Study compares machine learning methods for improving wind gust forecasts.
problem Improving accuracy of wind gust forecasts from ensemble models.
method Comprehensive comparison of 8 statistical and machine learning methods.
result Locally adaptive neural networks significantly outperform other methods.
Postprocessing reduces Bayesian optimization steps for global optima.
problem Slow convergence in Bayesian optimization for high-dimensional problems.
method Prohibits duplicated samples in the dataset postprocessing method.
result Significantly reduces the number of sequential steps to find the global optimum.
Neural networks learn from ensemble forecasts without considering their order.
problem Improving reliability of probabilistic weather forecasts.
method Permutation-invariant neural networks for postprocessing ensemble forecasts.
result Models achieve state-of-the-art prediction quality in surface temperature and wind gust forecasts.
Real-valued word representations have transformed NLP applications; popular examples are word2vec and GloVe, recognized for their ability to capture linguistic regularities. In this paper, we demonstrate a {\em very simple}, and yet counter-intuitive, postprocessing technique -- eliminate the common mean vector and a f…
A new method predicts precipitation distributions from ensemble forecasts.
problem Improving accuracy and calibration of precipitation forecasts.
method Distributional regression U-Nets for postprocessing ensemble precipitation forecasts.
result Competitive performance in continuous ranked probability score, especially for heavy precipitation.
New method improves probabilistic electricity price predictions.
problem Improving point forecasts to probabilistic distributions for better decision-making.
method Isotonic Distributional Regression combined with other postprocessing methods.
result Isotonic Distributional Regression outperforms other methods in combining probabilistic distributions.
A prediscretisation of numerical attributes which is required by some rule learning algorithms is a source of inefficiencies. This paper describes new rule tuning steps that aim to recover lost information in the discretisation and new pruning techniques that may further reduce the size of rule models and improve their…
The VIX is used to enhance quantitative trading strategies.
problem Improving Sharpe ratio and reducing trading risks in quantitative strategies.
method Postprocessing quantitative strategies with VIX signals.
result Increased Sharpe ratio and reduced trading risks.
Bias correction needed after deep learning regression training.
problem Systematic error accumulation in deep learning regression models.
method Adjust bias of the machine learning model post-training.
result Bias correction efficiently solves error accumulation.
Most approaches aiming to ensure a model's fairness with respect to a protected attribute (such as gender or race) assume to know the true value of the attribute for every data point. In this paper, we ask to what extent fairness interventions can be effective even when only imperfect information about the protected at…
Study improves distributional regression evaluation with CRPS, finding optimal rates of convergence.
problem Improving probabilistic forecasts in meteorology using distributional regression.
method Extends theoretical properties of CRPS evaluation to include covariates and finite sample sizes, analyzing convergence rates for different methods.
result Optimal minimax rate of convergence for distributional regression methods is achieved by k-nearest neighbor and kernel methods.
Separating a singing voice from its music accompaniment remains an important challenge in the field of music information retrieval. We present a unique neural network approach inspired by a technique that has revolutionized the field of vision: pixel-wise image classification, which we combine with cross entropy loss a…
ANN clusters multi-view data by agglomerating subviews and avoiding postprocessing.
problem Challenges in multi-view clustering, especially subview agglomeration.
method Agglomerative Neural Network (ANN) using Constrained Laplacian Rank.
result ANN outperforms state-of-the-art methods in multi-view clustering.
Autoencoder detects subtle changes in time series data.
problem Detect abrupt changes in time series data with high accuracy.
method Autoencoder with time-invariant representation and postprocessing.
result Outperforms baseline methods on various data sets.
A new measure PC allows fair comparison of AIWP and NWP models.
problem Fair comparison of AIWP and NWP model outputs.
method Postprocessing deterministic model outputs with isotonic distributional regression (IDR) and calculating PC as mean CRPS of postprocessed forecasts.
result The GraphCast model outperforms the ECMWF HRES model in WeatherBench 2 data.
The issue of disagreements amongst human experts is a ubiquitous one in both machine learning and medicine. In medicine, this often corresponds to doctor disagreements on a patient diagnosis. In this work, we show that machine learning models can be trained to give uncertainty scores to data instances that might result…
FNN approximates functions and solves PDEs with periodic BCs.
problem Approximating and solving periodic functions and PDEs.
method Fourier neural network architecture with activation and loss functions.
result FNN can solve PDEs with periodic BCs and is interpretable.
New framework uses background knowledge to speed up causal discovery.
problem Scalable causal discovery for large datasets.
method Utilizes background knowledge during causal discovery process.
result Background knowledge reduces computational requirements and improves structure quality.
