Study designs neural networks for fault localization, state estimation, and optimal PMU placement in power systems.
problem Fault localization, state estimation, and optimal PMU placement in power systems.
method Designs and compares various neural networks for fault localization, builds machine learning schemes for state estimation and parameter estimation, and designs an algorithm for optimal PMU placement.
result Comprehensive comparison of neural networks for fault localization shows that Graphical Convolutional NN and Neural Graph-based ODE perform best.
PhI-GPR improves power grid state estimation and forecasting.
problem Accurate state estimation and forecasting in power grids with sparse measurements.
method Physics-informed Gaussian process regression (PhI-GPR) for stochastic differential equations.
result PhI-GPR provides more accurate forecasts and estimates of power grid states compared to ARIMA.
Contemporary power grids are being challenged by rapid voltage fluctuations that are caused by large-scale deployment of renewable generation, electric vehicles, and demand response programs. In this context, monitoring the grid's operating conditions in real time becomes increasingly critical. With the emergent large …
The problem of state estimation for unobservable distribution systems is considered. A deep learning approach to Bayesian state estimation is proposed for real-time applications. The proposed technique consists of distribution learning of stochastic power injection, a Monte Carlo technique for the training of a deep ne…
Due to the insufficient measurements in the distribution system state estimation (DSSE), full observability and redundant measurements are difficult to achieve without using the pseudo measurements. The matrix completion state estimation (MCSE) combines the matrix completion and power system model to estimate voltage b…
Deregulation of energy markets, penetration of renewables, advanced metering capabilities, and the urge for situational awareness, all call for system-wide power system state estimation (PSSE). Implementing a centralized estimator though is practically infeasible due to the complexity scale of an interconnection, the c…
We consider the problem of reconstructing the dynamic state matrix of transmission power grids from time-stamped PMU measurements in the regime of ambient fluctuations. Using a maximum likelihood based approach, we construct a family of convex estimators that adapt to the structure of the problem depending on the avail…
A new real-time method estimates system matrices and states using Kalman filter.
problem Real-time estimation of system matrices and states using Kalman filter.
method Estimation in an observation space, time-invariant interval, and online learning framework.
result Extraordinary performance in estimating matrices for damped oscillation model.
Extended quantum state result for gl_n weight systems.
problem Quantum states associated with gl_n weight systems.
method Extended Corfield et al. result to all gl_n weight systems.
result All gl_n weight systems are quantum states.
The increasing complexity of the power grid, due to higher penetration of distributed resources and the growing availability of interconnected, distributed metering devices re- quires novel tools for providing a unified and consistent view of the system. A computational framework for power systems data fusion, based on…
A Semi-Hidden Markov Model (SHMM) for bursty error channels is defined by a state transition probability matrix A, a prior probability vector Π, and the state dependent output symbol error probability matrix B. Several processes are utilized for estimating A, Π and B from a given empirically obtained or sim…
LIQSS method improves accuracy and efficiency for power system simulations.
problem Accurately modeling and simulating long-duration mission profiles of Naval power systems.
method Linear Implicit Quantized State System (LIQSS) method for stiff, nonlinear, differential algebraic equations.
result LIQSS1 method yields results within 1% accuracy of continuous methods and increases efficiency logarithmically with quantization size.
Auto-regressive models learn latent states from partially observed linear dynamical systems.
problem Understanding how auto-regressive models learn latent representations from partially observed linear dynamical systems.
method Empirical risk minimization on partially observed linear dynamical systems.
result Two-layer linear auto-regressive models learn to approximate Kalman filtering, coinciding with optimal state estimates.
We propose a framework for modeling and estimating the state of controlled dynamical systems, where an agent can affect the system through actions and receives partial observations. Based on this framework, we propose the Predictive State Representation with Random Fourier Features (RFFPSR). A key property in RFF-PSRs …
This paper introduces a novel framework to construct the region of attraction (ROA) of a power system centered around a stable equilibrium by using stable state trajectories of system dynamics. Most existing works on estimating ROA rely on analytical Lyapunov functions, which are subject to two limitations: the analyti…
Sparse oblique decision tree improves security rules for renewable power systems.
problem Identifying secure operating conditions in power systems with high renewable energy.
method Sparse weighted oblique decision tree to learn and embed linear security rules.
result The method significantly increases secure states and reduces solution time.
