The paper proves statistical consistency and fairness guarantees for a plug-in algorithm.
problem Establishing statistical guarantees for fairness-aware binary classification.
method Proves statistical consistency and derives finite sample guarantees for the plug-in algorithm.
result The plug-in algorithm is statistically consistent and guarantees fairness and differential privacy.
Optimal sample complexity analysis for plug-in approach in average-reward MDPs.
problem Learning optimal policies in average-reward MDPs with a generative model.
method Plug-in approach that constructs a model estimate and computes an optimal policy.
result Optimal sample complexities for the plug-in approach without prior knowledge of problem parameters.
The paper analyzes rates of convergence for optimal transport map estimators using barycentric projections.
problem Estimating optimal transport maps from data sampled according to two distributions.
method Comprehensive analysis of rates of convergence for plug-in estimators defined via barycentric projections.
result New stability estimate for barycentric projections under minimal smoothness assumptions.
New method optimizes portfolio weights as functions, outperforming traditional approaches.
problem Optimizing portfolio weights in mean-variance models.
method Functional optimization approach, treating weights as functions of past values.
result Gradient-ascent algorithms can solve functional optimization problems for mean-variance portfolio management.
Plug-in method improves performative prediction accuracy.
problem Learning under performative feedback with slow convergence rates.
method Plug-in performative optimization using models.
result Plug-in method can be superior to model-agnostic strategies.
A new method estimates Schrödinger bridges without iterative simulations or neural networks.
problem Estimating the time-dependent drift between two probability distributions.
method Solving the static entropic optimal transport problem and modifying the potentials.
result The Sinkhorn bridge method provably estimates Schrödinger bridges with a rate of convergence dependent on the target measure's intrinsic dimensionality.
Study minimax off-policy evaluation in multi-armed bandits with known and unknown behavior policies.
problem Evaluate policies in multi-armed bandits with unknown behavior policies.
method Develop minimax rate-optimal procedures for known and unknown behavior policies, including the Switch estimator and Chebyshev polynomial-based estimator.
result Plug-in estimator achieves optimal competitive ratio up to a logarithmic factor when behavior policy is unknown.
We prove new fast learning rates for the one-vs-all multiclass plug-in classifiers trained either from exponentially strongly mixing data or from data generated by a converging drifting distribution. These are two typical scenarios where training data are not iid. The learning rates are obtained under a multiclass vers…
New estimator for estimating derivatives in nonparametric regression.
problem Estimating derivatives of regression functions.
method Plug-in kernel ridge regression (KRR) estimator.
result Plug-in property for derivatives estimation, optimal rate of convergence.
In the framework of supervised classification (discrimination) for functional data, it is shown that the optimal classification rule can be explicitly obtained for a class of Gaussian processes with "triangular" covariance functions. This explicit knowledge has two practical consequences. First, the consistency of the …
We study three fundamental statistical-learning problems: distribution estimation, property estimation, and property testing. We establish the profile maximum likelihood (PML) estimator as the first unified sample-optimal approach to a wide range of learning tasks. In particular, for every alphabet size k and desired…
Centered plug-in estimators reduce bias in Wasserstein distance estimation.
problem Conservative bias in plug-in estimators of Wasserstein distances.
method Centering procedure based on linear combinations to reduce bias.
result Centered plug-in estimators provide informative upper and lower bounds on Wasserstein distances.
Develops a new method for statistical optimal allocation problems.
problem Statistical optimal allocation problems with constraints.
method Functional differentiability approach and Hadamard differentiability of value functions.
result Validates margin assumption for fast convergence rate of plug-in methods.
Unified plug-in approach for estimating symmetric properties of distributions efficiently.
problem Estimating symmetric properties of distributions with high accuracy and efficiency.
method Profile-maximum-likelihood (PML) based estimator.
result Achieves theoretical limit for universal symmetric property estimation.
We consider the problem of binary classification with abstention in the relatively less studied \emph{bounded-rate} setting. We begin by obtaining a characterization of the Bayes optimal classifier for an arbitrary input-label distribution PXY. Our result generalizes and provides an alternative proof for the resul…
Contextual linear optimization shows naive plug-in methods can outperform direct optimization.
problem Optimizing decisions with side observations to reduce uncertainty.
method Using off-the-shelf machine learning methods to learn a predictive model and plug it in for optimization.
result The naive plug-in approach achieves faster regret convergence rates than direct optimization methods.
