Interpretability of ML models improves healthcare decisions.
problem Ensuring machine learning models are understandable for healthcare users.
method Classifying interpretability into local and global approaches, and model-specific vs. model-agnostic methods.
result Examples of practical interpretability in healthcare, including prediction and treatment optimization.
Interpretable ML models predict recidivism as well as non-interpretable methods and are more fair.
problem Improving recidivism prediction models for fairness and interpretability.
method Trained interpretable ML models on two recidivism datasets, compared to existing methods, and analyzed fairness.
result Interpretable ML models can predict recidivism as well as non-interpretable methods and are more fair.
Transforms ensemble predictions to maintain interpretability.
problem Loss of interpretability in deep ensembles.
method Proposes transformation ensembles that aggregate predictions while preserving interpretability.
result Transformation ensembles yield better predictions than individual models and maintain interpretability.
Interpretable machine learning has become a strong competitor for traditional black-box models. However, the possible loss of the predictive performance for gaining interpretability is often inevitable, putting practitioners in a dilemma of choosing between high accuracy (black-box models) and interpretability (interpr…
Paper proposes a new method to evaluate AI model interpretability in bond default prediction.
problem Lack of standardized method to assess inherent interpretability of AI models.
method Uses LIME and SHAP to assess feature contributions in bond default prediction.
result Consistent results with intuitive understanding of model interpretability.
Interpretable companion model for black-box classifiers.
problem Dilemma between interpretable and black-box models.
method Trains a companion model from data and black-box model predictions, optimizing a combination of accuracy and complexity.
result Companion model provides interpretable predictions with a slight accuracy loss for user choice.
New method learns to encode predictions within interpretations, improving evaluation.
problem Need for interpretable machine learning, but existing methods are slow or lack fidelity.
method Amortized explanation methods that learn a global selector model optimizing fidelity of interpretations.
result Predictions can be encoded within interpretations, detected by EVAL-X.
Locally adaptive interpretable regression improves linear regression's predictability.
problem Linear regression's predictability is limited; it lacks adaptability.
method Locally adaptive interpretable regression (LoAIR) uses neural networks to predict percentile of a Gaussian distribution for regression coefficients.
result LoAIR achieves comparable or better predictive performance than state-of-the-art baselines.
KACDP model improves credit default prediction with enhanced interpretability.
problem Insufficient interpretability and limited performance in credit default prediction.
method Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks (KANs) for handling complex multi-dimensional data.
result KACDP model outperforms mainstream models in performance metrics.
Interprets feature interactions in ad-click prediction models.
problem Improving interpretability of black-box recommender systems.
method Interprets feature interactions from a source model and encodes them in a target model.
result Interpretations significantly outperform existing recommender models.
Meta-ANOVA simplifies complex models for better interpretability.
problem Complex models are hard to interpret, limiting their use in fields needing accountability.
method Transforms black-box models into interpretable ANOVA models by screening unnecessary interactions.
result Meta-ANOVA provides an interpretable model for any prediction model, proving asymptotic consistency.
Understanding black-box machine learning models is crucial for their widespread adoption. Learning globally interpretable models is one approach, but achieving high performance with them is challenging. An alternative approach is to explain individual predictions using locally interpretable models. For locally interpre…
A framework learns interpretable models with minimal accuracy loss.
problem Tackles interpretability in deep learning models.
method Jointly learns a predictive model and its interpretation model with minimal loss of accuracy.
result Generates interpretable models with minimal loss of accuracy.
CrystalCandle creates user-friendly explanations for machine learning models.
problem Low trust in predictive models due to lack of interpretability.
method End-to-end pipeline for model interpretation, including Model Importer, Interpreter, Narrative Generator, and Exporter.
result CrystalCandle leads to higher adoption rates and improved downstream metrics.
New model improves prediction accuracy and interpretability for network-connected data.
problem Reduced effective sample size and poor prediction performance in network-connected data.
method Network-assisted Random Forest+ (RF+) with interpretable feature importance measures.
result Highly competitive prediction accuracy and interpretable feature importance.
AWD distills neural network info into interpretable wavelets.
problem Imbalanced interpretability and efficiency in deep learning models.
method Adaptive wavelet distillation (AWD) penalizes neural network attributions in wavelet domain.
result AWD yields a concise, efficient, and interpretable model.
Local surrogate model improves time series forecasts and provides interpretable explanations.
problem Improving time series forecasting accuracy while maintaining interpretability.
method A local surrogate model is used to correct the base model's predictions, making the corrections interpretable by re-fitting the base model to the error-predicted data.
result The method can discover and explain underlying patterns in the data, improving both accuracy and interpretability.
