Generalized model for firm valuation considering semi-Markovian dividend growth.
problem Valuation of firms based on semi-Markovian dividend growth rates.
method Discrete time semi-Markov chain model with measurable space, new equations for price-dividend ratios, approximation methods.
result Established sufficient conditions for finiteness of fundamental prices and risks, new equations for first and second order price-dividend ratios.
Study asset pricing with reference-dependent preferences, finding matching equity premia.
problem Understanding asset pricing under reference-dependent preferences.
method Discrete-time consumption-based capital asset pricing model with reference-dependent preferences.
result Models can generate equity premia matching empirical estimates, showing procyclical price-dividend ratio and countercyclical equity premium.
Market valuation duration is 175 years, but drops to 46 years during crises.
problem Understanding the duration of market valuation and its impact on returns.
method Comparing market valuation ratios and dividends to estimate duration, analyzing the discount rate effect.
result Valuation duration is negatively correlated with market returns, with a robust out-of-sample R2 of 15%.
According to the volatility feedback effect, an unexpected increase in squared volatility leads to an immediate decline in the price-dividend ratio. In this paper, we consider the properties of stock price dynamics and option valuations under the volatility feedback effect by modeling the joint dynamics of stock price,…
Study finds no consistent return predictability using payout ratios across 16 countries.
problem Return predictability using payout ratios in various markets.
method Analysis of 16 developed countries' bond, equity, and housing markets using payout-price ratios.
result No consistent in-sample and out-of-sample performance with positive utility gain.
This paper calculates the stock price covariance with correlated growth rates.
problem Determining the covariance of stock prices with correlated growth rates.
method Developed a formula for the covariance of random stock prices with correlated growth rates of dividends.
result A formula for the covariance of stock prices with correlated growth rates of dividends.
A model for pricing dividends and interest rates.
problem Modeling the term structures of dividends and interest rates.
method Polynomial jump-diffusions and moment-based approximation for option pricing.
result A parsimonious model fits interest rate swaps, swaptions, and dividend futures and options.
Derives a dual equation for various option types, leading to new pricing and hedging insights.
problem Pricing and hedging of various option types.
method Derives a dual equation with the same form as the Black-Scholes-Merton equation, applicable to homogeneous degree one payoffs.
result Provides simple analytic formulas for delta and gamma, and reveals put-call equality for various options.
The Fano ratio offers a more diversified portfolio than the Sharpe ratio in optimization.
problem Optimizing portfolio performance using the Sharpe ratio.
method Introducing and optimizing the Fano ratio as an alternative to the Sharpe ratio.
result Optimizing for the Fano ratio leads to more diversified and less skewed portfolios.
New method to decompose portfolio performance ratios.
problem Understanding the drivers of portfolio performance ratios.
method Using Euler's theorem, decomposes performance ratios into modified ratios.
result Derives condition for new asset to improve portfolio performance.
Omega ratio is shown to be equivalent to Sharpe ratio under certain distributional assumptions.
problem Comparing Omega ratio to Sharpe ratio as performance indicators.
method Computation and analysis of Omega ratio for normal distribution and proof for elliptic distributions.
result Omega ratio is equivalent to Sharpe ratio for returns with elliptic distributions.
FORE evaluates occupancy ratios without requiring Bellman completeness.
problem Offline reinforcement learning occupancy ratio estimation.
method Fitted occupancy-ratio evaluation (FORE) using adjoint Bellman recursion.
result FORE achieves convergence in KL without Bellman completeness.
Optimal option portfolios under Sharpe Ratio maximization with skew-elliptical t-distributed returns
problem Optimal option portfolios under Sharpe Ratio maximization
method Formulation for explicit portfolio weights
result Different optimal portfolios for Sharpe Ratio and return-to-Value-at-Risk (VaR) ratio
The paper proposes an asset allocation strategy using the Sortino ratio for better performance.
problem Traditional asset allocation methods like the Sharpe ratio do not penalize negative returns adequately.
method The Sortino ratio is used to maximize asset allocation, penalizing only negative return variances.
result The Sortino ratio-based strategy outperforms traditional methods like the Kelly criterion.
A new ratio, the Hansen ratio, simplifies mean-variance portfolio theory.
problem Simplifying mean-variance portfolio theory.
method Introducing the Hansen ratio and extending mean-variance theory.
result The Hansen ratio provides a parsimonious description of the mean-variance efficient frontier.
