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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,786 papers · 148 categories

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48 results for prediction discrimination

Discrimination-aware classification is receiving an increasing attention in data science fields. The pre-process methods for constructing a discrimination-free classifier first remove discrimination from the training data, and then learn the classifier from the cleaned data. However, they lack a theoretical guarantee f…

2017-02-28abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper addresses evaluating survival predictions using discrimination measures, finding a robust method to convert distributions to risks.

problem Evaluating survival distribution predictions with discrimination measures is challenging and often leads to unfair comparisons.
method The paper surveys existing methods and recommends summing over the predicted cumulative hazard as the most robust method to convert distributions to risks.
result Summing over the predicted cumulative hazard is the most robust method to convert distribution predictions to risk predictions.

Locally Valid and Discriminative prediction intervals for deep learning models.

problem Efficient and theoretically sound uncertainty quantification for deep learning models.
method Locally Valid and Discriminative prediction intervals (LVD) using kernel regression.
result Locally Valid and Discriminative prediction intervals (LVD) offer better performance and scalability compared to existing methods.

Proposes a test to ensure predictive algorithms predict intended outcomes better than unintended ones.

problem Unintended model behavior leading to prediction of unintended outcomes.
method Falsification framework using nonparametric hypothesis testing to compare prediction losses across outcomes.
result Establishes discriminant validity with respect to gender but not race in an admissions setting.

The insurance industry uses predictions based on customer characteristics, but this can lead to discrimination. We propose using Wasserstein barycenters to mitigate biases.

problem Discrimination in insurance predictions based on sensitive features like gender or race.
method Propose using Wasserstein barycenters instead of simple scaling to mitigate biases in insurance predictions.
result Demonstrates the effectiveness of Wasserstein barycenters in mitigating biases in insurance predictions.

A multi-task network avoids indirect discrimination in insurance pricing.

problem Indirect discrimination in insurance pricing models based on protected characteristics.
method Multi-task neural network architecture trained with partial protected characteristic information.
result Multi-task network produces discrimination-free insurance prices with comparable accuracy to conventional models.

Paper introduces a method to improve survival model calibration without sacrificing discrimination.

problem Survival models struggle to balance accurate ranking and event prediction.
method Uses conformal regression to enhance calibration without compromising discrimination.
result The approach improves model calibration across 11 real-world datasets.

Paper tackles expected predictions computation for arbitrary generative models.

problem Hard to compute expected predictions for arbitrary generative models.
method Identifies tractable generative and discriminative models for expected predictions.
result Tractable computation of high-order moments and expectations for classification.

Discriminator guidance improves autoregressive diffusion models for generating molecular graphs.

problem Improving the accuracy of autoregressive diffusion models for generating molecular graphs.
method Deriving ways to use a discriminator with a pretrained generative model in the discrete case, including optimal and sub-optimal scenarios.
result Using a discriminator can correct pretrained models and improve exact sampling from the data distribution.

Paper compares generative and discriminative models in uncertainty quantification.

problem Comparing generative and discriminative approaches in uncertainty quantification.
method Analysis of generative and discriminative models, focusing on posterior predictive distribution and prior distributions.
result Discriminative models struggle with imbalanced datasets, while generative models offer a more flexible prior distribution.

We present a novel approach to the formulation and the resolution of sparse Linear Discriminant Analysis (LDA). Our proposal, is based on penalized Optimal Scoring. It has an exact equivalence with penalized LDA, contrary to the multi-class approaches based on the regression of class indicator that have been proposed s…

2012-06-27abs ↗pdf ↗

Study data biases to predict algorithmic discrimination, developing a Data Bias Profile.

problem Data biases contribute to algorithmic discrimination, but their impact is understudied.
method Analyzed three common data biases across various datasets and models, developing a Data Bias Profile.
result Combination of proxies and label bias can lead to more significant discrimination than underrepresentation alone.

Develops interpretable low-dimensional kernels with conic discriminant functions.

problem Improving interpretability in kernel-based classification models.
method Gradually constructs simple feature maps leading to interpretable low-dimensional kernels.
result Obtains high accuracy results without extensive hyperparameter tuning.

Several dihedral angles prediction methods were developed for protein structure prediction and their other applications. However, distribution of predicted angles would not be similar to that of real angles. To address this we employed generative adversarial networks (GAN). Generative adversarial networks are composed …

2018-03-29abs ↗pdf ↗

Develops MGQDA for multi-group classification with theoretical guarantees and practical applications.

problem Complex multi-group classification problems with nonlinear decision boundaries and group-specific covariance patterns.
method MGQDA, a method based on quadratic discriminant analysis that projects predictors onto a lower-dimensional subspace.
result MGQDA achieves competitive or improved predictive performance compared to existing methods.