Develops methods for making deep learning models more interpretable by answering counterfactual questions.
problem Lack of interpretability in deep learning models, especially in high-stakes applications.
method Introduces causal interpretability, a framework for building models that are causally interpretable by design.
result Identifies a fundamental tradeoff between causal interpretability and predictive accuracy.
DyS model improves survival analysis accuracy and interpretability.
problem Accurate and interpretable survival analysis models for healthcare.
method Feature-sparse Generalized Additive Model combining feature selection and interpretable prediction.
result DyS model outperforms other survival analysis models in interpretability and accuracy.
We introduce a method, KL-LIME, for explaining predictions of Bayesian predictive models by projecting the information in the predictive distribution locally to a simpler, interpretable explanation model. The proposed approach combines the recent Local Interpretable Model-agnostic Explanations (LIME) method with ideas …
NGSLL combines DNN accuracy with linear model interpretability.
problem Combining high accuracy of DNNs with interpretability of linear models.
method Neural generators of sparse local linear models (NGSLL) using DNNs to approximate non-linear functions.
result Effective in real-world datasets, achieving high predictive performance and interpretability.
The paper examines how calibration affects the interpretability of ML models in diabetes screening.
problem Interpreting complex ML models in healthcare, especially in diabetes screening.
method Examined the impact of model calibration on interpretability using three visualization techniques.
result Calibrated models provide clearer cause-effect relationships in ML predictions.
Integrating causal machine learning with inherently interpretable models for decision support.
problem Providing causal insights and decision support through machine learning models.
method Proposing an approach that integrates causal machine learning with inherently interpretable models.
result The proposed approach achieves competitive performance in prediction and what-if analysis while offering transparency on the system structure, causal relationships among variables, and functional forms connecting them.
Deep neural networks (DNNs) are known as black-box models. In other words, it is difficult to interpret the internal state of the model. Improving the interpretability of DNNs is one of the hot research topics. However, at present, the definition of interpretability for DNNs is vague, and the question of what is a high…
FRED explains text model predictions by identifying key words and providing counterfactual examples.
problem Lack of interpretable methods for text models that are complex, lack foundations, and have unguaranteed performance.
method FRED identifies minimal influential word sets, assigns token importance, and generates counterfactual examples.
result FRED provides reliable and effective explanations for text model predictions.
NAMLSS models provide interpretable neural regression for location, scale, and shape.
problem Lack of interpretability in deep learning models for complex data distributions.
method Combines classical statistical methods with DNNs for distributional regression.
result Achieves visual interpretability and predictive power of deep learning models.
Proposes a score to compare rule-based algorithms' interpretability.
problem Lack of consensus on interpretability for predictive models.
method Defines a score with three terms: predictivity, stability, and simplicity, each quantified by simple formulas.
result Compares interpretability of rule-based and tree-based algorithms for regression and classification.
HRTPP improves TPP interpretability and accuracy in medical event modeling.
problem Lack of interpretability in TPPs for medical event sequences.
method Hybrid-Rule Temporal Point Processes (HRTPP) integrating temporal logic rules and numerical features.
result HRTPP outperforms state-of-the-art interpretable TPPs in predictive performance and clinical interpretability.
Proposes GPR with local explanation for feature interpretation.
problem Lack of feature interpretation in Gaussian process regression.
method Introduces a locally linear model to explain feature contributions in GPR predictions.
result Achieves comparable predictive performance to GPR and superior interpretability.
State of the art machine learning algorithms are highly optimized to provide the optimal prediction possible, naturally resulting in complex models. While these models often outperform simpler more interpretable models by order of magnitudes, in terms of understanding the way the model functions, we are often facing a …
Deep learning predicts ICU mortality with enhanced interpretability.
problem Improving mortality prediction accuracy and clinician trust in AI.
method Trained a deep learning model on MIMIC-III to interpret nursing notes.
result Model reaches ROC of 0.8629, outperforming SAPS-II.
Dockless bike sharing systems need effective bike flow prediction models.
problem Imbalanced and dynamic use of bikes leads to mandatory rebalancing operations.
method Divide urban area into regions, model spatio-temporal bike flows, extract traffic patterns, and predict bike flows.
result Interpretable bike flow prediction model provides valuable insights into bike flow analysis.
Interpretable survival analysis improves heart failure risk prediction.
problem Improving heart failure risk prediction using survival analysis.
method Survival stacking, ControlBurn, Explainable Boosting Machines.
result Achieves state-of-the-art performance and provides novel insights.
