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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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85170255340 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for power output

DeepICMGP surrogate models multiple outputs efficiently.

problem Challenges in modeling dependencies between multiple outputs using traditional multi-output GPs.
method Introduces hierarchical coregionalization structures across layers in DGPs.
result Demonstrates competitive performance and active learning strategies.

Multi-output regression models must exploit dependencies between outputs to maximise predictive performance. The application of Gaussian processes (GPs) to this setting typically yields models that are computationally demanding and have limited representational power. We present the Gaussian Process Autoregressive Regr…

2018-02-20abs ↗pdf ↗

In this chapter we take a look at the universal approximation question for stochastic feedforward neural networks. In contrast to deterministic networks, which represent mappings from a set of inputs to a set of outputs, stochastic networks represent mappings from a set of inputs to a set of probability distributions o…

2019-10-22abs ↗pdf ↗

Optimistic bounds for multi-output learning using self-bounding Lipschitz condition.

problem Learning vector-valued functions from supervised data.
method Introducing self-bounding Lipschitz condition and proving optimistic bounds using local Rademacher complexity and Srebro's inequality.
result Minimax optimal generalization bounds for multi-output learning, up to logarithmic factors.

This paper simplifies MTGP derivations for Gaussian processes.

problem Understanding the derivations of Multi-task Gaussian Process formulations and their gradients.
method Friendly derivations of Multi-task Gaussian Process formulations and their gradients.
result Simplified derivations of Multi-task Gaussian Process formulations and gradients.

A deep neural network model is a powerful framework for learning representations. Usually, it is used to learn the relation xyx \to y by exploiting the regularities in the input xx. In structured output prediction problems, yy is multi-dimensional and structural relations often exist between the dimensions. The motiv…

2015-04-28abs ↗pdf ↗

Unified study of nine multi-output conformal methods with generalized scores.

problem Challenges in extending conformal prediction to multi-output problems.
method Nine conformal methods with generalized multi-output conformity scores.
result Generalized scores ensure asymptotic conditional coverage and exact finite-sample marginal coverage.

Stochastic LWTA networks resist adversarial attacks while maintaining accuracy.

problem Adversarial robustness of neural networks.
method Replaced ReLU with stochastic LWTA activations, trained with Variational Bayesian and PGD.
result Stochastic LWTA networks achieve state-of-the-art robustness against adversarial attacks.

Differential privacy, a notion of algorithmic stability, is a gold standard for measuring the additional risk an algorithm's output poses to the privacy of a single record in the dataset. Differential privacy is defined as the distance between the output distribution of an algorithm on neighboring datasets that differ …

2019-07-03abs ↗pdf ↗

We consider a framework for structured prediction based on search in the space of complete structured outputs. Given a structured input, an output is produced by running a time-bounded search procedure guided by a learned cost function, and then returning the least cost output uncovered during the search. This framewor…

2012-06-27abs ↗pdf ↗

Many machine learning tasks can be expressed as the transformation---or \emph{transduction}---of input sequences into output sequences: speech recognition, machine translation, protein secondary structure prediction and text-to-speech to name but a few. One of the key challenges in sequence transduction is learning to …

2012-11-14abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper compares expressive power of GNNs, proving approximation guarantees for practical architectures.

problem Understanding the expressive power of Graph Neural Networks (GNNs).
method Theoretical framework comparing invariant and equivariant GNNs, proving approximation guarantees for practical architectures.
result Folklore Graph Neural Networks (FGNN) are the most expressive architectures for a given tensor order.

Sharp analysis of power iteration for tensor PCA, improving convergence and stopping criteria.

problem Analyzing the power iteration algorithm for tensor PCA to improve convergence and stopping criteria.
method Sharp bounds on the number of iterations, revealing a smaller algorithmic threshold, proposing a stopping criterion.
result Sharp bounds on the number of iterations required for power method to converge, revealing a smaller algorithmic threshold than previously conjectured.

As an important part of the power system, power load forecasting directly affects the national economy. The data shows that improving the load forecasting accuracy by 0.01% can save millions of dollars for the power industry. Therefore, improving the accuracy of power load forecasting has always been the pursuing goals…

2019-12-08abs ↗pdf ↗

Optimal wind farm placement using quantile constraints for better power output.

problem Optimizing wind farm placement to maximize power output considering spatial and temporal wind speed correlations.
method Used a probabilistic neural network with ReLU activation functions to reformulate constraints as linear ones, embedding them into a two-stage stochastic optimization problem.
result The constraint learning approach outperforms classical methods, especially for risk-averse investors.

A scalable method for efficient inference in Gaussian process regression networks.

problem Intractable inference in Gaussian process regression networks (GPRN).
method Tensorization of output space, tensor/matrix-normal variational posteriors, joint optimization, and exploiting Kronecker product structure.
result Captures posterior dependencies and improves inference quality for large number of outputs.

