Estimating boundaries from point clouds with improved accuracy and rigorous error estimates.
problem Identifying the boundary of a domain from point cloud samples.
method Developed new estimators for normal vectors, distances, and boundary tests; provided error estimates.
result Efficient and accurate estimators for boundary properties on point clouds.
Estimator calculates surface curvature from point cloud samples.
problem Accurately estimating curvature from limited point cloud data.
method Algorithm using probability distribution and nearby points control.
result Controlled number of points ensures accurate curvature estimation.
We formalize notions of robustness for composite estimators via the notion of a breakdown point. A composite estimator successively applies two (or more) estimators: on data decomposed into disjoint parts, it applies the first estimator on each part, then the second estimator on the outputs of the first estimator. And …
Estimates geodesics on surfaces without conjugate points.
problem Counting geodesics on surfaces without conjugate points.
method Margulis-type asymptotic estimates.
result Asymptotic estimates for geodesics on surfaces.
Score matching fails for general point processes, a new estimator improves accuracy.
problem Score matching estimators fail for general point processes.
method Introduced a weighted score matching estimator for point processes.
result The weighted score matching estimator accurately estimates model parameters on synthetic and real data.
New method for fast volatility estimation robust to change points.
problem Robust high-frequency volatility estimation with change points.
method ℓ1-regularized power variation estimators using LARS for sparse estimation and dynamic programming for change point refinement.
result Minimax rates achieved for volatility estimators, providing accurate and smooth forecasts.
Estimates scalar curvature of point clouds without embedding.
problem Estimating scalar curvature of data sets without embedding.
method Intrinsic estimator based on metric structure, consistent and stable.
result Estimator converges to scalar curvature as sample size increases.
Unified approach improves accuracy in private estimation.
problem Protecting sensitive information in statistical estimation.
method Unified Bayes Private Point (UBaPP) approach to Bayes point estimation under differential privacy constraints.
result Achieves better accuracy-privacy trade-off than traditional methods.
Unified proof of end-point estimates for Radon transform on curved spaces.
problem Proving end-point estimates for the totally-geodesic Radon transform on spaces of constant curvature.
method Unified geometric approach to prove end-point estimates for Radon transform on spaces of constant curvature.
result Unified formula for the k-plane transform of radial functions on spaces of constant curvature. Adaptive importance sampling for estimating point process statistics.
problem Estimating the expected value of a statistic of a locally stable point process.
method Adaptive importance sampling with Poisson point processes and cross-entropy minimization.
result The proposed estimator converges to the target value almost surely and is asymptotically normal.
The paper proves Morse estimates for translated points on unit tangent bundles.
problem Estimating the minimal number of translated points in unit tangent bundles.
method Analyzing contactomorphisms of SM that lift diffeomorphisms of M homotopic to identity. result Proves the existence of sequences (pn,tn) with tno+∞ for a large class of manifolds. We consider the problem of estimating the location of a single change point in a dynamic stochastic block model. We propose two methods of estimating the change point, together with the model parameters. The first employs a least squares criterion function and takes into consideration the full structure of the stochast…
The problem of change-point estimation is considered under a general framework where the data are generated by unknown stationary ergodic process distributions. In this context, the consistent estimation of the number of change-points is provably impossible. However, it is shown that a consistent clustering method may …
Many problems on signal processing reduce to nonparametric function estimation. We propose a new methodology, piecewise convex fitting (PCF), and give a two-stage adaptive estimate. In the first stage, the number and location of the change points is estimated using strong smoothing. In the second stage, a constrained s…
We derive estimates relating the values of a solution at any two points to the distance between the points, for quasilinear parabolic equations on compact Riemannian manifolds under the Ricci flow.
Paper proposes a simple estimator for DPP correlation kernels.
problem Estimating the correlation kernel matrix of DPPs.
method Closed-form estimator for correlation kernel, easy to implement.
result Consistency and asymptotic normality of the estimator proved.
New methods estimate point-wise dependency from neural MI models.
problem Estimating point-wise dependency between different events.
method Developed two methods: Probabilistic Classifier and Density-Ratio Fitting.
result Demonstrated effectiveness in MI estimation, self-supervised representation learning, and cross-modal retrieval.
