Integrates prediction models into portfolio optimization for better asset allocation.
problem Traditional portfolio optimization ignores prediction models, leading to suboptimal decisions.
method Developed a framework that combines regression prediction with mean-variance optimization, providing analytical solutions and neural-network-based optimization for inequality constraints.
result Demonstrated through simulations that integrating prediction models improves portfolio performance.
This research improves deep neural networks for parameter identification and prediction in stochastic Volterra integral equations.
problem Parameter identification and prediction in Volterra integral equations driven by Gaussian noise.
method Improved deep neural networks framework that incorporates inter-output relationships into the loss function.
result The framework enhances parameter estimation accuracy and provides accurate solutions for modeling stochastic systems.
Paper integrates predictive and prescriptive tasks using bilevel optimization.
problem Combining prediction and decision-making in machine learning.
method Bilevel optimization for integrating predictive and prescriptive tasks.
result Improved decision-making through direct integration of predictions.
The paper integrates multiple Gaussian process predictions using Monte Carlo sampling.
problem Accurate prediction of variables using multiple models.
method Log-linear pooling of Gaussian process predictions, combined with Monte Carlo sampling.
result The log-linear pooling method improves prediction accuracy compared to linear pooling.
Study integrates climate and text data to improve credit default prediction.
problem Improving credit risk assessment for mSEs with limited financial histories.
method Multimodal framework using LSTM, GRU, and transformer models.
result Integration of multiple data modalities improves credit default prediction.
Paper integrates LLMs into portfolio optimization to improve decision quality.
problem Suboptimal portfolio decisions due to mismatch between prediction and decision quality.
method Integrates LLMs with decision-focused learning, using attention mechanism to process asset relationships and macro variables.
result Model consistently outperforms state-of-the-art deep learning models in portfolio optimization.
Paper proposes integrating wavelet transform, channel attention, and LSTM for better stock price prediction.
problem Inherently difficult stock price prediction due to low signal-to-noise ratio.
method Wavelet transform convolution, channel attention, and LSTM integration.
result Robust performance in post-pandemic market conditions.
Motivated by the increasing integration among electricity markets, in this paper we propose two different methods to incorporate market integration in electricity price forecasting and to improve the predictive performance. First, we propose a deep neural network that considers features from connected markets to improv…
Background: Pharmacokinetic evaluation is one of the key processes in drug discovery and development. However, current absorption, distribution, metabolism, excretion prediction models still have limited accuracy. Aim: This study aims to construct an integrated transfer learning and multitask learning approach for deve…
The paper predicts diseases using both clinical and genomics data.
problem Clinical predictions using genomics data are not common.
method Integrated clinical and genomics datasets, machine learning, Principal Component Analysis for feature selection.
result 73% accuracy in predicting 75 disease classes.
We introduce a novel Bayesian hybrid matrix factorisation model (HMF) for data integration, based on combining multiple matrix factorisation methods, that can be used for in- and out-of-matrix prediction of missing values. The model is very general and can be used to integrate many datasets across different entity type…
Novel method combines physics priors for energy-conserving dynamics.
problem Learning long-term dynamics of complex physical systems from noisy data.
method Variational Integrator Graph Networks integrating energy constraint, high-order symplectic integrators, and graph neural networks.
result Improves predictive performance across single and many-body problems.
DGRCL integrates dynamic and static graph relations for financial market prediction.
problem Capturing the evolving nature of stock markets while considering both temporal changes and static relational structures.
method Dynamic Graph Representation with Contrastive Learning (DGRCL) framework, including Embedding Enhancement (EE) and Contrastive Constrained Training (CCT) modules.
result DGRCL significantly outperforms state-of-the-art TGL baselines on NASDAQ and NYSE datasets.
Proposes a method to integrate prior knowledge into trajectory prediction models.
problem Improving accuracy and robustness in trajectory prediction models.
method Continual learning approach that allows integration of arbitrary prior knowledge and probabilistic predictions.
result Outperforms non-informed and informed learning methods, using half as many observation examples.
Proposes a method to integrate learner models robustly against misspecifications.
problem Misspecifications in learner models and parameter sharing patterns degrade prediction accuracy.
method Sequentially incorporates additional learners based on user-specified parameter sharing patterns.
result Data-adaptively selects the most suitable way of parameter sharing to enhance predictive performance.
