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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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228457685913 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for power sets

Decision-calibrated prediction sets improve power system operations by reducing unnecessary costs.

problem Balancing operating costs and reliability in power systems with renewable uncertainty.
method Learn conditional prediction sets as sub-level sets of norm-based score functions, calibrate uncertainty sets based on reliability of downstream decisions.
result Decision-calibrated sets lead to more efficient operations with smaller uncertainty sets and lower costs compared to standard coverage-based calibration.

Study improves treatment effect estimation using unlabeled covariates.

problem Estimating treatment effects with limited labeled data.
method Developed efficiency bounds and estimators for semi-supervised setting.
result Estimators using unlabeled covariates have lower asymptotic variance.

We use data on wealth of the richest persons taken from the "rich lists" provided by business magazines like Forbes to verify if upper tails of wealth distributions follow, as often claimed, a power-law behaviour. The data sets used cover the world's richest persons over 1996-2012, the richest Americans over 1988-2012,…

2013-03-31abs ↗pdf ↗

This work establishes properties on diffeological structures for set-valued maps and measures.

problem Establish rigorous properties on diffeological structures for set-valued maps and measures.
method Using diffeologies, the authors link various structures including set-valued maps, relations, gradients, measures, and shape analysis.
result Established rigorous properties on sample diffeologies.

Signed graphs encode positive (attractive) and negative (repulsive) relations between nodes. We extend spectral clustering to signed graphs via the one-parameter family of Signed Power Mean Laplacians, defined as the matrix power mean of normalized standard and signless Laplacians of positive and negative edges. We pro…

2019-05-15abs ↗pdf ↗

A method uses ITD and XGBoost for precise power transformer fault diagnosis.

problem Fault diagnosis of power transformers using DGA data.
method Ranking DGA parameters by skewness, extracting ITD features, and using an XGBoost classifier.
result The method achieves over 95% accuracy in classification.

The paper constructs hypersurfaces translating under powers of Gauss curvature.

problem Existence of hypersurfaces translating under powers of Gauss curvature.
method Constructs complete convex hypersurfaces in R^(n+1) translating under flow by powers of Gauss curvature.
result Existence of translators whose level set converges to various shapes like sphere, simplex, and hypercube.

Power system studies require the topological structures of real-world power networks; however, such data is confidential due to important security concerns. Thus, power grid synthesis (PGS), i.e., creating realistic power grids that imitate actual power networks, has gained significant attention. In this letter, we cas…

2019-01-17abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper shows how to construct sequential tests with power one against weakly compact sets in Polish spaces.

problem Testing composite null hypotheses involving weakly compact sets in Polish spaces.
method Develops sequential tests for i.i.d. laws in Polish spaces, providing a sufficient condition for power one.
result Power-one sequential tests exist for weakly compact sets against their complements in i.i.d. laws in Polish spaces.

Recently, Sogge-Zelditch and Colding-Minicozzi gave new power law lower bounds on the size of the nodal sets of eigenfunctions. The purpose of this short note is to point out a third method to obtain a power law lower bound on the volume of the nodal sets. Our method is based on the Donnelly-Fefferman growth bound for …

2010-10-21abs ↗pdf ↗

Let L be a holomorphic line bundle with a positively curved singular Hermitian metric over a complex manifold X. One can define naturally the sequence of Fubini-Study currents associated to the space of square integrable holomorphic sections of the p-th tensor powers of L. Assuming that the singular set of the metric i…

2011-08-25abs ↗pdf ↗

Conditional independence testing is a key problem required by many machine learning and statistics tools. In particular, it is one way of evaluating the usefulness of some features on a supervised prediction problem. We propose a novel conditional independence test in a predictive setting, and show that it achieves bet…

2019-07-31abs ↗pdf ↗

PPI++ uses machine learning predictions to improve inference from small datasets.

problem Efficient inference from small labeled datasets with high-quality predictions.
method Adapts prediction-powered inference (PPI) to compute confidence sets for any parameter dimensionality.
result Improves classical intervals using only labeled data, always yielding better results.

We use Nathanson's gg-adic representation of integers to relate metric properties of Cayley graphs of the integers with respect to various infinite generating sets SS to problems in additive number theory. If SS consists of all powers of a fixed integer gg, we find explicit formulas for the smallest positive intege…

2017-11-02abs ↗pdf ↗

Power and reproducibility are key to enabling refined scientific discoveries in contemporary big data applications with general high-dimensional nonlinear models. In this paper, we provide theoretical foundations on the power and robustness for the model-free knockoffs procedure introduced recently in Candès, Fan, Jans…

2017-08-31abs ↗pdf ↗

Multilayer graphs encode different kind of interactions between the same set of entities. When one wants to cluster such a multilayer graph, the natural question arises how one should merge the information different layers. We introduce in this paper a one-parameter family of matrix power means for merging the Laplacia…

2018-03-01abs ↗pdf ↗

A robust model handles up to 25% of outliers in time-series data for power flow calculations.

problem Handling outliers in time-series data for accurate power flow calculations.
method Robust data-driven process model with Schweppe-type generalized maximum likelihood estimator and projection statistics for outlier weighting.
result The model can handle up to 25% of outliers in the training data set.

