DSPO optimizes portfolio construction from raw stock data efficiently.
problem Manual design and misalignment in traditional portfolio construction methods.
method End-to-end neural network framework with Monotonical Logistic Regression loss.
result DSPO constructs optimal sorted portfolios with high performance metrics.
Improved asset pricing using uncertainty-adjusted sorting in machine learning models.
problem Ignoring asset-specific estimation uncertainty in portfolio construction.
method Uncertainty-adjusted prediction bounds for sorting assets.
result Improves portfolio performance across various ML models and equity panels.
The paper examines the stability of Fama-French multi-factor models over time.
problem Stability of Fama-French multi-factor models over time.
method Rolling window method, Fama and MacBeth's two-step estimation, generalized GRS statistics.
result The effectiveness of Fama-French factors is not stable over time in all countries.
We introduce a financial portfolio optimization framework that allows us to automatically select the relevant assets and estimate their weights by relying on a sorted ℓ1-Norm penalization, henceforth SLOPE. Our approach is able to group constituents with similar correlation properties, and with the same underlyin…
GPR ensemble method predicts stock returns efficiently.
problem Predicting stock returns using machine learning.
method Ensemble Gaussian Process Regression (GPR) for online learning.
result Method outperforms existing models in R-squared and Sharpe ratio. The purpose of this paper is to introduce a new growth adjusted price-earnings measure (GA-P/E) and assess its efficacy as measure of value and predictor of future stock returns. Taking inspiration from the interpretation of the traditional price-earnings ratio as a period of time, the new measure computes the requisit…
Machine learning factors outperform traditional portfolio optimization methods.
problem Comparing machine learning and traditional portfolio optimization methods.
method Examined machine learning and factor-based portfolio optimization using autoencoder neural networks and dimensionality reduction techniques.
result Minimum-variance portfolios using latent factors derived from autoencoders and sparse methods outperform simpler benchmarks in risk minimization.
The present study introduce the human capital component to the Fama and French five-factor model proposing an equilibrium six-factor asset pricing model. The study employs an aggregate of four sets of portfolios mimicking size and industry with varying dimensions. The first set consists of three set of six portfolios e…
The goal of this paper is to explore the relationship between momentum effects and liquidity in cryptocurrency markets. Portfolios based on momentum-liquidity bivariate sorts are formed and rebalanced on a varying number of cryptocurrencies through time. We find a strong momentum effect in the most liquid cryptocurrenc…
Study finds TVL doesn't predict cryptocurrency returns.
problem Assumption of TVL predicting returns in crypto markets.
method Examined TVL-sorted portfolios against crypto market returns, using various TVL measures.
result TVL-sorted portfolios' returns are linear functions of crypto market returns, replicable with standard tools.
A new method sorts projects using Quicksort and Bradley-Terry model for uncertain long-term benefits.
problem Selecting projects with uncertain long-term benefits.
method Combining Quicksort and Bradley-Terry model for ranking projects based on uncertain long-term benefits.
result Proposed methods outperform existing aggregation methods and can be combined with sampling techniques.
New algorithm improves asset ranking for better cross-sectional portfolios.
problem Sub-optimal ranking of assets in cross-sectional systematic strategies.
method Learning-to-rank algorithms to enhance portfolio construction.
result Modern machine learning ranking algorithms boost Sharpe Ratios by approximately threefold.
Monotonic differentiable sorting networks improve upon previous methods.
problem Non-monotonicity in differentiable sorting networks.
method Relaxation of conditional swap operations using sigmoid functions to ensure monotonicity.
result Monotonic differentiable sorting networks improve upon previous methods.
We propose an O(N⋅M) sorting algorithm by Machine Learning method, which shows a huge potential sorting big data. This sorting algorithm can be applied to parallel sorting and is suitable for GPU or TPU acceleration. Furthermore, we discuss the application of this algorithm to sparse hash table.
This paper investigates how two important sources of risk -- market tail risk and extreme market volatility risk -- are priced into the cross-section of asset returns across various investment horizons. To identify such risks, we propose a quantile spectral beta representation of risk based on the decomposition of cova…
Neural sorting network improves sorting accuracy for complex inputs.
problem Sorting complex inputs like multi-digit images.
method Differentiable swap function and permutation-equivariant Transformer network.
result Our method outperforms baseline methods on various sorting benchmarks.
