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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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48 results for price sentiment

Transformer predicts Ethereum prices using cross-currency correlation and sentiment analysis.

problem Predicting Ethereum cryptocurrency prices with limited data.
method Transformer-based neural network with cross-currency correlation and sentiment analysis.
result Transformer model outperforms other models on some parameters.

This study improves stock price forecasting by analyzing daily news sentiment.

problem Improving stock price forecasting accuracy using news sentiment.
method Data collection, preprocessing, and sentiment analysis of NITY50 stocks' news.
result LSTM models with sentiment scores outperform without them in forecasting stock prices.

Hybrid model predicts stock prices using online forum sentiments and popularity.

problem Predicting stock prices accurately considering investor sentiment.
method XLNET for sentiment analysis, BiLSTM-highway model integration, combining post popularity.
result Hybrid model outperforms traditional methods in stock price prediction.

Enhanced portfolio selection using sentiment data and LSTM.

problem Improving portfolio selection through sentiment analysis and price prediction.
method Semantic Attention Model for sentiment prediction, LSTM for price prediction, mean-variance strategy for portfolio optimization.
result Sentiment-aware portfolio strategies outperform non-sentiment aware models on average.

Study uses Granger causality to show investor sentiment influences stock prices.

problem Understanding the relationship between investor sentiment and stock market movements.
method Applied Granger causality to analyze the relationship between close price index and sentiment score.
result Sentiment analysis shows a positive correlation with stock price movements.

Study proposes a machine learning method to predict stock price crashes based on investor sentiment.

problem Predicting stock price crashes due to investor sentiment.
method Minimum covariance determinant methodology and cross-sectional regression analysis.
result The proposed method effectively captures stock price crash risk and is robust across different firm sizes.

Study compares LSTM models with sentiment analysis for stock price prediction.

problem Efficient stock price prediction models using LSTM with sentiment analysis.
method Various types of LSTM models combined with sentiment analysis.
result Identifies the most effective model for short and long-term stock price prediction.

This study evaluates LLMs for sentiment analysis in stock price prediction.

problem Improving stock price prediction accuracy using LLMs for news sentiment analysis.
method Compared 3 LLMs (DeBERTa, RoBERTa, FinBERT) for sentiment-driven stock prediction.
result DeBERTa outperforms other models with 75% accuracy, and ensemble model increases accuracy to 80%.

Investor sentiment improves model accuracy but complexity doesn't always boost predictive power.

problem Determining the optimal complexity of investor sentiment measures in asset pricing models.
method Comprehensive review of 71 papers from 2000-2021, analyzing various sentiment measures and models.
result Higher complexity of sentiment measures does not necessarily improve predictive power.

Study uses neural networks to value Bitcoin options considering price jumps and sentiment.

problem Valuing Bitcoin options under price jumps and market sentiment.
method Bivariate jump-diffusion model, incorporating Google search sentiment, and artificial neural networks.
result Derives a closed formula for Bitcoin option pricing and validates using high-volatile stocks.

The paper predicts Bitcoin prices using machine learning and sentiment analysis.

problem Predicting the future price of Bitcoin in USD.
method Applied supervised machine learning and sentiment analysis to Twitter and Reddit data.
result LSTM models with multi-feature analysis outperformed ARIMA models in predicting Bitcoin prices.

GPT-4 improves stock price prediction from microblogging sentiments.

problem Improving stock price prediction using sentiment analysis of microblogs.
method Developed a novel method for contextual sentiment analysis using GPT-4, fine-tuning prompts for better accuracy.
result GPT-4 outperformed BERT in predicting stock price movements, achieving a peak accuracy of 71.47%.

Taureau uses Twitter sentiment analysis to predict stock market movement.

problem Predicting stock market movement using public opinion on Twitter.
method Obtained historical tweets, filtered and labeled, generated word embeddings, assessed sentiment scores, correlated with stock price movement, designed and evaluated predictive model.
result Taureau can predict stock price movement from lagged sentiment scores.

Study predicts stock price direction on earnings announcement days using multi-modal deep learning.

problem Predicting stock price movements during earnings announcements is challenging due to market noise and discontinuities.
method Constructed a multi-modal feature space combining fundamental metrics, technical indicators, and sentiment scores from financial news articles. Evaluated LSTM and Transformer models against a baseline.
result Transformer model outperforms LSTM in identifying volatile movements, achieving higher macro F1-score.

Study forecasts sub-city real estate prices weekly using radar and news sentiment.

problem Limited availability of reliable real estate price indicators at neighborhood and long horizons.
method Combining satellite radar signals and news sentiment to forecast sub-city real estate prices.
result The multimodal model reduces mean absolute error by 35% at long horizons (26-34 weeks).

