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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

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84168252336 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for policy support

Develops a support-aware framework for reserve-policy selection in advertising markets.

problem Log-based reserve-price evaluation risks weak support and subgroup harm.
method Support-aware offline decision framework converting logged evidence into certified policies.
result Preserves the best gate-passing policy while eliminating only policies with certified regret.

CASP selects reliable policies for two-stage recommender systems by considering both value and support.

problem The selection of a generator in two-stage recommender systems affects both the policy value and the data support used to estimate it.
method CASP combines doubly robust value estimation with a support-burden penalty.
result CASP selects lower-burden policies when estimated value and support credibility are in tension.

A new method combines online and offline learning to tackle contextual bandits with missing action support.

problem Learning optimal policies with logged data when the logging policy has deficient support.
method Hybrid approach using online exploration to exploit supported actions and offline learning to avoid unnecessary explorations.
result Determines an optimal policy with theoretical guarantees using minimal online explorations.

A new framework estimates expert policy support to create a reward function for imitation learning.

problem Imitation learning from expert trajectories without reinforcement signals.
method Estimating the support of the expert policy to compute a fixed reward function.
result Comparable or better performance than state-of-the-art methods on discrete and continuous domains.

CQL (ReDS) learns from varied driving behaviors, improving offline RL performance.

problem Learning from datasets with non-uniform variability in behavior policies.
method Reweighting the data distribution to allow per-state flexibility in following the behavior policy.
result CQL (ReDS) improves performance in various offline RL tasks.

Paper addresses OPE for dependent bandit samples using MDS and batch updates.

problem Evaluating policies from non-i.i.d. historical data in contextual bandits.
method Constructs an MDS-based estimator for dependent samples, solves batch update and deficient support issues.
result Derives an asymptotically normal estimator for evaluation policy value.

Monotonic policy improvement and off-policy learning are two main desirable properties for reinforcement learning algorithms. In this paper, by lower bounding the performance difference of two policies, we show that the monotonic policy improvement is guaranteed from on- and off-policy mixture samples. An optimization …

2017-10-10abs ↗pdf ↗

Lapse-supported life insurance exacerbates adverse selection risks.

problem Lapse-supported life insurance increases adverse selection costs.
method Modeling 'Term to 100' contracts and analyzing three methods of managing lapse surplus.
result Adverse selection losses can be almost unlimited under certain conditions.

DOLCE improves off-policy evaluation and learning by decomposing effects.

problem Bias in off-policy evaluation and learning due to policy mismatch.
method Uses lagged contexts and a moment-based training procedure to decompose and cancel bias.
result DOLCE achieves substantial improvements in off-policy evaluation and learning.

We present a new approach to the problems of evaluating and learning personalized decision policies from observational data of past contexts, decisions, and outcomes. Only the outcome of the enacted decision is available and the historical policy is unknown. These problems arise in personalized medicine using electroni…

2017-05-21abs ↗pdf ↗

SAIL improves AIL by weighting adversarial rewards with support estimation.

problem Training instability and reward bias in AIL.
method Support-weighted Adversarial Imitation Learning (SAIL) extends AIL with support estimation to improve reinforcement signals.
result SAIL achieves better performance and stability on benchmark tasks.

Managers of US National Forests must decide what policy to apply for dealing with lightning-caused wildfires. Conflicts among stakeholders (e.g., timber companies, home owners, and wildlife biologists) have often led to spirited political debates and even violent eco-terrorism. One way to transform these conflicts into…

2017-03-28abs ↗pdf ↗

In some reinforcement learning problems an agent may be provided with a set of input policies, perhaps learned from prior experience or provided by advisors. We present a reinforcement learning with policy advice (RLPA) algorithm which leverages this input set and learns to use the best policy in the set for the reinfo…

2013-05-05abs ↗pdf ↗

This work improves policy-based training by proposing an evaluation balance objective for GFlowNets.

problem Reliable estimation of policy divergence under directed acyclic graphs remains challenging.
method Proposes an evaluation balance objective over partial episodes to measure policy divergence and improve policy-based training reliability.
result Evaluation balance strengthens policy-based training reliability and broadens its flexibility.

The paper examines how macroeconomic control tools lost effectiveness, leading to a 'dark ages' period.

problem Loss of effectiveness of control tools in macroeconomic stabilization policy.
method Historical analysis of macroeconomic stabilization policy from 1948 to 1993.
result The overstatement of the Lucas critique and Kydland and Prescott's time-inconsistency led to a period of ineffective stabilization policy.

Bayesian approach models policy distribution for faster exploration and transfer learning.

problem Challenges in exploration and adaptation to new tasks in transfer learning.
method Modeling a distribution over policies in a Bayesian deep reinforcement learning setup.
result Favorable experimental results on GridWorld and MiniGrid environments.

