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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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48 results for periodic data

In this paper, we give a classification of orientation reversing periodic maps on closed surfaces which generalizes the theory of Nielsen for the orientation preserving periodic maps. On one hand, we give a group of data for each orientation reversing periodic map such that two periodic maps with the same data must be …

2016-03-01abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper proposes a method to improve Bayesian inference for periodic data using data-driven priors.

problem Efficiency in approximating posterior distribution in models with periodicity.
method Construct a prior distribution from data using a Gaussian process with a periodic kernel, approximated using adaptive importance sampling.
result The proposed method improves the marginal posterior distribution of the period parameter.

We introduce a new technique to solve period problems on minimal surfaces called limit-method. If a family of surfaces has Weierstrass-data converging to the data of a known example, and this presents a transversal solution of periods, then the original family contains a sub-family with closed periods.

2008-06-18abs ↗pdf ↗

DEPTS learns to forecast periodic time series with improved accuracy.

problem Forecasting periodic time series is challenging due to complex dependencies and diverse periods.
method DEPTS uses a decoupled formulation with an expansion module and a periodicity module to handle these challenges.
result DEPTS significantly improves forecasting accuracy, reducing errors by up to 20%.

This note summarizes results that were obtained by the author in his habilitation thesis (arXiv:1607.08792) concerning the development of a spectral theory for simply periodic, 2-dimensional, complex-valued solutions of the sinh-Gordon equation. Spectral data for such solutions are defined for periodic Cauchy data on a…

2017-01-11abs ↗pdf ↗

Periodic activation functions improve neural network reliability and interpretability.

problem Neural networks reinforce hidden biases, making them unreliable and hard to interpret.
method Introduce periodic activation functions in Bayesian neural networks to establish a connection with stationary Gaussian process priors.
result Periodic activation functions, including sinusoidal, triangular, and ReLU, improve model performance and sensitivity to perturbations.

The study connects periodic surface homeomorphisms to contact structures using rational open books.

problem Understanding the properties of contact structures associated with periodic surface homeomorphisms.
method Associate rational open books to marked data sets, study contact structures, and prove Stein fillability conditions.
result A class of data sets gives rise to Stein fillable contact structures under certain combinatorial conditions.

Learning three data points can generate all types of periodic orbits in a neural network.

problem Can learning three data points generate all types of periodic orbits in a neural network?
method Investigated a continuous one-dimensional map with period three in a random neural network in its thermodynamic limit.
result Almost all learned periods are unstable, and each network has its own characteristic attractors.

Constructs a family of genus three minimal surfaces with parallel ends.

problem Creating embedded doubly periodic minimal surfaces with specific topological properties.
method Constructs a one-parameter family of surfaces with given Weierstrass data and solves the period problem.
result Solves the two dimensional period problem for the constructed surfaces.

In this study, we applied a stochastic spread pairs trading strategy on the Indian commodity market. The complete set of commodities were taken whose spot price was available for the period of January 1st 2010 to December 31st 2018 including energy, metals and the agricultural commodity sector. Spot data was taken from…

2019-07-19abs ↗pdf ↗

We construct Weierstrass data for higher genus embedded doubly periodic minimal surfaces and present numerical evidence that the associated period problem can be solved. In the orthogonal ends case, there previously was only one known surface for each genus. We illustrate multiple new examples for each genus g>2. In th…

2016-02-17abs ↗pdf ↗

Critical learning periods found in deep linear networks too.

problem Understanding why critical learning periods emerge in both biological and artificial networks.
method Focused on deep linear network models, analyzed depth and data distribution, and examined multi-task learning.
result Critical periods depend on model depth and data distribution structure, and pre-training can affect transfer performance.

The aim of this paper is to compare statistical properties of a bubble period with those of the anti-bubble period in stock markets. We investigate the statistical properties of daily data for the Nikkei 225 index in the 28-year period from January 1975 to April 2003, corresponded to the periods of bubbles and anti-bub…

2004-01-09abs ↗pdf ↗

Proposes a deep RL approach for high-frequency market making using tick data and periodic signals.

problem Challenges in high-frequency market making due to tick-level data complexity and high trading volume.
method Integrates tick-level data with periodic signals using deep reinforcement learning.
result The proposed framework outperforms existing methods in profitability and risk management.

AMSAs adaptively manage crypto-currency trading by selecting multiple strategies based on market conditions.

problem Maximizing gains in volatile crypto-currency markets with high uncertainty.
method AMSAs use multiple sub-agents with different strategies, dynamically selecting them based on market conditions.
result AMSAs can achieve high positive alpha in long-term crypto-currency trading.

New insights into pseudo-Anosov flows with special periodic orbits.

problem Understanding pseudo-Anosov flows with periodic orbits in 3-manifolds.
method Analyzing the topological features corresponding to trees of scalloped regions and classifying flows with the same free homotopy data.
result Explicit examples of flows with the same free homotopy data but not orbit equivalent.

