Neural process model improves real-time condition monitoring signal prediction.
problem Real-time adaptation for complex condition monitoring signals.
method Label-aware neural processes encoding and reconstruction.
result Advantages in real-time adaptation, enhanced signal prediction with uncertainty quantification, and joint prediction for labels and signals.
Conformal prediction improves signal detection accuracy in railway images.
problem Improving the reliability of machine learning models for railway signal detection.
method Applying conformal prediction to a novel dataset of train operator perspective images.
result The approach enhances the reliability of machine learning models for detecting railway signals.
Recursive prediction of graph signals with new nodes added.
problem Predicting graph signals with new nodes added over time.
method Recursive prediction of graph signals using incoming nodes.
result Recursive method results in good prediction performance close to full graph knowledge.
Machine learning predicts signaling peptides from protein star graphs.
problem Predicting signaling activity of proteins from molecular structure.
method Protein star graphs, S2SNet topological indices, Machine Learning (SVM-RFE, Laplacian kernel).
result Best model predicts 98.0% signaling pathways with AUROC 0.961.
PHASE predicts surgical complications from physiological signals.
problem Predicting adverse surgical outcomes from physiological signals.
method Self-supervised transfer learning for physiological signals.
result PHASE outperforms other approaches in predicting five surgical complications.
Optimal trading strategy adapts to signals in markets with price impact.
problem Optimal liquidation in markets with linear price impact and predictive signals.
method Formulated as a stochastic control problem, solved using probabilistic and convex analytic techniques.
result Explicit solution for optimal trading strategy in terms of SDEs.
Proposes a federated learning approach for RUL prediction from nonparametric degradation and failure signals.
problem Cost-effective RUL prediction from limited, non-shared CM signals with unknown parametric forms.
method Joint modeling of nonlinear degradation signals and failure events using federated learning.
result Superior RUL prediction compared to alternatives, validated through simulations and real data.
Unified framework linking firm signals and cross-asset spillovers for SDF estimation.
problem Estimating SDF with cross-asset spillovers and firm-level predictive signals.
method Maximizing Sharpe ratio to jointly estimate signals and spillovers, yielding interpretable SDF.
result SDF consistently outperforms benchmarks across various investment universes and market states.
The paper uses conformal prediction to detect railway signals with confidence.
problem Deploying deep learning models in certified systems requires accurate uncertainty estimates.
method The paper uses conformal prediction and risk control to detect railway signals.
result The conformal prediction framework provides reliable and trustworthy uncertainty estimates for model performance.
EMI uses predictive signals to guide exploration in sparse reward settings.
problem Challenges of reinforcement learning with sparse reward signals.
method Constructs embedding representations of states and actions for forward prediction in the representation space.
result Competitive results on challenging tasks with continuous control and discrete actions.
Deep neural networks predict walking, biking, and driving from Wi-Fi signals.
problem Predicting human mobility modes using Wi-Fi signals.
method Deployed Wi-Fi sensors at four locations, developed and tested multiple classifiers (MLP, Decision Tree, Bagged Decision Tree, Random Forest).
result Multilayer Perceptron achieved 86.52% correct predictions of mobility modes.
Performance analysis, from the external point of view of a client who would only have access to returns and holdings of a fund, evolved towards exact attribution made in the context of portfolio optimisation, which is the internal point of view of a manager controlling all the parameters of this optimisation. Attributi…
Study predicts hearing recovery in MD patients using TEOAE signals.
problem Predicting hearing recovery in MD patients during acute episodes.
method Applied machine learning to TEOAE signals from MD patients, using SVM for classification.
result Baseline TEOAE parameters can predict hearing recovery in MD patients.
Neural network predicts falls in elderly people up to 10 minutes in advance.
problem Falls prevention in elderly people, especially in aging societies.
method Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU) based neural networks model using heart rate and mean blood pressure signals.
result Predicted syncope occurrence approximately 10 minutes before manual markers.
Study proposes a time-aware model to predict user conversion intent.
problem Weak predictive signals from users not suitable for conversion prediction.
method Time-aware approach to model user activities and capture conversion intent signals.
result Approach outperforms other models on real-world datasets.
A new graph generation model uses Mallat's scattering transform.
problem Unclear mathematical properties and difficulty in training good generative models for graphs.
method Proposes a graph generation model using a Gaussianized graph scattering transform.
result Demonstrates state-of-the-art performance in link prediction and graph/signal generation.
