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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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155311466621 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for prediction constraints

New framework improves generative models with prediction and consistency constraints.

problem Improving generative models with sparse labeled data.
method Optimizes variational autoencoders with prediction and consistency constraints.
result Promising image classification performance, especially in semi-supervised scenarios.

New algorithm reduces regret and constraint violation in online convex optimization with predictions.

problem Online convex optimization with time-varying constraints and predictions.
method Primal-dual algorithm combining Follow-The-Regularized-Leader with adaptive steps.
result Achieves O(T3β4)\mathcal O(T^{\frac{3-β}{4}}) regret and O(T1+β2)\mathcal O(T^{\frac{1+β}{2}}) constraint violation bounds.

Recently there has been sustained interest in modifying prediction algorithms to satisfy fairness constraints. These constraints are typically complex nonlinear functionals of the observed data distribution. Focusing on the path-specific causal constraints proposed by Nabi and Shpitser (2018), we introduce new theoreti…

2019-10-09abs ↗pdf ↗

Optimistic algorithm reduces regret and constraint violations in online convex optimization with adversarial constraints.

problem Online convex optimization with adversarial constraints.
method Improved algorithm using accurate predictions of loss and constraint functions.
result Improved bounds on regret and cumulative constraint violations.

Incorporating constraints is a major concern in probabilistic machine learning. A wide variety of problems require predictions to be integrated with reasoning about constraints, from modelling routes on maps to approving loan predictions. In the former, we may require the prediction model to respect the presence of phy…

2020-01-29abs ↗pdf ↗

New algorithms for constrained online optimization with memory and predictions.

problem Control of constrained dynamical systems and scheduling with reconfiguration budgets.
method Proposed algorithms achieving sublinear regret and constraint violation under time-varying constraints, both with and without predictions.
result First algorithms achieving sublinear regret and constraint violation in constrained online optimization with memory.

We explore machine learning methods for AC Optimal Powerflow (ACOPF) - the task of optimizing power generation in a transmission network according while respecting physical and engineering constraints. We present two formulations of ACOPF as a machine learning problem: 1) an end-to-end prediction task where we directly…

2019-10-19abs ↗pdf ↗

New loss function handles uncertain constraints in CSLO problems.

problem Handling uncertain inequality constraints in CSLO with machine learning predictions.
method Introduces SPO-RC loss and SPO-RC+ surrogate, trains on truncated datasets, corrects bias.
result SPO-RC+ effectively manages constraint uncertainty and improves performance.

Bayesian Entropy Neural Networks enforce constraints on deep learning predictions.

problem Deep learning models lack well-defined constraints in their outputs.
method Bayesian Entropy Neural Networks (BENN) using Maximum Entropy principles and the method of multipliers.
result BENN improves model robustness and reliability across various applications.

The paper improves Gaussian processes by adding sum constraints, enhancing prediction accuracy.

problem Improving Gaussian process predictions with background knowledge constraints.
method Conditioning the prior distribution on sum constraints to ensure fulfillment of linear and nonlinear constraints.
result The approach fulfills constraints with high precision and improves prediction accuracy.

Proposes a recursive MPC scheme with probabilistic safety guarantees for uncertain dynamic systems.

problem Probabilistic safety guarantees for MPC in dynamic environments with unknown stochastic agents.
method Uses conformal prediction to derive high-confidence prediction regions and gradually relax safety constraints online.
result Ensures recursive feasibility of MPC schemes by relaxing safety constraints over time.

DiffSlack learns neural networks with nonlinear constraints via learnable slack variables.

problem Enforcing nonlinear inequality constraints in neural networks.
method DiffSlack reformulates inequalities as equalities with learnable slack variables, predicting them as part of the network output.
result DiffSlack achieves higher planning success rates and stronger geometric constraint satisfaction compared to existing methods.

The paper tackles MAP inference over non-convex constraints in safety-critical settings.

problem Efficiently computing MAP predictions subject to non-convex constraints is challenging.
method The paper investigates conditions for exact and efficient MAP inference over continuous variables and devises scalable algorithms for both tractable and general cases.
result The proposed methods outperform constraint-agnostic baselines and scale to complex densities.

Paper presents a framework to automatically discover constraints from data.

problem Discovering constraints from data for structured output prediction.
method Formulates structured output prediction as ILP, mines constraints by estimating polytopes of feasible set.
result Successfully identifies feasible sets and constraints for various tasks.

Constraint-based learning reduces the burden of collecting labels by having users specify general properties of structured outputs, such as constraints imposed by physical laws. We propose a novel framework for simultaneously learning these constraints and using them for supervision, bypassing the difficulty of using d…

2018-05-27abs ↗pdf ↗

PhysVarMix predicts diverse urban trajectories with physics constraints.

problem Predicting complex urban agent trajectories with multiple plausible scenarios.
method Physics-informed variational mixture model combining learning and physics constraints.
result Superior performance compared to existing methods on benchmark datasets.