The study analyzes how wartime controls influenced zaibatsu stock prices in Japan.
problem How wartime economic controls affected zaibatsu stock prices in Japan.
method Developed a four-portfolio asset-pricing model and used a CAPM-AR(p)-SV event-study framework.
result Wartime economic controls influenced stock prices through financing wedges and zaibatsu affiliation.
The study finds a liquidity premium in stock returns, but only after correcting for microstructure noise.
problem The positive association between expected idiosyncratic volatility and expected stock returns.
method Developed a novel method to eliminate microstructure influences from stock returns and estimate idiosyncratic volatility.
result The liquidity premium in value-weighted portfolios is driven by liquidity in the prior month after correcting for microstructure noise.
Honest traders can outperform insiders in a Black-Scholes market with positive probability.
problem Comparing the performance of honest and insider traders in a financial market.
method Using anticipating stochastic calculus and forward integral analysis of the Doléans-Dade exponential process.
result The honest trader can achieve higher logarithmic utility and wealth than the insider with positive probability.
We study Spectral Measures of Risk from the perspective of portfolio optimization. We derive exact results which extend to general Spectral Measures M_phi the Pflug--Rockafellar--Uryasev methodology for the minimization of alpha--Expected Shortfall. The minimization problem of a spectral measure is shown to be equivale…
Sorting an array is a fundamental routine in machine learning, one that is used to compute rank-based statistics, cumulative distribution functions (CDFs), quantiles, or to select closest neighbors and labels. The sorting function is however piece-wise constant (the sorting permutation of a vector does not change if th…
Proposes a new method for big portfolio selection using graph-based conditional moments.
problem Challenges in selecting portfolios for thousands of stocks.
method Graph-based Conditional Moments (GRACE) method: learns quantiles, means, variances, skewness, and kurtosis of stock returns.
result Shows superior performance compared to competitors, especially in measures of conditional variance, skewness, and kurtosis.
Study finds key investing characteristics for success in equity markets.
problem Understanding what traits lead to financial success in equity markets.
method Exploratory factor analysis and multiple linear regression on 403 respondents' data.
result Investing characteristics significantly impact individual investors' excess return.
Developing electrophysiological recordings of brain neuronal activity and their analysis provide a basis for exploring the structure of brain function and nervous system investigation. The recorded signals are typically a combination of spikes and noise. High amounts of background noise and possibility of electric sign…
We propose a novel concept of a Systemic Optimal Risk Transfer Equilibrium (SORTE), which is inspired by the Bühlmann's classical notion of an Equilibrium Risk Exchange. We provide sufficient general assumptions that guarantee existence, uniqueness, and Pareto optimality of such a SORTE. In both the Bühlmann and the SO…
We address the problem of learning a ranking by using adaptively chosen pairwise comparisons. Our goal is to recover the ranking accurately but to sample the comparisons sparingly. If all comparison outcomes are consistent with the ranking, the optimal solution is to use an efficient sorting algorithm, such as Quicksor…
Machine learning speeds up search procedures for sorted tables.
problem Improving the speed of sorted table search procedures.
method Systematic experimental comparison of efficient implementations with learned counterparts.
result Learned data structures can significantly speed up search procedures.
Paper introduces differentiable sorting and ranking with O(nlogn) time complexity.
problem Non-differentiability of sorting and ranking operations in machine learning.
method Differentiable proxies constructed as projections onto the permutahedron and reduction to isotonic optimization.
result First differentiable sorting and ranking operators with O(nlogn) time and O(n) space complexity. Sorting input objects is an important step in many machine learning pipelines. However, the sorting operator is non-differentiable with respect to its inputs, which prohibits end-to-end gradient-based optimization. In this work, we propose NeuralSort, a general-purpose continuous relaxation of the output of the sorting…
Proposes a new factor to improve BAB strategies by recognizing bad-beta assets.
problem Investors often misprice assets based on beta, ignoring bad-beta.
method Double-sorting on beta and bad-beta to create a new factor.
result The Betting Against Bad Beta factor improves BAB strategies.
A new model decomposes equity returns and volatilities into memory components.
problem Understanding long-term equity dynamics and volatility patterns.
method Proposes a multivariate generalization of the variance ratio to decompose long-horizon equity dynamics.
result Identifies a five-factor model capturing persistent, antipersistent, and multi-scale memory in returns and volatility.
