The study improves credit evaluation in peer-to-peer lending using machine learning.
problem Traditional credit histories are insufficient for distinguishing good from bad borrowers.
method Used machine learning classification and clustering algorithms to predict creditworthiness.
result Achieved 65% F1 and 73% AUC on LendingClub data, identifying key secondary attributes.
Peer effects, in which the behavior of an individual is affected by the behavior of their peers, are posited by multiple theories in the social sciences. Other processes can also produce behaviors that are correlated in networks and groups, thereby generating debate about the credibility of observational (i.e. nonexper…
Peer grading is the process of students reviewing each others' work, such as homework submissions, and has lately become a popular mechanism used in massive open online courses (MOOCs). Intrigued by this idea, we used it in a course on algorithms and data structures at the University of Hamburg. Throughout the whole se…
Paper identifies bias and strategic behavior in crowdsourced performance assessments.
problem Crowdsourced performance assessment risks personal interest introducing distortions.
method Developed a method to identify bias and strategic behavior using a rich dataset.
result Discovers a pattern of 'discriminatory generosity' in peer evaluation.
Backtests of structured strategies lose much of their predictive power in live trading.
problem Uncertainty in how marketed backtests predict live performance of structured strategies.
method Analysis of 1,726 structured strategies from ten global institutions.
result Raw backtests have limited portability into live trading and deteriorate sharply.
Bitcoin price prediction models fail to outperform a simple 'today's price' baseline, especially at longer horizons.
problem Lack of robust models that consistently outperform a naive price predictor at various horizons.
method Surveyed peer-reviewed papers, categorized by evaluation methodology, contrasted with social media discourse, and proposed methodological standards.
result No peer-reviewed study has shown robust superiority over the naive baseline across multiple market regimes at short-to-medium horizons.
Federated Learning is the current state of the art in supporting secure multi-party machine learning (ML): data is maintained on the owner's device and the updates to the model are aggregated through a secure protocol. However, this process assumes a trusted centralized infrastructure for coordination, and clients must…
The paper tackles online learning with expert predictions using only peer feedback.
problem Lack of direct feedback on expert losses in online learning.
method Proposes a peer prediction approach with a carefully designed score function to estimate losses.
result Shows sufficient conditions for bounded regret using the peer score function.
We provide two distributed confidence ball algorithms for solving linear bandit problems in peer to peer networks with limited communication capabilities. For the first, we assume that all the peers are solving the same linear bandit problem, and prove that our algorithm achieves the optimal asymptotic regret rate of a…
Paper tackles low sample and communication complexities in decentralized bilevel optimization.
problem Decentralized bilevel optimization problems with limited computation and communication capabilities.
method Proposes INTERACT and SVR-INTERACT algorithms to achieve low sample and communication complexities.
result Achieves both low sample and communication complexities for solving decentralized bilevel optimization problems.
Credit risk prediction is an effective way of evaluating whether a potential borrower will repay a loan, particularly in peer-to-peer lending where class imbalance problems are prevalent. However, few credit risk prediction models for social lending consider imbalanced data and, further, the best resampling technique t…
Decentralized algorithm for non-convex problems converges faster than centralized methods.
problem Non-convex empirical risk minimization over decentralized networks.
method Decentralized stochastic gradient tracking (DSGT) with mini-batch SG steps.
result DSGT achieves comparable convergence rates to centralized SGD and can achieve linear speedup.
Study shows peers' graduation improves residents' success in TCs.
problem Identifying peer influence in therapeutic communities adjusting for latent homophily.
method Used data on affirmations and exit dates to form peer networks, modeled latent homophily, and proposed bias correction methods.
result Positive effect of peers' graduation on residents' graduation, varying by gender, race, and role model definition.
Study optimal risk sharing in decentralized peer-to-peer markets with robust risk measures.
problem Optimizing risk sharing in decentralized markets with non-convex risk measures.
method Characterization of Pareto-optimal allocations using robust distortion risk measures and probabilistic risk aversion.
result Shape of allocations depends on agents' tail risk assessments.
OKDDip uses diverse peers to improve online knowledge distillation.
problem Early saturation in group-based distillation.
method Two-level distillation with multiple auxiliary peers and a group leader, using attention-based aggregation weights.
result OKDDip consistently gives better performance than state-of-the-art approaches.
The paper analyzes reinsurance strategies in peer-to-peer insurance schemes.
problem Strategic interaction between plan managers and reinsurers in P2P insurance.
method Develops two game-theoretic contract designs: Pareto and Bowley designs, deriving optimal contracts and analyzing their welfare effects.
result The Bowley design yields a unique optimal contract, while the Pareto design allows for multiple Pareto-optimal contracts.
