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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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147294441588 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for preictal state

Model predicts epileptic seizures by detecting preictal state using wavelet transform and PCA.

problem Predicting epileptic seizures before onset.
method Common spatial pattern filtering, wavelet transform for preprocessing, PCA for feature extraction, SVM for classification.
result Average sensitivity of 93.1% for 84 seizures in 23 subjects.

Objective: This work investigates the hypothesis that focal seizures can be predicted using scalp electroencephalogram (EEG) data. Our first aim is to learn features that distinguish between the interictal and preictal regions. The second aim is to define a prediction horizon in which the prediction is as accurate and …

2018-05-29abs ↗pdf ↗

Epilepsy is the most common neurological disorder and an accurate forecast of seizures would help to overcome the patient's uncertainty and helplessness. In this contribution, we present and discuss a novel methodology for the classification of intracranial electroencephalography (iEEG) for seizure prediction. Contrary…

2018-11-02abs ↗pdf ↗

Approximately, 50 million people in the world are affected by epilepsy. For patients, the anti-epileptic drugs are not always useful and these drugs may have undesired side effects on a patient's health. If the seizure is predicted the patients will have enough time to take preventive measures. The purpose of this work…

2019-12-13abs ↗pdf ↗

We propose the application of a high-speed maximum likelihood clustering algorithm to detect temporal financial market states, using correlation matrices estimated from intraday market microstructure features. We first determine the ex-ante intraday temporal cluster configurations to identify market states, and then st…

2015-08-20abs ↗pdf ↗

Associated to every state surface for a knot or link is a state graph, which embeds as a spine of the state surface. A state graph can be decomposed along cut-vertices into graphs with induced planar embeddings. Associated with each such planar graph is a checkerboard surface, and each state surface is a fiber if and o…

2019-02-05abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper tackles belief-state selection in simulators with latent states.

problem Selecting among approximate belief-state samplers for simulators with latent variables.
method Reduces belief-state selection to conditional distribution selection, develops algorithms and analyses.
result Different formulations of belief-state selection have varying guarantees under different roll-out methods.

New method for state inference in state-space models with unknown dynamics.

problem State inference in state-space models with computationally expensive and undefined dynamics.
method Estimate state transition dynamics using a multi-output Gaussian process and Bayesian Neural Network as a surrogate model.
result Significant improvement in accuracy for state inference and prediction in non-stationary user models.

A new method learns state and proposal dynamics in state-space models using neural networks.

problem Inference in non-linear state-space models.
method StateMixNN method using neural networks for proposal and transition distributions.
result Significantly improved recovery of hidden state, especially in highly non-linear scenarios.

The paper develops a state-space approach to deep Gaussian processes for efficient state estimation.

problem Efficient regression and state estimation for deep Gaussian processes.
method Hierarchical transformed Gaussian process priors, state-space representation, linear stochastic differential equations, sequential methods.
result The state-space approach enables efficient state estimation and regression for deep Gaussian processes.

A new asset allocation model uses Markov states from clustered efficient frontier coefficients.

problem Characterizing market regimes using efficient frontiers for better asset allocation.
method Hierarchical clustering of monthly efficient frontier coefficients to define states, then a Markov process on these states for portfolio optimization.
result The model significantly outperforms benchmark portfolios empirically.

Quantum states can be learned efficiently using gentle measurements.

problem Efficiently learning quantum states with minimal measurements.
method Introducing α-LGM measurements and proving strong quantum DPI.
result The number of states needed for accurate learning is of order 1/(ε^2 α^2).

Proposes a new model for time series that considers smooth transitions between states.

problem Models assume instantaneous transitions between discrete states, ignoring gradual changes.
method Dynamical Wasserstein Barycentric (DWB) model that estimates system state and pure state distributions over time.
result Accurately learns pure state distributions and improves state estimation for transition periods.

The accurate and interpretable prediction of future events in time-series data often requires the capturing of representative patterns (or referred to as states) underpinning the observed data. To this end, most existing studies focus on the representation and recognition of states, but ignore the changing transitional…

2019-05-10abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper simplifies OPE in large state spaces using state abstractions.

problem Accurately evaluating policies offline in large state spaces.
method Developed a backward-model-irrelevance condition and an iterative state abstraction procedure.
result Deeply-abstracted states substantially simplify OPE sample complexity.

