The paper extends portfolio theory to include contingent claim functions for option pricing.
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Almost twenty years ago, E.R. Fernholz introduced portfolio generating functions which can be used to construct a variety of portfolios, solely in the terms of the individual companies' market weights. I. Karatzas and J. Ruf recently developed another methodology for the functional construction of portfolios, which lea…
In stochastic portfolio theory, a relative arbitrage is an equity portfolio which is guaranteed to outperform a benchmark portfolio over a finite horizon. When the market is diverse and sufficiently volatile, and the benchmark is the market or a buy-and-hold portfolio, functionally generated portfolios introduced by Fe…
Neural FGP learns portfolio generating functions from data.
First introduced by Fernholz in stochastic portfolio theory, functionally generated portfolio allows its investment performance to be attributed to directly observable and easily interpretable market quantities. In previous works we showed that Fernholz's multiplicatively generated portfolio has deep connections with o…
A market portfolio is a portfolio in which each asset is held at a weight proportional to its market value. Functionally generated portfolios are portfolios for which the logarithmic return relative to the market portfolio can be decomposed into a function of the market weights and a process of locally finite variation…
New method finds profitable investment opportunities by considering additional financial variables.
The theory of functionally generated portfolios (FGPs) is an aspect of the continuous-time, continuous-path Stochastic Portfolio Theory of Robert Fernholz. FGPs have been formulated to yield a master equation - a description of their return relative to a passive (buy-and-hold) benchmark portfolio serving as the numérai…
We use pathwise Itô calculus to prove two strictly pathwise versions of the master formula in Fernholz' stochastic portfolio theory. Our first version is set within the framework of Föllmer's pathwise Itô calculus and works for portfolios generated from functions that may depend on the current states of the market port…
For a functionally generated portfolio, there is a natural decomposition of the relative log-return into the log-change in the generating function and a drift process. In this note, this decomposition is extended to arbitrary stock portfolios by an application of Fisk-Stratonovich integration. With the extended methodo…
The study examines higher-order modern portfolio theory with complex critical points and feasible portfolio variety.
Develops a new method for optimizing portfolios in stochastic markets.
Develops a new model-free approach to portfolio theory using rough paths.
We introduce a bond portfolio management theory based on foundations similar to those of stock portfolio management. A general continuous-time zero-coupon market is considered. The problem of optimal portfolios of zero-coupon bonds is solved for general utility functions, under a condition of no-arbitrage in the zero-c…
The paper presents a framework for optimizing crypto-currency portfolios using generative models.
Consider an equity market with stocks. The vector of proportions of the total market capitalizations that belong to each stock is called the market weight. The market weight defines the market portfolio which is a buy-and-hold portfolio representing the performance of the entire stock market. Consider a function th…
New method optimizes portfolio weights as functions, outperforming traditional approaches.
Introduces new performance measures using scaled utility functions.
The portfolio optimization problem is a basic problem of financial analysis. In the study, an optimization model for constructing an options portfolio with a certain payoff function has been proposed. The model is formulated as an integer linear programming problem and includes an objective payoff function and a system…
The paper optimizes portfolios in a financial market with correlated assets using a stochastic volatility model.
Study market-to-book ratios using Stochastic Portfolio Theory.
Signature portfolios approximate optimal wealth in non-Markovian markets.
Study optimal portfolio strategies with time-varying discount rates.
The paper analyzes how stock market dimensionality changes impact portfolio performance.
This paper proves equivalences of portfolio optimization problems with negative expectile and omega ratio. We derive subgradients for the negative expectile as a function of the portfolio from a known dual representation of expectile and general theory about subgradients of risk measures. We also give an elementary der…
Optimizes portfolio in volatile markets with jumps, providing accurate formulas.
A novel optimisation framework through quadratic nonlinear projection is introduced for credit portfolio when the portfolio risk is measured by Conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR). The whole optimisation procedure to search toward the optimal portfolio state is conducted by a series of single-step optimisations under the …
Consider a family of portfolio strategies with the aim of achieving the asymptotic growth rate of the best one. The idea behind Cover's universal portfolio is to build a wealth-weighted average which can be viewed as a buy-and-hold portfolio of portfolios. When an optimal portfolio exists, the wealth-weighted average c…
Closed-form optimal portfolios for exponential utility in small/large markets.
The Mutual Fund Theorem (MFT) is considered in a general semimartingale financial market S with a finite time horizon T, where agents maximize expected utility of terminal wealth. It is established that: 1) Let N be the wealth process of the numéraire portfolio (i.e. the optimal portfolio for the log utility). If any p…
Paper finds optimal transport measures for arbitrage strategies.
Utility and risk are two often competing measurements on the investment success. We show that efficient trade-off between these two measurements for investment portfolios happens, in general, on a convex curve in the two dimensional space of utility and risk. This is a rather general pattern. The modern portfolio theor…
Optimal portfolios are found for a wide range of utility functions under hyperbolic returns.
Study optimizes growth rate for investors with long-only constraints.
This paper extends the classical consumption and portfolio rules model in continuous time (Merton 1969, 1971) to the framework of decision-makers with time-inconsistent preferences. The model is solved for different utility functions for both, naive and sophisticated agents, and the results are compared. In order to so…
Combines absolute and relative wealth in portfolio optimization with power utility functions.
We consider the problem of seeking an optimal set of model points associated to a fixed portfolio of life insurance policies. Such an optimal set is characterized by minimizing a certain risk functional, which gauges the average discrepancy with the fixed portfolio in terms of the fluctuation of the interest rate term …
The study bounds the utility of empirically optimal portfolios using stock return data.
A framework for eliciting utility functions from investor preferences.
We construct a deep portfolio theory. By building on Markowitz's classic risk-return trade-off, we develop a self-contained four-step routine of encode, calibrate, validate and verify to formulate an automated and general portfolio selection process. At the heart of our algorithm are deep hierarchical compositions of p…
Proposes a meta-learning method for robust portfolio optimization.
Develops SPT with price impact, deriving formulas for wealth and arbitrage conditions.
We developed a strategic of optimal portfolio based on information theory and Tsallis statistics. The growth rate of a stock market is defined by using -deformed functions and we find that the wealth after n days with the optimal portfolio is given by a -exponential function. In this context, the asymptotic optim…
New method estimates portfolio turnover using covariance matrix of returns.
Investor skill levels affect optimal portfolio size, study shows.
We develop the idea of using Monte Carlo sampling of random portfolios to solve portfolio investment problems. In this first paper we explore the need for more general optimization tools, and consider the means by which constrained random portfolios may be generated. A practical scheme for the long-only fully-invested …
We aim to construct a general framework for portfolio management in continuous time, encompassing both stocks and bonds. In these lecture notes we give an overview of the state of the art of optimal bond portfolios and we re-visit main results and mathematical constructions introduced in our previous publications (Ann.…
Optimal portfolios are formed by combining momentum, size, and volatility characteristics, enhancing utility for all investors.