Volatility models must be rough to match market skew.
problem Inconsistent non-rough volatility models with power law volatility skew.
method Asymptotic expansion and continuous price dynamics analysis.
result Volatility must be rough to align with market skew.
Paper proves SVV model reproduces power-law skew in implied volatilities.
problem Reproducing power-law behavior in implied volatility skew.
method Analytical proof using Malliavin calculus and Volterra kernel selection.
result SVV model reproduces power-law skew under correct kernel choice.
Accumulated stock returns exhibit tempered skew t-distribution.
problem Analyzing the distribution of stock returns over multiple days.
method Employing a tempered skew t-distribution model.
result Tempered skew t-distribution fits the distribution of accumulated stock returns well.
The Black-Scholes implied volatility skew at the money of SPX options is known to obey a power law with respect to the time-to-maturity. We construct a model of the underlying asset price process which is dynamically consistent to the power law. The volatility process of the model is driven by a fractional Brownian mot…
The observation of power laws in the time to extrema of volatility, volume and intertrade times, from milliseconds to years, are shown to result straightforwardly from the selection of biased statistical subsets of realizations in otherwise featureless processes such as random walks. The bias stems from the selection o…
Paper derives new option pricing formulas and approximations for a local volatility model with discontinuity.
problem Modeling extreme ATM skew in a local volatility model with discontinuity.
method Uses joint distribution of Skew Brownian motion and its functionals to derive option pricing formulas and approximations.
result Derives an approximation of option prices by Black-Scholes prices, simplifying skew behavior.
The paper examines short-term volatilities in equity indexes using a ranking procedure.
problem Understanding short-term behaviors of implied volatility in equity markets.
method Using a ranking procedure to model equity index dynamics, the paper investigates the short-term volatilities of derivatives written on indexes.
result The models reconcile the long memory of volatilities and power law of ATM skews in equity markets.
New rough stochastic volatility models using log-modulated fractional Brownian motion.
problem Analyzing rough stochastic volatility models over the range 0≤H<1/2. method Introducing log-modulated fractional Brownian motion (log-fBm) to handle H=0 and analyze over the full range. result Obtained skew asymptotics of log(1/T)−pTH−1/2 as To0 for H≥0, no flattening of skew as Ho0. The paper examines the short-time implied volatility of additive processes and finds key parameters.
problem Characterizing the short-time implied volatility of equity markets.
method Examined pure jump exponential additive processes with power-law scaling parameters.
result The implied volatility is consistent with equity market characteristics if and only if β=1 and δ=-1/2.
In a recent paper [\textit{M. Cristelli, A. Zaccaria and L. Pietronero, Phys. Rev. E 85, 066108 (2012)}], Cristelli \textit{et al.} analysed relation between skewness and kurtosis for complex dynamical systems and identified two power-law regimes of non-Gaussianity, one of which scales with an exponent of 2 and the oth…
The Internet is known to have had a powerful impact on on-line retailer strategies in markets characterised by long-tail distribution of sales. Such retailers can exploit the long tail of the market, since they are effectively without physical limit on the number of choices on offer. Here we examine two extensions of t…
We study, both analytically and numerically, an ARCH-like, multiscale model of volatility, which assumes that the volatility is governed by the observed past price changes on different time scales. With a power-law distribution of time horizons, we obtain a model that captures most stylized facts of financial time seri…
A model is presented of the market dynamics to emphasis the effects of increasing returns to scale, including the description of the born and death of the adaptive producers. The evolution of market structure and its behavior with the technological shocks are discussed. Its dynamics is in good agreement with some empir…
Multifractal processes are a relatively new tool of stock market analysis. Their power lies in the ability to take multiple orders of autocorrelations into account explicitly. In the first part of the paper we discuss the framework of the Lux model and refine the underlying phenomenological picture. We also give a proc…
Improved neural network training for speech recognition using power-law nonlinearity and uniform distribution criterion.
problem Stability and uniformity of feature distribution in neural network training.
method Power-function based and histogram-based Maximum Uniformity of Distribution (MUD) algorithms.
result Power-function based MUD outperforms conventional MFCCs in speech recognition systems.