We present an algorithm for the decomposition of periodic financial return data into orthogonal factors of expected return and "systemic", "productive", and "nonproductive" risk. Generally, when the number of funds does not exceed the number of periods, the expected return of a portfolio is an affine function of its pr…

2012-06-11abs ↗pdf ↗

Payments data and machine learning improve nowcasting accuracy for macroeconomic indicators.

problem Lagged indicators in linear models are insufficient during crisis periods.
method Non-traditional payments data, nonlinear machine learning, and tailored cross-validation.
result Improved macroeconomic nowcasting accuracy up to 40% during crises.

The presence of log-periodic structures before and after stock market crashes is considered to be an imprint of an intrinsic discrete scale invariance (DSI) in this complex system. The fractal framework of the theory leaves open the possibility of observing self-similar log-periodic structures at different time scales.…

2005-01-21abs ↗pdf ↗

We clarify the status of log-periodicity associated with speculative bubbles preceding financial crashes. In particular, we address Feigenbaum's [2001] criticism and show how it can be rebuked. Feigenbaum's main result is as follows: ``the hypothesis that the log-periodic component is present in the data cannot be reje…

2001-06-26abs ↗pdf ↗

In this paper we formally analyse the use of sparse filtering algorithms to perform covariate shift adaptation. We provide a theoretical analysis of sparse filtering by evaluating the conditions required to perform covariate shift adaptation. We prove that sparse filtering can perform adaptation only if the conditional…

2016-07-22abs ↗pdf ↗

We introduce a mathematical criterion defining the bubbles or the crashes in financial market price fluctuations by considering exponential fitting of the given data. By applying this criterion we can automatically extract the periods in which bubbles and crashes are identified. From stock market data of so-called the …

2006-08-01abs ↗pdf ↗

Study classifies stock price data into stationary and non-stationary periods for mechanical trading.

problem Classifying stock price fluctuations into stationary and non-stationary periods for trading.
method Stationarity analysis using KM2_2O-Langevin theory and trend-based indicators for stationary periods, oscillator-based indicators for non-stationary periods.
result Back testing confirms the strategy is a safe trading strategy with small maximum drawdown.

Classical dynamical equations describing a certain version of the nonHamiltonian interaction of two rotators (Euler tops with completely degenerate inertia tensors) are considered. The simplest case is integrated. It is shown that the dynamics is almost periodic with periods depending on the initial data.

1994-09-23abs ↗pdf ↗

Through the analysis of a dataset of ultra high frequency order book updates, we introduce a model which accommodates the empirical properties of the full order book together with the stylized facts of lower frequency financial data. To do so, we split the time interval of interest into periods in which a well chosen r…

2013-12-02abs ↗pdf ↗

Constructs universal local deformations for curves and differential forms.

problem Local deformations of curves and differential forms under preservation of periods.
method Develops Kuranishi families for pairs of curves and meromorphic 1-forms, focusing on hyperelliptic cases.
result First paper in a series developing a deformation theory for spectral curve data of integrable systems.

We give a brief review of a research made in the field of differential geometry in Estonia in the period from the beginning of the 19th century to the present time. The biographic data of mathematicians who made a valuable contribution to the development of differential geometry in Estonia in mentioned period are prese…

2005-09-22abs ↗pdf ↗

New method estimates robust multi-period portfolios using entropy.

problem Lack of general agreement on building robust multi-period portfolios.
method Detrended cluster entropy approach to estimate portfolio weights.
result Portfolio weights are estimated reliably from real-world data at varying time horizons.

We study the space of periodic solutions of the elliptic sinh\sinh-Gordon equation by means of spectral data consisting of a Riemann surface YY and a divisor DD. We show that the space MgpM_g^{\mathbf{p}} of real periodic finite type solutions with fixed period p\mathbf{p} can be considered as a completely integrable s…

2016-06-06abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper proposes a dynamic risk measure approach for evaluating defined-contribution pension funds.

problem Periodic evaluation of defined-contribution pension funds to manage risk and improve projections.
method Dynamic risk measure criterion, model-free reinforcement learning, Lee-Carter mortality model.
result Periodic evaluations lead to more risk-averse strategies, while mortality improvements encourage risk-seeking behaviors.

A new method uses hyperspherical latent spaces to disentangle data with periodic structures.

problem Disentangling data with periodic or cyclic underlying factors in Euclidean space.
method Diffusion Variational Autoencoder with a modified Evidence Lower Bound.
result The method can recover periodic true factors effectively.

Hypothesis of Market Efficiency is an important concept for the investors across the globe holding diversified portfolios. With the world economy getting more integrated day by day, more people are investing in global emerging markets. This means that it is pertinent to understand the efficiency of these markets. This …

2017-09-12abs ↗pdf ↗

We prove the Livšic Theorem for arbitrary GL(m,R)GL(m,\mathbb R) cocycles. We consider a hyperbolic dynamical system f:XXf : X \to X and a Hölder continuous function A:XGL(m,R)A: X \to GL(m,\mathbb R). We show that if AA has trivial periodic data, i.e. A(fn1p)...A(fp)A(p)=IdA(f^{n-1} p) ... A(fp) A(p) = Id for each periodic point p=fnpp=f^n p, then there …

2008-08-03abs ↗pdf ↗