The growing complexity of the power grid, driven by increasing share of distributed energy resources and by massive deployment of intelligent internet-connected devices, requires new modelling tools for planning and operation. Physics-based state estimation models currently used for data filtering, prediction and anoma…
Deep RL improves power control and scheduling for wireless multicast systems.
problem Scalable power control and scheduling for wireless multicast networks.
method Deep reinforcement learning with function approximation using a deep neural network.
result Deep RL can learn optimal power control policies for large systems.
Identifying the location of a disturbance and its magnitude is an important component for stable operation of power systems. We study the problem of localizing and estimating a disturbance in the interconnected power system. We take a model-free approach to this problem by using frequency data from generators. Specific…
This paper reformulates systemic risk measures and finds new properties and estimators.
problem Understanding and measuring systemic risk in financial networks.
method Representation of systemic risk measures in terms of univariate risk measures and quantiles determined by copulas. Empirical properties and estimators derived.
result MES is not suitable for measuring extreme risks. ES-based measures are more sensitive to power-law tails and large losses.
A new particle filter avoids resampling to improve state estimation in high dimensions.
problem Particle deprivation in high-dimensional state spaces.
method A resampling-free particle filter designed to mitigate particle deprivation.
result The filter offers a near-accurate representation of the posterior distribution in high-dimensional contexts.
AD-EnKFs use machine learning to improve data assimilation in high-dimensional systems.
problem Data assimilation in high-dimensional, unknown dynamics systems.
method Auto-differentiable ensemble Kalman filters blending machine learning and ensemble Kalman filters.
result AD-EnKFs outperform existing methods in the Lorenz-96 model.
We consider a multicast scheme recently proposed for a wireless downlink in [1]. It was shown earlier that power control can significantly improve its performance. However for this system, obtaining optimal power control is intractable because of a very large state space. Therefore in this paper we use deep reinforceme…
New algorithm for continuous-time switching systems using variational inference.
problem Inference in time-series data with continuous-time switching systems.
method Developed a variational inference algorithm combining Gaussian process approximation and posterior inference for Markov jump processes.
result Bayesian latent state estimates and point estimates of unknown parameters for arbitrary points on the real axis.
Winterization of Texas power system profitable but risky, estimated at $11.74bn over 30 years.
problem Profitability and risk of winterizing Texas power system infrastructure.
method Combined temperature-dependent load and outage estimates over 71 years of climate data.
result Large-scale winterization of gas infrastructure and power plants is profitable, but risks are high due to low-frequency of cold spells.
An Atlas model is a rank-based system of continuous semimartingales for which the steady-state values of the processes follow a power law, or Pareto distribution. For a power law, the log-log plot of these steady-state values versus rank is a straight line. Zipf's law is a power law for which the slope of this line is …
Year by year control of normal and emergency conditions of up-to-date power systems becomes an increasingly complicated problem. With the increasing complexity the existing control system of power system conditions which includes operative actions of the dispatcher and work of special automatic devices proves to be ins…
New method uses kernel methods to approximate ground states of quantum Hamiltonians efficiently.
problem Approximating ground states of quantum Hamiltonians using neural networks is computationally expensive.
method Introduces a statistical learning approach using kernel methods to make optimization trivial.
result Ground state properties of arbitrary gapped quantum Hamiltonians can be reached with polynomial resources.
Paper addresses quadratic feasibility problems and their sample complexity.
problem Recovering complex vectors from quadratic measurements.
method Analyzes conditions for identifiability and explores optimization landscape.
result Gradient algorithms can converge to globally optimal solutions with high probability.
Linear dynamical systems are a fundamental and powerful parametric model class. However, identifying the parameters of a linear dynamical system is a venerable task, permitting provably efficient solutions only in special cases. This work shows that the eigenspectrum of unknown linear dynamics can be identified without…
New method learns cell trajectories and network interactions from single-cell data.
problem Network inference in systems biology from steady-state data.
method Min-entropy estimation for stochastic dynamics, leveraging both temporal and perturbational data.
result Jointly learns cellular trajectories and network interactions.
With the growth of renewable generation (RG) and the development of associated ride through curves serving as operating limits, during disturbances, on violation of these limits, the power system is at risk of losing large amounts of generation. In order to identify preventive control measures that avoid such scenarios…
A robust model handles up to 25% of outliers in time-series data for power flow calculations.
problem Handling outliers in time-series data for accurate power flow calculations.
method Robust data-driven process model with Schweppe-type generalized maximum likelihood estimator and projection statistics for outlier weighting.
result The model can handle up to 25% of outliers in the training data set.
