A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
New method achieves faster calibration without randomization.
A family of maximum mean discrepancy (MMD) kernel two-sample tests is introduced. Members of the test family are called Block-tests or B-tests, since the test statistic is an average over MMDs computed on subsets of the samples. The choice of block size allows control over the tradeoff between test power and computatio…
The paper examines the stability of binary choice models using Gini index and scoring indicators.
Power series invariant of hyperbolic 3-manifolds matches knot invariants.
Paper characterizes MDM for consumer choice modeling and prediction.
This paper analyzes and improves convergence in federated learning with biased client selection.
GBM outperforms DL in credit scoring tasks, but performance depends on dataset.
Study evaluates RKHS choices for assessing graph models using KSD tests.
Paper addresses reward hacking in preference optimization, proposing POWER-DL to improve AI alignment.
Improved Bayesian inference using power priors with historical data.
Spectral risk measures are attractive risk measures as they allow the user to obtain risk measures that reflect their risk-aversion functions. To date there has been very little guidance on the choice of risk-aversion functions underlying spectral risk measures. This paper addresses this issue by examining two popular …
Providing users with alternatives to choose from is an essential component in many online platforms, making the accurate prediction of choice vital to their success. A renewed interest in learning choice models has led to significant progress in modeling power, but most current methods are either limited in the types o…
Symmetric Positive Definite (SPD) matrices have been used in many fields of medical data analysis. Many Riemannian metrics have been defined on this manifold but the choice of the Riemannian structure lacks a set of principles that could lead one to choose properly the metric. This drives us to introduce the principle …
The Internet is known to have had a powerful impact on on-line retailer strategies in markets characterised by long-tail distribution of sales. Such retailers can exploit the long tail of the market, since they are effectively without physical limit on the number of choices on offer. Here we examine two extensions of t…
The paper calculates how fast optimal investment strategies approach CRRA strategies in stochastic factor models.
For a symplectic manifold with quantizing line bundle, a choice of almost complex structure determines a Laplacian acting on tensor powers of the bundle. For high tensor powers Guillemin-Uribe showed that there is a well-defined cluster of low-lying eigenvalues, whose distribution is described by a spectral density fun…
Improvement of statistical learning models in order to increase efficiency in solving classification or regression problems is still a goal pursued by the scientific community. In this way, the support vector machine model is one of the most successful and powerful algorithms for those tasks. However, its performance d…
Paper proves SVV model reproduces power-law skew in implied volatilities.
New factorial power constants improve optimization convergence rates.
Route Choice Models predict the route choices of travelers traversing an urban area. Most of the route choice models link route characteristics of alternative routes to those chosen by the drivers. The models play an important role in prediction of traffic levels on different routes and thus assist in development of ef…
Nonparametric two sample testing is a decision theoretic problem that involves identifying differences between two random variables without making parametric assumptions about their underlying distributions. We refer to the most common settings as mean difference alternatives (MDA), for testing differences only in firs…
We introduce a semi-supervised discrete choice model to calibrate discrete choice models when relatively few requests have both choice sets and stated preferences but the majority only have the choice sets. Two classic semi-supervised learning algorithms, the expectation maximization algorithm and the cluster-and-label…
We consider a non-projective class of inhomogeneous random graph models with interpretable parameters and a number of interesting asymptotic properties. Using the results of Bollobás et al. [2007], we show that i) the class of models is sparse and ii) depending on the choice of the parameters, the model is either scale…
We model a closed economic system with interactions that generates the features of empirical wealth distribution across all wealth brackets, namely a Gibbsian trend in the lower and middle wealth range and a Pareto trend in the higher range, by simply limiting the an agents' interaction to only agents with nearly the s…
Analyzes new economic paradigm for non-independent consumer choices.
We show how to reduce the problem of computing VaR and CVaR with Student T return distributions to evaluation of analytical functions of the moments. This allows an analysis of the risk properties of systems to be carefully attributed between choices of risk function (e.g. VaR vs CVaR); choice of return distribution (p…
Two-sample tests using MMD control type I error and achieve optimal power.
3-layer NTK models generalize better than 2-layer models, especially with large input dimensions.
Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) methods provide an elaborate approach to Bayesian inference on complex models, including model choice. Both theoretical arguments and simulation experiments indicate, however, that model posterior probabilities may be poorly evaluated by standard ABC techniques. We propose a novel…
This paper solves the dynamic portfolio choice problem. Using an explicit solution with a power utility, we construct a bridge between a continuous and discrete VAR model to assess portfolio sensitivities. We find, from a well analyzed example that the optimal allocation to stocks is particularly sensitive to Sharpe ra…
Whereas deep neural network (DNN) is increasingly applied to choice analysis, it is challenging to reconcile domain-specific behavioral knowledge with generic-purpose DNN, to improve DNN's interpretability and predictive power, and to identify effective regularization methods for specific tasks. This study designs a pa…
Bayesian neural networks' performance varies with prior choice, affecting their ability to identify unknowns.
Paper extends top-k Mallows model for better user preference analysis.
Study presents MMC model for better fitting multiple choice data.
Survey of RL methods for optimizing power grid topologies.
OptCS optimizes model selection after conformal inference, controlling FDR and power loss.
In discrete choice modeling (DCM), model misspecifications may lead to limited predictability and biased parameter estimates. In this paper, we propose a new approach for estimating choice models in which we divide the systematic part of the utility specification into (i) a knowledge-driven part, and (ii) a data-driven…
In this paper the Buchen's pricing formulae of (higher order) asset and bond binary options are incorporated into the pricing formula of power binary options and a pricing formula of "the normal distribution standard options" with the maturity payoff related to a power function and the density function of normal distri…
Extends PPI to sequential setting, improving inference over time.
A new baseline for Shapley values in MLPs considers model use.
In kernel methods, the median heuristic has been widely used as a way of setting the bandwidth of RBF kernels. While its empirical performances make it a safe choice under many circumstances, there is little theoretical understanding of why this is the case. Our aim in this paper is to advance our understanding of the …
Symmetric Positive Definite (SPD) matrices have been widely used in medical data analysis and a number of different Riemannian met-rics were proposed to compute with them. However, there are very few methodological principles guiding the choice of one particular metric for a given application. Invariance under the acti…
Let be a Garside group with Garside element , and let be the minimal positive central power of . An element is said to be 'periodic' if some power of it is a power of . In this paper, we study periodic elements in Garside groups and their conjugacy classes. We show that the periodicity of an…
Spectral risk measures (SRMs) are risk measures that take account of user riskaversion, but to date there has been little guidance on the choice of utility function underlying them. This paper addresses this issue by examining alternative approaches based on exponential and power utility functions. A number of problems…
Bayesian methods detect significant IIA violations in similarity choice data.
New method controls false discoveries in structured hypothesis spaces.
Study improves choice model accuracy and heterogeneity representation using mixture models.
We introduce and study a simple model of a limit order-driven market. Traders in this model can either trade at the market price or place a limit order, i.e. an instruction to buy (sell) a certain amount of the stock if its price falls below (raises above) a predefined level. The choice between these two options is pur…