High-capacity neural network ensembles often benefit more from high-capacity models than from increased diversity.
problem The performance of high-capacity neural network ensembles is often harmed by interventions that promote predictive diversity.
method A large-scale study of nearly 600 neural network classification ensembles, examining various interventions and architectures.
result Discouraging predictive diversity can be benign in large-network ensembles, and higher-capacity models often yield better performance than diverse architectures.
Self-distillation improves model performance by increasing teacher diversity and smoothing predictions.
problem Improving model generalization and performance through self-distillation.
method Interpreting self-distillation as MAP estimation and proposing instance-specific label smoothing.
result Self-distillation enhances model performance by increasing teacher diversity and smoothing predictions.
Ensembles depend on diversity for improved performance. Many ensemble training methods, therefore, attempt to optimize for diversity, which they almost always define in terms of differences in training set predictions. In this paper, however, we demonstrate the diversity of predictions on the training set does not nece…
Heterogeneous ensembles built from the predictions of a wide variety and large number of diverse base predictors represent a potent approach to building predictive models for problems where the ideal base/individual predictor may not be obvious. Ensemble selection is an especially promising approach here, not only for …
We propose a new model for making generalizable and diverse retrosynthetic reaction predictions. Given a target compound, the task is to predict the likely chemical reactants to produce the target. This generative task can be framed as a sequence-to-sequence problem by using the SMILES representations of the molecules.…
Proposes Ada-Sit method for mortality prediction of rare diseases.
problem Data insufficiency and clinical diversity of rare diseases make mortality prediction hard.
method Initialization-sharing multi-task learning method (Ada-Sit) for fast adaptation to similar tasks.
result Experimental results show the proposed model is effective for mortality prediction of diverse rare diseases.
Ensemble learning is a methodology that integrates multiple DNN learners for improving prediction performance of individual learners. Diversity is greater when the errors of the ensemble prediction is more uniformly distributed. Greater diversity is highly correlated with the increase in ensemble accuracy. Another attr…
New findings on representation learning beyond linear functions.
problem Achieving diversity in representation learning beyond linear prediction functions.
method Analysis of eluder dimension and empirical risks.
result Diversity holds even with nonlinear prediction functions and multiple layers in neural networks.
This paper improves ensemble learning for vision tasks by encouraging diversity in predictions.
problem Generating effective ensembles of neural networks for multi-modal data.
method Explicitly optimize a diversity inducing adversarial loss for learning stochastic latent variables.
result Significant improvements in classification accuracy and out-of-distribution detection compared to baselines.
We tackle the task of diverse 3D human motion prediction, that is, forecasting multiple plausible future 3D poses given a sequence of observed 3D poses. In this context, a popular approach consists of using a Conditional Variational Autoencoder (CVAE). However, existing approaches that do so either fail to capture the …
Presents STRIPE model for probabilistic forecasting of non-stationary time series.
problem Probabilistic forecasting of non-stationary time series.
method STRIPE model representing structured diversity based on shape and time features, with diversification mechanism using determinantal point processes (DPP).
result STRIPE significantly outperforms baseline methods for representing diversity while maintaining forecasting accuracy.
The inaccuracy of neural network models on inputs that do not stem from the training data distribution is both problematic and at times unrecognized. Model uncertainty estimation can address this issue, where uncertainty estimates are often based on the variation in predictions produced by a diverse ensemble of models …
Study shows diverse data sources improve cryptocurrency forecasting models.
problem Improving cryptocurrency market forecasting accuracy.
method Integrating various data types, including on-chain metrics, traditional indices, and macroeconomic indicators.
result Data source diversity significantly enhances forecasting model performance.
For autonomous agents to successfully operate in the real world, anticipation of future events and states of their environment is a key competence. This problem has been formalized as a sequence extrapolation problem, where a number of observations are used to predict the sequence into the future. Real-world scenarios …
Unified framework for portfolio optimization using multiple hypotheses.
problem Risk diversification in portfolio allocation.
method Structured ensemble learning approach with diversity control.
result Structured ensembles link predictor diversity to risk diversification.
s-RBFN integrates multiple hypotheses for efficient and diverse prediction.
problem Integrating multiple hypotheses into learning models for regression.
method Structured Radial Basis Function Network (s-RBFN) using Voronoi tessellations and least-squares training.
result s-RBFN achieves superior generalization and efficiency compared to other models.