Improved robust regression for heavy-tailed and contaminated data.
problem Linear regression with heavy-tailed and adversarially contaminated covariates and responses.
method Applying a filtering algorithm to covariates and then using Huber regression, least trimmed squares, or least absolute deviation estimators on the remaining data.
result Near-optimal error rates achieved for the Huber regression estimator.
Feature extraction for automatic classification of EEG signals typically relies on time frequency representations of the signal. Techniques such as cepstral-based filter banks or wavelets are popular analysis techniques in many signal processing applications including EEG classification. In this paper, we present a com…
Integrates differential privacy and demographic parity in multi-class classification.
problem Ensuring fairness and privacy in sensitive applications.
method Designs DP2DP algorithm that enforces both demographic parity and differential privacy.
result DP2DP converges towards demographic parity at nearly the same rate as non-private methods, achieving state-of-the-art trade-offs.
Task shift from classification to regression is possible in overparameterized linear models with limited additional data.
problem Transferability of latent knowledge from classification to regression in overparameterized linear models.
method Investigation of task shift in overparameterized linear regression, zero-shot and few-shot cases, with a focus on minimum-norm interpolation.
result Minimum-norm interpolators can transfer latent knowledge from classification to regression with limited additional data.
Method preserves correlations in synthetic data.
problem Preserving dependence structure of original data.
method Orthogonal Procrustes problem for restoring Pearson correlation.
result Restores Pearson correlation structure while preserving feature distributions and downstream tasks performance.
New algorithm consistently orients eigenvectors for machine learning.
problem Inconsistent eigenvector orientation in machine learning.
method Postprocesses well-established eigen calls to create consistently oriented eigenvectors.
result Interpretable time series of training weights in machine learning models.
DeepTopPush improves accuracy at the top for complex classification tasks.
problem Minimizing irrelevant samples above a threshold in binary classification.
method Proposes a new method for end-to-end training of deep networks to minimize loss at the top.
result Demonstrates excellent performance on visual recognition and real-world applications.
iQRA improves probabilistic forecasts of electricity prices.
problem Lack of uncertainty estimates in machine learning forecasts for volatile markets.
method Isotonic Quantile Regression Averaging (iQRA) with stochastic order constraints.
result iQRA outperforms state-of-the-art methods in reliability and sharpness.
Objective: A clinical decision support tool that automatically interprets EEGs can reduce time to diagnosis and enhance real-time applications such as ICU monitoring. Clinicians have indicated that a sensitivity of 95% with a specificity below 5% was the minimum requirement for clinical acceptance. We propose a highper…
Neural-network emulators predict sea-level changes due to Antarctic ice melt.
problem High computational cost and time in projecting sea-level changes.
method Built neural-network emulators of sea-level change using GRD effects from future Antarctic Ice Sheet mass change.
result Neural-network emulators are as accurate as baseline machine learning emulators and offer substantial computational efficiency.
New algorithms improve blind source separation for linear-quadratic mixtures.
problem Blind source separation of linear-quadratic mixtures under separability assumptions.
method Proposed two algorithms: SNPALQ and BF. SNPALQ generalizes SNPA for LQ model, BF post-processes SNPALQ.
result Proven robustness and computational tractability of SNPALQ in separating sources even with noise.
FAE framework tackles fairness in machine learning by balancing data and adjusting decision boundaries.
problem Discrimination in automated decision-making based on machine learning algorithms.
method Combines pre- and post-processing fairness interventions to address group imbalance, class imbalance, and class overlap.
result Improves fairness in machine learning models by balancing data and adjusting decision boundaries.
We consider a refinement of differential privacy --- per instance differential privacy (pDP), which captures the privacy of a specific individual with respect to a fixed data set. We show that this is a strict generalization of the standard DP and inherits all its desirable properties, e.g., composition, invariance to …
In the United States, heart disease is the leading cause of death for both men and women, accounting for 610,000 deaths each year [1]. Physicians use Magnetic Resonance Imaging (MRI) scans to take images of the heart in order to non-invasively estimate its structural and functional parameters for cardiovascular diagnos…
Manually authoring transition animations for a complete locomotion system can be a tedious and time-consuming task, especially for large games that allow complex and constrained locomotion movements, where the number of transitions grows exponentially with the number of states. In this paper, we present a novel approac…
This paper presents a novel adaptive resonance theory (ART)-based modular architecture for unsupervised learning, namely the distributed dual vigilance fuzzy ART (DDVFA). DDVFA consists of a global ART system whose nodes are local fuzzy ART modules. It is equipped with the distinctive features of distributed higher-ord…
Automatic speaker verification, like every other biometric system, is vulnerable to spoofing attacks. Using only a few minutes of recorded voice of a genuine client of a speaker verification system, attackers can develop a variety of spoofing attacks that might trick such systems. Detecting these attacks using the audi…