A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
Paper uses RL to optimize insurance pricing on PCWs, improving efficiency and adaptability.
This paper presents a model that uses the information that sellers publish in real estate market websites to predict whether a property has higher or lower price than the average price of its similar properties. The model learns the correlation between price and information (text descriptions and features) of real esta…
Company2Vec creates embeddings from company websites for fine-grained business analytics.
In this paper we apply active learning algorithms for dynamic pricing in a prominent e-commerce website. Dynamic pricing involves changing the price of items on a regular basis, and uses the feedback from the pricing decisions to update prices of the items. Most popular approaches to dynamic pricing use a passive learn…
A novel SVR parameter optimization method using GSA outperforms other meta-heuristics in stock market forecasting.
We develop a new nonparametric approach for estimating the risk-neutral density of asset prices and reformulate its estimation into a double-constrained optimization problem. We evaluate our approach using the S\&P 500 market option prices from 1996 to 2015. A comprehensive cross-validation study shows that our approac…
In recent years, an active field of research has developed around automated machine learning (AutoML). Unfortunately, comparing different AutoML systems is hard and often done incorrectly. We introduce an open, ongoing, and extensible benchmark framework which follows best practices and avoids common mistakes. The fram…
Recent advances in learning Deep Neural Network (DNN) architectures have received a great deal of attention due to their ability to outperform state-of-the-art classifiers across a wide range of applications, with little or no feature engineering. In this paper, we broadly study the applicability of deep learning to we…
Common privacy enhancing technologies fail to effectively hide certain statistical aspects of encrypted traffic, namely individual packets length, packets direction and, packets timing. Recent researches have shown that using such attributes, an adversary is able to extract various information from the encrypted traffi…
A scalable system detects price anomalies in online marketplaces to improve customer experience.
This paper introduces Zap, a generic machine learning pipeline for making predictions based on online user behavior. Zap combines well known techniques for processing sequential data with more obscure techniques such as Bloom filters, bucketing, and model calibration into an end-to-end solution. The pipeline creates we…
Phishing is the simplest form of cybercrime with the objective of baiting people into giving away delicate information such as individually recognizable data, banking and credit card details, or even credentials and passwords. This type of simple yet most effective cyber-attack is usually launched through emails, phone…
Online advertising is an important and huge industry. Having knowledge of the website attributes can contribute greatly to business strategies for ad-targeting, content display, inventory purchase or revenue prediction. Classical inferences on users and sites impose challenge, because the data is voluminous, sparse, hi…
In recent literature it is claimed that BitCoin price behaves more likely to a volatile stock asset than a currency and that changes in its price are influenced by sentiment about the BitCoin system itself; in Kristoufek [10] the author analyses transaction based as well as popularity based potential drivers of the Bit…
Machine learning detects phishing websites by identifying common characteristics.
Introduces AMLB, an open benchmark for AutoML frameworks.
This paper presents approaches to determine a network based pricing for 3D printing services in the context of a two-sided manufacturing-as-a-service marketplace. The intent is to provide cost analytics to enable service bureaus to better compete in the market by moving away from setting ad-hoc and subjective prices. A…
Project forecasts crop prices to help Indian farmers choose optimal crops for better ROI.
We consider an integro-differential equation derived from a system of coupled parabolic PDE and an ODE which describes an European option pricing with liquidity shocks. We study the well-posedness and prove comparison principle for the corresponding initial value problem.
XGBoost outperforms other models in predicting housing prices.
Paper presents LSTM models for short-term stock price prediction.
Classifies privacy policy segments for better user understanding.
This paper presents a pre-processing and a distance which improve the performance of machine learning algorithms working on independent and identically distributed stochastic processes. We introduce a novel non-parametric approach to represent random variables which splits apart dependency and distribution without losi…
We present a database of parliamentary debates that contains the complete record of parliamentary speeches from Dáil Éireann, the lower house and principal chamber of the Irish parliament, from 1919 to 2013. In addition, the database contains background information on all TDs (Teachta Dála, members of parliament), such…
The purpose of this paper is to showcase trading strategies that give solutions to three difficult and intriguing problems in business finance, economics and statistics. The paper discusses trading strategies for both commodities and stocks but the main focus is on stock market trading at the New York Stock Exchange. P…
Weak predictability of stock price movement 2 days after annual report disclosure.
