Visual system compares and evaluates machine learning models for clinical data predictions.
problem Challenges in comparing and evaluating different machine learning models for medical predictions.
method Developed a visual analytics system to compare and evaluate multiple models' prediction criteria and consistency.
result Demonstrated the effectiveness of the visual analytics system in assisting clinicians and researchers.
Convolutional neural networks predict the analytic rank of elliptic curves accurately.
problem Predicting the analytic rank of elliptic curves over Q.
method Applied one-dimensional convolutional neural networks to Frobenius traces.
result High accuracy predictions for analytic rank across various conductors.
Modern predictive analytics underpinned by machine learning techniques has become a key enabler to the automation of data-driven decision making. In the context of business process management, predictive analytics has been applied to making predictions about the future state of an ongoing business process instance, for…
The tremendous growth of positioning technologies and GPS enabled devices has produced huge volumes of tracking data during the recent years. This source of information constitutes a rich input for data analytics processes, either offline (e.g. cluster analysis, hot motion discovery) or online (e.g. short-term forecast…
It is commonly believed that increasing the interpretability of a machine learning model may decrease its predictive power. However, inspecting input-output relationships of those models using visual analytics, while treating them as black-box, can help to understand the reasoning behind outcomes without sacrificing pr…
A new method uses vector embeddings to improve analytics model performance.
problem Challenges in selecting high-quality datasets for enhanced analytics performance.
method Transform datasets into vector embeddings using NumTabData2Vec, then use similarity search for model inference.
result The proposed method accurately predicts analytics outcomes and increases speedup.
Improved neural network predicts spectral functions more accurately than traditional methods.
problem Reconstructing real-time spectral functions from imaginary-time Green's functions is ill-posed and challenging.
method Feature Learning Network (FL-net) for enhanced prediction accuracy.
result FL-net achieves at least 20% improvement over traditional methods like MEM.
Study proposes explainable analytics for manufacturing process planning.
problem Improving data-driven decision-making in manufacturing.
method Combines process mining, machine learning, and XAI. Uses deep learning for prediction and Shapley values/ICE plots for explanations.
result Enhanced decision-making capabilities through local post-hoc explanations.
We present analytical investigations of a multiplicative stochastic process that models a simple investor dynamics in a random environment. The dynamics of the investor's budget, x(t), depends on the stochasticity of the return on investment, r(t), for which different model assumptions are discussed. The fat-tail d…
Predicting the next position of movable objects has been a problem for at least the last three decades, referred to as trajectory prediction. In our days, the vast amounts of data being continuously produced add the big data dimension to the trajectory prediction problem, which we are trying to tackle by creating a λ-A…
In industrial data analytics, one of the fundamental problems is to utilize the temporal correlation of the industrial data to make timely predictions in the production process, such as fault prediction and yield prediction. However, the traditional prediction models are fixed while the conditions of the machines chang…
Paper integrates predictive and prescriptive tasks using bilevel optimization.
problem Combining prediction and decision-making in machine learning.
method Bilevel optimization for integrating predictive and prescriptive tasks.
result Improved decision-making through direct integration of predictions.
TRACER improves interpretability in high stakes analytics.
problem Interpreting complex models in high stakes applications.
method TRACER framework with TITV model for healthcare analytics.
result TRACER facilitates both accurate and interpretable analytics.
Healthcare companies must submit pharmaceutical drugs or medical devices to regulatory bodies before marketing new technology. Regulatory bodies frequently require transparent and interpretable computational modelling to justify a new healthcare technology, but researchers may have several competing models for a biolog…
The paper uses regression models to predict COVID-19 spread and its stock market impact.
problem Predicting and understanding the impact of COVID-19 on stock markets.
method Logistic curve model with Bayesian regression for predictive analytics.
result Different crises have different impacts on the same stocks.
ECC Analyzer uses LLMs to predict stock volatility from ECCs.
problem Leveraging unstructured ECC data for stock volatility prediction.
method Uses large language models to extract and fuse textual and audio features from ECCs.
result ECC Analyzer outperforms traditional benchmarks in volatility prediction.