Hybrid engine analyzes news sentiment for markets in real-time.

problem Real-time market analysis of news sentiment.
method Three-way ensemble learning combining financial lexicon, adaptive TF-IDF clustering, and auto-calibrated weighting.
result Adaptive statistical clustering learner improves adaptability to market changes.

Improved crypto market forecasting using historical price reactions to tweets.

problem Challenges in inferring market impact from human sentiment labels.
method Market-derived labeling approach to assign tweet sentiment labels based on historical price trends. Fine-tuned language model with context-aware prompt-tuning.
result 89.6% accuracy on Bitcoin news events, outperforming traditional fusion models.

Study uses sentiment analysis to predict cryptocurrency token returns in virtual reality.

problem Predicting cryptocurrency token returns in virtual reality economies.
method Used BERT for sentiment analysis and developed LSTM models integrating multi-modal features.
result Multi-modal model significantly outperforms price-only baseline in prediction accuracy.

Deep model improves option pricing for CSI 300 index with sentiment and volatility features.

problem Challenges in real market option pricing, especially with constant volatility assumption.
method Deep Forward-Backward Stochastic Differential Equation (FBSDE) framework with dual-network architecture.
result Significant reduction in MAE and MAPE compared to BSM model.

This study introduces a new GAS blending ensemble model for Bitcoin price prediction.

problem Predicting Bitcoin price fluctuations in the cryptocurrency market.
method Integrates advanced ensemble learning methods, feature selection algorithms, and sentiment analysis.
result The GAS model demonstrates excellent performance in daily Bitcoin trend prediction.

FinBERT-BiLSTM predicts cryptocurrency prices using sentiment analysis.

problem Predicting volatile cryptocurrency market prices.
method Hybrid model combining Bi-LSTM and FinBERT for sentiment analysis.
result Enhanced forecasting accuracy for volatile financial markets.

Study evaluates if LLMs have company-specific biases in financial sentiment analysis.

problem Evaluating if large language models exhibit company-specific biases in financial sentiment analysis.
method Comparing sentiment scores with and without company names, constructing economic models, and empirical analysis.
result LLMs show company-specific biases in sentiment analysis, impacting investor behavior and stock prices.

We study the dependency and causality structure of the cryptocurrency market investigating collective movements of both prices and social sentiment related to almost two thousand cryptocurrencies traded during the first six months of 2018. This is the first study of the whole cryptocurrency market structure. It introdu…

2019-03-03abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper analyzes how news sentiment of companies can affect market movements.

problem Understanding how news sentiment impacts market performance and volatility.
method Applied NLP techniques to analyze news sentiment of 87 companies over 7 years.
result Strong media sentiment towards one company can indicate significant changes in sentiment towards related companies.

Study predicts cryptocurrency price movements using Twitter sentiment analysis.

problem Predicting short-term price movements of cryptocurrencies.
method Conditional examination of return and excess return rates following tweet publication.
result Statistically significant increases in return rates within the first three minutes after tweet publication.

BERTopic enhances stock market prediction by analyzing sentiment in topic models.

problem Improving stock price prediction accuracy using sentiment analysis.
method Employed BERTopic for sentiment analysis of stock market comments integrated with deep learning models.
result Enhanced model performance through topic sentiment integration.

To understand the relationship between news sentiment and company stock price movements, and to better understand connectivity among companies, we define an algorithm for measuring sentiment-based network risk. The algorithm ranks companies in networks of co-occurrences, and measures sentiment-based risk, by calculatin…

2017-06-19abs ↗pdf ↗

Study examines how social media sentiment impacts biotech stocks.

problem Understanding the impact of social media on biotech stock prices.
method VADER sentiment analysis, ARIMA, and VAR models were used to forecast stock market performance.
result Complex interplay between tweet sentiment and stock market performance was identified.

Improved crude oil price forecasting using multi-dimensional LLM sentiment signals.

problem Challenges in predicting crude oil prices due to unstructured news.
method Extracted five sentiment dimensions from GPT-4o, Llama 3.2-3b, and FinBERT models on energy-sector news articles.
result Combining GPT-4o and FinBERT yields the best predictive performance for weekly WTI crude oil futures returns.

Cryptocurrency forecasting model considers macro, sentiment, and technical indicators.

problem High price volatility in cryptocurrency markets.
method Dual-prediction mechanism incorporating macroeconomic fluctuations, technical indicators, and individual cryptocurrency price changes.
result The proposed model outperforms ten comparison methods in short-term cryptocurrency forecasting.

FNSPID dataset integrates financial news and stock prices for improved market predictions.

problem Lack of comprehensive datasets combining quantitative and qualitative financial data.
method Developed a large-scale dataset (FNSPID) with 29.7M stock prices and 15.7M financial news records.
result FNSPID significantly boosts market prediction accuracy and sentiment analysis.