A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
Canary optimizes VaR-constrained RL problems with a conservative bound using Cantelli's inequality.
problem Optimizing reinforcement learning policies under VaR constraints in dense cost regimes.
method Employing Cantelli's inequality to create a conservative and smooth bound on VaR constraints based on moments of cost returns. Extending trust-region framework for worst-case bounds on policy improvement and constraint violation.
result Canary reliably satisfies VaR constraints with fewest violations and earliest permanent satisfaction, while maintaining reward competitiveness.
We propose a method to optimise the parameters of a policy which will be used to safely perform a given task in a data-efficient manner. We train a Gaussian process model to capture the system dynamics, based on the PILCO framework. Our model has useful analytic properties, which allow closed form computation of error …
We propose a novel approach to address one aspect of the non-stationarity problem in multi-agent reinforcement learning (RL), where the other agents may alter their policies due to environment changes during execution. This violates the Markov assumption that governs most single-agent RL methods and is one of the key c…
While learning in an unknown Markov Decision Process (MDP), an agent should trade off exploration to discover new information about the MDP, and exploitation of the current knowledge to maximize the reward. Although the agent will eventually learn a good or optimal policy, there is no guarantee on the quality of the in…
This paper studies the evaluation of policies that recommend an ordered set of items (e.g., a ranking) based on some context---a common scenario in web search, ads, and recommendation. We build on techniques from combinatorial bandits to introduce a new practical estimator that uses logged data to estimate a policy's p…
Risk-controlled post-processing optimizes decision policies under risk constraints.
problem Optimizing decision policies with risk constraints for better outcomes.
method Developed a post-processing algorithm that selects a threshold based on fitted fallback policy and score, leveraging tools from algorithmic stability and stochastic processes.
result The post-processed policy achieves precise expected risk control under exchangeability and meets or nearly meets risk budgets while preserving more agreement with the baseline.
Sequential prediction problems such as imitation learning, where future observations depend on previous predictions (actions), violate the common i.i.d. assumptions made in statistical learning. This leads to poor performance in theory and often in practice. Some recent approaches provide stronger guarantees in this se…
In distributed reinforcement learning, it is common to exchange the experience memory of each agent and thereby collectively train their local models. The experience memory, however, contains all the preceding state observations and their corresponding policies of the host agent, which may violate the privacy of the ag…
Most of the existing solutions to enterprise threat management are preventive approaches prescribing means to prevent policy violations with varying degrees of success. In this paper we consider the complementary scenario where a number of security violations have already occurred, or security threats, or vulnerabiliti…
The options framework is a popular approach for building temporally extended actions in reinforcement learning. In particular, the option-critic architecture provides general purpose policy gradient theorems for learning actions from scratch that are extended in time. However, past work makes the key assumption that ea…
Online learning with one-sided feedback aims to maximize accuracy while ensuring fairness.
problem Maximizing accuracy in online learning with limited feedback and ensuring fairness.
method Extending the framework of Bechavod et al. (2020) to incorporate dynamic panels of auditors, reducing the problem to a contextual combinatorial semi-bandit, and leveraging Exp2 and Context-Semi-Bandit-FTPL algorithms.
result Multi-criteria no regret guarantees for accuracy and fairness are provided.