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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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11223344 · May 202619922001200920172026
48 results for post-hoc conversion

LUNA improves linear attention for long sequences without sacrificing accuracy.

problem Quadratic computational cost of softmax attention in long-sequence domains.
method LUNA learns a learnable kernel feature map to reduce attention cost to linear while maintaining accuracy.
result LUNA achieves state-of-the-art performance on the LRA and excels at post-hoc conversion.

Post-hoc transforms can reverse model performance trends, especially in noisy settings.

problem Post-hoc transforms can reverse model performance trends, especially in noisy settings.
method Empirical study and analysis of post-hoc transforms like temperature scaling, ensembling, and SWA.
result Post-hoc reversal can prevent double descent and mitigate mismatches between test loss and test error.

Framework evaluates post-hoc interpretability methods in time-series classification.

problem Lack of suitable post-hoc interpretability methods for time-series classification.
method Proposes a framework with quantitative metrics to assess interpretability methods.
result Addresses several drawbacks of existing methods, including dependence on human judgement and data distribution shift.

Meta-Cal improves post-hoc calibration of neural networks.

problem Improving the accuracy of uncalibrated neural network predictions.
method Meta-Cal uses a base calibrator and a ranking model with constraints to provide high-probability bounds.
result Meta-Cal significantly outperforms existing methods in post-hoc multi-class classification calibration.

Post-hoc calibration of neural networks using g-Layers proves theoretical justification.

problem Ensuring the confidence of neural network decisions in real-world applications.
method Proves theoretical justification for post-hoc calibration methods by adding g-Layers and minimizing NLL.
result Proves that adding g-Layers and minimizing NLL can lead to a calibrated network.

A post-hoc framework improves model performance by calibrating different feature spaces.

problem Improving AUC performance on binary classification tasks for overconfident models.
method Identifies heterogeneous partitions of the feature space and applies post-hoc calibration techniques to each partition.
result Theoretical optimality of the framework for any model, demonstrated on deep neural networks.

Counterfactual post-hoc interpretability approaches have been proven to be useful tools to generate explanations for the predictions of a trained blackbox classifier. However, the assumptions they make about the data and the classifier make them unreliable in many contexts. In this paper, we discuss three desirable pro…

2019-06-11abs ↗pdf ↗

While statistics and machine learning offers numerous methods for ensuring generalization, these methods often fail in the presence of adaptivity---the common practice in which the choice of analysis depends on previous interactions with the same dataset. A recent line of work has introduced powerful, general purpose a…

2018-06-15abs ↗pdf ↗

Post-hoc explanations improve CNNs by replacing final linear layer with k-means classifier.

problem CNNs lack accurate data representation in their built-in prototypes.
method Introduces k-means-based post-hoc explanations for CNNs, leveraging spatial consistency of convolutional receptive fields.
result Using shallower, less compressed feature activations improves semantic fidelity at the cost of slight predictive performance.

A novel post-hoc calibration method reduces neural network calibration errors.

problem Neural networks produce poorly calibrated probabilities, leading to underconfidence and overconfidence.
method Probability bounding (PB) via box-constrained softmax (BCSoftmax) function.
result Consistently reduces calibration errors on four real-world datasets.

TaylorPODA uses Taylor expansions to improve feature attributions for opaque models.

problem Lack of systematic framework for quantifying feature contributions in opaque models.
method Taylor expansion framework with postulates (precision, federation, zero-discrepancy, adaptation).
result TaylorPODA achieves competitive results and provides principled explanations.

Post-detection analysis identifies responsible coordinates for multivariate change-points.

problem Identifying which coordinates in multivariate time series change after a detected change-point.
method Two-sample testing procedures with nonparametric tests for Type I error control.
result Strong performance of proposed post hoc statistical procedures.

EAGLE improves reproducibility and stability of model explanations.

problem Creating reliable explanations for opaque machine learning models.
method Formulates perturbation selection as an information-theoretic active learning problem.
result EAGLE learns a linear surrogate model with feature importance scores and uncertainty estimates.

New asymptotic e-values improve inference by eliminating data-dependent scaling inefficiency.

problem Data-dependent scaling inefficiency in existing asymptotic e-values.
method Drawing on Bentkus's near-optimal concentration inequalities, introduce Bentkus-type asymptotic e-values.
result Bentkus-type asymptotic e-values consistently deliver sharper inference than existing alternatives.

Post-hoc uncertainty quantification improves on pre-trained neural networks without underfitting.

problem Uncertainty quantification in neural networks is underfitting or computationally demanding.
method Gaussian Process Activation function (GAPA) for neuron-level uncertainty, with two methods: GAPA-Free and GAPA-Variational.
result GAPA-Variational outperforms Laplace approximation on most datasets in uncertainty quantification metrics.

