Research
On-device research index

arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

Trend · papers per month

133266398531 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for predictive streaming

A new method for predicting uncertainties in stream networks.

problem Uncertainty quantification in spatiotemporal graphs with directional flow constraints.
method Spatio-Temporal Adaptive Conformal Inference (STACI) integrating network topology and temporal dynamics.
result STACI effectively balances prediction efficiency and coverage, outperforming existing methods.

StreamEnsemble dynamically selects ML models for ST data streams to improve predictive accuracy.

problem Predictive queries over spatiotemporal data streams are challenging due to varying distributions and patterns.
method Dynamic selection and allocation of ML models based on time series distributions and characteristics.
result Significantly outperforms traditional ensemble and single model approaches, reducing prediction error by over 10 times.

In data stream mining, predictive models typically suffer drops in predictive performance due to concept drift. As enough data representing the new concept must be collected for the new concept to be well learnt, the predictive performance of existing models usually takes some time to recover from concept drift. To spe…

2019-01-07abs ↗pdf ↗

LOBDIF predicts limit order book events using a diffusion model.

problem Predicting the timing and type of events in a dynamic market system.
method LOBDIF uses a diffusion model to learn the complex time-event distribution in limit order book streams.
result LOBDIF significantly outperforms existing methods in real-world data experiments.

A new framework predicts hidden Markov model regimes online.

problem Efficiently identify hidden Markov model regimes in streaming data.
method Develops a predictive-first optimisation framework for streaming HMMs, approximating the full posterior predictive distribution.
result The method provides competitive prequential performance compared to Online EM and Sequential Monte Carlo.

Bayesian neural networks (BNN) can estimate the uncertainty in predictions, as opposed to non-Bayesian neural networks (NNs). However, BNNs have been far less widely used than non-Bayesian NNs in practice since they need iterative NN executions to predict a result for one data, and it gives rise to prohibitive computat…

2019-07-12abs ↗pdf ↗

Convolutional neural networks outperform other architectures in streaming time series classification.

problem Efficient deep learning models for real-time data streams.
method Asynchronous dual-pipeline deep learning framework for real-time predictions.
result Convolutional architectures achieve higher accuracy and efficiency in streaming time series classification.

Unified study of stateful replay for streaming learning, reducing forgetting by 2-3x.

problem Catastrophic forgetting in streaming generative and predictive learning.
method Unified analysis of stateful replay for autoencoding, forecasting, and classification tasks.
result Stateful replay reduces average forgetting by a factor of 2-3 on heterogeneous multi-task streams.

stream-learn is a Python library for analyzing data streams with various drift types.

problem Analyzing drifting and imbalanced data streams.
method Synthetic data stream generator, evaluation methodologies, and imbalanced binary classification metrics.
result Efficient implementation of classifiers for data stream analysis.

This paper describes HyperStream, a large-scale, flexible and robust software package, written in the Python language, for processing streaming data with workflow creation capabilities. HyperStream overcomes the limitations of other computational engines and provides high-level interfaces to execute complex nesting, fu…

2019-08-07abs ↗pdf ↗

New robustness certificates for streaming models with a sliding window.

problem Applying robustness certificates to streaming data with correlated inputs.
method Deriving robustness certificates for models using a sliding window over a sequence of potentially correlated inputs.
result Guarantees hold for the average model performance across the entire stream, independent of stream size.

Optimizes deep reinforcement learning for energy-efficient video streaming.

problem Minimizing energy consumption in video streaming over mobile networks.
method Integrates DDPG algorithm with partially known model to reduce signaling overhead and improve convergence speed.
result Proposed policy converges to optimal policy with improved convergence speed.

DDG-DA predicts future data distribution to adapt models for predictable concept drift.

problem Adapting models to streaming data with predictable concept drift.
method Train a predictor to forecast future data distribution, generate training samples, and train models on them.
result Significant improvement on multiple models in real-world tasks.

Modeling wildfire aerosols using satellite data to predict solar radiation reduction.

problem Accurately estimate and predict AOD propagation from wildfires using multi-source satellite data.
method Physics-informed statistical modeling integrating multi-source satellite data with an advection-diffusion equation.
result The proposed approach accurately predicts AOD propagation and demonstrates model interpretability.