Predicting the health of components in complex dynamic systems such as an automobile poses numerous challenges. The primary aim of such predictive systems is to use the high-dimensional data acquired from different sensors and predict the state-of-health of a particular component, e.g., brake pad. The classical approac…
The study predicts acute hypotensive episodes using unsupervised learning and hashing.
problem Early detection of acute hypotensive episodes in ICU.
method Unsupervised representation learning and stratified locality sensitive hashing applied to multivariate time-series data.
result The method accurately predicts upcoming acute hypotensive episodes.
This paper proposes a real-time signal plan recommendation system for traffic incidents.
problem Limited effectiveness of traffic incident management due to late response and workload.
method Decomposes recommendation task into real-time traffic prediction and plan association, learning from historical data and metric learning.
result Precision score of 96.75% and recall of 87.5% on testing plan, with 22.5 minutes lead time ahead of Waze alerts.
Machine learning detects foreign stock market signals for U.S. companies.
problem Detecting value-relevant foreign information for U.S. companies.
method Training over 100,000 models to capture stock-specific relationships.
result Foreign signals predict U.S. stock returns, especially in emerging markets.
System guides freehand obstetric ultrasound probe movements.
problem Reducing operator expertise for standard plane acquisition.
method Artificial neural network trained on real scans.
result 88.8% accuracy for goal prediction, 90.9% for action prediction.
Prediction markets can shape political behavior through persistent signals, not just forecast accuracy.
problem The role of prediction markets beyond forecasting.
method Transaction-level evidence from the 2024 U.S. presidential election, Signal Credibility Index (SCI).
result Price signals in prediction markets are more influential due to persistence, breadth of trader types, and cross-platform consensus.
Early hospital mortality prediction is critical as intensivists strive to make efficient medical decisions about the severely ill patients staying in intensive care units. As a result, various methods have been developed to address this problem based on clinical records. However, some of the laboratory test results are…
Estimates signals from a continuous dictionary with sparse mixtures using optimization.
problem Estimating signals from a continuous dictionary with unknown mixtures and noise.
method Formulates a regularized optimization problem with data fidelity and (ℓ1,Lp)-penalty. result High probability bounds on prediction error for the Group-Nonlinear-Lasso solution.
Retraining stabilizes model influence on data.
problem Performativity in predictive models leads to feedback loops.
method Developed the stable signal principle to address retraining dynamics.
result Repeated risk minimization converges geometrically to stable signal direction.
The paper improves prediction and testing for signals from a linear combination of translated features with Gaussian noise.
problem Predicting and testing signals from a linear combination of translated features with varying scale parameter and Gaussian noise.
method Extends previous off-the-grid prediction results, improves minimal distance between features, proposes a goodness-of-fit test with upper bounds.
result Upper bounds on the minimax separation rate match those for the high-dimensional linear model, matching the lower bound.
Paper fine-tunes a language model to predict long-term stock buy signals.
problem Predicting long-term stock price movements with narrative text.
method Fine-tuning a small language model on 10-K reports for buy/sell decisions.
result Buy signals generated from 10-K text are most precise at 6 and 9 months, providing 4.8-9% improvement over random selection.
Model predicts uncertainty for ECG signals to detect atypical recordings.
problem Detecting atypical ECG recordings with improved algorithm quality.
method Predicts parameters of the beta distribution over class probabilities.
result Significantly improves algorithm quality on confident predictions.
Every organism in an environment, whether biological, robotic or virtual, must be able to predict certain aspects of its environment in order to survive or perform whatever task is intended. It needs a model that is capable of estimating the consequences of possible actions, so that planning, control, and decision-maki…
Several experimental studies claim to be able to predict the outcome of simple decisions from brain signals measured before subjects are aware of their decision. Often, these studies use multivariate pattern recognition methods with the underlying assumption that the ability to classify the brain signal is equivalent t…
This paper proposes a stochastic model using the concept of Markov chains for the inter-state transitions of the millisecond order quasi-stable phase synchronized patterns or synchrostates, found in multi-channel Electroencephalogram (EEG) signals. First and second order transition probability matrices are estimated fo…
The paper explains stock market predictability through a model of heterogeneous beliefs.
problem Understanding and predicting stock market behavior based on news and investor beliefs.
method A discrete-time model of heterogeneous beliefs where some agents receive noisy signals about asset fundamentals.
result Momentum and reversal in stock prices arise from investors' incorrect beliefs about signal accuracy and fundamental values.
