method for clustering survival data using smoothed log-hazard trajectories.
Random forest (Leo Breiman 2001a) (RF) is a non-parametric statistical method requiring no distributional assumptions on covariate relation to the response. RF is a robust, nonlinear technique that optimizes predictive accuracy by fitting an ensemble of trees to stabilize model estimates. Random survival forests (RSF) …
Unlike common cancers, such as those of the prostate and breast, tumor grading in rare cancers is difficult and largely undefined because of small sample sizes, the sheer volume of time needed to undertake on such a task, and the inherent difficulty of extracting human-observed patterns. One of the most challenging exa…
Proposes a neural network for dynamic risk prediction of AMD using longitudinal fundus images.
Statistical inference is considered for variables of interest, called primary variables, when auxiliary variables are observed along with the primary variables. We consider the setting of incomplete data analysis, where some primary variables are not observed. Utilizing a parametric model of joint distribution of prima…
Study blockchain's impact on primary financial market challenges.
A new geometric model for V1 hypercolumns combines symplectic and spherical models.
We address primary decomposition conjectures for knot concordance groups, which predict direct sum decompositions into primary parts. We show that the smooth concordance group of topologically slice knots has a large subgroup for which the conjectures are true and there are infinitely many primary parts each of which h…
Aux-NAS uses auxiliary labels to improve primary task performance without extra inference cost.
Classifies Real primary Hopf surfaces and their associated groups.
The paper tackles online learning with two types of losses and shows it's impossible without certain assumptions.
Understanding the morphological changes of primary neuronal cells induced by chemical compounds is essential for drug discovery. Using the data from a single high-throughput imaging assay, a classification model for predicting the biological activity of candidate compounds was introduced. The image recognition model wh…
Learning with a primary objective, such as softmax cross entropy for classification and sequence generation, has been the norm for training deep neural networks for years. Although being a widely-adopted approach, using cross entropy as the primary objective exploits mostly the information from the ground-truth class f…
We study holomorphic locally homogeneous geometric structures modelled on line bundles over the projective line. We classify these structures on primary Hopf surfaces. We write out the developing map and holonomy morphism of each of these structures explicitly on each primary Hopf surface.
In this study, we generalize double tangent bundles to double jet bundles. We present a secondary vector bundle structure on a 1-jet of a vector bundle. We show that 1-jet of a vector bundle carries two vector bundle structures, namely primary and secondary structures. We also show that the manifold charts induced by p…
Automorphisms of Kodaira surfaces are shown to be affine transformations.
For all n > 0 there is a homomorphism from the smooth concordance group of knots in dimension 2n + 1 to an algebraically defined group called the rational algebraic concordance group. This algebraic concordance group splits as a direct sum of groups indexed by polynomials. For n > 1 the homomorphism is injective. This …
In several natural language tasks, labeled sequences are available in separate domains (say, languages), but the goal is to label sequences with mixed domain (such as code-switched text). Or, we may have available models for labeling whole passages (say, with sentiments), which we would like to exploit toward better po…
Randomly chosen primary hidden units and derived secondary units reduce neural network complexity.
We compute the -primary components of the linking pairings of orientable 3-manifolds admitting a fixed-point free -action. Using this, we show that any non-singular linking pairing on a finite abelian group with homogeneous 2-primary summand is realized by such a manifold. However, some pairings on inhomogeneou…
In a previous work we proved the uniqueness and functoriality of primary unfoldings on simple Thom-Mather spaces, which is a functor to the category of smooth manifolds. In this article we extend these results for any stratified Thom-Mather pseudomanifold with arbitary finite length, through a new kind of intermediate …
This article is devoted to the study of smooth desingularization, which are customary employed in the definition of De Rham Intersection Cohomology with differential forms. In this paper we work with the category of Thom-Mather simple spaces. We construct a functor which sends each Thom-Mather simple space into a smoot…
Multi-task learning (MTL) has recently contributed to learning better representations in service of various NLP tasks. MTL aims at improving the performance of a primary task, by jointly training on a secondary task. This paper introduces automated tasks, which exploit the sequential nature of the input data, as second…
We introduce a random forest approach to enable spreads' prediction in the primary catastrophe bond market. We investigate whether all information provided to investors in the offering circular prior to a new issuance is equally important in predicting its spread. The whole population of non-life catastrophe bonds issu…
We characterize primary operations in differential cohomology via stacks, and illustrate by differentially refining Steenrod squares and Steenrod powers explicitly. This requires a delicate interplay between integral, rational, and mod p cohomology, as well as cohomology with U(1) coefficients and differential forms. A…
Fuses ITRs for primary and secondary outcomes to minimize harm.
Study finds periodic orbits in a complex gravitational system.
GEAR uses auxiliary data to estimate optimal decisions in studies with limited primary outcomes.
Learning color mixing is difficult for novice painters. In order to support novice painters in learning color mixing, we propose a prediction model for semitransparent pigment mixtures and use its prediction results to create a Smart Palette system. Such a system is constructed by first building a watercolor dataset wi…
Proposes a method to use external machine-learning predictions in multinomial logistic regression.
The paper proposes a method to estimate treatment effects using surrogates when primary outcomes are missing.
The article describes our submission to SemEval 2019 Task 8 on Fact-Checking in Community Forums. The systems under discussion participated in Subtask A: decide whether a question asks for factual information, opinion/advice or is just socializing. Our primary submission was ranked as the second one among all participa…
Cobordism groups of cooriented fold maps of codimension 1 are computed completely. Namely their odd torsion part coincides with that of the stable homotopy group of spheres in the same dimension, while the 2-primary part is the kernel of the Kahn-Priddy map. (The Kahn-Priddy map is an epimorhism of the stable homotopy …
Noise injection improves inference privacy in DNN models.
Bayesian neural networks improved with scalable approximate inference.
We consider an illiquid financial market where a risk averse investor has to liquidate a portfolio within a finite time horizon [0,T] and can trade continuously at a traditional exchange (the "primary venue") and in a dark pool. At the primary venue, trading yields a linear price impact. In the dark pool, no price impa…
We partner with a leading European healthcare provider and design a mechanism to match patients with family doctors in primary care. We define the matchmaking process for several distinct use cases given different levels of available information about patients. Then, we adopt a hybrid recommender system to present each…
We consider, for each smooth manifold , the set comprised by all the primary ideals of which are closed and whose radical is maximal. The classical Lie theory of jets (jets of submanifolds) must be extended to in order to have nice functorial properties. We will begi…
New method combines multiple data sources for optimal decision-making with limited outcomes.
The Hopf surfaces provide a family of minimal non-Kähler surfaces of class VII on which little is known about the Chern-Ricci flow. We use a construction of Gauduchon-Ornea for locally conformally Kähler metrics on primary Hopf surfaces of class 1 to study solutions of the Chern-Ricci flow. These solutions reach a volu…
A new method for CT using graph-based regularization.
Importance sampling is one of the most widely used variance reduction strategies in Monte Carlo rendering. In this paper, we propose a novel importance sampling technique that uses a neural network to learn how to sample from a desired density represented by a set of samples. Our approach considers an existing Monte Ca…
A wearable EEG headband detects primary colors from brain activity for color perception.
Novel low-rank neural decoder improves -ECoG neural decoding.
We consider the stochastic control problem of a financial trader that needs to unwind a large asset portfolio within a short period of time. The trader can simultaneously submit active orders to a primary market and passive orders to a dark pool. Our framework is flexible enough to allow for price-dependent impact func…