Improved probabilistic solar irradiance forecasting models for grid integration.
problem Enhancing accuracy of solar irradiance forecasts for grid integration.
method Developed and calibrated probabilistic models using post-hoc calibration techniques.
result NGBoost model with CRUDE calibration achieves comparable performance to numerical weather prediction models.
Improved time series forecasting with expert loss integration.
problem Enhancing time series forecasting accuracy and efficiency.
method Adaptive Mixture-of-Experts framework with expert-specific loss integration and online learning.
result Significantly improved forecasting accuracy and computational efficiency.
Posterior refinement improves sample efficiency in Bayesian neural networks.
problem Bayesian neural networks suffer from poor predictive performance due to inaccurate posterior approximations.
method Propose refining Gaussian approximate posteriors with normalizing flows to improve predictive distributions.
result Posterior refinement yields competitive predictive performance with minimal computational overhead.
NeuralChaos efficiently approximates complex stochastic processes.
problem Representing and computing square-integrable predictable processes over time.
method Introduces NeuralChaos, a neural operator architecture for Rd-valued predictable processes. result NeuralChaos achieves best N-term chaoslet approximation rates and is dense in HT2(Rd). New framework improves attribution of predictive uncertainties in classification models.
problem Improper attribution of predictive uncertainties in classification tasks.
method Combines path integrals, counterfactual explanations, and generative models.
result Framework outperforms existing alternatives in quantitative evaluations.
Deep model integrates MRI and DTI for autism severity prediction.
problem Predicting spectrum-level deficits in autism using multimodal brain imaging.
method Generative deep-learning framework combining rs-fMRI and DTI data.
result Hybrid model outperforms existing methods in predicting autism severity.
Audited Conformal Prediction improves conditional coverage in pretrained models under distribution shift.
problem Uncertainty quantification for pretrained models under unknown distribution shift
method Leverages a small labeled dataset to train an audit model for marginal coverage, integrates outputs into conformal prediction framework
result Significantly higher conditional coverage than existing approaches
Simplified calculus for semimartingales makes complex transformations easier.
problem Complex transformations of semimartingales.
method Unified treatment of transformations for real and complex semimartingales.
result Unified calculus for semimartingales simplifies various transformations.
Paper uses HGNN to predict stock types from relationships and temporal data.
problem Predicting stock types from complex market data.
method Integrates stock relationships and temporal data using HGNN.
result Effective prediction of stock types with HGNN model.
SurvMixClust clusters survival data and predicts individual survival curves.
problem Integrating clustering into survival analysis for precision medicine.
method SurvMixClust learns latent representations for clustering and predicts survival functions using a mixture of non-parametric experts.
result SurvMixClust creates balanced clusters with distinct survival curves, outperforming clustering baselines and competing with non-clustering models in predictive accuracy.
Late fusion of clinical notes and physiological data improves ICU mortality prediction.
problem Improving ICU mortality prediction using multimodal data.
method Late fusion of clinical notes and physiological time series data with a deep learning architecture.
result Late fusion approach provides statistically significant improvement in mortality prediction performance.
Develops a new framework for integrating satellite allocations in small portfolios.
problem Feasibility constraints in small portfolios, not return predictability, are the primary concerns.
method A four-layer feasibility framework: physical, economic, structural, and epistemic.
result Closed-form feasibility bounds on satellite size, turnover, and breadth without return forecasts.
This paper gives several simple constructions of the pathwise Ito integral ∫0tφdω for an integrand φ and a price path ω as integrator, with φ and ω satisfying various topological and analytical conditions. The definitions are purely pathwise in that neither φ nor ω are assumed to be paths of stochast…
Established PFPPs in complete markets, solving integral equations.
problem Existence of Predictable Forward Performance Processes in complete markets.
method Solving a one-period integral equation using Fourier transform for tempered distributions.
result Closed-form solutions for PFPPs with inverse marginal functions that are completely monotonic.
Deep neural networks are easily fooled high confidence predictions for adversarial samples
New method integrates computer models from different disciplines with better predictive performance.
problem Integration of multi-disciplinary computer models with distinct complexities and computation times.
method Developed a linked deep Gaussian process (DGP) method that integrates individual Gaussian process emulators in a network.
result Linked deep Gaussian process emulators outperform standard LGP emulators and single DGPs fitted to the network as a whole.
Review of integrating Bayesian methods with neural network-based MPC.
problem Lack of standardized benchmarks and reliable analyses in Bayesian MPC.
method Systematic analysis of Bayesian methods in neural-network-based MPC.
result Need for standardized benchmarks, ablation studies, and transparent reporting.
