The composition of natural liquidity has been changing over time. An analysis of intraday volumes for the S&P500 constituent stocks illustrates that (i) volume surprises, i.e., deviations from their respective forecasts, are correlated across stocks, and (ii) this correlation increases during the last few hours of the …
The paper addresses optimal execution for multi-asset portfolios using Ornstein-Uhlenbeck dynamics.
problem Optimal execution for multi-asset portfolios with Ornstein-Uhlenbeck dynamics.
method Stochastic optimal control and simplification of Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman equation to ODEs.
result Existence and uniqueness of solution to the execution problem using extit{a priori} estimates.
Combines dynamic programming and neural networks for optimal portfolio execution in regime-switching markets.
problem Optimal execution in a market with multiple regimes and non-linear impact costs.
method Four-step numerical framework: approximated orthogonal portfolios, dynamic program for schedule, neural network optimization.
result Neural network optimized strategy outperforms traditional methods in both CRRA and mean-variance objectives.
HRT uses bi-level reinforcement learning to optimize stock selection and execution in multi-asset equity markets.
problem Optimizing automated equity trading decisions under risk, turnover, and transaction costs.
method Hierarchical Reinforced Trader (HRT) framework that separates selection and execution decisions.
result HRT outperforms other methods in learning-based return-risk-cost trade-offs, improving Sharpe ratio and reducing turnover.
Study analyzes optimal execution under uncertain volatility and liquidity.
problem Optimal execution in markets with uncertain volatility and liquidity.
method Modeling with a stochastic factor, power law for price impact, viscosity solutions, monotonicity argument.
result Singular limit of regularized strategies yields optimal execution strategy.
Optimal execution of portfolio transactions is the essential part of algorithmic trading. In this paper we present in simple analytical form the optimal trajectory for risk-averse trader with the assumption of exponential market recovery and short-time investment horizon.
We propose two methods to obtain exact solutions for the Almgren-Chriss model about optimal execution of portfolio transactions. In the first method we rewrite the Almgren-Chriss equation and find two exact solutions. In the second method, employing a general reparametrized time, we show that the Almgren-Chriss equatio…
Optimal portfolio choice with cross-impact propagators, solving complex equations.
problem Maximizing revenue-risk in a continuous-time portfolio choice problem with cross-impact.
method Formulated as a maximization problem, solved explicitly using operator resolvents and stochastic Fredholm equations.
result Sufficient conditions for the absence of price manipulation, providing financial insights.
We model the impact costs of a strategy that trades a basket of correlated instruments, by extending to the multivariate case the linear propagator model previously used for single instruments. Our specification allows us to calibrate a cost model that is free of arbitrage and price manipulation. We illustrate our resu…
FinRL-X unifies trading components for AI and rule-based strategies.
problem Inconsistent between research and live deployment in trading platforms.
method Modular architecture integrating data processing, strategy construction, backtesting, and execution.
result Unified protocol supports AI and rule-based trading components without altering execution.
In spite of the growing consideration for optimal execution in the financial mathematics literature, numerical approximations of optimal trading curves are almost never discussed. In this article, we present a numerical method to approximate the optimal strategy of a trader willing to unwind a large portfolio. The meth…
A protocol reduces transaction costs for portfolio managers.
problem Transaction costs reduce portfolio returns over time.
method Distributed convex optimization protocol.
result Trades converge to optimal for the firm with adjustments.
When executing their orders, investors are proposed different strategies by brokers and investment banks. Most orders are executed using VWAP algorithms. Other basic execution strategies include POV (also called PVol) -- for percentage of volume --, IS -- implementation shortfall -- or Target Close. In this article ded…
Optimizes fund portfolio updates using linear programming and heuristic search.
problem Efficiently updating mutual fund portfolios with various instruments.
method Linear programming and heuristic search approaches.
result Cost improvements over traditional methods.
AI agents manage portfolios, improving on human oversight.
problem Improving strategic asset allocation for institutional investors.
method 50 specialized agents produce capital market assumptions, construct portfolios, critique, and vote on each other's output.
result Meta-agent compares forecasts with realized returns and improves agent performance.
FR-LUX optimizes portfolio management by learning cost-aware policies robust to market conditions.
problem Transaction costs and regime shifts cause failure in live trading portfolios.
method Integrates three ingredients: microstructure-consistent execution model, trade-space trust region, and explicit regime conditioning.
result Achieves top average Sharpe ratio, maintains flat cost-performance slope, and superior risk-return efficiency.
