A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
Paper presents forecasting models for platelet demand.
New test identifies specific biological parameters for personalized CVD detection.
The Immersed Boundary (IB) method is a widely-used numerical methodology for the simulation of fluid-structure interaction problems. The IB method utilizes an Eulerian discretization for the fluid equations of motion while maintaining a Lagrangian representation of structural objects. Operators are defined for transmit…
Method learns shared and specific factors in multi-study gene expression data.
Study describes severe dengue ICU patients in Brazil, 2012-2024.
Demand variance can result in a mismatch between planned supply and actual demand. Demand shaping strategies such as pricing can be used to shift elastic demand to reduce the imbalance. In this work, we propose to consider elastic demand in the forecasting phase. We present a method to reallocate the historical elastic…
The paper proposes a new model to better estimate demand from censored data.
Demand functions for goods are generally cyclical in nature with characteristics such as trend or stochasticity. Most existing demand forecasting techniques in literature are designed to manage and forecast this type of demand functions. However, if the demand function is lumpy in nature, then the general demand foreca…
Transport demand is highly dependent on supply, especially for shared transport services where availability is often limited. As observed demand cannot be higher than available supply, historical transport data typically represents a biased, or censored, version of the true underlying demand pattern. Without explicitly…
Study improves cross-modal bike-share and transit demand prediction.
Previous works on segmentation of SEM (scanning electron microscope) blood cell image ignore the semantic segmentation approach of whole-slide blood cell segmentation. In the proposed work, we address the problem of whole-slide blood cell segmentation using the semantic segmentation approach. We design a novel convolut…
A new metric optimizes forecasts for lumpy, intermittent demand.
Statistical arbitrageurs have inelastic demand, contrary to classical models.
Implementing a set of microeconomic criteria, we develop price dynamics equations using a function of demand/supply with key symmetry properties. The function of demand/supply can be linear or nonlinear. The type of function determines the nature of the tail of the distribution based on the randomness in the supply and…
Recommending the right products is the central problem in recommender systems, but the right products should also be recommended at the right time to meet the demands of users, so as to maximize their values. Users' demands, implying strong purchase intents, can be the most useful way to promote products sales if well …
Novel probabilistic models forecast residential heating and electricity demand at hourly resolution.
Two neural network models analyze bus system efficiency and demand.
Heat demand prediction is a prominent research topic in the area of intelligent energy networks. It has been well recognized that periodicity is one of the important characteristics of heat demand. Seasonal-trend decomposition based on LOESS (STL) algorithm can analyze the periodicity of a heat demand series, and decom…
Intermittent demand, where demand occurrences appear sporadically in time, is a common and challenging problem in forecasting. In this paper, we first make the connections between renewal processes, and a collection of current models used for intermittent demand forecasting. We then develop a set of models that benefit…
Proposes a new model for more accurate demand forecasting considering dynamic contextual information.
The paper tackles ride-hailing fleet repositioning with a calibrated demand approach.
Taxi demand prediction has recently attracted increasing research interest due to its huge potential application in large-scale intelligent transportation systems. However, most of the previous methods only considered the taxi demand prediction in origin regions, but neglected the modeling of the specific situation of …
We consider a firm that sells products over periods without knowing the demand function. The firm sequentially sets prices to earn revenue and to learn the underlying demand function simultaneously. A natural heuristic for this problem, commonly used in practice, is greedy iterative least squares (GILS). At each ti…
Study on inventory control with changing demand, proposing adaptive algorithms.
Model predicts trading strategies based on latent demand and price impact.
Paper optimizes demand aggregation for low-level electricity markets.
MaxCOSD algorithm tackles non-i.i.d. demands and stateful dynamics in online inventory control.
Multi-step passenger demand forecasting is a crucial task in on-demand vehicle sharing services. However, predicting passenger demand over multiple time horizons is generally challenging due to the nonlinear and dynamic spatial-temporal dependencies. In this work, we propose to model multi-step citywide passenger deman…
The paper tackles revenue management with time-varying demand using posterior sampling.
Unified framework for intermittent demand forecasting using renewal processes.
Study shows how China's stock market reflects economic demand changes during COVID-19.
New framework estimates demand responses across multiple contexts with limited price variation.
This study develops an online predictive optimization framework for dynamically operating a transit service in an area of crowd movements. The proposed framework integrates demand prediction and supply optimization to periodically redesign the service routes based on recently observed demand. To predict demand for the …
This paper investigates and compares currency substitution between the currencies of Central and Eastern European (CEE) countries and the euro. In addition, we develop a model with microeconomic foundations, which identifies difference between currency substitution and money demand sensitivity to exchange rate variatio…
Study optimizes smart contract adoption under high demand variability using Negative Binomial models.
We propose the new Top-Dog-Index to quantify the historic deviation of the supply data of many small branches for a commodity group from sales data. On the one hand, the common parametric assumptions on the customer demand distribution in the literature could not at all be supported in our real-world data set. On the o…
SPADE improves demand forecasting accuracy by 4.5% for post-promotion periods.
The study focuses on estimating and predicting time-varying origin to destination (OD) trip tables for a dynamic traffic assignment (DTA) model. A bi-level optimisation problem is formulated and solved to estimate OD flows from pre-existent demand matrix and historical traffic flow counts. The estimated demand is then …
Study improves dynamic PT fleet optimization under noisy demand predictions.
Tab2vox converts tabular data into 3D images for improved demand forecasting.
The paper addresses uncertainty in demand prediction for dynamic pricing.
The paper proposes a demand prediction model for e-commerce sites using machine learning and stacking.
New framework forecasts both supply and demand in rental markets.
The paper explains how to predict returns based on firm characteristics.
Study examines remittances in Nepal, linking external demand and domestic monetary conditions.
Many economic applications including optimal pricing and inventory management requires prediction of demand based on sales data and estimation of sales reaction to a price change. There is a wide range of econometric approaches which are used to correct a bias in estimates of demand parameters on censored sales data. T…
Project promoters, forecasters, and managers sometimes object to two things in measuring inaccuracy in travel demand forecasting: (1) using the forecast made at the time of making the decision to build as the basis for measuring inaccuracy and (2) using traffic during the first year of operations as the basis for measu…
Estimates future ICU demand using age-structured data and logistic modeling.