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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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59117176234 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for piecewise regression

New GP model estimates piecewise continuous functions.

problem Piecewise continuous regression functions in scientific and engineering applications.
method Local Gaussian process model with partitioned local data and joint estimation of boundaries.
result Superior performance over conventional GP models in estimating piecewise regression functions.

Paper proposes algorithms to accurately identify breakpoints in piecewise regression.

problem Identifying accurate breakpoints in piecewise regression for better data fitting.
method Proposes novel greedy algorithms to minimize error and determine optimal breakpoints.
result The proposed algorithms outperform existing methods in accuracy and efficiency.

New method uses DC functions for piecewise linear regression.

problem Regression with piecewise linear constraints.
method Estimates piecewise linear convex functions using a difference of convex functions.
result Method achieves close to minimax statistical risk and comparable performance to existing methods.

Proposes adaptive ridge regression for functional linear models with piecewise shapes.

problem Functional linear regression with unknown coefficient function.
method Adaptive piecewise function template with L2L_2 penalization.
result Improves predictive power and interpretability compared to standard methods.

The fused lasso is analyzed for high-dimensional piecewise-constant regression coefficients.

problem Estimation of high-dimensional piecewise-constant regression coefficients.
method Formulated a restricted isometry condition for the fused lasso estimator and derived estimation bounds.
result The estimation error can be dominated by either the lasso or the fused lasso rate, depending on the number of non-zero coefficients and piece-wise constant segments.

We present a detailed analysis of the class of regression decision tree algorithms which employ a regulized piecewise-linear node-splitting criterion and have regularized linear models at the leaves. From a theoretic standpoint, based on Rademacher complexity framework, we present new high-probability upper bounds for …

2019-06-29abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper presents ABGD for efficient piecewise linear regression in high dimensions.

problem Efficiently solving piecewise linear regression in high-dimensional spaces.
method Parametrizes piecewise linear functions as difference of max-affine functions, using ABGD algorithm.
result ABGD converges linearly to an ε-accurate estimate with optimal sample complexity.

XGBoost is often presented as the algorithm that wins every ML competition. Surprisingly, this is true even though predictions are piecewise constant. This might be justified in high dimensional input spaces, but when the number of features is low, a piecewise linear model is likely to perform better. XGBoost was exten…

2017-10-10abs ↗pdf ↗

We consider the generic regularized optimization problem β^(λ)=argminβL(y,Xβ)+λJ(β)\hat{\mathsfβ}(λ)=\arg \min_βL({\sf{y}},X{\sfβ})+λJ({\sfβ}). Efron, Hastie, Johnstone and Tibshirani [Ann. Statist. 32 (2004) 407--499] have shown that for the LASSO--that is, if LL is squared error loss and J(β)=β1J(β)=\|β\|_1 is the 1\ell_1 norm of ββ--the opti…

2007-08-16abs ↗pdf ↗

Efficiently finds sparse solutions to max-plus equations for convex regression.

problem Finding sparse solutions to max-plus equations for convex multivariate regression.
method Polynomial-time algorithm for sparse approximate solutions.
result Optimal piecewise-linear fitting with minimum number of regions.

BART and MOTR-BART improve tree-based predictions with local linear models.

problem Non-linearity and high-order interactions in data.
method Bayesian Additive Regression Trees (BART) and Model Trees BART (MOTR-BART) using piecewise linear functions.
result MOTR-BART achieves equal or better performance with fewer trees than BART.

New algorithm reduces dynamic regret for noisy gradient feedback with piecewise polynomial comparators.

problem Online estimation of piecewise polynomial trends with noisy feedback.
method Introduces variational constraint for piecewise polynomial comparators, designs adaptive algorithm.
result Achieves nearly optimal dynamic regret of $ ilde{O}(n^{ rac{1}{2k+3}}C_n^{ rac{2}{2k+3}})$.

The paper deals with regression problems, in which the nonsmooth target is assumed to switch between different operating modes. Specifically, piecewise smooth (PWS) regression considers target functions switching deterministically via a partition of the input space, while switching regression considers arbitrary switch…

2017-07-25abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper introduces \ell-DER for regression tasks using morphological operators and convex-concave procedure.

problem Developing a universal approximator for regression tasks.
method Introduces \ell-DER model, trains it using a convex-concave procedure (CCP) to minimize least-squares.
result Outperforms other hybrid morphological models and state-of-the-art approaches.

A method for identifying NPWARX models with arbitrary domains using probabilistic mixture models.

problem Identifying hybrid system models with discontinuous maps.
method Probabilistic mixture model with a neural network for nonlinear partitioning and Expectation Maximization for parameter estimation.
result Demonstrated on a nonlinear piece-wise problem with discontinuous maps.

