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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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68135203270 · May 202619922001200920172026
48 results for periodic controls

New model optimizes portfolios over multiple periods using predictive control.

problem Optimizing multi-period portfolios with risk and variance objectives.
method Model Predictive Control with Mean-Variance and Risk Parity.
result 30x faster and more robust solutions compared to single period models.

Study optimal portfolio strategies with periodic evaluation under short-selling prohibition.

problem Optimal portfolio strategies with periodic evaluation under short-selling prohibition.
method Reformulate the original problem into an auxiliary one-period optimization problem and introduce dual control problem.
result Derive and verify the value function and optimal constrained portfolio for the original problem.

The OGY method is one of control methods for a chaotic system. In the method, we have to calculate a stabilizing periodic orbit embedded in its chaotic attractor. Thus, we cannot use this method in the case where a precise mathematical model of the chaotic system cannot be identified. In this case, the delayed feedback…

2019-07-16abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper tackles robust control with uncertain dependence using data-driven methods.

problem Nonparametric robust control under dependence uncertainty in multi-period stochastic systems.
method Nonparametric adaptive robust control framework using stochastic gradient descent ascent algorithm.
result The controller benefits from knowing more about the uncertain model.

Intelligent control for greenhouses using deep reinforcement learning.

problem Uncertain nonlinear system of greenhouse environment control.
method Model Embedded Deep Reinforcement Learning (MEDRL) with computer vision and crop growth models.
result Precision and convenience in precise control of greenhouse environment.

Generalising the idea of the classical EM algorithm that is widely used for computing maximum likelihood estimates, we propose an EM-Control (EM-C) algorithm for solving multi-period finite time horizon stochastic control problems. The new algorithm sequentially updates the control policies in each time period using Mo…

2016-11-06abs ↗pdf ↗

A contextual bandit method evaluates and improves inventory control policies.

problem Evaluating and improving periodic review inventory control policies with nonstationary demand.
method Contextual bandit-based algorithm to evaluate and tweak policies.
result The method achieves favorable guarantees in both theory and practice.

Paper tackles inventory management with deep learning, improving performance and adherence to constraints.

problem Managing inventory with limited resources and constraints.
method Proposes a novel method to sample from a distribution of possible constraint paths, extends exo-IDP formulation, introduces neural coordinator, and uses modified DirectBackprop algorithm.
result Deep reinforcement learning policies with a neural coordinator outperform classic baselines in terms of performance and adherence to constraints.

This paper optimizes periodic dividend strategies for Lévy processes with transaction costs.

problem Maximizing dividends for spectrally negative Lévy processes with fixed transaction costs.
method Using periodic strategies and fixed transaction costs, the paper calculates the value function and shows optimality conditions.
result A sufficient condition for optimality is that the Lévy measure is completely monotonic.

This work uses QPGPs to improve ILC performance in repetitive tasks.

problem Performance degradation in repetitive motion tasks due to environmental changes and robot wear.
method Incorporates Quasi-Periodic Gaussian Processes into a predictive ILC framework.
result The proposed approach achieves faster convergence and robustness under disturbances.

Study optimizes resource allocation in noisy systems for better control.

problem Limited attention in stochastic systems with multiplicative noise.
method Analytical and numerical methods for optimal attention allocation.
result Effective resource allocation enhances noise estimation and control decisions.

We consider a basic model of multi-period trading, which can be used to evaluate the performance of a trading strategy. We describe a framework for single-period optimization, where the trades in each period are found by solving a convex optimization problem that trades off expected return, risk, transaction cost and h…

2017-04-29abs ↗pdf ↗

Robo-advisors use MPC to create dynamic investment strategies.

problem Static allocation methods limit robo-advisors' effectiveness.
method Combines MPC with Hidden Markov Model and Black-Litterman for dynamic asset allocation.
result MPC-based strategies outperform static approaches in dynamic and risk-budgeting criteria.

Study optimal periodic dividend strategies for risky businesses with transaction costs.

problem Optimal periodic dividend strategies for spectrally positive Lévy risk processes with fixed transaction costs.
method Investigates periodic (bu,bl)(b_u,b_l) strategies for a Poisson arrival process of decision times.
result A periodic (bu,bl)(b_u,b_l) strategy is optimal with lump sum dividends net of transaction costs.

Financial event studies often misestimate causal effects due to misspecified factor models.

problem Misspecification of factor models in financial event studies leads to inconsistent estimates of causal effects.
method Proposed synthetic control methods to construct replicating portfolios from control securities.
result Synthetic control methods provide more accurate estimates of causal effects in event studies.

Modeling business expansion as a stochastic control problem, the study finds that firms are incentivized to expand but may wait.

problem Optimizing business expansion under exposure constraints and opportunity costs.
method Formulated as a novel stochastic control problem combined with optimal stopping time, derived an explicit solution for exponential utility.
result Firms are incentivized to expand but may wait due to opportunity costs and other factors.

Adaptive framework predicts stock prices better during volatile periods.

problem Inability of standard prediction models to handle regime-dependent stock market behavior.
method Autoencoder-Gated Dual Node Transformers with Reinforcement Learning Control.
result 0.59% MAPE with adaptive system, compared to 0.80% for baseline.