Post-hoc explanations of machine learning models are crucial for people to understand and act on algorithmic predictions. An intriguing class of explanations is through counterfactuals, hypothetical examples that show people how to obtain a different prediction. We posit that effective counterfactual explanations shoul…
TimeMCL forecasts diverse time series futures using neural networks and WTA loss.
problem Forecasting multiple plausible time series futures.
method Multiple Choice Learning (MCL) framework with Winner-Takes-All (WTA) loss.
result TimeMCL efficiently predicts diverse time series futures at low computational cost.
Single neural network predicts ImageNet model parameters for faster training.
problem Training diverse ImageNet models requires significant resources and time.
method Trained a neural network to predict ImageNet model parameters and used them for initialization.
result Models initialized with predicted parameters converge faster and achieve competitive performance.
PHIBP predicts infectious disease outbreaks in sparse data regions.
problem Predicting outbreaks in regions with no historical data.
method Poisson Hierarchical Indian Buffet Process (PHIBP) framework.
result PHIBP provides accurate outbreak predictions and meaningful insights in sparse data settings.
Meta-learning performance is affected by how task diversity is allocated, not just overall variability.
problem Meta-learning performance degrades when task diversity is unevenly distributed.
method Decomposed task-specific regression effects into structurally informative and orthogonal components.
result Meta-learning prediction degrades when a larger fraction of task variability is orthogonal and non-informative.
Anti-Distillation improves reproducibility of deep networks by making ensemble predictions more diverse.
problem Deep networks are prone to high prediction differences, making them less reproducible.
method Anti-Distillation uses ensembles to force predictions to be more different and diverse.
result Anti-Distillation reduces prediction differences by making ensemble predictions more diverse.
PhysVarMix predicts diverse urban trajectories with physics constraints.
problem Predicting complex urban agent trajectories with multiple plausible scenarios.
method Physics-informed variational mixture model combining learning and physics constraints.
result Superior performance compared to existing methods on benchmark datasets.
To cope with the high level of ambiguity faced in domains such as Computer Vision or Natural Language processing, robust prediction methods often search for a diverse set of high-quality candidate solutions or proposals. In structured prediction problems, this becomes a daunting task, as the solution space (image label…
Ensembles of models have been empirically shown to improve predictive performance and to yield robust measures of uncertainty. However, they are expensive in computation and memory. Therefore, recent research has focused on distilling ensembles into a single compact model, reducing the computational and memory burden o…
A new confidence measure improves self-training in biased data.
problem Improving self-training in biased data.
method Proposes a new confidence measure, T-similarity, based on ensemble diversity of linear classifiers.
result Empirically shows the benefit of T-similarity for pseudo-labeling policies on various datasets.
Random small feature subsets outperform FS in diverse datasets.
problem The significance of selected features in high-dimensional datasets is questionable.
method Analysis of 28 diverse datasets (microarray, RNA-Seq, etc.).
result Any arbitrary set of features performs as well as or better than selected features across datasets.
This thesis improves protein contact prediction using unsupervised and supervised methods.
problem Improving accuracy of protein contact prediction.
method Unsupervised and supervised deep learning methods.
result A scoring system called diversity score for measuring contact novelty.
We design a new algorithm for batch active learning with deep neural network models. Our algorithm, Batch Active learning by Diverse Gradient Embeddings (BADGE), samples groups of points that are disparate and high-magnitude when represented in a hallucinated gradient space, a strategy designed to incorporate both pred…
δ-CLUE generates diverse explanations for model uncertainty.
problem Lack of constraints in generating explanations for uncertainty estimates.
method Augmenting CLUE approach to provide a set of plausible explanations.
result Returns a set of diverse inputs that yield confident predictions.
DAMVI algorithm improves imbalanced binary classification by adjusting weights of examples and classifiers.
problem Imbalanced binary classification tasks where minority class is underrepresented.
method DAMVI algorithm increases positive example weights and optimizes classifier weights using PAC-Bayesian C-Bound.
result DAMVI outperforms state-of-the-art models on various imbalanced datasets.