Correlation networks were used to detect characteristics which, although fixed over time, have an important influence on the evolution of prices over time. Potentially important features were identified using the websites and whitepapers of cryptocurrencies with the largest userbases. These were assessed using two data…
FNSPID dataset integrates financial news and stock prices for improved market predictions.
Ancillaries have become a major source of revenue and profitability in the travel industry. Yet, conventional pricing strategies are based on business rules that are poorly optimized and do not respond to changing market conditions. This paper describes the dynamic pricing model developed by Deepair solutions, an AI te…
The paper compares three option pricing models with varying volatility dynamics.
ANN improves option pricing models by calibrating parameters faster and more accurately.
Phishing as one of the most well-known cybercrime activities is a deception of online users to steal their personal or confidential information by impersonating a legitimate website. Several machine learning-based strategies have been proposed to detect phishing websites. These techniques are dependent on the features …
The electroencephalogram (EEG) provides a non-invasive, minimally restrictive, and relatively low cost measure of mesoscale brain dynamics with high temporal resolution. Although signals recorded in parallel by multiple, near-adjacent EEG scalp electrode channels are highly-correlated and combine signals from many diff…
Recent progress in the development of efficient computational algorithms to price financial derivatives is summarized. A first algorithm is based on a path integral approach to option pricing, while a second algorithm makes use of a neural network parameterization of option prices. The accuracy of the two methods is es…
The tremendous success of deep learning for imaging applications has resulted in numerous beneficial advances. Unfortunately, this success has also been a catalyst for malicious uses such as photo-realistic face swapping of parties without consent. Transferring one person's face from a source image to a target image of…
A web browser should not be only for browsing web pages but also help users to find out their target websites and recommend similar type websites based on their behavior. Throughout this paper, we propose two methods to make a web browser more intelligent about link prediction which works during typing on address-bar a…
Study dynamic trading in options to improve price bounds for exotic derivatives.
Sarcasm Detection has enjoyed great interest from the research community, however the task of predicting sarcasm in a text remains an elusive problem for machines. Past studies mostly make use of twitter datasets collected using hashtag based supervision but such datasets are noisy in terms of labels and language. To o…
This is an introductory article about the Boy surface. Boy found 1901 that can be immersed into , and published it. (The image of) the immersion is called the Boy surface after Boy's discovery. We have created a way to construct the Boy surface by using a pair of scissors, a piece of paper…
In this paper, we investigate a numerical algorithm for the pricing of swing options, relying on the so-called optimal quantization method. The numerical procedure is described in details and numerous simulations are provided to assert its efficiency. In particular, we carry out a comparison with the Longstaff-Schwartz…
It is essential to incorporate the impact of investor behavior when modeling the dynamics of asset returns. In this paper, we reconcile behavioral finance and rational finance by incorporating investor behavior within the framework of dynamic asset pricing theory. To include the views of investors, we employ the method…
Price without transaction makes no sense. Trading volume authenticates its corresponding price, so there exist mutual information and correlation between price and trading volume. We are curious about fractal features of this correlation and need to know how structures in different scales translate information. To expl…
Machine learning models outperform traditional option pricing models.
GARCH models predict stock volatility in Indian sectors.
Deep neural network approximates multivariate option pricing.
E-commerce websites such as Amazon, Alibaba, Flipkart, and Walmart sell billions of products. Machine learning (ML) algorithms involving products are often used to improve the customer experience and increase revenue, e.g., product similarity, recommendation, and price estimation. The products are required to be repres…
Study uses multiple online media to predict crude oil prices.
It is very vital for suppliers and distributors to predict the deregulated electricity prices for creating their bidding strategies in the competitive market area. Pre requirement of succeeding in this field, accurate and suitable electricity tariff price forecasting tools are needed. In the presence of effective forec…