This study investigates porosity and topological properties of TPMS using machine learning.

problem Understanding the relationships between porosity and topological properties of TPMS.
method Application of machine learning techniques to analyze porosity and shape factor of TPMS.
result Conjectures suggesting polynomial relationships between porosity and shape factor of TPMS.

The paper examines how macroeconomic control tools lost effectiveness, leading to a 'dark ages' period.

problem Loss of effectiveness of control tools in macroeconomic stabilization policy.
method Historical analysis of macroeconomic stabilization policy from 1948 to 1993.
result The overstatement of the Lucas critique and Kydland and Prescott's time-inconsistency led to a period of ineffective stabilization policy.

Paper proposes a DRL-based controller for networked AP systems that reduces communication frequency.

problem Reduce communication frequency in networked AP systems while maintaining control performance.
method Develops a DRL-based controller that avoids explicit update timing learning, using a semi-Markov decision process (SMDP).
result Improves communication efficiency without sacrificing control performance.

Deep RL algorithms can overfit to early experiences, leading to poor performance.

problem Overfitting to early interactions in deep reinforcement learning.
method Proposed a mechanism to periodically reset part of the agent to mitigate overfitting.
result Periodic resetting improves performance in both discrete and continuous action domains.

Complex non-linear interactions between banks and assets we model by two time-dependent Erdős Renyi network models where each node, representing bank, can invest either to a single asset (model I) or multiple assets (model II). We use dynamical network approach to evaluate the collective financial failure---systemic ri…

2014-03-22abs ↗pdf ↗

Estimates treatment effects in time series data with always-missing controls.

problem Lack of control group in time series data, especially during specific events.
method Recover control group in event period, account for confounders and temporal dependencies.
result Robust estimation of control group's potential outcome and accurate predicted holiday effect.

The financial crisis clearly illustrated the importance of characterizing the level of 'systemic' risk associated with an entire credit network, rather than with single institutions. However, the interplay between financial distress and topological changes is still poorly understood. Here we analyze the quarterly inter…

2013-02-08abs ↗pdf ↗

MPC outperforms reactive budgeting in non-stationary return environments.

problem Optimizing budget allocation under non-stationary returns.
method Receding-horizon Model Predictive Control (MPC) compared to reactive policies.
result MPC consistently outperforms reactive budgeting when return dynamics are predictable.

A new ML algorithm solves complex economic control problems.

problem Solving high-dimensional, finite-horizon stochastic control problems in economics.
method Deep neural network representation of optimal policy functions with three key features.
result Efficiently solves various economic control problems including recursive utility and growth models.

Study optimal portfolio management with periodic evaluations in stochastic models, considering convex constraints.

problem Optimal portfolio management under ratio-type periodic evaluations in stochastic factor models with convex trading constraints.
method Transformed infinite horizon optimal control problem into an auxiliary terminal wealth optimization problem. Introduced an auxiliary unconstrained optimization problem in a modified market model. Used martingale duality approach to establish dual minimizer and optimal unconstrained wealth process.
result Derived and verified the optimal constrained portfolio process for the original problem over an infinite horizon.

A new pricing strategy minimizes regret by controlling strategic buyer behavior.

problem Designing a pricing policy for strategic buyers with limited seller information.
method Phased-structure policy with randomized isolation periods.
result Regret of TT-period O~(T)\widetilde{\mathcal{O}}(\sqrt{T}) against a benchmark policy.

The paper uses persistent homology to estimate recurrence times in multi-variate time series.

problem Estimating recurrence times in multi-variate time series with different cyclic behaviors.
method Persistent homology framework with three specialized methods.
result Validated methods on real-world data, including a new benchmark dataset.

Study proposes a neural network approach for high inflation investment portfolios with leverage constraints.

problem Optimizing investment portfolios with high inflation and bounded leverage constraints.
method Formulated an optimal control problem, established a closed-form solution, and developed a novel LFNN approach.
result The LFNN strategy outperforms a passive benchmark by about 200 bps with a high probability of success.

High-dimensional models can outperform simpler ones in causal inference.

problem Estimating average treatment effects with many covariates.
method High-dimensional linear regression and synthetic control with many control units.
result Adding more control units can improve imputation performance even when pre-treatment fit is perfect.

The FCA improved insider trading regulation after 2012, reducing abnormal returns.

problem Regulation of insider trading before and after the UK Financial Services Act 2012.
method Event study methodology using abnormal returns analysis.
result Abnormal returns were reduced after the FCA took over from the FSA.

This article presents some methods to control the bottom of the spectrum of the Laplacian λ0λ_0 on hyperbolic surfaces with infinite volume. Our first result bounds the λ0λ_0 of a geometrically finite surface in terms of the geometry of its convex core. We then focus on infinite type periodic hyperbolic surfaces built …

2008-07-25abs ↗pdf ↗

New spectral theory for non-associative algebras with applications to Moufang dynamics.

problem Spectral theory of non-associative algebras and their applications.
method Introducing almost periodic Banach--Malcev algebras and analyzing their spectral properties.
result Spectral characterization and continuous functional calculus for almost periodic derivations.

LLMs struggle to outperform markets over long periods and diverse stocks.

problem Overstated effectiveness of LLM-based investing strategies due to biases.
method FINSABER framework for systematic backtests over two decades and 100+ symbols.
result Previously reported LLM advantages deteriorate significantly under broader evaluation.