Spatio-temporal RBF neural networks improve chaotic time series prediction.
problem Predicting chaotic time series due to their dynamic nature.
method Proposes an spatio-temporal extension of RBF neural networks.
result Spatio-temporal RBF outperforms standard RBF in chaotic time series prediction.
Predictive topic models retain only relevant terms for better prediction and topic coherence.
problem Misspecification of topic models leads to poor prediction and topic coherence.
method Uses supervisory signal to select vocabulary terms improving prediction performance.
result Prediction-focused topic models learn more coherent topics while maintaining competitive predictions.
Graph-based framework predicts ADR signals from clinical data.
problem Detecting ADRs in post-market surveillance using clinical data.
method Developed a Drug-disease graph with Graph Neural Network for ADR signal prediction.
result Improved AUROC and AUPRC performance (0.795 and 0.775) compared to other algorithms.
Research compares ML and Time Series methods for generating trading signals.
problem Efficiency of on-line learning Algorithms in generating trading signals.
method Used technical indicators and ensemble of Random Forests, also Kalman Filter.
result Kalman Filter outperformed Random Forests in on-line learning predictions of stock prices.
Improved preterm prediction using synthetic EHG signals.
problem Prediction bias towards term labor in preterm EHG data.
method Quantifying synthetic samples' effect, optimizing feature weights, and combining activation functions.
result Substantial improvement in prediction precision.
Unified model for irregular time series with flexible representations.
problem Missing values, irregularly collected samples, and multi-resolution signals in multivariate time series data.
method Multi-resolution Flexible Irregular Time series Network (Multi-FIT) using FIT networks and FIT-V.
result Improves predictive tasks, including forecasting patient survival.
Improved language identification accuracy through signal combination methods.
problem Enhancing speech recognition accuracy across multiple languages.
method Combining low-level acoustic signals with language-specific recognizer signals using lattice-based ensemble models and deep neural networks.
result Deep neural network model outperforms lattice-based ensemble model, reducing error rate from 5.5% to 4.3%.
Optimal trading and liquidation strategies with signals and regulatory constraints.
problem Optimal trading and liquidation in models with price predictions and regulatory limits.
method Almgren-Chriss model with general signals, target zone models, and lookback option analysis.
result Explicit formulas for optimal liquidation rates in Bachelier and Black-Scholes dynamics.
Transformer model predicts train axle vibrations for safer maintenance.
problem Prevent mechanical failures in railway axles.
method Integrates Deep Autoregressive solution with spectral methods and observation models.
result Transformer model (ShaftFormer) improves predictive maintenance for railway axles.
Improved crude oil price forecasting using multi-dimensional LLM sentiment signals.
problem Challenges in predicting crude oil prices due to unstructured news.
method Extracted five sentiment dimensions from GPT-4o, Llama 3.2-3b, and FinBERT models on energy-sector news articles.
result Combining GPT-4o and FinBERT yields the best predictive performance for weekly WTI crude oil futures returns.
New framework models graph signals as distribution-valued signals in Wasserstein space.
problem Limitations of classical vector-based GSP, including synchronous observations and uncertainty.
method Introduces graph distribution-valued signals (GDSs) in the Wasserstein space.
result GDSs naturally encode uncertainty and stochasticity, generalizing traditional graph signals.
This paper uses social signals to improve cryptocurrency price forecasting.
problem Improving cryptocurrency price forecasting using social signals.
method LSTMs trained on historical price data and social data from GitHub and Reddit.
result Social signals reduce error in forecasting cryptocurrency prices, especially for Bitcoin.
In this article, we propose an approach that can make use of not only labeled EEG signals but also the unlabeled ones which is more accessible. We also suggest the use of data fusion to further improve the seizure prediction accuracy. Data fusion in our vision includes EEG signals, cardiogram signals, body temperature …
Private equity deals predict public market returns with up to 70% accuracy.
problem Predicting public market behavior from private equity transactions.
method Logit model using detailed analysis of private equity diligence process.
result Model predicts public market returns with up to 70% accuracy in specific sectors.
Proposes a method to boost deep reinforcement learning with sparse rewards.
problem Challenges in learning complex behaviors with long horizons and sparse rewards.
method Predictive coding for reward shaping.
result Achieves better learning by providing reward signals that understand environment dynamics and emphasize useful features.
In this article, we improve extreme learning machines for regression tasks using a graph signal processing based regularization. We assume that the target signal for prediction or regression is a graph signal. With this assumption, we use the regularization to enforce that the output of an extreme learning machine is s…