We have recently seen many successful applications of recurrent neural networks (RNNs) on electronic medical records (EMRs), which contain histories of patients' diagnoses, medications, and other various events, in order to predict the current and future states of patients. Despite the strong performance of RNNs, it is…
Proves solution uniqueness for biomembrane shape prediction.
problem Proving solution uniqueness for the genus one Canham variational problem.
method Combining numeric analytic continuation and singularity analysis to prove non-negativity of a sequence.
result Proves positivity of the sequence, leading to solution uniqueness.
Visual analytics tool detects and corrects concept drift in data streams.
problem Concept drift causes inaccurate predictions in evolving data.
method DriftVis combines drift detection and visualization.
result Visual analytics supports detection, examination, and correction of concept drift.
Machine learning guides clinicians in predictive modeling using big data.
problem Insufficient understanding of machine learning among clinicians hinders its adoption.
method Provides a series of guides on machine learning principles, resampling, model evaluation, and coding.
result Clinicians need methodological rigor and clarity to use machine learning effectively.
SmallML predicts customer churn for SMEs with small data, improving accuracy by 24.2 points.
problem AI exclusion of SMEs due to data scale mismatch.
method Bayesian transfer learning with hierarchical pooling and conformal prediction.
result 96.7% AUC on 100 obs SMEs, 24.2 point improvement over logistic regression.
In various web applications like targeted advertising and recommender systems, the available categorical features (e.g., product type) are often of great importance but sparse. As a widely adopted solution, models based on Factorization Machines (FMs) are capable of modelling high-order interactions among features for …
For a GJR-GARCH specification with a generic innovation distribution we derive analytic expressions for the first four conditional moments of the forward and aggregated returns and variances. Moment for the most commonly used GARCH models are stated as special cases. We also the limits of these moments as the time hori…
This paper improves federated learning for industrial predictive analytics by accommodating client heterogeneity.
problem Traditional federated models assume homogeneity in degradation processes, which doesn't apply to industrial settings.
method Personalized federated prognostic model using proximal gradient descent algorithm for joint parameter estimation.
result The proposed model enhances performance and provides comprehensive failure time distributions.
Paper establishes a formula linking model performance to insurance loss ratio.
problem Improving model performance does not always lead to proportional improvements in loss ratio.
method Derives a closed-form formula connecting Pearson correlation to expected loss ratio.
result Model improvements have diminishing marginal returns in reducing loss ratio.
New methods correct spectral distortions using known analyte concentrations.
problem Distorted spectral shapes from absorbing and scattering contributions.
method Modified penalized baseline correction methods that incorporate known analyte concentrations.
result Improved prediction performance on near infra-red data sets.
Paper proposes a new method for learning business process representations.
problem Challenges in capturing all useful information in business process data.
method Combines Gramian Angular Fields and Convolutional Neural Networks for representation learning.
result Demonstrates effectiveness of the approach through visualization and multiple process prediction tasks.
A critical decision point when training predictors using multiple studies is whether studies should be combined or treated separately. We compare two multi-study prediction approaches in the presence of potential heterogeneity in predictor-outcome relationships across datasets: 1) merging all of the datasets and traini…
Decision analytics commonly focuses on the text mining of financial news sources in order to provide managerial decision support and to predict stock market movements. Existing predictive frameworks almost exclusively apply traditional machine learning methods, whereas recent research indicates that traditional machine…
This study analyzes and predicts airline delays using machine learning models.
problem Improving the accuracy of predicting airline flight delays.
method The study combines airline and weather datasets, using various machine learning models (Logistic Regression, Naive Bayes, K-NN, Decision Tree, Random Forest) to predict flight delays.
result The Random Forest model achieved an accuracy of 82% in predicting flight delays of 15 minutes or more.
Paper aims to use AI for detecting financial crimes, focusing on money laundering.
problem Financial institutions need better technologies to detect and predict financial crimes.
method Study recent works, develop a novel model for money laundering detection.
result Demonstrates a model for detecting money laundering cases with minimal human intervention.
pmsims R package uses Gaussian process for flexible sample size estimation in clinical models.
problem Determining adequate sample size for clinical prediction models.
method Simulation-based Gaussian process search for flexible sample size estimation.
result Gaussian process-based method produces more stable sample size estimates, especially in challenging settings.