Study short-term wind power and speed predictions using machine learning.

problem Accurate short-term wind power and speed predictions for energy systems.
method Combining numerical weather prediction models with local observations, using machine learning for variable selection and forecasting.
result Improved wind power and speed predictions for 4-hour ahead using machine learning.

Flexible GP model improves wind power prediction accuracy.

problem Accurate probabilistic prediction of wind power for grid stability.
method Heteroscedastic non-stationary Gaussian process with generalised spectral mixture kernel.
result The proposed model outperforms conventional GP models in wind power prediction.

Within machine learning, the supervised learning field aims at modeling the input-output relationship of a system, from past observations of its behavior. Decision trees characterize the input-output relationship through a series of nested ifthenelseif-then-else questions, the testing nodes, leading to a set of predictions, th…

2017-04-26abs ↗pdf ↗

A deep neural network (DNN) based power control method is proposed, which aims at solving the non-convex optimization problem of maximizing the sum rate of a multi-user interference channel. Towards this end, we first present PCNet, which is a multi-layer fully connected neural network that is specifically designed for…

2018-07-26abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper introduces a method for learning nonparametric Volterra kernels using Gaussian processes.

problem Learning nonparametric nonlinear operators from data.
method NVKM model using Volterra series and Gaussian processes for unobserved and observed input functions.
result The NVKM model can perform both single and multiple output regression and system identification.

Innovative neural networks reduce memory usage for efficient, accurate segmentation.

problem Efficiently segmenting large graphs with limited memory.
method Iterative neural networks with loops and multiple outputs.
result State-of-the-art semantic segmentation results on demanding datasets.

The generalization performance of kernel methods is largely determined by the kernel, but common kernels are stationary thus input-independent and output-independent, that limits their applications on complicated tasks. In this paper, we propose a powerful and efficient spectral kernel learning framework and learned ke…

2019-09-11abs ↗pdf ↗

Generative Augmented Inference improves AI-generated data for causal inference.

problem Challenges in using AI-generated annotations for reliable causal inference.
method Generative Augmented Inference (GAI) treats AI outputs as informative features for learning true labels, flexibly modeling the relationship using nonparametric methods.
result GAI significantly reduces estimation error and improves confidence interval quality compared to human-only and PPI-based methods.

Study shows limitations and possibilities of learning quantum circuit output distributions.

problem Learnability of output distributions of local quantum circuits.
method Investigated within two oracle models: statistical query model and direct sample access model.
result Output distributions of super-logarithmic depth Clifford circuits are not efficiently learnable in the statistical query model.

Complex textual information extraction tasks are often posed as sequence labeling or \emph{shallow parsing}, where fields are extracted using local labels made consistent through probabilistic inference in a graphical model with constrained transitions. Recently, it has become common to locally parametrize these models…

2018-09-28abs ↗pdf ↗

New method predicts wind farm power and wakes using weather patterns.

problem Inefficient and computationally intensive wind energy resource assessment.
method Unsupervised clustering of ERA5 data on wind velocity, WRF simulations at cluster centers, and post-processing.
result Accurate long-term predictions of power and wakes with reduced computational time.

Study uses OT to simulate markets, revealing power-law returns are driven by informational effect.

problem Reproduce power-law returns in financial markets using realistic simulations.
method Constructed artificial markets, used optimal transport (OT) to measure similarity, incrementally introduced behavioral components.
result Informational effect of prices is dominant in reproducing power-law returns, and multiple components interact synergistically.

Proposes a method for evaluating multiple dimensions of organizational effectiveness using DEA.

problem Evaluating multiple dimensions of organizational effectiveness in large data sets.
method Introduces two regularized DEA models (SBM and GP-SBM) to estimate both dimension-specific and aggregate efficiency scores.
result Demonstrates improved efficiency and validity compared to conventional methods.

Recurrent neural networks (RNNs) are powerful constructs capable of modeling complex systems, up to and including Turing Machines. However, learning such complex models from finite training sets can be difficult. In this paper we empirically show that RNNs can learn models of computer peripheral devices through input a…

2018-05-21abs ↗pdf ↗

A method for predicting signals on graphs using Gaussian processes and optimal transport.

problem Predicting signals on complex, graph-based inputs with uncertainty quantification.
method Combining regularized optimal transport, dimension reduction, and Gaussian processes indexed by graphs.
result Efficient prediction of signals on graphs with confidence intervals.

Sandpile Economics explains how economies can be prone to large crises from small shocks.

problem Capitalist economies' recurrent crises disproportionate to shocks.
method Formal framework interpreting instability as geometric fragility of production networks.
result Curvature of production networks predicts medium-run output dynamics and resilience.