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48 results for predictive parity

This paper tackles fair Bayes-optimal classifiers under predictive parity, proving their limitations and proposing a new algorithm.

problem Ensuring fair Bayes-optimal classifiers under predictive parity, especially when group performance levels vary widely.
method Proving the limitations of fair Bayes-optimal classifiers under predictive parity and proposing a new adaptive thresholding algorithm, FairBayes-DPP.
result Fair Bayes-optimal classifiers under predictive parity may not hold if group performance levels vary widely, leading to within-group unfairness.

New framework tackles fairness in link prediction beyond demographic parity.

problem Systemic biases in link prediction can exacerbate societal inequalities.
method Formalizes limitations of existing fairness evaluations and proposes a new framework.
result Proposes a lightweight post-processing method combined with decoupled link predictors.

We mathematically compare four competing definitions of group-level nondiscrimination: demographic parity, equalized odds, predictive parity, and calibration. Using the theoretical framework of Friedler et al., we study the properties of each definition under various worldviews, which are assumptions about how, if at a…

2018-08-26abs ↗pdf ↗

New model optimizes portfolios over multiple periods using predictive control.

problem Optimizing multi-period portfolios with risk and variance objectives.
method Model Predictive Control with Mean-Variance and Risk Parity.
result 30x faster and more robust solutions compared to single period models.

Extends Demographic Parity for fairer wage predictions with expert knowledge.

problem Inadequate fairness metrics limit user domain knowledge and ignore intersectional fairness.
method Develops a parametric method to incorporate expert knowledge in fair predictions.
result Offers a robust solution for real-life applications with limited data and spending constraints.

We relax demographic parity in regression by enforcing parity at quantile levels and score thresholds.

problem Enforcing full distributional fairness in regression can lead to substantial accuracy loss.
method Introduce (\ell, Z)-fair predictor, derive closed-form solutions, and develop post-processing algorithm.
result The risk gap to the continuous optimum vanishes as the grid is refined, and we enable targeted fairness corrections.

New welfare-based fairness notions align with existing error rate balance and predictive parity.

problem Aligning fairness notions with welfare-based criteria.
method Discussing and establishing conditions for envy freeness and prejudice freeness.
result Envy freeness and prejudice freeness are equivalent to error rate balance and predictive parity.

A number of machine learning (ML) methods have been proposed recently to maximize model predictive accuracy while enforcing notions of group parity or fairness across sub-populations. We propose a desirable property for these procedures, slack-consistency: For any individual, the predictions of the model should be mono…

2019-10-04abs ↗pdf ↗

A non-trivial predictor satisfies demographic parity and equalizes group risks in regression.

problem Achieving fairness in regression models while maintaining equal risks across groups.
method Provided an explicit example of a non-constant predictor satisfying Demographic Parity and Equal Group-Wise Risks.
result First explicit construction of a non-constant predictor satisfying both fairness notions.

The paper tackles fair set-valued classification under demographic parity constraints.

problem Set-valued classification can amplify discriminatory bias, especially in multiclass settings.
method Proposes two strategies: an oracle-based method and a proxy method, both aiming to satisfy demographic parity and expected size constraints.
result Established distribution-free convergence rates and excess-risk bounds for both methods.

Paper creates fair synthetic data ensuring equal predictions across sensitive attributes.

problem Ensuring fair predictions across sensitive attributes in synthetic data.
method Equalizing target probability distributions across sensitive attributes in synthetic data generation.
result Synthetic data provides strong fair predictions, equal across all thresholds.

New methods target conditional demographic parity using optimal transport distances.

problem Auditing and enforcing conditional demographic parity (CDP) in models with complex conditioning variables.
method Developed novel measures of conditional demographic disparity (CDD) based on optimal transport distances and regularization-based approaches.
result Validated methods airbit{} and airlp{} effectively target CDP in real-world datasets with continuous model outputs.

We introduce the 2-colour parity. It is a theory of parity for a large class of virtual links, defined using the interaction between orientations of the link components and a certain type of colouring. The 2-colour parity is an extension of the Gaussian parity, to which it reduces on virtual knots. We show that the 2-c…

2019-01-22abs ↗pdf ↗

In the present paper, we develop the parity theory invented in \cite{ManSb}; we construct new parities for two-component (virtual and free) links. New parities significantly depend on geometrical properties of diagrams; in particular, they are mutation-sensitive. New parities can be used practically in all problems, wh…

2015-08-23abs ↗pdf ↗

An expanding literature articulates the view that Taylor rules are helpful in predicting exchange rates. In a changing world however, Taylor rule parameters may be subject to structural instabilities, for example during the Global Financial Crisis. This paper forecasts exchange rates using such Taylor rules with Time V…

2014-03-03abs ↗pdf ↗

In \cite {FrKn,Sbornik} it was shown that in some knot theories the crucial role is played by {\em parity}, i.e.\ a function on crossings valued in {0,1}\{0,1\} and behaving nicely with respect to Reidemeister moves. Any parity allows one to construct functorial mappings from knots to knots, to refine many invariants and …

2011-02-24abs ↗pdf ↗

Unified framework for fair regression in aware and unaware settings.

problem Lack of principled methods for fair regression in unawareness settings.
method Formulated as an optimal transport problem, unifying aware and unaware settings.
result Characterizes optimal prediction functions via optimal transport maps under different penalties.