Anomalous diffusions arise as scaling limits of continuous-time random walks (CTRWs) whose innovation times are distributed according to a power law. The impact of a non-exponential waiting time does not vanish with time and leads to different distribution spread rates compared to standard models. In financial modellin…
We propose a stochastic map model of economic dynamics. In the last decade, an array of observations in economics has been investigated in the econophysics literature, a major example being the universal features of inequality in terms of income and wealth. Another area of inquiry is the formation of opinion in a socie…
The paper defines MTCov for skewed elliptical distributions.
problem No specific problem stated, but dealing with skewed elliptical distributions.
method Defined MTCov for generalized skew-elliptical distributions and compared with skewed and non-skewed normal distributions.
result Special formula for MTCov of generalized skew-elliptical distributions.
The paper analyzes skewness and kurtosis measures for skew-elliptical distributions.
problem Examining skewness and kurtosis measures for skew-elliptical distributions.
method Deriving exact expressions for skewness and kurtosis measures for skew-elliptical distributions, constructing test statistics, and comparing measures through simulations and real data analysis.
result Exact expressions and test statistics for skewness and kurtosis measures for various skew-elliptical distributions.
The paper calculates moments and conditional risks for skewed elliptical distributions.
problem Estimating moments and tail conditional risks for skewed elliptical distributions.
method Derives explicit expressions for multivariate doubly truncated moments and conditional risks for generalized skew-elliptical distributions.
result Explicit formulas for multivariate doubly truncated moments and conditional risks are derived for various skewed elliptical distributions.
Proposes a method to identify elements in a skewness matrix for multivariate skew-elliptical distributions.
problem Label switching issue in Bayesian estimation of skewness matrix.
method Imposes a positive lower-triangular constraint and uses Bayesian sparse estimation with horseshoe prior.
result Successfully estimates the true structure of skewness dependency.
Enhances knot counting invariant using skew braces.
problem Counting invariant for virtual knots and links.
method Introduces new invariants using skew brace structures.
result New invariants not determined by the counting invariant.
Study the geometry and dynamics of skew evolutes and involutes, related to bicycle kinematics.
problem Understanding the geometry and dynamics of skew evolutes and involutes.
method Investigate the skew evolute and involute maps, comparing them to bicycle kinematics.
result The skew evolute and involute maps have properties analogous to bicycle kinematics.
We investigate the statistical properties of the correlation matrix between individual stocks traded in the Korean stock market using the random matrix theory (RMT) and observe how these affect the portfolio weights in the Markowitz portfolio theory. We find that the distribution of the correlation matrix is positively…
Study on simplicity of Lie skew braces, proving new results for compact cases.
problem Simplicity of Lie skew braces, focusing on compact connected cases.
method Reviewing correspondence, investigating ideals and rigidity, proving main result for compact Lie skew braces.
result Compact connected simple Lie skew braces are either trivial or have simple underlying Lie groups.
The paper examines smoothness in graded skew Clifford algebras.
problem Smoothness of graded skew Clifford algebras.
method Investigation of differential smoothness.
result Results on the differential smoothness of graded skew Clifford algebras.
New SDE model from machine learning optimization with unique stationary distribution.
problem Stationary distribution of machine learning optimization models.
method Proved ergodicity and unique stationary distribution of power-law dynamic SDE.
result Power-law dynamic has a unique stationary distribution and is ergodic.
A skew loop is a closed curve without parallel tangent lines. We prove: The only complete surfaces in euclidean 3-space with a point of positive curvature and no skew loops are the quadrics. In particular, ellipsoids are the only closed surfaces without skew loops. We also prove results about skew loops on cylinders an…
Simple method solves Quanto Skew problem.
problem Quanto Skew problem in Equities and FX.
method Analytical method that accommodates Equity and FX volatility skew.
result Highly efficient and fast performance.
Skewness dispersion predicts future stock market returns, especially in months with monetary policy announcements.
problem Predicting future stock market returns using skewness dispersion.
method Cross-sectional analysis of firm-level realized skewness and stock market returns.
result Skewness dispersion is a significant predictor of future stock market returns, robust to various estimation methods.
New topological biquandles created using skew braces.
problem Creating nontrivial topological biquandles.
method Using the concept of skew braces.
result Constructs nontrivial examples of topological biquandles.
Examines differential smoothness in a specific skew PBW extension family.
problem Differential smoothness in skew PBW extensions.
method Investigates a specific family of skew PBW extensions.
result Results on differential smoothness of the family.
