The one-bit quantization is implemented by one single comparator that operates at low power and a high rate. Hence one-bit compressive sensing (1bit-CS) becomes attractive in signal processing. When measurements are corrupted by noise during signal acquisition and transmission, 1bit-CS is usually modeled as minimizing …
On-device research index
arXiv research
A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
168,742 papers · 148 categories
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48 results for “pinball-loss minimization”
Paper introduces arctan pinball loss for XGBoost quantile regression.
problem Efficiently predicting multiple quantiles with XGBoost.
method Smooth approximation of pinball loss for XGBoost, using arctan pinball loss.
result Arctan pinball loss reduces quantile crossings and improves efficiency.
A new asymmetric -insensitive pinball loss function based support vector quantile regression modelstat.ML
In this paper, we propose a novel asymmetric -insensitive pinball loss function for quantile estimation. There exists some pinball loss functions which attempt to incorporate the -insensitive zone approach in it but, they fail to extend the -insensitive approach for quantile estimation in true sense. The propo…
Model predicts US COVID-19 deaths with quantile estimates.
problem Predicting US COVID-19 deaths at county level.
method Hybrid machine learning and epidemiological approach, minimizing pinball loss.
result Quantile estimates accurately forecast deaths for different forecast periods.
We enhance conformal prediction for risk-averse decisions with action-conditional guarantees.
problem Uncertainty quantification and safety guarantees for machine learning decisions.
method Action-conditional conformal prediction, pinball-loss minimization.
result Action-conditional prediction sets optimize risk-averse decision-making.
Investigates methods to regularize quantile regression for accurate predictions.
problem Improving accuracy and fairness in quantile regression predictions.
method Various regularization techniques including expected pinball loss, monotonicity constraints, and rate constraints.
result Deep lattice networks can maintain non-crossing quantiles and improve calibration and fairness.
RHPSVM improves SVM performance with robust loss function.
problem Outliers and resampling instability in SVM models.
method RHPSVM uses a rescaled Huberized pinball loss function.
result RHPSVM outperforms existing SVM models in noisy and small-sample scenarios.
Unified Pin-SVM improves accuracy over existing Pin-SVM model.
problem Difficulty in Pin-SVM model for .
method Unified Pin-SVM model that solves a QPP for .
result Significant improvement in accuracy over existing Pin-SVM model.
Unified framework for fair regression under demographic parity.
problem Ensuring fairness in regression tasks subject to demographic parity constraints.
method Proposes a unified framework applicable to various regression tasks with a broad spectrum of loss functions, derived a novel characterization of the fair risk minimizer, and established theoretical consistency and convergence rates.
result Effective minimization of risk while satisfying fairness constraints across various regression settings.
Paper models and forecasts intra-day electricity price spreads.
problem Forecasting intra-day price spreads for electricity traders and operators.
method Dynamic density functions based on skewed-t distributions, conditional on exogenous drivers.
result Best fitting and forecasting specifications selected using Pinball Loss function.
Adaptive conformal inference without data exchangeability assumptions.
problem Real-world scenarios often violate the data exchangeability assumption for conformal prediction.
method Parameter-free online convex optimization for adaptive conformal inference.
result Controls long-term miscoverage frequency at a nominal level empirically.
A new Bayesian model improves forecasting for intermittent demand.
problem Sparse observations, cold-start items, and obsolescence in intermittent demand forecasting.
method Hierarchical Bayesian TSB model with partial pooling and calibrated probabilistic configuration.
result TSB-HB achieves the lowest RMSE and RMSSE on the UCI Online Retail dataset.
New quantile methods improve uncertainty quantification across various models.
problem Improper quantile loss limits model flexibility and accuracy.
method Developed new quantile methods that optimize for calibration, sharpness, and centered intervals.
result Improved conditional quantiles and better uncertainty quantification across diverse models.
Conformal Inference under High-Dimensional Covariate Shifts via Likelihood-Ratio Regularizationstat.ML
New method for valid prediction sets in high-dimensional covariate shifts.
problem Valid prediction sets in high-dimensional covariate shifts.
method Likelihood-ratio regularized quantile regression (LR-QR) algorithm.
result LR-QR constructs valid prediction sets with desired coverage in target domain.
New method for neural networks to predict histogram data.
problem Lack of principled approach for histogram regression.
method Pinball loss applied to cumulative histogram.
result Accuracy similar to EMD with less computational cost.
Asymptotic Theory and Phase Transitions for Variable Importance in Quantile Regression Forestsstat.ML
The paper develops asymptotic theory for QRF variable importance, revealing a bias-variance trade-off.
problem Challenges in statistical inference for QRF variable importance due to non-smoothness and bias-variance trade-off.
method Developed asymptotic theory using pinball loss and Knight's identity, uncovered phase transition phenomenon, derived asymptotic bias.
result Theoretical foundation for understanding QRF inference limitations in high-dimensional settings.