Decomposes bias in linear models under demographic parity constraints.

problem Understanding and quantifying bias in linear models under fairness constraints.
method Post-processing framework to decompose bias into direct and indirect components.
result Analytical characterization of how demographic parity reshapes model coefficients.

We use crossing parity to construct a generalization of biquandles for virtual knots which we call Parity Biquandles. These structures include all biquandles as a standard example referred to as the even parity biquandle. Additionally, we find all Parity Biquandles arising from the Alexander Biquandle and Quaternionic …

2011-03-15abs ↗pdf ↗

This research tackles group fairness in predictive process monitoring by ensuring predictions are independent of sensitive group membership.

problem Predictive models using biased historical data can perpetuate unfair behavior in new cases.
method Investigates independence through metrics like ΔDP and a composite loss function balancing predictive performance and fairness.
result Proposes and validates a composite loss function for training models that balance fairness and performance.

Diversified risk parity strategies outperform equally-weighted portfolios in various asset universes.

problem Finding optimal portfolio allocations that balance risk and reward.
method Integrates various reward-risk measures and generic allocation rules into diversified risk parity.
result Diversified reward-risk parity strategies exhibit higher average returns, Sharpe ratios, and Calmar ratios compared to equally-weighted risk portfolios.

Functorial maps and weak parities are equivalent descriptions of rules of substitution virtual crossings for classical in diagrams of a knot in a way compatible with Reidemeister moves. We introduce the notion of maximal weak parity and describe it for knots in a given closed oriented surface. This weak parity defines …

2012-11-02abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper solves k-sparse parity problem with sign SGD, matching SQ lower bound.

problem Solving k-sparse parity problems efficiently.
method Sign stochastic gradient descent on neural networks.
result Matches Statistical Query lower bound for solving k-sparse parity problems.

The paper develops a method to achieve fairness in predictions using Wasserstein barycenters.

problem Learning a fair real-valued function independent of sensitive attributes.
method Establishing a connection between fair regression and optimal transport theory, deriving a close form expression for the optimal fair predictor as the Wasserstein barycenter of sensitive groups.
result The optimal fair predictor's distribution is the Wasserstein barycenter of sensitive groups' distributions, offering an intuitive interpretation and a simple post-processing algorithm.

In [3] we constructed the parity-biquandle bracket valued in {\em pictures} (linear combinations of 44-valent graphs). We gave no example of classical links such that the parity-biquandle bracket of which is not trivial. In the present paper we slightly change the notation of the parity-biquandle bracket and give exam…

2019-11-17abs ↗pdf ↗

Study shows physical drift affects put-call parity enforcement, not just option payoffs.

problem Inconsistency between quoted put-call parity and actual market behavior.
method Examined SPX and RUT index options, used drift-preserving GBM term to improve fit.
result Physical drift enters the enforcement of risk-neutral parity, not just option payoffs.

The paper explores the tradeoffs between fairness measures in machine learning.

problem The challenge of achieving all three fairness notions simultaneously in machine learning models.
method The approach uses partial information decomposition (PID) to analyze the relationships between fairness measures.
result Identifies the regions where fairness measures overlap and disagree, revealing potential tradeoffs.

Parity mappings from the chords of a Gauss diagram to the integers is defined. The parity of the chords is used to construct families of invariants of Gauss diagrams and virtual knots. One family consists of degree nn Vassiliev invariants.

2012-03-13abs ↗pdf ↗

We define counting and cocycle enhancement invariants of virtual knots using parity biquandles. These invariants are determined by pairs consisting of a biquandle 2-cocycle φ^0 and a map φ^1 with certain compatibility conditions leading to one-variable or two-variable polynomial invariants of virtual knots. We provide …

2015-07-20abs ↗pdf ↗

Transformers solve parity problems efficiently with step-by-step reasoning.

problem Training transformers to solve complex, recursive problems like parity.
method Training a one-layer transformer to solve kk-parity, incorporating intermediate parities into the loss function, and using teacher forcing or augmented data.
result Transformers can learn parity in one gradient update with intermediate supervision or self-consistency checks.

2-dimensional knots and links are studied in the article. The notion of parity is introduced via techniques similar to the ones used by the second named author in 1-dimensional case. By using parity new invariants are constructed and known invariants are refined.

2016-06-22abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper explores the tradeoff between fairness and accuracy in regression models.

problem Characterizing the tradeoff between fairness and accuracy in regression models.
method Provided a lower bound on the error of any fair regressor and extended the result to joint error using Wasserstein distance.
result Lower bounds on the error of fair regressors and their connection to Wasserstein distance.

The paper discovers patterns in Maass forms' coefficients related to Fricke signs.

problem Identifying Fricke signs in Maass forms with unknown signs.
method Averaging Fourier coefficients, Linear Discriminant Analysis (LDA), neural networks.
result 96% accuracy in predicting Fricke signs for forms with even parity, 94% for odd parity.

Reinforcement learning after next-token prediction aids in learning from diverse sequence lengths.

problem Learning from sequences of varying lengths and complexity.
method Introducing a framework to study reinforcement learning with autoregressive transformers, focusing on next-token prediction and mixture distributions of short and long sequences.
result Reinforcement learning after next-token prediction enables autoregressive transformers to generalize from long sequences, even when they are rare.