New condition ensures submanifolds are skew in small areas.
problem Ensuring submanifolds are skew in Euclidean space.
method Introduces a third-order differential condition.
result Constructs improved totally skew embeddings for Rn. A skew brane is an immersed codimension 2 submanifold in affine space, free from pairs of parallel tangent spaces. Using Morse theory, we prove that a skew brane cannot lie on a quadratic hypersurface. We also prove that there are no skew loops on embedded ruled developable discs in 3-space. The paper extends recent wo…
This paper classifies 4D spin manifolds with skew Killing spinors.
problem Classifying 4D Riemannian spin manifolds with skew Killing spinors.
method Analyzing skew Killing spinors with skew-symmetric endomorphisms A, considering both degenerate and non-degenerate cases.
result In the degenerate case, the manifold is locally isometric to R x N with N having a skew Killing spinor.
Superposition accelerates training to a universal power-law exponent.
problem Training dynamics in neural networks.
method Teacher-student framework and analytic theory.
result Superposition leads to a universal power-law exponent of ~1, independent of data and channel statistics.
Power laws detected in financial data, modeled with random multipliers.
problem Detecting power laws in financial data.
method Investigated data from financial instruments, proposed a model based on sums of Maxwell-Boltzmann distributions with random multipliers.
result Detected power laws with various exponents in financial data, proposed a universal model.
Complete classification of quaternionic skew-Hermitian symmetric spaces found.
problem Classifying quaternionic skew-Hermitian symmetric spaces.
method Proving the existence of a torsion-free mSO∗(2n)mSp(1)-structure and showing that any homogeneous space is symmetric. result A complete classification of quaternionic skew-Hermitian symmetric spaces for arbitrary n>1. Study refracted skew Brownian motion, find densities and asymptotics.
problem Modeling and analyzing refracted skew Brownian motion.
method Perturbation approach to find potential densities, transition density, and asymptotic behaviors.
result Expressions and asymptotic behaviors of refracted skew Brownian motion.
Following recent work by Ghomi, Solomon and Tabachnikov, we study geometry and topology of skew branes. A skew brane is a codimension 2 submanifold in affine space such that the tangent spaces at any pair of distinct points are not parallel. We prove that if an oriented closed manifold has a non-zero Euler characterist…
New RESK distributions improve robust clustering of skewed data.
problem Robustly clustering non-symmetric, heavy-tailed data clusters.
method Proposes RESK distributions and an EM algorithm with robust skew-Huber M-estimator.
result Numerical experiments confirm the effectiveness of the proposed methods.
The paper examines differential smoothness in skew PBW extensions over polynomial rings.
problem Differential smoothness in skew PBW extensions over polynomial rings.
method Investigation of skew PBW extensions over commutative polynomial rings.
result Results on differential smoothness for skew PBW extensions over polynomial rings.
A parsimonious model reduces over-parameterization in skewed matrix variate mixtures.
problem Over-parameterization in skewed matrix variate mixtures.
method Parsimonious family of 256 models using bilinear factor analyzers constrained over clusters, with AECM algorithm for estimation.
result Extensive simulations and real-world datasets (MNIST, Olivetti faces) demonstrate the method's effectiveness.
Study various submanifolds in quaternionic skew-Hermitian spaces.
problem Characterize submanifolds in almost quaternionic skew-Hermitian manifolds.
method Construct explicit examples of submanifolds in semisimple quaternionic skew-Hermitian symmetric spaces.
result Explicit examples of submanifolds for each type considered.
Study finds rough volatility models underperform in SPX option pricing.
problem Inconsistency of rough volatility models with SPX option prices.
method Empirical study using SPX options data, comparing rough and Markovian models.
result Rough volatility models with H∈(0,1/2) are inconsistent with SPX smiles, especially at short maturities. Study of historic stock returns distributions, highlighting asymmetry and outliers.
problem Understanding the asymmetry in accumulated gains and losses in stock returns over time.
method Analyzing decades-long historic distributions of S&P500 returns, comparing gains and losses, using statistical U-tests and fitting log-log scale linearly.
result The mean of de-trended distributions increases linearly with the number of days of accumulation, and the overall skew is negative, indicating heavier tails of losses.
Optimizes option portfolios for skewed-t returns using VaR and variance measures.
problem Optimizing portfolios for skewed-t returns with heavy tails and skewness.
method Uses variance and VaR measures, departing from normal returns, and provides explicit portfolio weights.
result Optimal portfolio weights differ significantly from variance optimal weights due to skewness.
Study on KRR with power-law data, showing better sample complexity.
problem High-dimensional kernel ridge regression with anisotropic power-law covariance.
method Explicit characterization of kernel spectrum and asymptotic analysis of excess risk.
result Sample complexity is governed by effective dimension, not ambient dimension.