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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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481216 · May 202619922001200920172026
48 results for plug-in

The paper proves statistical consistency and fairness guarantees for a plug-in algorithm.

problem Establishing statistical guarantees for fairness-aware binary classification.
method Proves statistical consistency and derives finite sample guarantees for the plug-in algorithm.
result The plug-in algorithm is statistically consistent and guarantees fairness and differential privacy.

Optimal sample complexity analysis for plug-in approach in average-reward MDPs.

problem Learning optimal policies in average-reward MDPs with a generative model.
method Plug-in approach that constructs a model estimate and computes an optimal policy.
result Optimal sample complexities for the plug-in approach without prior knowledge of problem parameters.

The paper analyzes rates of convergence for optimal transport map estimators using barycentric projections.

problem Estimating optimal transport maps from data sampled according to two distributions.
method Comprehensive analysis of rates of convergence for plug-in estimators defined via barycentric projections.
result New stability estimate for barycentric projections under minimal smoothness assumptions.

Develops non-standard analysis for coherent risk estimation.

problem Estimating coherent risk measures in financial contexts.
method Non-standard analysis, hyperfinite representations, discrete Kusuoka formulae, plug-in asymptotics.
result Uniform almost sure consistency and asymptotic normality of spectral plug-in estimators.

A new method debiases multiple target parameters without IFs.

problem Debiasing multiple target parameters in nonparametric models.
method Kernel Debiased Plug-in Estimation (KDPE) using TMLE and reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces.
result KDPE simultaneously debiases all pathwise differentiable target parameters.

A new method estimates Schrödinger bridges without iterative simulations or neural networks.

problem Estimating the time-dependent drift between two probability distributions.
method Solving the static entropic optimal transport problem and modifying the potentials.
result The Sinkhorn bridge method provably estimates Schrödinger bridges with a rate of convergence dependent on the target measure's intrinsic dimensionality.

New method optimizes portfolio weights as functions, outperforming traditional approaches.

problem Optimizing portfolio weights in mean-variance models.
method Functional optimization approach, treating weights as functions of past values.
result Gradient-ascent algorithms can solve functional optimization problems for mean-variance portfolio management.

Estimates change point in high dimensional time series models.

problem Change point estimation in high dimensional time series.
method Plug-in least squares estimator with sufficient conditions for adaptivity.
result Optimal rate of convergence Op(ξ2)O_p(ξ^{-2}) in integer scale.

Simplified plug-in loss approximates EDL for reliable uncertainty estimation.

problem Efficient and reliable uncertainty estimation in real-world sensor-based learning systems.
method Approximate Dirichlet expected objectives with plug-in losses evaluated at the Dirichlet mean.
result Plug-in losses provide comparable predictive accuracy and selective prediction performance to classical EDL, while being simpler to implement.

Study minimax off-policy evaluation in multi-armed bandits with known and unknown behavior policies.

problem Evaluate policies in multi-armed bandits with unknown behavior policies.
method Develop minimax rate-optimal procedures for known and unknown behavior policies, including the Switch estimator and Chebyshev polynomial-based estimator.
result Plug-in estimator achieves optimal competitive ratio up to a logarithmic factor when behavior policy is unknown.

In the framework of supervised classification (discrimination) for functional data, it is shown that the optimal classification rule can be explicitly obtained for a class of Gaussian processes with "triangular" covariance functions. This explicit knowledge has two practical consequences. First, the consistency of the …

2010-04-28abs ↗pdf ↗

We formalize AURC and develop estimators for SC systems.

problem Evaluation of SC systems' performance.
method Formal statistical formulation, Monte Carlo methods, plug-in estimators.
result Plug-in estimators are consistent, with low bias and bounded MSE.

Study builds a classifier for diffusions with unknown diffusion but known drifts.

problem Multiclass classification of S.D.E. paths with unknown diffusion coefficient.
method Plug-in classifier using nonparametric estimators of drift and diffusion functions.
result Consistent classification procedure with rate of convergence under different assumptions.

We consider the problem of binary classification with abstention in the relatively less studied \emph{bounded-rate} setting. We begin by obtaining a characterization of the Bayes optimal classifier for an arbitrary input-label distribution PXYP_{XY}. Our result generalizes and provides an alternative proof for the resul…

2019-05-23abs ↗pdf ↗

ULFS-KDPE estimates parameters efficiently without influence functions.

problem Estimating pathwise differentiable parameters in nonparametric models.
method Kernel debiased plug-in estimator based on universal least favorable submodel.
result Semiparametric efficiency achieved without influence function derivation.

Develops fully Bayesian LVGP for better uncertainty quantification.

problem Uncertainty in qualitative inputs for GP models.
method Maps qualitative inputs to latent variables, uses standard GP over LVs, estimates LVs through ML, develops fully Bayesian approach.
result Significant improvements in prediction accuracy and uncertainty quantification over plug-in approach.