Two methods are proposed for high-dimensional shape-constrained regression and classification. These methods reshape pre-trained prediction rules to satisfy shape constraints like monotonicity and convexity. The first method can be applied to any pre-trained prediction rule, while the second method deals specifically w…

2018-05-16abs ↗pdf ↗

A new framework for information theory considers computational constraints.

problem Understanding information in complex systems with computational limitations.
method Variational extension of Shannon's information theory with computational constraints.
result Predictive V\mathcal{V}-information can be created through computation and reliably estimated from data.

Bayesian search optimizes exploration of feasible solutions under expensive constraints.

problem Identifying feasible solutions in computationally expensive constraint spaces.
method Bayesian models with an acquisition function for efficient exploration and exploitation.
result The proposed acquisition function improves the prediction of feasibility.

The paper tackles fair set-valued classification under demographic parity constraints.

problem Set-valued classification can amplify discriminatory bias, especially in multiclass settings.
method Proposes two strategies: an oracle-based method and a proxy method, both aiming to satisfy demographic parity and expected size constraints.
result Established distribution-free convergence rates and excess-risk bounds for both methods.

New framework improves reliability of learned representations by modeling uncertainty and structural constraints.

problem Uncertainty in learned representations treated as deterministic, leading to unreliable models.
method Proposes a principled framework for reliable representation learning with uncertainty-aware regularization and structural constraints.
result Improves stability, calibration, and robustness of learned representations.

Parallel BO method for multi-objective optimization with constraints.

problem Optimizing multiple objectives under constraints with expensive evaluations.
method PPESMOC, a batch method for simultaneous optimization of black-box functions.
result Empirical evidence shows PPESMOC is effective for multi-objective optimization with constraints.

In this paper, we propose an end-to-end deep learning model, called E2Efold, for RNA secondary structure prediction which can effectively take into account the inherent constraints in the problem. The key idea of E2Efold is to directly predict the RNA base-pairing matrix, and use an unrolled algorithm for constrained p…

2020-02-13abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper relaxes constraints on predictive coding models, making them more biologically plausible.

problem Neurophysiological models of predictive coding are not fully biologically plausible.
method The paper relaxes constraints on standard predictive coding algorithms by removing neurally implausible features.
result The removal of neurally implausible features does not significantly affect learning performance.

The goal of ordinal embedding is to represent items as points in a low-dimensional Euclidean space given a set of constraints in the form of distance comparisons like "item ii is closer to item jj than item kk". Ordinal constraints like this often come from human judgments. To account for errors and variation in jud…

2016-06-22abs ↗pdf ↗

ParamBoost uses gradient boosting to create interpretable non-linear models with constraints.

problem Creating interpretable non-linear models with expert knowledge constraints.
method Gradient Boosting of cubic polynomials with specified constraints.
result ParamBoost outperforms state-of-the-art GAMs in real-world datasets.

The paper proposes DEA to make graph neural networks fairer in link prediction.

problem Graph neural networks can unfairly prioritize certain social groups in link prediction.
method Drop Edges and Adapt (DEA) fine-tuning strategy with covariance constraints.
result DEA improves fairness and accuracy in link prediction tasks.

Domain knowledge helps detect adversarial examples in multi-label classification.

problem Detecting adversarial examples in multi-label classification.
method Convert domain knowledge into constraints and inject them into a semi-supervised learning problem.
result Domain-knowledge constraints help detect adversarial examples effectively.

We propose a method to model multi-agent behaviors with limited observation and mechanical constraints.

problem Modeling real-world multi-agent behaviors with limited observation and mechanical constraints.
method Decentralized generative models with partial observation and mechanical constraints based on hierarchical variational recurrent neural networks.
result Our method effectively models and predicts biologically plausible behaviors with minimal constraint violations.

This paper benchmarks monotone-constrained models for credit PD across datasets and finds constraints are mostly costless.

problem Aligning machine learning model behavior with domain knowledge in credit risk.
method Benchmarked monotone-constrained versus unconstrained gradient boosting models across five datasets and three libraries, defining the Price of Monotonicity (PoM) as the relative change in AUC.
result Monotonicity constraints are almost costless on large datasets and most costly on smaller datasets, with PoM ranging from essentially zero to about 2.9 percent.

Proposes a framework for partially fair machine learning models.

problem Achieving full fairness across all score ranges compromises predictive performance.
method Formulates model training as constrained optimization with difference-of-convex constraints, solvable by IDCA.
result Demonstrates high predictive performance while enforcing partial fairness in specific percentile intervals.

Recent work in learning ontologies (hierarchical and partially-ordered structures) has leveraged the intrinsic geometry of spaces of learned representations to make predictions that automatically obey complex structural constraints. We explore two extensions of one such model, the order-embedding model for hierarchical…

2017-08-01abs ↗pdf ↗