CP2 uses geometric information to improve conformal prediction robustness.
problem CP fails under geometric data shifts, losing coverage guarantees.
method Integrates geometric pose information into CP via canonicalization.
result Integrating geometric information with CP ensures robustness under geometric shifts.
The identification of predictive biomarkers from a large scale of covariates for subgroup analysis has attracted fundamental attention in medical research. In this article, we propose a generalized penalized regression method with a novel penalty function, for enforcing the hierarchy structure between the prognostic an…
InVA models image outcomes from multiple modalities, outperforming standard VAEs.
problem Understanding relationships across multiple imaging modalities in neuroimaging.
method Integrative Variational Autoencoder (InVA) framework for image-on-image regression.
result InVA accurately predicts PET scans from structural MRI, outperforming conventional models.
Framework integrates brain connectivity data for clinical predictions.
problem Predicting clinical outcomes from brain connectivity data.
method Structurally-regularized Dynamic Dictionary Learning (sr-DDL) and LSTM-ANN block.
result Framework outperforms state-of-the-art approaches in clinical outcome prediction.
SSINNs learn Hamiltonian systems from data with interpretable, low-memory models.
problem Learning Hamiltonian dynamical systems from data efficiently and accurately.
method Combines fourth-order symplectic integration with sparse regression for a learned Hamiltonian.
result Outperforms state-of-the-art techniques in system prediction and energy conservation.
Traffic flow forecasting is hot spot research of intelligent traffic system construction. The existing traffic flow prediction methods have problems such as poor stability, high data requirements, or poor adaptability. In this paper, we define the traffic data time singularity ratio in the dropout module and propose a …
The medical research facilitates to acquire a diverse type of data from the same individual for particular cancer. Recent studies show that utilizing such diverse data results in more accurate predictions. The major challenge faced is how to utilize such diverse data sets in an effective way. In this paper, we introduc…
Hybrid model improves weather forecasting accuracy.
problem Combining physics and machine learning for better weather predictions.
method Offline and online training of a neural network to correct model errors in the IFS.
result The hybrid model reduces forecast errors and improves accuracy.
This paper describes recent development and test implementation of a continuous time recurrent neural network that has been configured to predict rates of change in securities. It presents outcomes in the context of popular technical analysis indicators and highlights the potential impact of continuous predictive capab…
In this paper, we study the novel problem of not only predicting ingredients from a food image, but also predicting the relative amounts of the detected ingredients. We propose two prediction-based models using deep learning that output sparse and dense predictions, coupled with important semi-automatic multi-database …
New PFPPs based on rank-dependent utility for better performance control.
problem Improving performance prediction in systems with short-term control.
method Introduces rank-dependent PFPPs, solves integral equations via Volterra theory.
result Existence of rank-dependent PFPPs under specific market conditions.
DW-KNN improves KNN by integrating distance and neighbor reliability for better prediction accuracy.
problem Standard KNN assumes all neighbors are equally reliable, leading to unreliable predictions in heterogeneous feature spaces.
method DW-KNN integrates exponential distance with neighbor validity, providing instance-level interpretability and reducing hyperparameter sensitivity.
result DW-KNN achieves 0.8988 average accuracy, ranks 2nd among six methods, and has the lowest cross-validation variance.
SARF improves stock market prediction by integrating sentiment analysis.
problem Enhancing stock market prediction accuracy with sentiment data.
method Sentiment-Augmented Random Forest (SARF) using FinGPT.
result SARF outperforms conventional models with 9.23% accuracy improvement.
Two methods improve Gaussian process predictive distributions' calibration.
problem Improving the reliability of Gaussian process predictive intervals.
method Introduces two methods: cps-gp and bcr-gp, both adapting conformal predictive systems to GP interpolation.
result Both methods provide finite-sample marginal calibration and smooth predictive distributions.
FNSPID dataset integrates financial news and stock prices for improved market predictions.
problem Lack of comprehensive datasets combining quantitative and qualitative financial data.
method Developed a large-scale dataset (FNSPID) with 29.7M stock prices and 15.7M financial news records.
result FNSPID significantly boosts market prediction accuracy and sentiment analysis.
A new method for uncertainty estimation in neural networks using Gaussian-softmax integration.
problem Quantifying uncertainty in neural network predictions.
method Proposes a single-model approach integrating Gaussian distribution with softmax outputs, using mean-field approximation.
result Competitive performance on uncertainty estimation tasks and outperforms many methods on out-of-distribution detection.