In many machine learning applications, it is important to explain the predictions of a black-box classifier. For example, why does a deep neural network assign an image to a particular class? We cast interpretability of black-box classifiers as a combinatorial maximization problem and propose an efficient streaming alg…

2017-03-08abs ↗pdf ↗

Proposes a model for predicting events from event streams.

problem Predicting events like part replacement and failure in manufacturing and teleservice systems.
method Non-parametric prognostic framework using MGCP modulated Poisson processes.
result MGCP prior facilitates sharing of information and analysis of flexible event patterns.

Streaming adaptations of manifold learning based dimensionality reduction methods, such as Isomap, are based on the assumption that a small initial batch of observations is enough for exact learning of the manifold, while remaining streaming data instances can be cheaply mapped to this manifold. However, there are no t…

2018-04-24abs ↗pdf ↗

One of the current challenges in machine learning is how to deal with data coming at increasing rates in data streams. New predictive learning strategies are needed to cope with the high throughput data and concept drift. One of the data stream mining tasks where new learning strategies are needed is multi-target regre…

2019-03-29abs ↗pdf ↗

Nowadays with a growing number of online controlling systems in the organization and also a high demand of monitoring and stats facilities that uses data streams to log and control their subsystems, data stream mining becomes more and more vital. Hoeffding Trees (also called Very Fast Decision Trees a.k.a. VFDT) as a B…

2019-02-10abs ↗pdf ↗

Proposes DTS framework to predict CTR by tracking user interest evolution over time.

problem Predicting CTR by ignoring dynamic user interest changes over time.
method Integrates time information using ODEs in a neural network to model interest evolution.
result Achieves superior CTR prediction performance compared to existing methods.

Anomalies in time-series data give essential and often actionable information in many applications. In this paper we consider a model-free anomaly detection method for univariate time-series which adapts to non-stationarity in the data stream and provides probabilistic abnormality scores based on the conformal predicti…

2017-06-11abs ↗pdf ↗

LINTEL improves INTEL's time series prediction by optimizing computation and accuracy.

problem Online prediction of time series with regime switching and outliers.
method Gaussian process-based approach with exact filtering distribution and constant-time updates.
result LINTEL is over five times faster with better quality predictions.

As more data are produced each day, and faster, data stream mining is growing in importance, making clear the need for algorithms able to fast process these data. Data stream mining algorithms are meant to be solutions to extract knowledge online, specially tailored from continuous data problem. Many of the current alg…

2019-07-16abs ↗pdf ↗

We show that fundamental learning tasks, such as finding an approximate linear separator or linear regression, require memory at least \emph{quadratic} in the dimension, in a natural streaming setting. This implies that such problems cannot be solved (at least in this setting) by scalable memory-efficient streaming alg…

2019-02-09abs ↗pdf ↗

A federated model predicts failures using multi-stream incomplete data.

problem Insufficient data for reliable prognostic models in multi-stream applications.
method Federated data fusion, multivariate functional principal component analysis, (log)-location-scale regression model, federated algorithm.
result Performance is as good as classic non-federated models and better than individual models.

CURIE uses cellular automata to detect concept drift in data streams.

problem Detecting changes in data distribution (concept drift) in data streams.
method CURIE represents data stream distribution in a cellular automata grid and uses its neighborhood rule to detect changes.
result CURIE, when hybridized with base learners, performs competitively in detection metrics and classification accuracy.

Predicting flood for any location at times of extreme storms is a longstanding problem that has utmost importance in emergency management. Conventional methods that aim to predict water levels in streams use advanced hydrological models still lack of giving accurate forecasts everywhere. This study aims to explore arti…

2019-02-06abs ↗pdf ↗

Learning with streaming data has attracted much attention during the past few years. Though most studies consider data stream with fixed features, in real practice the features may be evolvable. For example, features of data gathered by limited-lifespan sensors will change when these sensors are substituted by new ones…

2017-06-16abs ↗pdf ↗

New algorithm learns and unlearns from streaming data efficiently.

problem Continuous learning and unlearning from production data streams.
method Translated batch unlearning techniques to online setting using regret, sample complexity, and deletion capacity.
result Achieved logarithmic regret bound of O(lnT)\mathcal{O}(\ln{T}) for online unlearning.