Research
On-device research index

arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

169,051 papers · 148 categories

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48 results for predictive healthcare

Study improves conformal prediction for EEG classification in healthcare, enhancing coverage.

problem Uncertainty quantification in clinical predictions, especially in distribution-shifted settings.
method Personalized calibration strategies to improve coverage of prediction sets.
result Coverage improved by over 20 percentage points with comparable prediction set sizes.

Interpretability of ML models improves healthcare decisions.

problem Ensuring machine learning models are understandable for healthcare users.
method Classifying interpretability into local and global approaches, and model-specific vs. model-agnostic methods.
result Examples of practical interpretability in healthcare, including prediction and treatment optimization.

LMM predicts healthcare costs and risks with improved accuracy.

problem Wasteful healthcare spending and inefficiencies in risk prediction.
method Generative pre-trained transformer trained on patient event sequences.
result Improves cost prediction by 14.1% and chronic conditions prediction by 1.9%.

Unified framework for imputation and prediction in healthcare time series.

problem Time misalignment and data sparsity in healthcare time series.
method MAGIC (Multi-tAsk Gaussian Process for Imputation and Classification) using hierarchical multi-task Gaussian process and functional logistic regression.
result Superior predictive accuracy compared to existing methods in two healthcare applications.

Study improves healthcare time series imputation by considering structured missingness.

problem Structured missingness in clinical data impacts time series imputation models.
method Analysis of different masking strategies on imputation methods using PhysioNet Challenge 2012 dataset.
result Masking choices significantly affect imputation accuracy and clinical prediction.

Hybrid Bayesian-conformal framework improves uncertainty quantification in healthcare predictions.

problem Jointly satisfying distribution-free coverage guarantees and risk-adaptive precision in clinical decision-making.
method Integrates Bayesian hierarchical random forests with group-aware conformal calibration, using posterior uncertainties to weight conformity scores.
result Achieves target coverage (94.3% vs 95% target) with adaptive precision, 21% narrower intervals for low-uncertainty cases.

ConCare personalizes healthcare predictions by capturing EMR features.

problem Predicting patient outcomes from EMR data with personalization.
method Captures personal characteristics and time-aware distribution in EMR data.
result Improves healthcare prediction accuracy through personalized health context.

Isthmus platform simplifies ML/AI integration in healthcare.

problem Challenges in deploying ML models in healthcare due to data quality, regulatory, and security issues.
method Turnkey, cloud-based platform addressing data quality, clinical relevance, and regulatory compliance.
result Reduces time to market for operationalizing ML/AI in healthcare.

Study highlights robustness issues in healthcare diagnostic models due to distribution shifts.

problem Robustness of diagnostic models in healthcare is compromised by distribution shifts.
method Theoretical analysis and simulation studies to understand and mitigate shortcuts learned by models.
result Ignoring covariates or using invariant learning approaches leads to non-robust predictors.

Research predicts healthcare index movements using historical OHLC data.

problem Predicting the directional movement of healthcare indices based on historical data.
method Supervised classification task with a one-step-ahead rolling window, using a diverse feature set including OHLC ratios.
result Robust predictive performance with accuracy exceeding 0.8 and Matthews correlation coefficients above 0.6, highlighting the importance of nowcasting features.

This paper develops a framework for predicting patient workload across multiple VA facilities.

problem Handling demand uncertainty and predicting workload in healthcare facilities, especially chronic disease treatment.
method Developed a heuristic clustering algorithm for single task learning and a multi-task learning approach.
result Demonstrated improved accuracy in workload prediction for patients with similar conditions across multiple facilities.

DMIDAS improves long-term forecasting accuracy in healthcare and electricity data.

problem Challenging long-term forecasting accuracy and computational complexity.
method Smoothness regularization and mixed data sampling techniques integrated into NBEATS architecture.
result Improves prediction accuracy by 5% on long forecasting horizons (1000 timestamps) compared to state-of-the-art models.

A statistical description and model of individual healthcare expenditures in the US has been developed for measuring value in healthcare. We find evidence that healthcare expenditures are quantifiable as an infusion-diffusion process, which can be thought of intuitively as a steady change in the intensity of treatment …

2008-06-14abs ↗pdf ↗

Super learner with Huber loss improves cost prediction and causal effect estimation in healthcare expenditure data.

problem Challenges in modeling healthcare expenditure distributions with standard super learning methods.
method Proposes a super learner using Huber loss, a robust loss function that down-weights outliers.
result Demonstrates appreciable finite-sample gains in cost prediction and causal effect estimation.

The study uncovers invariant features in healthcare models that traditional methods overlook.

problem Discovering overlooked invariant features in healthcare models.
method Empirical learning of transformations minimizing Wasserstein distance and adding similarity regularization.
result LSTM models and BioBERT reveal invariant features not previously recognized.