Characterizes optimal-speed quantum state evolution Hamiltonians.

problem Optimal-speed unitary time evolution of pure and quasi-pure quantum states.
method Construction of the manifold of pure states and isometry with flag manifold, characterization of equigeodesic vectors.
result Hamiltonians generating optimal-speed time evolution are fully characterized by equigeodesic vectors of the flag manifold.

SiBBlInGS discovers interpretable building blocks across states in multi-way data.

problem Identifying interpretable units (Building Blocks) in multi-state, multi-way data.
method Graph-based dictionary learning approach for sparse BBs and temporal traces.
result Captures per-trial variability and state-specific vs. state-invariant components.

Studying general quantum many-body systems is one of the major challenges in modern physics because it requires an amount of computational resources that scales exponentially with the size of the system.Simulating the evolution of a state, or even storing its description, rapidly becomes intractable for exact classical…

2017-10-02abs ↗pdf ↗

We introduce the notion of a "state function" for framed tangles in a disk. After choosing a finite set of states for each marked disk, a state function is a projection from the vector space spanned by all tangles to the vector space spanned by the states, that is local, and topologically invariant. Given the states fo…

2018-06-25abs ↗pdf ↗

This research improves dynamical systems understanding by identifying latent states and their nonlinear transitions.

problem Previous work on dynamical systems could not identify nonlinear transition dynamics, leading to unreliable predictions.
method Proposes a state-space modeling framework using variational auto-encoders to identify latent states and their nonlinear transition functions.
result Demonstrates high accuracy in recovering latent state dynamics and future prediction accuracy.

We propose a novel methodology to define, analyze and forecast market states. In our approach market states are identified by a reference sparse precision matrix and a vector of expectation values. In our procedure, each multivariate observation is associated with a given market state accordingly to a minimization of a…

2018-07-13abs ↗pdf ↗

Recurrent neural networks (RNNs) are a vital modeling technique that rely on internal states learned indirectly by optimization of a supervised, unsupervised, or reinforcement training loss. RNNs are used to model dynamic processes that are characterized by underlying latent states whose form is often unknown, precludi…

2017-09-25abs ↗pdf ↗

A central challenge in reinforcement learning is discovering effective policies for tasks where rewards are sparsely distributed. We postulate that in the absence of useful reward signals, an effective exploration strategy should seek out {\it decision states}. These states lie at critical junctions in the state space …

2019-01-30abs ↗pdf ↗

A new method for state estimation in state-space models using incomplete data.

problem State estimation in nonlinear state-space models with incomplete observations.
method Statistical analysis of incomplete observations, score function, observed information matrices, EM-gradient-particle filtering.
result Maximum likelihood estimation of state-vector with explicit form of observed information matrix.

Adversarial attacks on probabilistic state-space models affect latent state and policy decisions.

problem Robust reinforcement learning under adversarial observability.
method Analyzing adversarial attacks on linear probabilistic state-space models.
result Demonstrating the influence of adversarial observations on latent state and policy decisions.

Center identified in stated skein algebra for quantum traces.

problem Understanding the center of the stated skein algebra.
method Analyzing the algebra as a generalization of Kauffman bracket skein algebra, focusing on the case when the quantum parameter is a root of unity.
result Simple description and dimension calculation of the center over the center module.

Method learns topological states from randomized measurements.

problem Detecting topologically ordered two-dimensional states on quantum processors.
method Variational tensor network tomography with randomized measurements.
result Demonstrated ability to learn ground states of surface code and quantum spin liquid states.

In this paper we define alternating Kauffman states of links and we characterize when the induced state surface is a fiber. In addition, we give a different proof of a similar theorem of Futer, Kalfagianni and Purcell on homogeneous states.

2015-06-18abs ↗pdf ↗

New method identifies critical states to improve RL agent explainability and speed.

problem Challenges in RL agent explainability and action selection timing.
method Identify critical states based on action-based variance in Q-function, prioritize exploitation on these states.
result Identified critical states accelerate RL in grid worlds and deep RL tasks.

Excited-state dynamics simulations are a powerful tool to investigate photo-induced reactions of molecules and materials and provide complementary information to experiments. Since the applicability of these simulation techniques is limited by the costs of the underlying electronic structure calculations, we develop an…

2019-12-18abs ↗pdf ↗