More and more AI services are provided through APIs on cloud where predictive models are hidden behind APIs. To build trust with users and reduce potential application risk, it is important to interpret how such predictive models hidden behind APIs make their decisions. The biggest challenge of interpreting such predic…
Simpler model outperforms deep learning for disease prediction.
problem Challenges of deep learning models in interpretability and feasibility.
method Developed a simpler tree-based model for EHR data.
result Improved performance over deep learning models while maintaining interpretability.
We interpret black box predictive models using causal attribution.
problem Interpreting models trained using machine learning in high-stakes applications.
method Estimate causal effects of model inputs on output using observational data.
result Effective interpretation of black box predictive models via causal attribution.
An important feature of successful supervised machine learning applications is to be able to explain the predictions given by the regression or classification model being used. However, most state-of-the-art models that have good predictive power lead to predictions that are hard to interpret. Thus, several model-agnos…
Machine-generated interpretations do not improve users' guessing accuracy in image classifiers.
problem Determining the usefulness of machine-generated explanations for deep neural networks.
method Human evaluation of crowd workers guessing incorrectly predicted labels with and without visual interpretations.
result Showing machine-generated visual interpretations decreased average guessing accuracy by about 10%.
A framework uses preprocessing to improve psychiatric questionnaire predictions while maintaining interpretability.
problem Weak predictive accuracy and limited interpretability of psychiatric questionnaires.
method Two-stage method: stable preprocessing followed by a linear mapping.
result REFINE outperforms other interpretable approaches in psychiatric and non-psychiatric prediction tasks.
Paper introduces a hybrid GPR model for more interpretable RUL prediction in aeroengine.
problem Challenges in interpreting and modeling uncertainty in RUL prediction models.
method Modified Gaussian Process Regression (GPR) with temporal feature extraction.
result Effective prediction of RUL intervals with transparent feature significance.
The paper addresses interpretability issues in EBM models by improving feature selection and reducing spurious interactions.
problem Interpretability issues in EBM models, especially spurious interactions and single feature dominance.
method Alternate Cross-feature selection, ensemble features, and model configuration alteration techniques.
result Our approach improves interpretability and predictive performance of EBM models, reducing spurious interactions and single feature dominance.
TRUST improves tree models' accuracy while maintaining interpretability.
problem Piecewise-constant regression trees lack in predictive accuracy compared to black-box models.
method Combines Random Forest accuracy with interpretability of shallow trees and sparsity of linear models, using LLMs for explanations.
result TRUST outperforms other interpretable models in predictive accuracy and matches Random Forest's accuracy.
Interpretation of a machine learning induced models is critical for feature engineering, debugging, and, arguably, compliance. Yet, best of breed machine learning models tend to be very complex. This paper presents a method for model interpretation which has the main benefit that the simple interpretations it provides …
The paper investigates interpretability techniques for deep learning models in medical data.
problem Understanding the logic behind predictions of black-box models in medical decision-making.
method Applied deep neural networks and random forests to a medical dataset. Used autoencoders and local interpretable models to provide insights.
result Local interpretable models and autoencoders provide meaningful insights into cancer predictions, identifying distinct and non-generalizable features.
Predictive models that are developed in a regulated industry or a regulated application, like determination of credit worthiness, must be interpretable and rational (e.g., meaningful improvements in basic credit behavior must result in improved credit worthiness scores). Machine Learning technologies provide very good …
Selective neural network improves credit risk prediction while maintaining interpretability.
problem Improving credit risk prediction accuracy while maintaining interpretability for financial regulators.
method Introducing a neural network with a selective option to distinguish between linear and non-linear datasets.
result For most datasets, logistic regression is sufficient and interpretable, while for specific data portions, a shallow neural network model provides better accuracy.
Study develops an interpretable model for early mortality prediction in elderly MODS patients.
problem High mortality risk in elderly patients with MODS, unsatisfactory current scoring systems.
method Used eXtreme Gradient Boosting with SHapley Additive exPlanations on MIMIC-III, eICU-CRD, and PLAGH-S datasets.
result Interpretable model outperforms baseline models and clinical scores in predicting hospital mortality.
Ploutos predicts stock movements with financial LLM, improving interpretability.
problem Combining textual and numerical data for stock prediction and lack of interpretability.
method Proposes Ploutos framework combining PloutosGen and PloutosGPT for interpretable predictions.
result Framework outperforms state-of-the-art methods in prediction accuracy and interpretability.