Study finds AI can predict diverse cardiac and non-cardiac diagnoses from a single ECG.
problem Narrow focus of ECG analysis models for diverse medical conditions.
method Exploratory study using a single AI model to predict multiple ICD codes.
result Model achieved AUROC scores > 0.8 for 253 cardiac and 172 non-cardiac diagnoses.
When constructing a classifier ensemble, diversity among the base classifiers is one of the important characteristics. Several studies have been made in the context of standard static data, in particular, when analyzing the relationship between a high ensemble predictive performance and the diversity of its components.…
How can we measure whether a natural language generation system produces both high quality and diverse outputs? Human evaluation captures quality but not diversity, as it does not catch models that simply plagiarize from the training set. On the other hand, statistical evaluation (i.e., perplexity) captures diversity b…
Though data augmentation has become a standard component of deep neural network training, the underlying mechanism behind the effectiveness of these techniques remains poorly understood. In practice, augmentation policies are often chosen using heuristics of either distribution shift or augmentation diversity. Inspired…
SEMF predicts prediction intervals for ML models using latent variables.
problem Uncertainty quantification in ML models, especially for diverse data distributions.
method Supervised Expectation-Maximization Framework (SEMF) extending EM algorithm for latent variable modeling.
result SEMF produces narrower prediction intervals with desired coverage probability.
The medical research facilitates to acquire a diverse type of data from the same individual for particular cancer. Recent studies show that utilizing such diverse data results in more accurate predictions. The major challenge faced is how to utilize such diverse data sets in an effective way. In this paper, we introduc…
DivDis learns diverse hypotheses from underspecified data to improve robustness.
problem Learning from underspecified datasets leads to multiple equally viable solutions, causing out-of-distribution issues.
method DivDis framework: 1) learns diverse hypotheses using unlabeled test data, 2) selects one hypothesis with minimal additional supervision.
result DivDis finds robust features in image and natural language processing problems.
Most real-world networks are incompletely observed. Algorithms that can accurately predict which links are missing can dramatically speedup the collection of network data and improve the validity of network models. Many algorithms now exist for predicting missing links, given a partially observed network, but it has re…
Improved random forest models enhance machine learning predictions.
problem Equal weights for random forest base decision trees are not optimal.
method Proposes algorithms to modify weighting strategy of regular random forest.
result Numerical results show significant improvements over regular random forest.
Unified approach for multimodal data prediction using synthetic data generation.
problem Challenges in integrating heterogeneous data types for accurate predictive performance.
method Generative Distribution Prediction (GDP) framework that uses multimodal synthetic data generation.
result Empirical validation across four tasks demonstrates versatility and effectiveness of GDP.
aMCL uses annealing to improve hypothesis diversity in ambiguous tasks.
problem Limitations of Winner-takes-all in predicting plausible hypotheses.
method Combines simulated annealing with Multiple Choice Learning (MCL).
result Enhanced exploration of hypothesis space during training.
Ensemble of diverse CNNs detects and mitigates adversarial attacks.
problem Detecting and defending against adversarial attacks.
method An ensemble of specialized CNNs with a voting mechanism.
result Significant reduction in adversarial attack risk rate.
New model fusion method improves Bitcoin price prediction accuracy.
problem Improving robustness in financial price prediction models.
method Combinatorial Fusion Analysis (CFA) combining score and rank combinations.
result Significantly improved MAPE performance of 0.19\%.
Super learner uses diverse screeners to improve prediction performance.
problem Performance issues with lasso screening in super learner.
method Used a diverse set of candidate screeners within the super learner ensemble.
result Diverse screeners protect against poor performance of any one screener.
Proposes a Bayesian federated learning method for diverse tasks.
problem Current federated learning approaches focus on homogeneous tasks, ignoring task diversity.
method Integrates multi-task learning with MOGP at the local level and federated learning at the global level.
result Demonstrates superior predictive performance and uncertainty calibration on diverse tasks.
We propose a novel diverse feature selection method based on determinantal point processes (DPPs). Our model enables one to flexibly define diversity based on the covariance of features (similar to orthogonal matching pursuit) or alternatively based on side information. We introduce our approach in the context of Bayes…
The major challenge of learning from multi-label data has arisen from the overwhelming size of label space which makes this problem NP-hard. This problem can be alleviated by gradually involving easy to hard tags into the learning process. Besides, the utilization of a diversity maintenance approach avoids overfitting …