The study examines conditions for achieving a simple lower bound in estimating mean from samples.
problem Achieving a simple lower bound for estimating the mean of a distribution.
method Analyzes conditions for nearly attaining Le Cam's two-point testing lower bound for mean estimation.
result An algorithm nearly attains the two-point testing rate for mixtures of symmetric, log-concave distributions with a common mean.
Estimates change points in Weibull time series with copulas.
problem Change-point estimation for nonlinear Weibull time series with copula-based Markov models.
method Copula-based Markov chain model with Weibull marginal distributions, incorporating asymmetric dependence structures through Clayton and Joe copulas.
result Proposed method performs well in estimating change points and model parameters, demonstrated through extensive numerical studies and empirical application.
Cross-validation pitfalls in change-point regression are addressed with new approaches.
problem Cross-validation's prediction error-based criterion may lead to under- or over-estimation of change-points.
method Proposes two approaches: absolute error loss and modified holdout sets.
result Consistent estimation of the number of change-points under certain conditions.
The study compares Bayesian and frequentist approaches in deep learning.
problem Comparing Bayesian and frequentist inference in deep learning.
method Conducts a comparative analysis of point and posterior estimators across various settings.
result Amortized point estimators generally outperform posterior inference, though posterior inference remains competitive in some low-dimensional problems.
Estimates point counts in Teichmüller space for mapping class groups.
problem Counting points in Teichmüller space under mapping class group actions.
method Quantitative estimates with power saving error terms for Teichmüller metric balls.
result Effectivizes asymptotic counting results of Athreya et al.
Paper introduces a new gradient estimator for SNNs.
problem High variance in score function gradient estimator impedes SNNs training.
method Developed a differentiable point process to derive path-wise gradient estimator.
result Demonstrated effectiveness of path-wise gradient estimator through simulations.
A new method for non-rigid point set registration reduces computational complexity.
problem Efficiently registering non-rigid point sets with large numbers of points.
method Structured Analytic Coherent Point Drift (Analytic-CPD) reformulates CPD for structured analytic mappings.
result Analytic-CPD reduces computational complexity by controlling the deformation model's dimensionality.
Although there has been substantial research in software analytics for effort estimation in traditional software projects, little work has been done for estimation in agile projects, especially estimating user stories or issues. Story points are the most common unit of measure used for estimating the effort involved in…
Neural point estimators improve parameter estimation from replicated data.
problem Making inference from replicated data in weakly-identified and highly-parameterised models.
method Permutation-invariant neural networks for likelihood-free parameter estimation.
result Neural point estimators can quickly and optimally estimate parameters.
The paper develops methods to accurately locate change points in high-dimensional mean shift models.
problem Locating change points in high-dimensional mean shift models.
method Locally refitted least squares estimator, component-wise and simultaneous rates of estimation.
result Asymptotic validity of component-wise and simultaneous confidence intervals for change point parameters.
Proposes first privacy-preserving method for estimating Hawkes processes.
problem Estimating point process models with sensitive personal data raises privacy concerns.
method Proposes differential privacy for event stream data and two optimization algorithms.
result Efficiently estimates Hawkes process models with privacy and utility guarantees.
Noise-Contrastive Estimation improves efficiency for estimating log-likelihood of complex point processes.
problem Estimating log-likelihood of complex multivariate point processes is computationally expensive.
method Noise-Contrastive Estimation adapted for multivariate point processes, with provable guarantees.
result Our method achieves similar log-likelihood with fewer evaluations and less time.
Sharp area estimates for minimal submanifolds in curved spaces.
problem Estimating the area of minimal submanifolds passing through a specific point.
method Proving sharp area estimates in hyperbolic and spherical spaces.
result Sharp area estimates analogous to Euclidean settings.
Sampling random points can reveal submanifold topology.
problem Estimating the topology of submanifolds in Riemannian manifolds.
method Sampling random points in a neighborhood of the submanifold.
result Topology of the submanifold can be recovered with high confidence.
New method for estimating lead-lag times between non-synchronously observed point processes.
problem Estimating lead-lag relationships between non-synchronously observed point processes.
method Formulate lead-lag estimation as CPCF shape estimation; propose kernel density estimation-based lead-lag time estimator.
result Proposed method delivers superior numerical performance and effective lead-lag time estimation.