A novel fully asynchronous scheme for distributed reinforcement learning over networks.
problem Policy evaluation in distributed reinforcement learning over networks.
method Design of a stochastic average gradient (SAG) based distributed algorithm and push-pull augmented graph approach.
result The proposed algorithm converges at a linear rate of \(\mathcal{O}(c^k)\) with \(c\in(0,1)\) and \(k\) increasing by one per node update.
Bias and heterogeneity in peer assessment can lead to the issue of unfair scoring in the educational field. To deal with this problem, we propose a reference ranking method for an online peer assessment system using HodgeRank. Such a scheme provides instructors with an objective scoring reference based on mathematics.
Peer-reviewed research and mined data predict stock returns similarly.
problem Predicting stock returns using research quality.
method Cross-sectional analysis of 29,000 accounting ratios with t-statistics > 2.0.
result Post-sample performance is largely independent of whether the predictor is peer-reviewed or mined.
Peer loss functions learn from noisy labels without noise rate specification.
problem Learning from noisy labels without knowing noise rates.
method Introduced peer loss functions within ERM framework.
result Peer loss functions lead to optimal or near-optimal classifiers.
In massive open online courses (MOOCs), peer grading serves as a critical tool for scaling the grading of complex, open-ended assignments to courses with tens or hundreds of thousands of students. But despite promising initial trials, it does not always deliver accurate results compared to human experts. In this paper,…
Machine learning analyzed peer reviews to find differences in quality by journal impact factor.
problem Determining if higher journal impact factors correlate with more thorough or helpful peer reviews.
method Hand-coded and machine-learned analysis of 10,000 peer review sentences from 1,644 journals.
result Peer reviews in higher impact factor journals are more thorough in discussing methods but less helpful in suggesting solutions and providing examples.
The principle of peer review is central to the evaluation of research, by ensuring that only high-quality items are funded or published. But peer review has also received criticism, as the selection of reviewers may introduce biases in the system. In 2014, the organizers of the ``Neural Information Processing Systems\r…
Unified framework for policy learning using weak supervision.
problem High-quality supervision is often infeasible or expensive in practice.
method Treat weak supervision as imperfect peer information and evaluate policies based on correlated agreement.
result Substantial performance improvements, especially in complex or noisy environments.
This paper builds a recommendation system for borrowers on P2PL platforms to lower interest rates.
problem Help borrowers make wise decisions on P2PL platforms to achieve lower interest rates.
method Developed a recommendation system to suggest the type of loan borrowers should apply for.
result Borrowers can achieve lowered interest rates with a higher likelihood of getting funded using the recommendation system.
New models automate support group formation in online health communities.
problem Challenges in traditional support group formation methods for scalability, static categorization, and insufficient personalization.
method Two novel machine learning models: gDMR and gSTM, integrating user content, demographics, and network data.
result Models outperform baselines in predictive accuracy, semantic coherence, and internal group consistency.
Paper develops Byzantine-resilient algorithms for decentralized learning.
problem Vulnerability of distributed learning to Byzantine attacks.
method Dual approach for decentralized optimization.
result Convergence guarantees and experimental validation of the proposed algorithm.
FedCoin uses blockchain to fairly distribute incentives in federated learning.
problem Fairly incentivizing data owners in federated learning with privacy concerns.
method FedCoin uses a blockchain-based peer-to-peer payment system with a proof of Shapley (PoSap) protocol to calculate and distribute Shapley Values.
result FedCoin accurately computes Shapley Values and promotes high-quality data contributions.
The rise of connected personal devices together with privacy concerns call for machine learning algorithms capable of leveraging the data of a large number of agents to learn personalized models under strong privacy requirements. In this paper, we introduce an efficient algorithm to address the above problem in a fully…
Framework improves self-play for cooperative multi-agent learning.
problem Evolutionary learning converges to bad local optima in multi-agent RL.
method Add imaginary rewards using peer prediction method to elicit truthful signals.
result State-of-the-art performance in predator prey, traffic junction and StarCraft tasks.
This study compares decentralized banks and finds some lack decentralization.
problem Decentralized banks do not fully decentralize transactions as expected.
method Network analysis of transaction data from four banks using core-periphery features.
result MakerDao and Compound are more decentralized than Aave and Liquity.