In this paper we derive the optimal execution trajectory for a trader who wishes to buy or sell a large position of shares which evolve as a geometric Brownian process in contrast to the arithmetic model which prevails in the existing literature, and with a general temporary impact h. We provide a couple of examples …
Executing a basket of co-integrated assets is an important task facing investors. Here, we show how to do this accounting for the informational advantage gained from assets within and outside the basket, as well as for the permanent price impact of market orders (MOs) from all market participants, and the temporary imp…
Myopic optimization outperforms reinforcement learning in portfolio management, leading to lower returns and higher risks.
problem Reinforcement learning strategies in portfolio management yield lower or negative returns and higher risks compared to myopic optimization.
method Modeling execution/liquidation frictions with mark-to-market accounting, using Malliavin calculus to derive policy gradients and risk shadow price, and quantifying phantom profit.
result Myopic optimization outperforms reinforcement learning in portfolio management, leading to better returns and lower risks.
STRAPSim measures ETF portfolio similarity better than existing methods.
problem Measuring portfolio similarity for ETFs and portfolios.
method Semantic, two-level, residual-aware portfolio similarity computation.
result STRAPSim outperforms existing methods in predictive accuracy and ranking alignment.
Editorial discusses nine challenges in modern algorithmic trading.
problem Challenges in modern algorithmic trading and controls.
method Discussion of challenges without proposing solutions.
result No specific new results or findings.
We consider the optimal trade execution strategies for a large portfolio of single stocks proposed by Almgren (2003). This framework accounts for a nonlinear impact of trades on average market prices. The results of Almgren (2003) are based on the assumption that no shares of assets per unit of time are trade at the be…
Traders are often faced with large block orders in markets with limited liquidity and varying volatility. Executing the entire order at once usually incurs a large trading cost because of this limited liquidity. In order to minimize this cost traders split up large orders over time. Varying volatility however implies t…
Optimal liquidation model reduces trading costs in OTC markets.
problem Minimizing trading costs in Over-The-Counter markets.
method Developed an optimal portfolio liquidation model in Locally Linear Order Book framework.
result Optimal liquidation time is proportional to the square root of the traded volume.
This paper deals with numerical solutions to an impulse control problem arising from optimal portfolio liquidation with bid-ask spread and market price impact penalizing speedy execution trades. The corresponding dynamic programming (DP) equation is a quasi-variational inequality (QVI) with solvency constraint satisfie…
Unified framework for optimal liquidation with small market impact and semimartingale strategies.
problem Optimal liquidation under small market impact and portfolio liquidation.
method Semimartingale strategies and convergence results for BSDEs with singular terminal conditions.
result Unified framework for embedding two common liquidation models and microscopic foundation for semimartingale strategies.
Since decades, the data science community tries to propose prediction models of financial time series. Yet, driven by the rapid development of information technology and machine intelligence, the velocity of today's information leads to high market efficiency. Sound financial theories demonstrate that in an efficient m…
The study extends SPT to account for real-world transaction costs, improving portfolio performance.
problem Real-world transaction costs affect portfolio performance, especially during market stress.
method Developed a continuous-time model with stochastic transaction costs and derived lower bounds for cost-adjusted wealth.
result Functionally generated portfolios can still achieve relative arbitrage after accounting for transaction costs.
MAP-Elites generates diverse trading strategies for improved execution performance.
problem Optimizing trading execution schedules in volatile market conditions.
method Quality-diversity algorithm (MAP-Elites) generating a portfolio of specialized strategies.
result Diverse strategies achieve 8-10% performance improvements, validating quality-diversity methods.
This paper introduces a new metric to improve the performance of AMMs over centralised exchanges.
problem Lack of a precise metric to compare AMM performance with centralised exchanges.
method Introduces Rebalancing-versus-Rebalancing (RVR) to measure AMM performance more accurately.
result AMMs can offer superior execution and rebalancing efficiency compared to centralised exchanges, even with low fees.
NoxTrader predicts stock returns using LSTM for profitable trading.
problem Predicting profitable stock returns for quantitative trading.
method LSTM model for time-series analysis of stock data.
result Improved investment return from -60% to 325%.
In the seminal paper on optimal execution of portfolio transactions, Almgren and Chriss (2001) define the optimal trading strategy to liquidate a fixed volume of a single security under price uncertainty. Yet there exist situations, such as in the power market, in which the volume to be traded can only be estimated and…
New method solves stochastic control problems with delays using deep learning.
problem Stochastic control problems with delayed control in drift and diffusion.
method Characterization via Riccati PDEs and deep learning scheme.
result Illustrates effect of delay on Markowitz portfolio allocation problem.