Method identifies change points in high-dimensional models using sample weights.
problem Identifying change points in high-dimensional generalized linear models.
method Sample-weighted empirical risk minimization (Weighted ERM).
result Weighted ERM yields precise asymptotic performance characterization for Gaussian designs.
The paper establishes inequalities for convex curves and applies them to lattice point estimates.
problem Estimating the number of lattice points on convex curves.
method Developed comparison theorems for affine curves and used them to estimate areas and lattice points.
result Established inequalities for areas of inscribed triangles in terms of affine curvature and distance.
The objective of change-point detection is to discover abrupt property changes lying behind time-series data. In this paper, we present a novel statistical change-point detection algorithm based on non-parametric divergence estimation between time-series samples from two retrospective segments. Our method uses the rela…
In this note, we investigate the relation between double points and complex points of immersed surfaces in almost-complex 4-manifolds and show how estimates for the minimal genus of embedded surfaces lead to inequalities between the number of double points and the number of complex points of an immersion. We also provi…
PPL improves on Takacs-Fiksel estimation for Gibbs models.
problem Improving point process estimation methods.
method PPL uses cross-validation and a specific loss function to estimate parameters.
result PPL with specific loss functions and hyperparameters outperforms Takacs-Fiksel estimation in mean square error.
In linear regression we wish to estimate the optimum linear least squares predictor for a distribution over d-dimensional input points and real-valued responses, based on a small sample. Under standard random design analysis, where the sample is drawn i.i.d. from the input distribution, the least squares solution for…
Obtaining more accurate equity value estimates is the starting point for stock selection, value-based indexing in a noisy market, and beating benchmark indices through tactical style rotation. Unfortunately, discounted cash flow, method of comparables, and fundamental analysis typically yield discrepant valuation estim…
Novel method improves load estimation in power grids using anomaly and change point detection.
problem Improving load estimation in power grid systems.
method Combining unsupervised anomaly and change point detection methods for automatic filtering.
result Automatic load estimation is accurate with 90% estimates within a 10% error margin.
Paper optimizes change-point detection using learned distributions from training sequences.
problem Optimal change-point detection with unknown pre- and post-change distributions.
method Designs a change-point estimator using training sequences and test sequences.
result Optimal confidence width characterized as a function of undetected error.
Random geometric graphs are a popular choice for a latent points generative model for networks. Their definition is based on a sample of n points X1,X2,⋯,Xn on the Euclidean sphere~Sd−1 which represents the latent positions of nodes of the network. The connection probabilities between the node…
In this paper we present a loss-based approach to change point analysis. In particular, we look at the problem from two perspectives. The first focuses on the definition of a prior when the number of change points is known a priori. The second contribution aims to estimate the number of change points by using a loss-ba…
Paper proposes an alternative to anchor points for learning with noisy labels.
problem Learning with noisy labels is challenging due to inaccurate labels.
method Estimates transition matrix using clusterability condition and noisy labels.
result Estimation of transition matrix is more accurate and efficient than anchor points.
A method for estimating the median of gradients in stochastic optimization.
problem Robust gradient estimation in stochastic optimization for various applications.
method Stochastic Proximal Point Method for median gradient estimation.
result The proposed method can converge even under heavy-tailed, state-dependent noise.
We define barycentric coordinates on a Riemannian manifold using Karcher's center of mass technique applied to point masses for n+1 sufficiently close points, determining an n-dimensional Riemannian simplex defined as a "Karcher simplex." Specifically, a set of weights is mapped to the Riemannian center of mass for the…
In this paper, we propose an efficient method to estimate the Weingarten map for point cloud data sampled from manifold embedded in Euclidean space. A statistical model is established to analyze the asymptotic property of the estimator. In particular, we show the convergence rate as the sample size tends to infinity. W…
Robust estimation methods find global minima efficiently via quasi-gradients.
problem Efficiently solving robust estimation problems with non-convex optimization.
method Identifying generalized quasi-gradients to guarantee low-regret algorithms.
result Generalized quasi-gradients ensure efficient approximation of global minima.