Develops a new density ratio estimator for causal inference.
problem Estimation of density ratio functions in statistics.
method Super learning approach with a novel loss function.
result Empirical validation of the density ratio super learner's performance.
New PU ratio predicts long-term Bitcoin returns better than other methods.
problem Lack of convincing proxies for cryptocurrency fundamentals.
method Developed a new market-to-fundamental ratio (PU ratio) using blockchain accounting methods.
result PU ratio effectively predicts long-term Bitcoin returns compared to alternative methods.
Tests Sharpe ratio for skill vs luck in asset management.
problem Accuracy of Sharpe ratio in measuring skill vs luck.
method Statistical tests to assess the significance of Sharpe ratios.
result Tests reveal the statistical significance of Sharpe ratios and their impact of auto-correlation.
The paper studies curves of constant-ratio in pseudo-Galilean space.
problem Characterizing curves of constant-ratio in pseudo-Galilean space.
method Analyzing spacelike curves with constant-ratio in terms of curvature functions.
result Characterization of special curves of constant-ratio in pseudo-Galilean space.
Cross ratios defined on boundaries of higher rank symmetric spaces and Euclidean buildings.
problem Defining cross ratios on boundaries of higher rank symmetric spaces and Euclidean buildings.
method Generalizing cross ratios from rank one symmetric spaces to higher rank and Euclidean buildings, defining vector valued cross ratios on simplices of the building at infinity.
result Cross ratios on boundaries of higher rank symmetric spaces and Euclidean buildings are preserved by isometries and induce isometries.
Unified framework for OOD detection using class ratio estimation.
problem Density-based OOD detection is unreliable for OOD images.
method Unified framework that builds energy-based models and employs differing base distributions, directly estimating the density ratio through class ratio estimation.
result Competitive results on OOD image problems compared to recent work.
Direct neural ratio estimator for likelihood-free inference.
problem Efficient likelihood estimation for complex models.
method Amortized likelihood ratio estimation using neural networks.
result DNRE often outperforms previous ratio estimators.
Paper shows how to embed Möbius bands with many twists and small aspect ratios.
problem Finding the smallest aspect ratio for Möbius bands with many twists.
method Constructs a folded paper ribbon knot to bound the aspect ratio.
result Paper Möbius bands and annuli with any number of half-twists can be embedded with aspect ratio less than 8.
Paper proposes a robust Sharpe ratio portfolio method.
problem Comparing portfolios with unknown risk-free asset.
method Cross-efficiency evaluation to maximize Sharpe ratio.
result Explicit expression for robust Sharpe ratio portfolio.
Golden ratio found on odd genus nonorientable surfaces.
problem Finding golden ratio on nonorientable surfaces.
method Mapping class on invariant subsurface with golden ratio dilatation.
result Golden ratio found on nonorientable surfaces of odd genus.
Neural networks approximate likelihood ratios for complex models.
problem Difficulty in computing likelihood ratios for modern models.
method Applying the likelihood ratio trick with neural network classifiers.
result Different neural network setups can approximate likelihood ratios with varying performance.
Paper tackles unbounded density ratio estimation for covariate shift adaptation.
problem Understudied challenge in statistical learning: unbounded density ratios.
method Three-step estimation method: relative density ratio, truncation, and transformation.
result Established rigorous convergence guarantees for density ratio and regression estimators.
Study shows robust method for estimating density ratios even with heavy contamination.
problem Estimating density ratios in the presence of heavy contamination.
method Weighted density ratio estimation (DRE) with doubly strong robustness.
result Weighted DRE achieves sparse consistency under heavy contamination.
Calculates twist in Teichmüller space using cross ratios.
problem Calculating the Fenchel-Nielsen twist in Teichmüller space.
method Using cross ratio coordinates.
result Compact calculation of twist in Teichmüller space.
Meta-learning improves relative density-ratio estimation from limited data.
problem Estimating relative density-ratios from few instances.
method Meta-learning using neural networks to extract and embed dataset information for relative DRE.
result Meta-learning enables efficient and effective adaptation to few instances for relative DRE.
New representations on surfaces with positive cross ratios.
problem Understanding representations of surfaces with specific geometric properties.
method Using geodesic currents and Anosov representations, proving systolic inequalities.
result Systolic inequalities hold for all positively ratioed representations.
