Paper proposes a method to estimate true positive proportion without knowing it.
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Proportional transaction costs present difficult theoretical problems in trading algorithm design, on account of their lack of analytical tractability. The author derives a solution of DT-NT-DT form for an arbitrary model in which the the traded asset has diffusive dynamics described by one or more stochastic risk fact…
The paper proposes methods to estimate positive examples and learn classifiers from mixed data.
Positive-Unlabeled (PU) learning is an analog to supervised binary classification for the case when only the positive sample is clean, while the negative sample is contaminated with latent instances of positive class and hence can be considered as an unlabeled mixture. The objectives are to classify the unlabeled sampl…
Positive--unlabeled (PU) learning considers two samples, a positive set P with observations from only one class and an unlabeled set U with observations from two classes. The goal is to classify observations in U. Class mixture proportion estimation (MPE) in U is a key step in PU learning. Blanchard et al. [2010] showe…
A common approach in positive-unlabeled learning is to train a classification model between labeled and unlabeled data. This strategy is in fact known to give an optimal classifier under mild conditions; however, it results in biased empirical estimates of the classifier performance. In this work, we show that the typi…
In this paper we present a geometric control law for position and line-of-sight stabilization of the nonholonomic spherical robot actuated by three independent actuators. A simple configuration error function with an appropriately defined transport map is proposed to extract feedforward and proportional-derivative cont…
We propose an adaptive sampling approach for multiple testing which aims to maximize statistical power while ensuring anytime false discovery control. We consider distributions whose means are partitioned by whether they are below or equal to a baseline (nulls), versus above the baseline (actual positives). In addi…
Based on recent work by Futer, Kalfagianni and Purcell, we prove that the volume of sufficiently complicated positive braid links is proportional to the signature defect .
DSDE improves OoD detection by estimating model library proportions.
The problem of developing binary classifiers from positive and unlabeled data is often encountered in machine learning. A common requirement in this setting is to approximate posterior probabilities of positive and negative classes for a previously unseen data point. This problem can be decomposed into two steps: (i) t…
In the Cayley graph of the mapping class group of a closed surface, with respect to any generating set, we look at a ball of large radius centered on the identity vertex, and at the proportion among the vertices in this ball representing pseudo-Anosov elements. A well-known conjecture states that this proportion should…
Duality for robust hedging with proportional transaction costs of path dependent European options is obtained in a discrete time financial market with one risky asset. Investor's portfolio consists of a dynamically traded stock and a static position in vanilla options which can be exercised at maturity. Both the stock …
The pricing and hedging of a general class of options (including American, Bermudan and European options) on multiple assets are studied in the context of currency markets where trading is subject to proportional transaction costs, and where the existence of a risk-free numéraire is not assumed. Constructions leading t…
We provide a direct proof of a non-collapsing estimate for compact hypersurfaces with positive mean curvature moving under the mean curvature flow: Precisely, if every point on the initial hypersurface admits an interior sphere with radius inversely proportional to the mean curvature at that point, then this remains tr…
Estimates proportions of LLM-generated text in mixed documents.
New pivoting strategy improves trace norm contraction in low-rank approximation.
Most simple braids have positive topological entropy.
Study optimizes trading strategies in markets with transaction costs and uncertain models.
We prove that, in the -ball of the Cayley graph of the braid group with strands, the proportion of rigid pseudo-Anosov braids is bounded below independently of by a positive value.
The language of maximal lexicographic representatives of elements in the positive braid monoid with generators is a regular language. We describe with great detail the smallest Finite State Automaton accepting such language, and study the proportion of elements of length whose maximal lexicographic repres…
Study on estimating Gumbel--Max watermark proportions in edited documents.
Mixture proportion estimation (MPE) is the problem of estimating the weight of a component distribution in a mixture, given samples from the mixture and component. This problem constitutes a key part in many "weakly supervised learning" problems like learning with positive and unlabelled samples, learning with label no…
We consider a continuous-time market with proportional transaction costs. Under appropriate assumptions we prove the existence of optimal strategies for investors who maximize their worst-case utility over a class of possible models. We consider utility functions defined either on the positive axis or on the whole real…
EGMU optimizes portfolios using KL divergence, ensuring positive solutions.