FlexCodeTS is a flexible time series density estimator.
problem Estimating conditional densities for time series data.
method Nonparametric conditional density estimator based on arbitrary regression methods.
result FlexCodeTS adapts its convergence rate based on the chosen regression method.
Pairwise quantile regression tackles similarity scoring in biometric systems.
problem Analyzing errors in similarity scoring for facial recognition.
method Established theoretical guarantees for pairwise quantile regression solutions, leveraging sharp concentration results for -processes.
result Proved generalization bounds and identified conditions for fast learning rates.
ConquerNet smooths quantile regression for deep learning with minimax guarantees.
problem Optimization challenges in quantile regression for deep models.
method ConquerNet uses convolution-smoothed quantile ReLU neural networks.
result ConquerNet provides minimax guarantees and outperforms standard quantile neural networks.
Neural network predicts daily power consumption with high accuracy.
problem Middle-term power consumption prediction in the energy sector.
method Incorporates trend, seasonality, and weather conditions in a shallow Neural Network.
result Excellent density forecast results on one-year test set.
SEMF predicts prediction intervals for ML models using latent variables.
problem Uncertainty quantification in ML models, especially for diverse data distributions.
method Supervised Expectation-Maximization Framework (SEMF) extending EM algorithm for latent variable modeling.
result SEMF produces narrower prediction intervals with desired coverage probability.
Estimating Dynamic Conditional Spread Densities to Optimise Daily Storage Trading of Electricitystat.AP
This paper formulates dynamic density functions, based upon skewed-t and similar representations, to model and forecast electricity price spreads between different hours of the day. This supports an optimal day ahead storage and discharge schedule, and thereby facilitates a bidding strategy for a merchant arbitrage fac…
Uncertainty analysis in the form of probabilistic forecasting can provide significant improvements in decision-making processes in the smart power grid for better integrating renewable energies such as wind. Whereas point forecasting provides a single expected value, probabilistic forecasts provide more information in …
Short-Term Density Forecasting of Low-Voltage Load using Bernstein-Polynomial Normalizing Flowscs.LG
The paper proposes a new method for probabilistic load forecasting using Bernstein-Polynomial Normalizing Flows.
problem High variability in short-term load forecasting at the low-voltage level due to fluctuating demand and increasing electrification.
method Flexible conditional density forecasting based on Bernstein polynomial normalizing flows with neural network control.
result Density predictions outperform traditional methods for 24h-ahead load forecasting.
A neural network estimates sampling distributions for hard problems where classical methods fail.
problem Bootstrap failure in estimating sampling distributions for specific statistics.
method Neural network trained on simulated datasets using pinball loss.
result Neural network attains 95% nominal coverage and 97% improvement over classical methods on four bootstrap-failure problems.
Uncertainty analysis in the form of probabilistic forecasting can significantly improve decision making processes in the smart power grid for better integrating renewable energy sources such as wind. Whereas point forecasting provides a single expected value, probabilistic forecasts provide more information in the form…
Paper introduces P-FGD for online quantile regression models.
problem Training nonparametric additive quantile regression models in online settings.
method Projected functional gradient descent algorithm (P-FGD) for pinball loss.
result P-FGD achieves minimax optimal consistency rate .
A scalable PyTorch framework for non-crossing quantile regression.
problem Non-crossing quantile regression to avoid impossible negative probability densities.
method CJQR-ALM combining Augmented Lagrangian Method, differentiable pinball loss, and L-BFGS optimization.
result Achieves near-zero crossing rates on large datasets within minutes.
New model forecasts power consumption with high accuracy over months to years.
problem Probabilistic forecasting of power consumption in a middle-term horizon.
method Combines traditional time-series analysis with weather conditions using Gaussian Process.
result Promising results in Out-of-Sample density forecasts up to one year.
Hybrid model combines LSTM and ETS for mid-term electric load forecasting.
problem Mid-term electric load forecasting accuracy.
method Combines LSTM, ETS, and ensemble learning; uses dilated LSTM for long-term relationships.
result High performance and competitiveness compared to classical and machine learning models.
Develops a new method for online conformal prediction without manual tuning.
problem Achieving long-run coverage for arbitrary data streams in an informative manner.
method Linearized regret theory and universal portfolio algorithms.
result Strong finite-time bounds on miscoverage for UP-OCP, outperforming prior methods.