The paper sorts big data by revealed preferences, improving consumer and policy decisions.
problem Sorting diverse consumer preferences for big data objects like colleges.
method Endogenous weighting of revealed preferences, considering spillover effects.
result Consistent steady-state solution to counterbalance equilibrium.
Diffsurv extends differentiable sorting to handle censored time-to-event data.
problem Handling censored time-to-event data in survival analysis.
method Extending differentiable sorting methods to account for censored samples.
result Diffsurv outperforms established baselines in various risk prediction scenarios.
P-Trees improve investment performance by optimizing the efficient frontier.
problem Optimizing investment performance in complex financial markets.
method Introducing P-Trees, a new tree-based model for analyzing panel data.
result P-Trees significantly advance the efficient frontier and outperform existing models.
Review and compare sorting model selection methods for preference disaggregation.
problem Selecting a representative sorting model from multiple compatible models.
method Reviewed and proposed new procedures for selecting sorting models, including robust assignment rule.
result Identified most efficient procedures in terms of classification accuracy and robustness.
CB-APM uses analyst consensus as a bottleneck to interpret stock returns.
problem Tackles the challenge of understanding and predicting stock returns using professional beliefs.
method Embeds analyst consensus as a structural bottleneck, treating it as a sufficient statistic for market information.
result CB-APM portfolios exhibit strong monotonic return gradients and robust across different economic conditions.
Differentiable sorting and rank normalization are incompatible, with specific conditions for admissibility.
problem Incompatibility between differentiable sorting and rank normalization.
method Formalized admissibility through monotone invariance, batch independence, and rank-space stability conditions.
result Different gap-sensitive and batchwise relaxations of rank normalization violate the conditions for admissibility.
This paper addresses two seemingly unrelated problems, (a) What is the entropy and energy accounting in the Maxwell Demon problem? and (b) How can the efficiency of markets be measured? Here we show, in a simple model for the Maxwell Demon, the entropy of the universe increases by an amount eta=0.839995520 in going fro…
CLASSIX is a fast and explainable clustering method that sorts data and merges groups.
problem Clustering of data with various shapes and dimensions.
method Greedy aggregation followed by cluster merging with scalar parameters.
result CLASSIX performs competitively with state-of-the-art algorithms and provides intuitive explanations.
A new method reduces memory requirements for sorting high-dimensional data.
problem Efficiently sorting and organizing high-dimensional data with low memory usage.
method Iteratively shuffles N indices and applies SoftSort optimization steps.
result Significantly improves sorting quality for multidimensional data.
Several tasks in machine learning are evaluated using non-differentiable metrics such as mean average precision or Spearman correlation. However, their non-differentiability prevents from using them as objective functions in a learning framework. Surrogate and relaxation methods exist but tend to be specific to a given…
A new method sorts models to find the best one with minimal risk.
problem Finding the best model with minimal risk among nested models.
method Nested Empirical Risk (NER) and Sorted NER (S-NER) methods.
result The S-NER method selects the true model order and the most parsimonious model.
Neural model learns efficient, general algorithms for various problems.
problem Learning efficient algorithms that generalize well.
method Carefully designed neural model with imitation and reinforcement learning.
result Neural model outperforms custom solutions on sorting and knapsack problems.
We present a preference learning framework for multiple criteria sorting. We consider sorting procedures applying an additive value model with diverse types of marginal value functions (including linear, piecewise-linear, splined, and general monotone ones) under a unified analytical framework. Differently from the exi…
We propose the Neural Logic Machine (NLM), a neural-symbolic architecture for both inductive learning and logic reasoning. NLMs exploit the power of both neural networks---as function approximators, and logic programming---as a symbolic processor for objects with properties, relations, logic connectives, and quantifier…
SCQRNN prevents quantile crossing and improves computational efficiency.
problem Quantile crossing issue in regression models.
method Integrates ad hoc sorting in training to prevent quantile crossing and enhance computational efficiency.
result SCQRNN achieves faster convergence and non-intersecting quantiles.
New method estimates mixture model components efficiently.
problem Estimating the number of components in finite mixture models.
method Group-Sort-Fuse (GSF) procedure for simultaneous estimation of order and mixing measure.
result GSF achieves consistent estimation of true mixture order and n−1/2 convergence rate. Enhances currency strategy Sharpe ratio by 30% using context-aware Learning to Rank.
problem Sub-optimal ranking of assets during critical market periods.
method Context-aware Learning to Rank model based on Transformer architecture.
result Significantly improves Sharpe ratio and various performance metrics.