Machine learning predicts phase behavior in active matter suspensions.
arXiv research
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To investigate the detection of students' behavioral engagement (On-Task vs. Off-Task), we propose a two-phase approach in this study. In Phase 1, contextual logs (URLs) are utilized to assess active usage of the content platform. If there is active use, the appearance information is utilized in Phase 2 to infer behavi…
PH-VAE models heavy-tailed data with flexible Phase-Type distributions.
We study the phase transition of dynamical herd behaviors for the yen-dollar exchange rate in the Japanese financial market. It is obtained that the probability distribution of returns satisfies the power-law behavior with three different values of the scaling exponent 3.11 (one time lag = 1 minute), 2.81 (30 minut…
We consider an interest rate model with log-normally distributed rates in the terminal measure in discrete time. Such models are used in financial practice as parametric versions of the Markov functional model, or as approximations to the log-normal Libor market model. We show that the model has two distinct regimes, a…
If a given behavior of a multi-agent system restricts the phase variable to a invariant manifold, then we define a phase transition as change of physical characteristics such as speed, coordination, and structure. We define such a phase transition as splitting an underlying manifold into two sub-manifolds with distinct…
Recent years, many researches attempt to open the black box of deep neural networks and propose a various of theories to understand it. Among them, Information Bottleneck (IB) theory claims that there are two distinct phases consisting of fitting phase and compression phase in the course of training. This statement att…
Empirical time series of inter-event or waiting times are investigated using a modified Multifractal Detrended Fluctuation Analysis operating on fluctuations of mean detrended dynamics. The core of the extended multifractal analysis is the non-monotonic behavior of the generalized Hurst exponent -- the fundament…
We present an agent behavior based microscopic model that induces jumps, spikes and high volatility phases in the price process of a traded asset. We transfer dynamics of thermally activated jumps of an unexcited/ excited two state system discussed in the context of quantum mechanics to agent socio-economic behavior an…
To date, most studies on spam have focused only on the spamming phase of the spam cycle and have ignored the harvesting phase, which consists of the mass acquisition of email addresses. It has been observed that spammers conceal their identity to a lesser degree in the harvesting phase, so it may be possible to gain ne…
Modeling financial markets with memory using fractional calculus and Brownian motion.
Gradient descent dynamics in neural networks show quenching and activation phases.
Characterizes RFF regression in large setting, providing precise learning phases and double descent curve.
A phase plot of the oil economy is built using the literature data of world oil production, price, and EROEI (Energy Returned on Energy Invested). An analogy between the oil economy and the Benard convection is proposed; some methods of interpretation and forecast of the system behavior are also shown based on "phase p…
A set of relations between the modulus and phase is derived for amplitudes of the form $\mels{\hatu(x)}$ where in the fundamental representation and denotes the coordinates on the group manifold. An illustration is given for the case as well as a brief discussion of phase singularities …
Study of two-layer ReLU neural network phase diagram at infinite-width limit.
New algorithm solves phase retrieval with adaptive stopping criteria.
A novel framework interprets driving patterns using Action phases clustering.
The paper examines stability of shares in Proof of Stake protocol, identifying different investor behaviors and phase transitions.
Study rotational surfaces with prescribed Gauss curvature in 3D space.
Motivated by the need for accurate frequency information, a novel algorithm for estimating the fundamental frequency and its rate of change in three-phase power systems is developed. This is achieved through two stages of Kalman filtering. In the first stage a quaternion extended Kalman filter, which provides a unified…
Tyler's M-estimator's phase transition at DS-SNR = 1 is resolved.
We examine the out-of-equilibrium phase reported by Plerou {\it et. al.} in Nature, {\bf 421}, 130 (2003) using the data of the New York stock market (NYSE) between the years 2001 --2002. We find that the observed two phase phenomenon is an artifact of the definition of the control parameter coupled with the nature of …
In order to model volatile real-world network behavior, we analyze phase-flipping dynamical scale-free network in which nodes and links fail and recover. We investigate how stochasticity in a parameter governing the recovery process affects phase-flipping dynamics, and find the probability that no more than q% of nodes…
This paper demonstrates the use of genetic algorithms for evolving a grandmaster-level evaluation function for a chess program. This is achieved by combining supervised and unsupervised learning. In the supervised learning phase the organisms are evolved to mimic the behavior of human grandmasters, and in the unsupervi…
Study of 17 surface behaviors and singularities for elliptic Weingarten equations.
Enhances neural network dynamics to boost computational capacity.
A new image completion method inspired by brain cells.
Continuum mechanics theory describes skin's complex anisotropic behavior.
Descending phase retrieval algorithms show a phase transition with increasing sample complexity.
Paper analyzes LPSA algorithm for constrained optimization, revealing phase transitions and bias-variance trade-offs.
In this paper we study the global behavior of the Ricci flow equation for two classes of homogeneous manifolds with two isotropy summands. Using methods of the qualitative theory of differential equations, we present the global phase portrait of such systems and derive some geometrical consequences on the structure of …
In this paper we present a novel model of the primary visual cortex (V1) based on orientation, frequency and phase selective behavior of the V1 simple cells. We start from the first level mechanisms of visual perception: receptive profiles. The model interprets V1 as a fiber bundle over the 2-dimensional retinal plane …
This paper presents a phase diagram for two-layer neural networks under different initialization scales.
We find optimal learning rate schedules for a random feature model.
Quadratic models explain neural network behavior during training.
The study examines the dynamic behavior of RMSprop and Adam algorithms.
We study the problem of approximate ranking from observations of pairwise interactions. The goal is to estimate the underlying ranks of objects from data through interactions of comparison or collaboration. Under a general framework of approximate ranking models, we characterize the exact optimal statistical error …
Inspired by the recent literature on aggregation theory, we aim at relating the long range correlation of the stocks return volatility to the heterogeneity of the investors' expectations about the level of the future volatility. Based on a semi-parametric model of investors' anticipations, we make the connection betwee…
The two phase behavior in financial markets actually means the bifurcation phenomenon, which represents the change of the conditional probability from an unimodal to a bimodal distribution. In this paper, the bifurcation phenomenon in Hang-Seng index is carefully investigated. It is observed that the bifurcation phenom…
We analyze the linear response of a market network to shocks based on the bipartite market model we introduced in an earlier paper, which we claimed to be able to identify the time-line of the 2009-2011 Eurozone crisis correctly. We show that this model has three distinct phases that can broadly be categorized as "stab…
Moon phases added to stock market analysis for better pattern recognition.
Financial markets, being spectacular examples of complex systems, display rich correlation structures among price returns of different assets. The correlation structures change drastically, akin to phase transitions in physical phenomena, as do the influential stocks (leaders) and sectors (communities), during market e…
Twitter promotes cryptocurrency pump-and-dumps, affecting trading behavior and returns.
Firm foundation theory estimates a security's firm fundamental value based on four determinants: expected growth rate, expected dividend payout, the market interest rate and the degree of risk. In contrast, other views of decision-making in the stock market, using alternatives such as human psychology and behavior, bou…
In his seminal paper, A. N. Varchenko precisely investigates the leading term of the asymptotic expansion of an oscillatory integral with real analytic phase. He expresses the order of this term by means of the geometry of the Newton polyhedron of the phase. The purpose of this paper is to generalize and improve his re…
In this paper, we introduce the concept of collective learning (CL) which exploits the notion of collective intelligence in the field of distributed semi-supervised learning. The proposed framework draws inspiration from the learning behavior of human beings, who alternate phases involving collaboration, confrontation …
New model uses symmetries and scaling laws to predict consumer advertising response.