The family of admissible positions in a transaction costs model is a random closed set, which is convex in case of proportional transaction costs. However, the convexity fails, e.g. in case of fixed transaction costs or when only a finite number of transfers are possible. The paper presents an approach to measure risks…
We study asset price bubbles in market models with proportional transaction costs and finite time horizon in the setting of [49]. By following [28], we define the fundamental value of a risky asset as the price of a super-replicating portfolio for a position terminating in one unit of the asset…
A new algorithm reconstructs population dynamics from coarse samples.
Study optimal investment and consumption strategies with various transaction costs.
The problem of existence of solution for the Heath-Jarrow-Morton equation with linear volatility and purely jump random factor is studied. Sufficient conditions for existence and non-existence of the solution in the class of bounded fields are formulated. It is shown that if the first derivative of the Levy-Khinchin ex…
American options are studied in a general discrete market in the presence of proportional transaction costs, modelled as bid-ask spreads. Pricing algorithms and constructions of hedging strategies, stopping times and martingale representations are presented for short (seller's) and long (buyer's) positions in an Americ…
Ranking metrics are a family of metrics largely used to evaluate recommender systems. However they typically suffer from the fact the reward is affected by the order in which recommended items are displayed to the user. A classical way to overcome this position bias is to uniformly shuffle a proportion of the recommend…
In this paper, we study the optimal control problem for a company whose surplus process evolves as an upward jump diffusion with random return on investment. Three types of practical optimization problems faced by a company that can control its liquid reserves by paying dividends and injecting capital. In the first pro…
We analyze a negative-parameter variant of the diversity-weighted portfolio studied by Fernholz, Karatzas, and Kardaras (Finance Stoch 9(1):1-27, 2005), which invests in each company a fraction of wealth inversely proportional to the company's market weight (the ratio of its capitalization to that of the entire market)…
Investigates how trading boundaries change with transaction costs in portfolio selection.
We investigate the limiting behavior of the unnormalized Kahler-Ricci flow on a Kahler manifold with a polarized initial Kahler metric. We prove that the Kahler-Ricci flow becomes extinct in finite time if and only if the manifold has positive first Chern class and the initial Kahler class is proportional to the first …
To convert standard Brownian motion into a positive process, Geometric Brownian motion (GBM) is widely used. We generalize this positive process by introducing an asymmetry parameter which describes the instantaneous volatility whenever the process reaches a new low. For our new process, …
Classifies low energy maps from curved surfaces into spheres.
We consider strategies of investments into options and diffusion market model. It is shown that there exists a correct proportion between "put" and "call" in the portfolio such that the average gain is almost always positive for a generic Black and Scholes model. This gain is zero if and only if the market price of ris…
New model tackles PU data with better accuracy.
We address the problem of non-parametric multiple model comparison: given candidate models, decide whether each candidate is as good as the best one(s) or worse than it. We propose two statistical tests, each controlling a different notion of decision errors. The first test, building on the post selection inference…
Probabilistic models can be defined by an energy function, where the probability of each state is proportional to the exponential of the state's negative energy. This paper considers a generalization of energy-based models in which the probability of a state is proportional to an arbitrary positive, strictly decreasing…
Consider two insurance companies (or two branches of the same company) that receive premiums at different rates and then split the amount they pay in fixed proportions for each claim (for simplicity we assume that they are equal). We model the occurrence of claims according to a Poisson process. The ruin is achieved wh…
We consider the problem of portfolio selection within the classical Markowitz mean-variance framework, reformulated as a constrained least-squares regression problem. We propose to add to the objective function a penalty proportional to the sum of the absolute values of the portfolio weights. This penalty regularizes (…
FairPOT balances fairness and AUC performance by selectively transforming risk scores.
We consider hypersurfaces in the real Euclidean space () which are relatively normalized. We give necessary and sufficient conditions a) for a surface of negative Gaussian curvature in to be ruled, b) for a hypersurface of positive Gaussian curvature in to be…
Estimates curvature of network manifolds to understand community structure.
Paper improves deep learning for instance-level classification from label proportions.