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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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23466891 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for prescriptive analytics

ODTLearn learns optimal decision trees for predictive and prescriptive tasks.

problem Learning optimal decision trees for high-stakes predictive and prescriptive tasks.
method Mixed-integer optimization framework and object-oriented design.
result Implementation of optimal decision trees for various tasks.

We address the problem of prescribing an optimal decision in a framework where the cost function depends on uncertain problem parameters that need to be learned from data. Earlier work proposed prescriptive formulations based on supervised machine learning methods. These prescriptive methods can factor in contextual in…

2017-11-27abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper proposes a method to quantify and explain machine learning uncertainty in predictive process monitoring.

problem Neglect of data-driven estimation, point forecasts without model uncertainty, and lack of explanations.
method Quantile Regression Forests for interval predictions and SHapley Additive Explanations for uncertainty.
result Effective handling of model uncertainty in predictive process monitoring.

A model learns symptom-drug relations for PD patients.

problem Automatic prescription recommendation for Parkinson's Disease patients.
method Builds a dataset of PD symptoms and prescriptions, learns latent symptom space, uses alternating optimization.
result Effective in recommending suitable prescription drugs for new PD patients.

The Prescriptive Canvas improves business outcomes by directly prescribing actions based on predictions.

problem Sub-optimal performance in business projects due to a two-step approach of prediction and decision-making.
method The Prescriptive Canvas methodology for framing and communicating actions directly based on predictions.
result Improves framing and communication across stakeholders for successful business impact.

Analyzes COVID-19 data to predict mortality, forecast spread, and optimize resource allocation.

problem Challenges in patient triage, treatment, and care management during the pandemic.
method Integrated four-step approach combining descriptive, predictive, and prescriptive analytics.
result Optimized resource allocation and informed policy decisions.

This paper presents an automated approach for interpretable feature recommendation for solving signal data analytics problems. The method has been tested by performing experiments on datasets in the domain of prognostics where interpretation of features is considered very important. The proposed approach is based on Wi…

2017-11-06abs ↗pdf ↗

Let URdU\subseteq\mathbb{R}^d be open and convex. We prove that every (not necessarily Lipschitz or strongly) convex function f:URf:U\to\mathbb{R} can be approximated by real analytic convex functions, uniformly on all of UU. We also show that C0C^0-fine approximation of convex functions by smooth (or real analytic) conv…

2012-01-23abs ↗pdf ↗

In this paper, we combine ideas from machine learning (ML) and operations research and management science (OR/MS) in developing a framework, along with specific methods, for using data to prescribe optimal decisions in OR/MS problems. In a departure from other work on data-driven optimization and reflecting our practic…

2014-02-22abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper addresses a novel data science problem, prescriptive price optimization, which derives the optimal price strategy to maximize future profit/revenue on the basis of massive predictive formulas produced by machine learning. The prescriptive price optimization first builds sales forecast formulas of multiple pr…

2016-05-18abs ↗pdf ↗

The study compares Euclidean and cosine distances in medical drug prescription prediction.

problem Comparing Euclidean and cosine distances in medical drug prescription prediction.
method Established geometric properties and compared distances in real-world medical data.
result Different distances lead to different optimizing nonlinear kernel embedding frameworks.

New approach for estimating individual treatment effects in low compliance settings.

problem Estimating individual treatment effects in scenarios with low compliance.
method Proposes a new approach using Structural Causal Model and do-calculus to estimate Individual Prescription Effect (IPE) with asymptotic variance guarantees.
result Consistently improves state-of-the-art in low compliance settings.

Bayesian imputation optimizes bias-variance trade-off in time-series data.

problem Look-ahead bias in imputation of missing time-series data.
method Bayesian consensus posterior that fuses multiple posteriors to optimize bias and variance trade-off.
result Benefit of imputation for portfolio allocation with missing returns demonstrated.

In this paper we give a new proof of a theorem by Alexandrov on the Gauss curvature prescription of Euclidean convex sets. This proof is based on the duality theory of convex sets and on optimal mass transport. A noteworthy property of this proof is that it does not rely neither on the theory of convex polyhedra nor on…

2015-05-18abs ↗pdf ↗

Two problems concerning asymptotically hyperbolic manifolds with an inner boundary are studied. First, we study scalar curvature presciption with either Dirichlet or mean curvature prescription interior boundary condition. Then we apply those results to the Lichnerowicz equation with (future or past) apparent horizon i…

2008-02-22abs ↗pdf ↗

Arborescent knots are the ones which can be represented in terms of double fat graphs or equivalently as tree Feynman diagrams. This is the class of knots for which the present knowledge is enough for lifting topological description to the level of effective analytical formulas. The paper describes the origin and struc…

2016-01-16abs ↗pdf ↗

Having the right assortment of shipping boxes in the fulfillment warehouse to pack and ship customer's online orders is an indispensable and integral part of nowadays eCommerce business, as it will not only help maintain a profitable business but also create great experiences for customers. However, it is an extremely …

2018-09-26abs ↗pdf ↗

Under the Basel II standards, the Operational Risk (OpRisk) advanced measurement approach is not prescriptive regarding the class of statistical model utilised to undertake capital estimation. It has however become well accepted to utlise a Loss Distributional Approach (LDA) paradigm to model the individual OpRisk loss…

2011-02-17abs ↗pdf ↗

Let MM be an open Riemann surface and n3n\ge 3 be an integer. We prove that on any closed discrete subset of MM one can prescribe the values of a conformal minimal immersion MRnM\to\mathbb{R}^n. Our result also ensures jet-interpolation of given finite order, and hence, in particular, one may in addition prescribe the…

2017-01-16abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper solves curvature prescription on a disk with negative Gaussian curvature.

problem Prescribing Gaussian curvature and geodesic curvature on a disk with negative Gaussian curvature.
method Variational approach, critical points of a functional, perturbation argument, monotonicity trick, blow-up analysis, Morse index estimates.
result General existence results for the curvature prescription problem.

New approach makes deep reinforcement learning robust without assuming adversary knowledge.

problem Deep reinforcement learning policies are vulnerable to state observation perturbations.
method Proposes an adversary agnostic robust DRL paradigm using policy distillation with two terms: prescription gap maximization and Jacobian regularization.
result Boosts adversarial robustness on five Atari games compared to state-of-the-art methods.