Model predicts Mozambique bank failures, aiding risk management.

problem Lack of bankruptcy prediction model in Mozambique banking sector.
method Linear Discriminant Analysis method, using financial indicators.
result Model accurately predicted 84% of bank failures 1 year before Central Bank intervention.

Model earnings call transcripts for better stock price prediction.

problem Predicting future stock price movements using earnings call transcripts.
method Deep learning framework with an attention mechanism to encode text data into vectors for predicting stock price movements.
result The proposed model outperforms traditional machine learning methods in stock price prediction.

Recent attempts to achieve fairness in predictive models focus on the balance between fairness and accuracy. In sensitive applications such as healthcare or criminal justice, this trade-off is often undesirable as any increase in prediction error could have devastating consequences. In this work, we argue that the fair…

2018-05-30abs ↗pdf ↗

Develops a method to interpret deep learning models by identifying key features.

problem Revealing the decision-making process of blackbox models from raw data to predictions.
method Adversarial attacks to localize discriminative features with statistical guarantees.
result Locally identified features are both biologically plausible and statistically significant.

DyS model improves survival analysis accuracy and interpretability.

problem Accurate and interpretable survival analysis models for healthcare.
method Feature-sparse Generalized Additive Model combining feature selection and interpretable prediction.
result DyS model outperforms other survival analysis models in interpretability and accuracy.

Computational identification of promoters is notoriously difficult as human genes often have unique promoter sequences that provide regulation of transcription and interaction with transcription initiation complex. While there are many attempts to develop computational promoter identification methods, we have no reliab…

2018-10-02abs ↗pdf ↗

Generative adversarial networks (GANs) are pow- erful generative models based on providing feed- back to a generative network via a discriminator network. However, the discriminator usually as- sesses individual samples. This prevents the dis- criminator from accessing global distributional statistics of generated samp…

2018-06-19abs ↗pdf ↗

In this paper we study output coding for multi-label prediction. For a multi-label output coding to be discriminative, it is important that codewords for different label vectors are significantly different from each other. In the meantime, unlike in traditional coding theory, codewords in output coding are to be predic…

2012-06-27abs ↗pdf ↗

Prediction models can harm patients even when accurate, leading to self-fulfilling prophecies.

problem Prediction models can lead to harmful decisions that worsen patient outcomes.
method Formal characterization of harmful prediction models and analysis of their impact.
result Well-calibrated models are ineffective for decision-making as they do not change the data distribution.

New method compresses large sample data for faster discriminant analysis.

problem Large sample sizes in discriminant analysis increase computational burden.
method Proposes a new compression approach for reducing training samples.
result Significant computational gains and superior predictive ability compared to random sub-sampling.

Learning multimodal representations is a fundamentally complex research problem due to the presence of multiple heterogeneous sources of information. Although the presence of multiple modalities provides additional valuable information, there are two key challenges to address when learning from multimodal data: 1) mode…

2018-06-16abs ↗pdf ↗

Deep generative models (DGMs) are effective on learning multilayered representations of complex data and performing inference of input data by exploring the generative ability. However, it is relatively insufficient to empower the discriminative ability of DGMs on making accurate predictions. This paper presents max-ma…

2016-11-22abs ↗pdf ↗

Fairness-aware learning is increasingly important in data mining. Discrimination prevention aims to prevent discrimination in the training data before it is used to conduct predictive analysis. In this paper, we focus on fair data generation that ensures the generated data is discrimination free. Inspired by generative…

2018-05-28abs ↗pdf ↗

The goal in network state prediction (NSP) is to classify the global state (label) associated with features embedded in a graph. This graph structure encoding feature relationships is the key distinctive aspect of NSP compared to classical supervised learning. NSP arises in various applications: gene expression samples…

2019-03-24abs ↗pdf ↗

Confidential Guardian prevents model abstention from being used to discriminate.

problem Dishonest institutions can exploit machine learning model abstention to unfairly deny services.
method Confidential Guardian uses zero-knowledge proofs to verify model confidence and detect suppression.
result Confidential Guardian effectively prevents the misuse of cautious predictions.

DM2L tackles missing labels in multi-label learning by modeling local and global rank structures.

problem Missing labels in multi-label learning.
method DM2L imposes local low-rank structures and global high-rank structures on predictions of instances from the same and different labels, respectively.
result DM2L outperforms state-of-the-art methods in multi-label learning with missing labels.