Bayesian deep learning predicts uncertainty in EHRs for better healthcare decisions.

problem Lack of interpretability and trustworthiness in deep learning models for EHRs.
method Proposes a Bayesian Neural Network (BNN) model to predict uncertainty in EHRs.
result High uncertainty instances harm model performance; distributions reveal patients for timely intervention.

Somed2Vec learns medical concept embeddings from SNOMED-CT, improving healthcare analytics.

problem Lack of effective vector representations for medical concepts in healthcare analytics.
method Graph-based representation learning using random walks and Poincaré embeddings on SNOMED-CT.
result Concept embeddings from SNOMED-CT significantly outperform state-of-the-art embeddings.

New method sparsifies hybrid neural ODEs for better performance and stability.

problem Excessive latent states and interactions from mechanistic models lead to training inefficiency and over-fitting.
method Automatic state selection and structure optimization combining domain-informed graph modifications with data-driven regularization.
result Improved predictive performance and robustness with desired sparsity.

New method improves prediction accuracy for low-risk patients in healthcare.

problem Machine learning models often focus on high-risk patients, ignoring low-risk ones.
method Proposed a new log-likelihood formulation to minimize proportional rate error.
result Improved prediction accuracy for low-risk patients in EHR data.

Study improves mortality prediction in hospital patients using comprehensive feature engineering.

problem Accurate prediction of all-cause in-hospital mortality in healthcare.
method Comprehensive feature engineering approach using vital signs, laboratory results, and demographic data.
result Random Forest model achieved highest performance with AUC of 0.94, significantly outperforming other models.

AM-PPI uses multiple predictors to reduce label cost in healthcare AI.

problem Reduces label cost in post-deployment monitoring of healthcare AI.
method Combines model predictions with a small labeled sample, routing each instance to a cost-appropriate subset of predictors.
result Produces narrower confidence intervals than single-predictor methods.

Natural language processing predicts ICU readmissions with 74.8% accuracy.

problem Early detection of ICU readmissions to improve patient outcomes and reduce costs.
method Natural language processing of discharge summaries, machine learning classifiers, UMLS standardization.
result Best configuration achieved an AUC of 0.748 for predicting ICU readmissions.

Study analyzes factors influencing healthcare providers' engagement with SMS campaigns.

problem Understanding what drives healthcare providers to engage with SMS campaigns.
method Used logistic regression, random forest, and neural network models to analyze data.
result Identified key factors influencing engagement with SMS campaigns.

Study fair healthcare predictions without harming patients.

problem Balancing fairness and avoiding unnecessary harm in healthcare predictions.
method Formalizes Pareto-optimal approach to minimize risk disparity without causing harm, dynamically re-balancing subgroup risks.
result Demonstrates a method to train neural networks achieving fair predictions without unnecessary harm.

Deep learning models (aka Deep Neural Networks) have revolutionized many fields including computer vision, natural language processing, speech recognition, and is being increasingly used in clinical healthcare applications. However, few works exist which have benchmarked the performance of the deep learning models with…

2017-10-23abs ↗pdf ↗

New diagnostics detect variability in individual risk estimates from machine learning models in healthcare.

problem Variability in individual risk estimates from machine learning models in healthcare, leading to unreliable treatment decisions.
method Proposed evaluation framework using empirical prediction interval width and empirical decision flip rate diagnostics.
result Randomness in optimization and initialization can lead to substantial individual-level variability in risk estimates, affecting clinical decisions.

This study proposes a method to predict ICU infections from imbalanced data using clustering-based undersampling and ensemble classifiers.

problem Predicting healthcare-associated infections in ICU patients from imbalanced data.
method Clustering-based undersampling strategy combined with ensemble classifiers.
result The proposed method outperforms other resampling techniques in predicting ICU infections.

RSM provides insights into deep survival models' decision-making.

problem Ensuring trust in deep survival models' predictions for healthcare applications.
method Reverse survival model (RSM) framework that explains deep survival models' decisions.
result RSM extracts relevant features for deep survival models' predictions.

Study examines impact of fairness penalties on clinical risk prediction models.

problem Widespread health disparities in machine learning-guided clinical decision-making.
method Empirical study across multiple databases, outcomes, and sensitive attributes.
result Penalizing fairness violations nearly universally degrades model performance and fairness metrics.

Paper addresses data heterogeneity in federated learning for CoxPH models in healthcare.

problem Data heterogeneity in federated learning of CoxPH models for healthcare.
method Feature-based clustering and event-based reporting strategy.
result Enhanced model accuracy and performance in federated survival analysis.