The paper improves OT map estimation rates without strict assumptions.
problem Estimating optimal transport maps under practical conditions.
method Developed new convergence rates and scalable algorithms.
result Improved convergence rates for OT map estimation without restrictive assumptions.
Estimates change point in high dimensional time series models.
problem Change point estimation in high dimensional time series.
method Plug-in least squares estimator with sufficient conditions for adaptivity.
result Optimal rate of convergence Op(ξ−2) in integer scale. C-Learner improves stability of plug-in estimators for causal inference.
problem Limited overlap between treatment and control groups leads to unstable estimates.
method Constrained learning framework that achieves stability and asymptotic properties.
result Constrained learning produces stable estimates with desirable asymptotic properties.
This work considers the sample and computational complexity of obtaining an ε-optimal policy in a discounted Markov Decision Process (MDP), given only access to a generative model. In this work, we study the effectiveness of the most natural plug-in approach to model-based planning: we build the maximum likelihood es…
New algorithm for optimizing statistical utilities in bandits.
problem Optimizing statistical functionals of long-run reward distributions.
method Influence-function calculus for stochastic gradient estimation, entropic mirror-ascent algorithm.
result Regret bounds that separate optimization and estimation errors.
New method optimizes risk estimation for financial losses.
problem Estimating expected shortfall risk for heavy-tailed distributions.
method Proposes a novel estimator for expected shortfall robust to data corruption.
result Demonstrates superior performance and robustness compared to classical methods.
We study the problem of detecting a change in the mean of one-dimensional Gaussian process data. This problem is investigated in the setting of increasing domain (customarily employed in time series analysis) and in the setting of fixed domain (typically arising in spatial data analysis). We propose a detection method …
Researchers develop a method to generate diffusion-based samples from a tilted distribution.
problem Generating samples from a distribution that has been tilted by a parameter.
method Developed a plug-in estimator and proved Wasserstein bounds and TV-accuracy under certain conditions.
result The method is minimax-optimal and can be applied in various domains like finance and climate modeling.
Semiparametric method removes bias in functional bilevel gradient estimation.
problem First-order bias in plug-in hypergradient when lower-level problem is nonparametric.
method Semiparametric debiasing theory based on efficient influence function leads to cross-fitted orthogonal hypergradient estimator.
result Asymptotic normality and uniform control over outer parameter established for the estimator.
Estimating symmetric properties of a distribution, e.g. support size, coverage, entropy, distance to uniformity, are among the most fundamental problems in algorithmic statistics. While each of these properties have been studied extensively and separate optimal estimators are known for each, in striking recent work, Ac…
A discrete diffusion model learns denoising, scoring, and bridging in different coordinates.
problem Understanding what a discrete diffusion model learns in different coordinate systems.
method Rigorous derivation of continuous-time Markov chain ELBO, Oracle Distance theorem, and exact coordinates for optimizer.
result The negative ELBO is exactly equal to the data entropy plus the path KL from the oracle reverse process to the learned one.
SLIM efficiently solves overidentified models in a scalable manner.
problem Overidentified models with many moment conditions.
method Stochastic approximation framework using mini-batches and unbiased updates.
result SLIM solves overidentified models in under 1.4 hours, compared to 18 hours for full-sample GMM.
Develops non-standard analysis for coherent risk estimation.
problem Estimating coherent risk measures in financial contexts.
method Non-standard analysis, hyperfinite representations, discrete Kusuoka formulae, plug-in asymptotics.
result Uniform almost sure consistency and asymptotic normality of spectral plug-in estimators.
A new method debiases multiple target parameters without IFs.
problem Debiasing multiple target parameters in nonparametric models.
method Kernel Debiased Plug-in Estimation (KDPE) using TMLE and reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces.
result KDPE simultaneously debiases all pathwise differentiable target parameters.
Optimally estimates a functional using nuisance function tuning and sample splitting.
problem Estimating optimal rates for a doubly robust functional.
method Combines nuisance function tuning and sample splitting strategies.
result Shows optimal rates of convergence for various estimators.
Unified framework for predicting data changes influenced by predictions.
problem Complex feedback loops in environments where predictions alter data distributions.
method Repeated Risk Minimization (RRM) and two-step plug-in estimator integrating RePPI and Importance Sampling.
result Achieves semiparametric efficiency bound and robustness under mild misspecification.