Research tackles alliance formation in many-player zero-sum games, showing reinforcement learning fails but a contract mechanism can help.
problem Tackles the challenge of alliance formation in many-player zero-sum games.
method Demonstrates the social dilemma aspect of alliance formation, introduces a contract mechanism to augment reinforcement learning.
result Naïve reinforcement learning fails to form alliances, but a contract mechanism can help.
Study higher-order spin glass models for social network behavior with peer-group effects.
problem Modeling correlation phenomena on social networks with peer-group effects.
method Inference in higher-order Ising models to recover coefficients and peer-group effects.
result Strong concavity of log pseudo-likelihood implies statistical error rate of sqrt(d/n) for MPLE.
Experiment shows author rankings can improve peer review scores.
problem Improving accuracy in machine learning conference peer review.
method Used Isotonic Mechanism to calibrate review scores using author rankings.
result Calibrated scores outperform raw scores in estimating ground truth review scores.
We consider peer review in a conference setting where there is typically an overlap between the set of reviewers and the set of authors. This overlap can incentivize strategic reviews to influence the final ranking of one's own papers. In this work, we address this problem through the lens of social choice, and present…
DEX allows HFTs to quickly acquire speed, improving price discovery without sacrificing liquidity.
problem Low-latency trading's externality and resource inefficiency in centralized exchanges.
method Model of decentralized exchanges with real-time speed acquisition from peer-to-peer networks.
result HFTs on DEX acquire more speed for shorter timespans, decreasing price discovery time and reducing resource lock-in.
New algorithm reduces communication traffic in decentralized learning.
problem Communication bottleneck in decentralized learning for low-bandwidth workers.
method Sparsification and adaptive peer selection to reduce communication traffic.
result Significant reduction in communication traffic compared to existing methods.
A decentralized online quantum cash system, called qBitcoin, is given. We design the system which has great benefits of quantization in the following sense. Firstly, quantum teleportation technology is used for coin transaction, which prevents from the owner of the coin keeping the original coin data even after sending…
Bitcoins and Blockchain technologies are attracting the attention of different scientific communities. In addition, their widespread industrial applications and the continuous introduction of cryptocurrencies are also stimulating the attention of the public opinion. The underlying structure of these technologies consti…
In this chapter, we analyze nonlinear filtering problems in distributed environments, e.g., sensor networks or peer-to-peer protocols. In these scenarios, the agents in the environment receive measurements in a streaming fashion, and they are required to estimate a common (nonlinear) model by alternating local computat…
Deep neural networks reduce loan portfolio risk.
problem Minimizing risk in peer-to-peer lending portfolios.
method Proposed DeNN and DSNN models to predict default probability and time.
result DeNN model significantly reduces portfolio VaRs at various confidence levels.
Estimates peer influence effects using embeddings for social networks.
problem Estimating peer contagion effects in social networks with unobserved confounders.
method Nonparametrically adjusts for homophily using node embeddings.
result Formalizes causal effect of peer influence in social networks.
Peer-induced fairness framework audits algorithmic fairness in AI applications.
problem Current auditing methods lack robustness and fail to distinguish between algorithmic discrimination and subject limitations.
method Combines counterfactual fairness and peer comparison strategy for a reliable auditing tool.
result Demonstrates significant unfairness in micro-firms compared to non-micro firms, highlighting the framework's potential.
Automates detecting problem statements in peer assessments.
problem Identifying problem statements in peer assessment reviews.
method Used machine learning models including neural networks and traditional classifiers.
result Hierarchical Attention Network classifier achieved 93.1% accuracy.
DICE estimates data influence cascade in decentralized learning networks.
problem Lack of fair incentives discourages participation in decentralized learning.
method Designs DICE to estimate influence cascade in decentralized networks.
result Influence cascade is influenced by data, topology, and loss landscape curvature.
Company2Vec creates embeddings from company websites for fine-grained business analytics.
problem Lack of fine-grained company labels for analytics.
method Word2Vec and dimensionality reduction on company website data.
result Semantic company embeddings for various applications.
Green stocks show less factor exposure heterogeneity compared to brown stocks.
problem Exploring differences in factor exposure between green and brown stocks.
method Examined S&P 500 firms grouped by greenhouse gas emissions, analyzing factor exposure over 2014-2020.
result Green stocks have less factor exposure heterogeneity than brown stocks, except for the value factor.
When banks choose similar investment strategies the financial system becomes vulnerable to common shocks. We model a simple financial system in which banks decide about their investment strategy based on a private belief about the state of the world and a social belief formed from observing the actions of peers. Observ…