TRE improves density-ratio estimation for highly dissimilar densities.
problem Density-ratio estimation fails for significantly different densities.
method Telescoping density-ratio estimation (TRE) framework.
result TRE yields substantial improvements over existing methods for mutual information estimation.
New method resolves density ratio estimation saturation issues.
problem Error saturation in density ratio estimation methods.
method Iterated regularization to improve kernel methods.
result Achieves fast error rates on regular learning problems.
The paper describes a method to infer the signal-to-noise ratio in portfolio optimization.
problem Estimating the signal-to-noise ratio in portfolio optimization problems.
method A statistic similar to the Sharpe Ratio Information Criterion is used for inference.
result The method works well for reasonable sample and asset universe sizes.
Post hoc test for Sharpe ratio improves pairwise comparisons.
problem Improving pairwise comparisons of Sharpe ratios.
method Analogous to Tukey's test, applied after rejecting equal Signal-Noise ratios.
result Maintains nominal type I rate and is moderately powerful.
Paper develops estimators for unbounded density ratios with applications in error control.
problem Estimating density ratios with unbounded domains and ranges.
method Least squares and logistic regression loss functions for density ratio estimation.
result Established upper bounds on estimation errors with optimal rates for unbounded density ratios.
The paper analyzes the Rashomon ratio for infinite classifier families and shows its importance for choosing good classifiers.
problem Analyzing the Rashomon ratio for infinite classifier families.
method Quantifying the Rashomon ratio in two examples and providing guarantees for estimating it.
result A large Rashomon ratio guarantees choosing a classifier with good empirical accuracy will not significantly increase empirical loss.
Estimates for plate eigenvalues with nonzero Poisson's ratio.
problem Estimating eigenvalues of a free plate with nonzero Poisson's ratio.
method Using Fourier transform to derive estimates.
result Kroger-type estimates for sums of eigenvalues.
The estimate of a Multiperiod probability of default applied to residential mortgages can be obtained using the mean of the observed default, so called the Mean of ratios estimator, or aggregating the default and the issued mortgages and computing the ratio of their sum, that is the Ratio of means. This work studies th…
Study on Leverage Ratio in European banks during financial crises.
problem Impact of financial crises on European banks' Leverage Ratio.
method Empirical analysis using regression techniques.
result Leverage Ratio is significantly influenced by financial scenarios.
New Finsler metric on sphere disproves systolic ratio conjecture.
problem Proving the maximal systolic ratio on 2-sphere.
method Inspired by Cossarini-Sabourau, constructs a Finsler metric.
result Systolic ratio of new Finsler metric is 4π/3. Featurization improves density ratio estimation for complex data.
problem Difficulty in estimating density ratios for high-dimensional, different distributions.
method Invertible generative model to map distributions into a common feature space.
result Improved accuracy in density ratio estimation through feature space.
New monotone Sharpe ratio measures investment performance.
problem Investment performance measurement.
method Introducing a new monotone Sharpe ratio and studying its properties.
result Established a connection with coherent risk measures and obtained an efficient representation.
Paper connects Sharpe ratio and Student t-statistic, providing exact distribution and asymptotic behavior.
problem Error-prone Sharpe ratio due to statistical estimation of expected returns and volatilities.
method Derive exact distribution of Sharpe ratio for independent normally distributed returns, extend to AR(1) assumptions.
result Empirical Sharpe ratio is asymptotically optimal and achieves Cramer Rao bound.
New deep neural network method improves change point detection.
problem Change point detection in data streams.
method Deep density ratio estimation using gradient descent objective functions.
result Deep neural network outperforms other methods on seizure detection.
The paper develops methods for conditional inference on the asset with the highest Sharpe ratio.
problem Performing inference on the asset with the highest Sharpe ratio among correlated assets.
method Conditional inference procedure using multivariate Sharpe ratio standard error, alternative tests, and asymptotic adjustments.
result The conditional inference procedure achieves nominal type I rate and maintains near-nominal rejection rates under the conditional null.
A new perspective on GANs using density ratio estimation.
problem Understanding and improving GANs through a novel algorithm.
method Repeating density ratio estimation and f-divergence minimization.
result Offers a new understanding of GANs and utilizes multiple viewpoints from density ratio estimation.
Everyone misunderstands the Sharpe ratio, which measures risk in finance.
problem Misunderstanding of the Sharpe ratio as a risk metric.
method A critical analysis and rectification of the Sharpe ratio concept.
result Clarification of the Sharpe ratio's role in risk assessment.