The best-known and most commonly used distribution-property estimation technique uses a plug-in estimator, with empirical frequency replacing the underlying distribution. We present novel linear-time-computable estimators that significantly "amplify" the effective amount of data available. For a large variety of distri…
Conditional Text Generation has drawn much attention as a topic of Natural Language Generation (NLG) which provides the possibility for humans to control the properties of generated contents. Current conditional generation models cannot handle emerging conditions due to their joint end-to-end learning fashion. When a n…
Estimates time-series drifts from i.i.d. data using a direct Nadaraya-Watson plug-in method.
problem Nonparametric estimation of Schrödinger bridge drifts from single time interval data.
method Direct Nadaraya-Watson plug-in estimator based on kernelized numerator and denominator terms.
result Uniform non-asymptotic bound, CLT under undersmoothing, and adaptive bandwidth selector.
GAMA is a user-friendly AutoML system for machine learning pipeline optimization.
problem Empowering users to control and optimize machine learning pipelines.
method Modular AutoML system with three search algorithms and two post-processing steps.
result GAMA allows users to track and control the search process for optimal machine learning pipelines.
Bayesian models quantify uncertainty and facilitate optimal decision-making in downstream applications. For most models, however, practitioners are forced to use approximate inference techniques that lead to sub-optimal decisions due to incorrect posterior predictive distributions. We present a novel approach that corr…
In this article we give our contribution to the problem of segmentation with plug-in procedures. We give general sufficient conditions under which plug in procedure are efficient. We also give an algorithm that satisfy these conditions. We give an application of the used algorithm to hyperspectral images segmentation. …
We propose a new method to estimate Wasserstein distances and optimal transport plans between two probability distributions from samples in high dimension. Unlike plug-in rules that simply replace the true distributions by their empirical counterparts, our method promotes couplings with low transport rank, a new struct…
Simplified plug-in loss approximates EDL for reliable uncertainty estimation.
problem Efficient and reliable uncertainty estimation in real-world sensor-based learning systems.
method Approximate Dirichlet expected objectives with plug-in losses evaluated at the Dirichlet mean.
result Plug-in losses provide comparable predictive accuracy and selective prediction performance to classical EDL, while being simpler to implement.
Study bridges welfare maximization and CATE estimation in policy learning.
problem Tackles the gap between empirical welfare maximization and conditional average treatment effect estimation in policy learning.
method Shows equivalence between EWM and least squares over reparameterized policy class, proposes regularization method.
result Both approaches are interchangeable under common conditions and share theoretical guarantees.
This paper analyzes neural network classifiers' performance in binary classification.
problem Performance of neural network classifiers in binary classification problems.
method Plug-in classifiers based on neural networks, considering a more general function class and surrogate loss.
result Dimension-free, uniform rate of convergence for the excess risk of neural networks, showing minimax optimality.
We propose a framework for constructing and analyzing multiclass and multioutput classification metrics, i.e., involving multiple, possibly correlated multiclass labels. Our analysis reveals novel insights on the geometry of feasible confusion tensors -- including necessary and sufficient conditions for the equivalence…
We formalize AURC and develop estimators for SC systems.
problem Evaluation of SC systems' performance.
method Formal statistical formulation, Monte Carlo methods, plug-in estimators.
result Plug-in estimators are consistent, with low bias and bounded MSE.
Study builds a classifier for diffusions with unknown diffusion but known drifts.
problem Multiclass classification of S.D.E. paths with unknown diffusion coefficient.
method Plug-in classifier using nonparametric estimators of drift and diffusion functions.
result Consistent classification procedure with rate of convergence under different assumptions.
T-Cal tests model calibration with a minimax optimal test.
problem Detecting mis-calibration of predictive models using a finite validation dataset.
method T-Cal is a minimax optimal test for calibration based on a debiased plug-in estimator of the ℓ2-Expected Calibration Error (ECE). result T-Cal is a practical tool for testing the calibration of probabilistic classification methods.
ULFS-KDPE estimates parameters efficiently without influence functions.
problem Estimating pathwise differentiable parameters in nonparametric models.
method Kernel debiased plug-in estimator based on universal least favorable submodel.
result Semiparametric efficiency achieved without influence function derivation.
Plug-in robust NPE method adapts summaries independently of pretrained NPE.
problem Misspecification of neural posterior estimators under test data distribution.
method Minimum-distance summaries using maximum mean discrepancy (MMD).
result Substantial robustness gains with minimal additional overhead.