We study three fundamental statistical-learning problems: distribution estimation, property estimation, and property testing. We establish the profile maximum likelihood (PML) estimator as the first unified sample-optimal approach to a wide range of learning tasks. In particular, for every alphabet size kk and desired…

2019-06-10abs ↗pdf ↗

Semiparametric method removes bias in functional bilevel gradient estimation.

problem First-order bias in plug-in hypergradient when lower-level problem is nonparametric.
method Semiparametric debiasing theory based on efficient influence function leads to cross-fitted orthogonal hypergradient estimator.
result Asymptotic normality and uniform control over outer parameter established for the estimator.

Unified plug-in approach for estimating symmetric properties of distributions efficiently.

problem Estimating symmetric properties of distributions with high accuracy and efficiency.
method Profile-maximum-likelihood (PML) based estimator.
result Achieves theoretical limit for universal symmetric property estimation.

A new method for sampling on manifolds reduces density estimation errors.

problem Sampling on implicitly defined manifolds in various applications.
method Polynomial-Maximization Moment (PMM) estimator replacing local k-nearest-neighbour density estimate.
result Reduces density estimation errors by 22--36% on asymmetric gamma and boundary-spacing regimes.

This study examines biases in flow matching samplers using finite-sample estimation.

problem Biases in flow matching samplers when using finite-sample surrogates.
method Finite-sample plug-in estimation and hierarchy of empirical FM models.
result Exact empirical minimizer and smoothed plug-in regime identified for affine conditional flows.

Study on reducing forgetting in neural networks using compression theory.

problem Catastrophic forgetting in neural networks.
method Defined forgetting as increased description lengths, compared variational posterior approaches to prequential coding methods.
result Proposed a new continual learning method combining ML plug-in and Bayesian mixture codes.

Develops a new method for statistical optimal allocation problems.

problem Statistical optimal allocation problems with constraints.
method Functional differentiability approach and Hadamard differentiability of value functions.
result Validates margin assumption for fast convergence rate of plug-in methods.

Multi-task learning is a type of transfer learning that trains multiple tasks simultaneously and leverages the shared information between related tasks to improve the generalization performance. However, missing features in the input matrix is a much more difficult problem which needs to be carefully addressed. Removin…

2018-07-06abs ↗pdf ↗

We prove that the Dolgachev surface E(1)_{2,3} (which is an exotic copy of the elliptic surface E(1)=CP^2 # 9(-CP^2)) can be obtained from E(1) by twisting along a simple "plug", in particular it can be obtained from E(1) by twisting along an RP^2.

2009-12-23abs ↗pdf ↗

Researchers develop a method to generate diffusion-based samples from a tilted distribution.

problem Generating samples from a distribution that has been tilted by a parameter.
method Developed a plug-in estimator and proved Wasserstein bounds and TV-accuracy under certain conditions.
result The method is minimax-optimal and can be applied in various domains like finance and climate modeling.

A discrete diffusion model learns denoising, scoring, and bridging in different coordinates.

problem Understanding what a discrete diffusion model learns in different coordinate systems.
method Rigorous derivation of continuous-time Markov chain ELBO, Oracle Distance theorem, and exact coordinates for optimizer.
result The negative ELBO is exactly equal to the data entropy plus the path KL from the oracle reverse process to the learned one.

Transformers approximate Bayesian posteriors but not exactly.

problem Bayesian accounts of in-context learning face challenges due to task-preserving order changes in transformers.
method Showed that excess prequential code length is exactly cumulative predictive KL, decomposing expected regret into order-averaged predictor and order-averaging gain.
result Transformers approximate Bayesian posteriors but not exactly, priced by log loss.

Paper develops PGMM framework for debiased inference on nonparametric IV estimators.

problem Automatic debiased inference on nonparametric IV functionals.
method Penalized GMM (PGMM) framework for functionals of IV estimators.
result PGMM-based debiased estimator performs well, achieving near-nominal coverage.

Eigen-GNN enhances GNNs by preserving graph structures.

problem Existing shallow GNNs fail to effectively preserve graph structures.
method Integrates eigenspace of graph structures into GNNs as a dimensionality reduction module.
result Eigen-GNN boosts GNNs' ability to preserve graph structures without increasing depth.

New method corrects risk estimation bias, improving backtesting results.

problem Underestimation of risk by existing methods, especially in small samples.
method Proposes a new algorithm for bias correction using generalized Pareto distributions.
result The new algorithm leads to improved efficiency in estimating risk with heavy tails or heteroscedasticity.

New algorithm corrects risk estimation bias for heavy-tailed data.

problem Underestimation of risk in banking and insurance due to bias in estimation procedures.
method Proposes a new algorithm for bias correction and applies it to generalized Pareto distributions.
result The algorithm leads to more accurate risk estimation, especially in heavy-tailed data.