This study analyzes counterfactual explanations for student success models.
problem Improving trust in machine learning models for student success prediction.
method Comparison of counterfactual generation methods (WhatIf, Multi-Objective, Nearest Instance) for student success prediction models.
result WhatIf Counterfactual Explanations are more effective for student success prediction models.
Although software analytics has experienced rapid growth as a research area, it has not yet reached its full potential for wide industrial adoption. Most of the existing work in software analytics still relies heavily on costly manual feature engineering processes, and they mainly address the traditional classification…
Analyzes COVID-19 data to predict mortality, forecast spread, and optimize resource allocation.
problem Challenges in patient triage, treatment, and care management during the pandemic.
method Integrated four-step approach combining descriptive, predictive, and prescriptive analytics.
result Optimized resource allocation and informed policy decisions.
Paper proposes a method to quantify and explain machine learning uncertainty in predictive process monitoring.
problem Neglect of data-driven estimation, point forecasts without model uncertainty, and lack of explanations.
method Quantile Regression Forests for interval predictions and SHapley Additive Explanations for uncertainty.
result Effective handling of model uncertainty in predictive process monitoring.
Bayesian kernel regression improves functional output prediction.
problem Functional output regression in supervised learning.
method Kernel methods, leveraging covariance structure within function values.
result Enhanced prediction accuracy and handling of high-dimensional nonlinearity.
SPINEX improves time series forecasting with explainable neighbors.
problem Enhancing time series forecasting accuracy and interpretability.
method Leverages similarity and higher-order temporal interactions across multiple scales.
result SPINEX consistently ranks among top performers in forecasting precision.
Big data analytics improves healthcare through early detection and quality life.
problem Limited access to healthcare data hinders evidence-based decision-making.
method Analysis of healthcare data using various tools and techniques.
result Big data analytics enhances healthcare quality and patient outcomes.
Paper presents Transfer Portal model for accurate player performance predictions.
problem Predicting future player performance after a transfer.
method Personalized neural network and Bayesian updating framework.
result Model generates accurate predictions for player performance at new clubs.
Paper simplifies complex sports analytics models for better understanding.
problem Difficulty in interpreting deep learning models for sports analytics.
method Developed a linear model tree that mimics deep learning models and explains its knowledge.
result The linear model tree achieves high accuracy and provides actionable insights.
Model predicts S&P 500 IT sector index prices with high accuracy.
problem Predicting S&P 500 IT sector index prices accurately.
method Non-linear model using financial and economic indicators.
result Predictive accuracy of 99.4% for S&P 500 IT sector index.
Marketing analytics is a diverse field, with both academic researchers and practitioners coming from a range of backgrounds including marketing, expert systems, statistics, and operations research. This paper provides an integrative review at the boundary of these areas. The aim is to give researchers in the intelligen…
New method improves safety analytics by addressing imbalanced data issues.
problem Imbalanced safety datasets lead to inaccurate predictions and management problems.
method Extended accident triangle theory and three oversampling methods.
result Robust improvements in machine learning algorithms for safety analytics.
Machine learning and statistical modeling complement each other in healthcare analytics.
problem Choosing between machine learning and statistical modeling for analytics challenges.
method Choosing based on problem, data, and desired outcomes.
result Machine learning and statistical modeling are complementary, using similar principles but different tools.
MetaStackVis aids in choosing better metamodels for stacking ensembles.
problem Difficulty in selecting optimal metamodels for stacking ensembles.
method Interactive visualization tool to explore and compare different metamodels.
result Alternative metamodels significantly improve stacking ensemble performance.
We tackle the problem of multi-task learning with copula process. Multivariable prediction in spatial and spatial-temporal processes such as natural resource estimation and pollution monitoring have been typically addressed using techniques based on Gaussian processes and co-Kriging. While the Gaussian prior assumption…
Analyzes dynamics of quantum neural networks, predicting exponential decay of training error.
problem Understanding convergence rate of quantum neural networks training.
method Analytic theory for gradient descent dynamics of wide quantum neural networks.
result Simple analytic formula predicts exponential decay of training error.