Improved probabilistic solar irradiance forecasting models for grid integration.

problem Enhancing accuracy of solar irradiance forecasts for grid integration.
method Developed and calibrated probabilistic models using post-hoc calibration techniques.
result NGBoost model with CRUDE calibration achieves comparable performance to numerical weather prediction models.

We describe a post hoc test for the Sharpe ratio, analogous to Tukey's test for pairwise equality of means. The test can be applied after rejection of the hypothesis that all population Signal-Noise ratios are equal. The test is applicable under a simple correlation structure among asset returns. Simulations indicate t…

2019-11-11abs ↗pdf ↗

New method calibrates neural network predictions for better reliability.

problem Improper probability estimates from deep networks leading to unreliable predictions.
method Proposes a constrained optimization approach for a monotonic calibration map.
result Achieves state-of-the-art performance across various datasets and models.

Two approaches improve conformal Bayes for label shift, one post-hoc and one in-training.

problem Improving prediction sets for target domain under label shift.
method Two complementary approaches: post-hoc calibration and in-training adaptation.
result In-training adaptation achieves up to 43% width reduction at unchanged coverage.

Combines Laplace approximations of deep networks for better uncertainty quantification.

problem Overconfident predictions on outliers in deep learning models.
method Gaussian mixture model posterior using weighted sum of Laplace approximations of pre-trained deep networks.
result Mitigates overconfidence 'far away' from training data.

Enhances deep neural networks with fixed-mean Gaussian processes for uncertainty estimation.

problem Post-hoc uncertainty estimation of pre-trained deep neural networks.
method Fixed-mean Gaussian processes with variational inference for efficient stochastic optimization.
result FMGP improves uncertainty estimation and computational efficiency compared to state-of-the-art methods.

The paper explores how model complexity affects OOD detection performance.

problem Ensuring reliability and safety of machine learning systems through OOD detection.
method Investigates the relationship between model capacity and OOD detection performance using empirical and theoretical analysis.
result The Double Descent phenomenon is observed in post-hoc OOD detection, indicating that overparameterization can enhance OOD detection.

New sampling strategy preserves relationships in multivariate scientific data.

problem Reducing storage and enabling efficient multivariate analyses on large scientific data.
method Uses principal component analysis for multivariate data and combines with existing univariate sampling algorithms.
result Efficacy demonstrated on real-world data sets, showing data reduction and multivariate analysis ease.

Unified calibration metrics improve forecast sharpness and accuracy.

problem Improving the sharpness of probabilistic forecasts while maintaining calibration.
method Kernel-based calibration metrics that unify and generalize existing methods for classification and regression.
result Enhanced calibration, sharpness, and decision-making across various tasks.

This work proves L2L_2-regularized ERM controls smCE without post-hoc correction.

problem Calibration of predicted probabilities in machine learning models.
method Canonical L2L_2-regularized empirical risk minimization.
result Theoretical proof that smCE is controlled by ERM without post-hoc correction.

Study examines cash conversion cycle in manufacturing firms, finding negative relationships with profitability and size.

problem Understanding cash conversion cycle in manufacturing firms and its impact on profitability and size.
method Empirical study of 30 manufacturing firms in Dhaka Stock Exchanges, categorizing them into six industries, analyzing industry averages and relationships with size and profitability.
result Negative relationship between cash conversion cycle and profitability, especially ROE; negative relationship with firm size in terms of net sales.

A new framework separates classifier calibration and discrimination.

problem Combining reliability and resolution in probabilistic predictions.
method Manokhin Probability Matrix separates reliability and resolution using Spiegelhalter Z-statistic and AUC-ROC.
result Classifiers are categorized into four archetypes: Eagle, Bull, Sloth, and Mole.

Proposes h-calibration for improving miscalibrated probability outputs of neural networks.

problem Improving reliability of probability outputs from neural networks.
method Probabilistic learning framework for calibration, including a simple yet effective post-hoc algorithm.
result Significantly better performance than traditional methods, validated by experiments.

Unified approach for multicalibration in weakly supervised learning.

problem Existing multicalibration methods require clean input-label pairs, which are unavailable in weakly supervised learning.
method Developed estimators and post-hoc correction methods for multicalibration under weak supervision.
result Unified framework for estimating and correcting multicalibration under weak supervision with finite-sample guarantees.

FedConPE improves conversational recommender systems efficiency and privacy.

problem Efficiently eliciting user preferences in interactive systems with heterogeneous clients.
method Phase elimination-based federated conversational bandit algorithm with adaptive key term construction.
result Minimizes uncertainty across all dimensions in feature space and offers improved efficiency and privacy.