Robust support vector model based on bounded asymmetric elastic net loss for binary classificationstat.ML
BAEN-SVM improves SVM robustness to noisy data.
problem Noise and geometric irrationalities in SVM.
method Bounded asymmetric elastic net loss combined with SVM.
result BAEN-SVM is robust to noise and geometrically well-defined.
AsylADMM improves gossip-based learning for non-smooth objectives.
problem Efficient and robust decentralized learning on edge devices.
method Asynchronous gossip algorithm for non-smooth optimization.
result AsylADMM converges faster on non-smooth problems.
Support vector machines (SVMs) are special kernel based methods and belong to the most successful learning methods since more than a decade. SVMs can informally be described as a kind of regularized M-estimators for functions and have demonstrated their usefulness in many complicated real-life problems. During the last…
Unified GARCH-NN models improve financial volatility forecasting.
problem Improving financial volatility forecasting accuracy and efficiency.
method Embedding GARCH dynamics within recurrent neural networks (GRU and LSTM).
result Unified GARCH-NN models outperform classical GARCH and hybrid methods.
New method recalibrates VaR for option books, reducing forecast errors.
problem Inaccurate VaR forecasts due to missing operational choices.
method Marking-aware sequential VaR recalibration targeting normalized book-level loss.
result Sequential VaR recalibration improves VaR performance across different markets and options.
Bayesian Transformer improves probabilistic load forecasting with calibrated uncertainty estimates.
problem Overconfident point predictions from deep learning models fail under extreme weather distributional shifts.
method Integrates three uncertainty mechanisms: MC Dropout, variational layers, and stochastic attention.
result Achieves state-of-the-art performance with CRPS of 0.0289 and 90% PICP across various horizons.
Minimal networks minimize length and mass in certain configurations.
problem Finding minimal networks that minimize length and mass.
method Global and local calibrations to prove minimization properties.
result Minimal networks minimize mass and interfaces in partitions.
The study finds conditions for area-minimizing cones over submanifolds.
problem Conditions for area-minimizing cones over submanifolds.
method General configuration results for area-minimizing cones.
result Cone over the minimal product of submanifolds and spheres are area-minimizing.
The paper studies deformations of singular minimal hypersurfaces in dimensions 7 and above.
problem The behavior of singular minimal hypersurfaces in dimensions 7 and above.
method Analyzes the local behavior of minimal hypersurfaces under perturbations and convergence of families of hypersurfaces.
result Existence and smoothness of nearby minimal hypersurfaces under perturbations, uniqueness of homological minimization, and existence of Jacobi fields.
Minimal surfaces in 3-sphere created by reflections from polygons, with new examples based on pentagons.
problem Constructing minimal surfaces in 3-sphere using reflections.
method Minimal -gon solves free boundary problem; curvature lines combinatorics investigated.
result New examples of minimal reflection surfaces based on pentagons.
Study on minimal surfaces in a 3D space with 2m-norm.
problem Characterizing minimal surfaces in a specific geometric space.
method Examining translation, homothetical, and separable minimal surfaces.
result New insights into minimal surfaces in a 3D space with 2m-norm.
Lectures on Minimal Surfacesmath.DG
Some elementary considerations are presented concerning Catenoids and their stability, separable minimal hypersurfaces, minimal surfaces obtainable by rotating shapes, determinantal varieties, minimal tori in S3, the minimality in Rnk of the ordered set of k orthogonal equal-length n-vectors, and U(1)-invariant minimal…
Study counts minimal surfaces in curved 3D spaces, finding hyperbolic space minimizes area.
problem Counting minimal surfaces in negatively curved 3-manifolds.
method Introduced an asymptotic quantity to count area-minimizing surfaces and showed minimization by hyperbolic metric.
result Hyperbolic metric minimizes the quantity of area-minimizing surfaces in negatively curved 3-manifolds.
Proves unique continuation for area minimizing currents.
problem Ensuring area minimizing currents match minimal surfaces.
method Analyzes infinite order contact between currents and minimal surfaces.
result Currents and minimal surfaces coincide in a neighborhood.
New inequality helps map stability in minimal surfaces.
problem Stability of minimal surfaces in .
method Developing new inequalities and perspectives on minimal surfaces.
result Reproves instability of classical minimal surfaces like Enneper.
Minimal submanifolds in spheres can be produced via Clifford type minimal products, and their Morse indices and nullities are calculated.
problem Understanding the properties of minimal submanifolds in spheres via Clifford products.
method Analyzing the first eigenfunctions and Morse indices of minimal products of minimal submanifolds.
result The Morse index and nullity of the minimal product are calculated and shown for specific cases.
Round balls minimize liquid drop model volumes ≤ 1.
problem Minimizing volumes in liquid drop models.
method Proved uniqueness of minimizers for small volumes.
result Round balls uniquely minimize volumes ≤ 1.