Paper proposes a new method for selective inference in robust regression.

problem Statistical inference after removing outliers identified by robust methods.
method Conditional SI using piecewise-linear homotopy continuation.
result Proposed method is applicable to a wide class of robust regression and outlier detection methods.

This paper introduces a new method to better understand financial market causality.

problem Lack of comprehensive understanding of distributional causality in financial markets.
method Combines piecewise quantile regression with a piecewise linear embedding scheme.
result Uncovered significant tail-tail causal effects and substantial causal asymmetry in cryptocurrency return series.

New method samples from piecewise smooth distributions using Hamiltonian Monte Carlo.

problem Sampling from distributions with discontinuous gradients.
method Generalized Randomized Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (GRHMC) for piecewise smooth targets.
result GRHMC processes sample from piecewise smooth target distributions with the desired distribution as the invariant distribution.

New analysis improves SGD for robust and quantile regression with sub-quadratic convergence.

problem Improving SGD for robust and quantile regression with sub-quadratic convergence.
method Piecewise Lyapunov function for first-order differentiable functions.
result First geometrical convergence result for sub-quadratic SGD.

The paper develops a new method for estimating non-parametric regression functions with spatio-temporal dependencies.

problem Estimating non-parametric regression functions with spatio-temporal dependencies.
method Locally Adaptive Regression Splines (LARS) with ADMM algorithm.
result The method shows superior performance compared to existing techniques.

This technical note extends recent results on the computational complexity of globally minimizing the error of piecewise-affine models to the related problem of minimizing the error of switching linear regression models. In particular, we show that, on the one hand the problem is NP-hard, but on the other hand, it admi…

2015-10-23abs ↗pdf ↗

We solve ElasticNet regularization tuning across multiple instances with provable guarantees.

problem Tuning ElasticNet regularization coefficients across multiple problem instances.
method Characterized ElasticNet loss as a piecewise-rational function, derived structural complexity bounds, and showed generalization and online learning guarantees.
result First general learning-theoretic guarantees for ElasticNet tuning without strong data distribution assumptions.

SyMPLER improves time series forecasting in nonstationary environments with explainable models.

problem Nonstationary time series forecasting with limited interpretability.
method Dynamic piecewise-linear approximations based on Statistical Learning Theory generalization bounds.
result SyMPLER achieves comparable performance to black-box and explainable models while maintaining interpretability.

SGD trains ReLU networks to implement piecewise linear maps with at most 3 knot points.

problem Understanding the training dynamics of neural networks trained via SGD.
method Mean-field analysis of a two-layer ReLU network trained via SGD for a univariate regression problem.
result At convergence, SGD-trained ReLU networks implement piecewise linear maps with at most 3 knot points.

2D Total Variation Denoising (TVD) is a widely used technique for image denoising. It is also an important nonparametric regression method for estimating functions with heterogenous smoothness. Recent results have shown the TVD estimator to be nearly minimax rate optimal for the class of functions with bounded variatio…

2019-02-04abs ↗pdf ↗

BNN-DP improves robustness analysis of Bayesian Neural Networks.

problem Ensuring robustness of Bayesian Neural Networks against adversarial attacks.
method Dynamic Programming applied to Bayesian Neural Networks as stochastic dynamical systems.
result BNN-DP provides tighter and more efficient bounds on prediction ranges compared to existing methods.

PAR provides a flexible framework for quantization in optimization problems.

problem Challenges in optimization problems over discrete or quantized variables.
method Piecewise-affine regularization (PAR) for modeling and computational optimization.
result PAR-regularized loss functions exhibit high quantization at critical points in the overparameterized regime.

Transformers struggle to approximate smooth functions, relying on piecewise constant approximations.

problem Understanding the expressivity of Transformers for function approximation.
method Theoretical analysis and experimental validation of Transformer's ability to approximate smooth functions.
result Transformers cannot reliably approximate smooth functions, relying on piecewise constant approximations.

Many problems on signal processing reduce to nonparametric function estimation. We propose a new methodology, piecewise convex fitting (PCF), and give a two-stage adaptive estimate. In the first stage, the number and location of the change points is estimated using strong smoothing. In the second stage, a constrained s…

2018-03-14abs ↗pdf ↗

We propose a new active learning algorithm for parametric linear regression with random design. We provide finite sample convergence guarantees for general distributions in the misspecified model. This is the first active learner for this setting that provably can improve over passive learning. Unlike other learning se…

2014-10-22abs ↗pdf ↗

CNR uses convex optimization to estimate conditional distributions.

problem Estimating uncertainty in predictions and posterior conditional distributions.
method Convex optimization of a posterior defined via non-linear transformations on Gaussians.
result CNR can fit arbitrary conditional distributions, including multimodal and non-symmetric ones.