In these notes we discuss investment allocation to multiple alpha streams traded on the same execution platform, including when trades are crossed internally resulting in turnover reduction. We discuss approaches to alpha weight optimization where one maximizes P&L subject to bounds on volatility (or Sharpe ratio). The…
LLM agents discover cryptocurrency factors under reproducible constraints.
problem Flexibility of LLM agents in empirical discovery leads to uncontrolled search.
method Sequential hypothesis search with fixed data splits and portfolio tests.
result Ridge-combined portfolio achieves 44.55% annualized return in out-of-sample period.
CryptoRLPM uses on-chain data to improve crypto portfolio management performance.
problem Lack of effective use of on-chain data in RL-based crypto portfolio management.
method Developed CryptoRLPM, an RL-based system that incorporates on-chain data for crypto PM, consisting of five units.
result CryptoRLPM outperforms baselines in ARR, DRR, and SR, especially for Bitcoin.
A new method corrects bias in machine learning for trading by filtering out non-executable prices.
problem Contaminated data from price limits causes misleading performance metrics in trading models.
method Mask-first design with tradability filters, GPU optimization, and penalized losses.
result The system achieves Sharpe ratios of 1.63 on real data, significantly outperforming existing methods.
Solves optimal liquidation problem for stock price following geometric Brownian motion.
problem Optimal liquidation problem for stock price process following geometric Brownian motion.
method Functional analysis tools; working in terms of cash.
result Explicit solution to the problem, extending to stochastic drift.
Quantum circuits optimize financial portfolios faster than classical methods.
problem Dynamic portfolio optimization in financial markets.
method Variational Quantum Circuits for reinforcement learning.
result Quantum agents outperform classical RL models in risk-adjusted performance.
The basic financial purpose of an enterprise is maximization of its value. Trade credit management should also contribute to realization of this fundamental aim. Many of the current asset management models that are found in financial management literature assume book profit maximization as the basic financial purpose. …
Paper uses SciPhyRL for optimizing large institutional portfolios.
problem Optimizing large institutional portfolios with cumulative costs and practical short horizons.
method Formulates a continuous-time optimization problem, reduces it to solving an HJB equation, and uses PINN for direct solution.
result Learned Gibbs policy yields substantial out-of-sample Sharpe ratio improvements.
Developed an explainable DRL model for financial portfolio management.
problem Inability of DRL agents to provide interpretable financial investment policies.
method Integrating PPO with feature importance techniques (SHAP, LIME) to enhance transparency.
result Ability to interpret DRL agent actions in prediction time.
New metrics quantify implementation risk in portfolio backtesting, revealing systematic differences in engine implementations.
problem Systematic divergence in backtested portfolio metrics due to differences in engine implementations.
method Formalized implementation risk, proposed four metrics, executed 15 strategies through five engines, analyzed source-code defects.
result Implementation risk introduces measurable ambiguity in performance attribution, but does not alter investment decisions.
This paper addresses the optimal scheduling of the liquidation of a portfolio using a new angle. Instead of focusing only on the scheduling aspect like Almgren and Chriss, or only on the liquidity-consuming orders like Obizhaeva and Wang, we link the optimal trade-schedule to the price of the limit orders that have to …
A multi-agent system improves crypto portfolio management by processing diverse data types.
problem Managing cryptocurrency portfolios requires processing various data types under high volatility.
method A multi-agent system with three specialized agents for market dynamics, news sentiment, and signal fusion.
result The best configuration, Hierarchical (Skill), achieved a 133.52% cumulative return and 1.502 Sharpe ratio.
Hybrid classical-quantum framework optimizes portfolio rebalancing with reduced transaction costs.
problem Optimizing portfolio rebalancing with reduced transaction costs and lookahead bias.
method Combining Ledoit-Wolf shrinkage covariance estimation, hierarchical correlation clustering, entropy-regularised Genetic Algorithm, minimum-variance and equal-weight benchmarks, QUBO formulation, and QAOA for solving the combinatorial optimisation problem.
result GA + QAOA strategy outperforms classical methods with reduced rebalances and transaction costs.
We discuss investment allocation to multiple alpha streams traded on the same execution platform with internal crossing of trades and point out differences with allocating investment when alpha streams are traded on separate execution platforms with no crossing. First, in the latter case allocation weights are non-nega…
Proposes a new framework for invariant quadratic P&L predictions in option books.
problem Inconsistent second-order P&L predictions across different factor parameterizations.
method Local, model-agnostic framework using covariant Hessian defined by an affine connection.
result Coordinate-invariant quadratic P&L predictions that match desk targets.