Improved robust latent variable estimation for neural dynamics.
problem Inconsistent results due to noise and nonlinearity in existing models.
method Probabilistic approach to latent variable estimation in decomposed models.
result More accurate latent variable inference in nonlinear systems with diverse noise conditions.
Paper develops a new state estimation method for nonlinear systems.
problem State estimation for nonlinear state-space models is intractable.
method Developed a variational inference approach based on Gaussian approximations.
result The method outperforms alternative Gaussian approaches in various examples.
Paper introduces normalizing flows for accurate probabilistic energy forecasting.
problem Uncertainty in renewable energy forecasting for power systems.
method Normalizing flows for direct learning of multivariate stochastic distributions.
result Normalizing flows outperform other deep learning models in probabilistic forecasting.
Optimal estimator derived for partially observable LTI systems.
problem Optimal estimator for partially observable LTI systems.
method State-space representation for derivation of optimal estimator.
result Derivation of minimum error variance estimator for partially observable LTI systems.
The paper proposes a method to identify power system oscillation modes using blind source separation.
problem Accurately identifying oscillation modes in power systems with renewable energy sources.
method A high-order blind source identification (HOBI) algorithm based on copula statistic combined with Hilbert transform and iteration procedure.
result The method can identify all oscillation modes and model order from a single channel of observation signals, outperforming state-of-the-art methods.
Improved neural likelihood estimation for SSMs with truncated-SNL.
problem Challenges in parameter inference for state-space models.
method Truncated-SNL: a novel inference algorithm addressing SNL's limitations.
result Truncated-SNL is more accurate, scalable, and sample-efficient.
Paper uses tensor completion to estimate HVAC fan power baselines.
problem Estimating HVAC fan power without demand response.
method Tensor completion for multi-dimensional data analysis.
result Tensor completion outperforms existing baselining methods.
Robust method estimates state, input, and parameters of linear systems online.
problem Joint estimation of state, input, and parameters in noisy or outlier-prone measurements.
method Combines recursive, alternating, and iteratively-reweighted least squares into a single algorithm.
result Good performance in presence of outliers and compared to state-of-the-art methods.
GNPE improves inference for astrophysical systems.
problem Efficiently incorporating geometric properties like equivariances in neural density estimation.
method GNPE integrates equivariances into neural posterior estimation, standardizing data pose while estimating parameters.
result GNPE achieves state-of-the-art accuracy in astrophysical binary black hole inference, reducing inference times by 3 orders of magnitude.
Due to limited metering infrastructure, distribution grids are currently challenged by observability issues. On the other hand, smart meter data, including local voltage magnitudes and power injections, are communicated to the utility operator from grid buses with renewable generation and demand-response programs. This…
The paper tackles estimation of hidden state LTI systems of unknown order.
problem Estimation of Markov parameters and minimal realization of unknown order LTI systems.
method Hankel penalized least square estimator, Ho-Kalman algorithm, and a combined algorithm.
result Statistical guarantees for estimation error, rank recovery, and sample complexity.
The computational properties of neural systems are often thought to be implemented in terms of their network dynamics. Hence, recovering the system dynamics from experimentally observed neuronal time series, like multiple single-unit (MSU) recordings or neuroimaging data, is an important step toward understanding its c…
Motivated by the need for accurate frequency information, a novel algorithm for estimating the fundamental frequency and its rate of change in three-phase power systems is developed. This is achieved through two stages of Kalman filtering. In the first stage a quaternion extended Kalman filter, which provides a unified…
We develop a new method to estimate failure probabilities in complex systems.
problem Estimating failure probabilities in safety-critical autonomous systems is challenging due to the rarity of failures and large state spaces.
method We propose an adaptive importance sampling algorithm that minimizes forward Kullback-Leibler divergence and uses Markov score ascent methods.
result Our method provides more accurate failure probability estimates than existing techniques.
We address the problem of maintaining high voltage power transmission networks in security at all time, namely anticipating exceeding of thermal limit for eventual single line disconnection (whatever its cause may be) by running slow, but accurate, physical grid simulators. New conceptual frameworks are calling for a p…