We present a unified method, based on convex optimization, for managing the power produced and consumed by a network of devices over time. We start with the simple setting of optimizing power flows in a static network, and then proceed to the case of optimizing dynamic power flows, i.e., power flows that change with ti…

2019-03-14abs ↗pdf ↗

Style Miner generates stable and significant style factors for time series analysis.

problem Finding significant and stable explanatory factors in high-dimensional time series data.
method Proposes a reinforcement learning method to balance explanatory power and stability constraints.
result Outperforms existing methods by a large margin and achieves a 10% gain in R-squared explanatory power.

We explore machine learning methods for AC Optimal Powerflow (ACOPF) - the task of optimizing power generation in a transmission network according while respecting physical and engineering constraints. We present two formulations of ACOPF as a machine learning problem: 1) an end-to-end prediction task where we directly…

2019-10-19abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper analyzes how conformal prediction works with contaminated reference data.

problem The impact of contamination on the validity and power of conformal prediction methods.
method The paper analyzes the impact of contamination on the validity of conformal methods and proposes a data-cleaning framework to enhance power.
result The proposed data-cleaning framework can effectively enhance power while maintaining type-I error control.

Our aim is to prove that two formal power series of importance to quantum topology are Gevrey. These series are the Kashaev invariant of a knot (reformulated by Huynh and the second author) and the Gromov norm of the LMO of an integral homology 3-sphere. It follows that the power series associated to a simple Lie algeb…

2006-09-21abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper extends prediction-powered inference using conformal prediction for robust and valid imputation.

problem Safe use of black-box ML models for imputing missing data with strong guarantees.
method Connecting prediction-powered inference with conformal prediction for valid and additional guarantees.
result First general prediction-powered procedure for e-values operating off-line.

The nonzero level sets of a homogeneous, logarithmically homogeneous, or translationally homogeneous function are affine spheres if and only if the Hessian determinant of the function is a multiple of a power or an exponential of the function. In particular, the nonzero level sets of a homogeneous polynomial are proper…

2013-07-20abs ↗pdf ↗

We consider streaming principal component analysis when the stochastic data-generating model is subject to perturbations. While existing models assume a fixed covariance, we adopt a robust perspective where the covariance matrix belongs to a temporal uncertainty set. Under this setting, we provide fundamental limits on…

2019-02-08abs ↗pdf ↗

Graph Attention Networks predict power outage durations from natural disasters.

problem Accurately predicting power outage durations from geospatial and weather data.
method Graph Attention Networks (GAT) for semi-supervised learning.
result GAT model outperforms existing methods by 2% - 15% in accuracy.

Flexible GP model improves wind power prediction accuracy.

problem Accurate probabilistic prediction of wind power for grid stability.
method Heteroscedastic non-stationary Gaussian process with generalised spectral mixture kernel.
result The proposed model outperforms conventional GP models in wind power prediction.

Power-SMC reduces inference latency for training-free LLM reasoning.

problem Training-free LLM reasoning with low latency.
method Power-SMC, a training-free Sequential Monte Carlo scheme targeting sequence-level power distribution.
result Power-SMC reduces inference latency from 16-28× to 1.4-3.3× over baseline decoding.

The paper examines properties of self-affine Sierpiński sponges using metric invariants.

problem Investigating properties of self-affine Sierpiński sponges using metric invariants.
method Examined through maximal power law property and perfectly disconnectedness.
result Characterized self-affine Sierpiński sponges by their metric properties.

The effects of saving and spending patterns on holding time distribution of money are investigated based on the ideal gas-like models. We show the steady-state distribution obeys an exponential law when the saving factor is set uniformly, and a power law when the saving factor is set diversely. The power distribution c…

2005-07-20abs ↗pdf ↗

Deep learning (DL) creates impactful advances following a virtuous recipe: model architecture search, creating large training data sets, and scaling computation. It is widely believed that growing training sets and models should improve accuracy and result in better products. As DL application domains grow, we would li…

2017-12-01abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper optimizes power grid protection settings to maximize network degradation due to cascading attacks.

problem Cascading attacks on power grids and their undetected nature.
method Constrained Bayesian Optimization applied to transmission line protection settings.
result Even limited misconfiguration of protection settings can cause severe cascading attacks.

Optimizes power systems with energy storage under uncertainty using scenario-based method.

problem Optimizing power systems with energy storage, intermittent renewable generation, and uncontrollable loads under uncertainty.
method Developed a novel solution method based on scenario optimization and strategic sampling to solve the chance-constrained optimal power system operation problem.
result The strategic sampling method significantly improves computational efficiency and data-driven convex approximation of power flow.

One of the first steps to understand and forecast economic downturns is identifying their frequency distribution, but it remains uncertain. This problem is common in phenomena displaying power-law-like distributions. Power laws play a central role in complex systems theory; therefore, the current limitations in the ide…

2013-10-09abs ↗pdf ↗