Paper proposes a framework for reliable off-policy evaluation in reinforcement learning.

problem Quantifying uncertainty in off-policy estimates for safe deployment of target policies.
method Distributionally robust optimization for creating confidence bounds.
result Non-asymptotic and asymptotic guarantees for robust cumulative reward estimates.

The paper tackles personalized policy learning from diverse data sources in a federated setting.

problem Learning personalized decision policies from observational bandit feedback across multiple heterogeneous data sources.
method Introduces a novel regret analysis for distinguishing global and local regret, and presents a federated policy learning algorithm using local policies trained with doubly robust offline policy evaluation strategies.
result Establishes finite-sample upper bounds on global and local regret, characterizing them by source heterogeneity and distribution shift.

We propose expected policy gradients (EPG), which unify stochastic policy gradients (SPG) and deterministic policy gradients (DPG) for reinforcement learning. Inspired by expected sarsa, EPG integrates (or sums) across actions when estimating the gradient, instead of relying only on the action in the sampled trajectory…

2018-01-10abs ↗pdf ↗

A new policy learning method allows policies to abstain when uncertain, improving safety and applicability.

problem Risk of making decisions without full confidence in uncertain predictions.
method Policy learning with abstention, identifying near-optimal policies and constructing an abstention rule.
result Improved safety and applicability in policy learning, with theoretical guarantees.

We study reinforcement learning of chatbots with recurrent neural network architectures when the rewards are noisy and expensive to obtain. For instance, a chatbot used in automated customer service support can be scored by quality assurance agents, but this process can be expensive, time consuming and noisy. Previous …

2017-02-10abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper analyzes Thompson Sampling in restless bandits with unknown parameters.

problem Analyzing performance of Thompson Sampling in restless bandits with unknown parameters.
method Proved a Bayesian regret bound of ildeO(T) ilde{\mathcal{O}}(\sqrt{T}) for Thompson Sampling in episodic restless bandits with unknown parameters.
result Proved a regret bound of ildeO(T) ilde{\mathcal{O}}(\sqrt{T}) for Thompson Sampling in restless bandits with unknown parameters.

CPME embeds counterfactual outcomes in RKHS for flexible policy evaluation.

problem Estimating counterfactual policy outcomes for decision-making.
method Counterfactual Policy Mean Embedding (CPME) framework in RKHS, plug-in and doubly robust estimators, kernel test statistic.
result Doubly robust estimator improves convergence rates and asymptotic normality.

GRAPE improves RL policy evaluation in noisy environments.

problem Noise in real-world RL environments makes policy evaluation algorithms inefficient or prone to errors.
method GRAPE combines gap-increasing value update operators and off-policy eligibility trace.
result GRAPE is more efficient and noise-tolerant than existing methods.

The paper develops a method to learn robust decision policies from observational data, reducing high-cost outcomes.

problem Learning safe decision policies from observational data with high-risk outcomes.
method Develops a method to learn policies that reduce high-cost outcomes, valid under finite samples and uneven feature overlap.
result Validates the method with real and synthetic data, providing statistical bounds on decision costs.

Decision-makers are faced with the challenge of estimating what is likely to happen when they take an action. For instance, if I choose not to treat this patient, are they likely to die? Practitioners commonly use supervised learning algorithms to fit predictive models that help decision-makers reason about likely futu…

2017-03-30abs ↗pdf ↗

A new multi-agent learning method improves performance in complex games.

problem Performance gap between MAPG and value-based multi-agent approaches.
method Introduces value function decomposition into multi-agent actor-critic framework for off-policy learning.
result DOP significantly outperforms state-of-the-art multi-agent reinforcement learning algorithms.

Develops a method to estimate policy values robustly in the presence of confounding variables.

problem Infinite-horizon reinforcement learning with unobserved confounding variables makes policy evaluation unidentifiable.
method Robust approach estimating sharp bounds on policy value using optimization over state-occupancy ratios and sensitivity model.
result Proves convergence to sharp bounds as more confounded data is collected.

A new framework for offline RL improves policy flexibility and regularity.

problem Lack of environmental interactions in offline RL leads to poor policy performance.
method Proposes a behavior-regularized implicit policy framework with modified policy-matching methods.
result The framework improves policy effectiveness and robustness beyond static datasets.

Automates infectious disease policy-making via inference in epidemiological models.

problem Improving policy-making for infectious diseases during pandemics.
method Performing inference in existing epidemiological models using a probabilistic programming language.
result Automated inference leads to better disease progression outcomes and policy prescriptions.