Peer effects, in which the behavior of an individual is affected by the behavior of their peers, are posited by multiple theories in the social sciences. Other processes can also produce behaviors that are correlated in networks and groups, thereby generating debate about the credibility of observational (i.e. nonexper…
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48 results for “peer effects”
Study shows peers' graduation improves residents' success in TCs.
problem Identifying peer influence in therapeutic communities adjusting for latent homophily.
method Used data on affirmations and exit dates to form peer networks, modeled latent homophily, and proposed bias correction methods.
result Positive effect of peers' graduation on residents' graduation, varying by gender, race, and role model definition.
Study higher-order spin glass models for social network behavior with peer-group effects.
problem Modeling correlation phenomena on social networks with peer-group effects.
method Inference in higher-order Ising models to recover coefficients and peer-group effects.
result Strong concavity of log pseudo-likelihood implies statistical error rate of sqrt(d/n) for MPLE.
Distillation is an effective knowledge-transfer technique that uses predicted distributions of a powerful teacher model as soft targets to train a less-parameterized student model. A pre-trained high capacity teacher, however, is not always available. Recently proposed online variants use the aggregated intermediate pr…
Estimates peer influence effects using embeddings for social networks.
problem Estimating peer contagion effects in social networks with unobserved confounders.
method Nonparametrically adjusts for homophily using node embeddings.
result Formalizes causal effect of peer influence in social networks.
Peer-reviewed research and mined data predict stock returns similarly.
problem Predicting stock returns using research quality.
method Cross-sectional analysis of 29,000 accounting ratios with t-statistics > 2.0.
result Post-sample performance is largely independent of whether the predictor is peer-reviewed or mined.
Paper presents a privacy-preserving algorithm for estimating peer effects using the Ising model.
problem Privacy concerns in estimating peer effects using network data.
method Developed a -differentially private algorithm using Ising model.
result Established regret bounds and validated performance on synthetic and real-world networks.
Machine learning analyzed peer reviews to find differences in quality by journal impact factor.
problem Determining if higher journal impact factors correlate with more thorough or helpful peer reviews.
method Hand-coded and machine-learned analysis of 10,000 peer review sentences from 1,644 journals.
result Peer reviews in higher impact factor journals are more thorough in discussing methods but less helpful in suggesting solutions and providing examples.
When banks choose similar investment strategies the financial system becomes vulnerable to common shocks. We model a simple financial system in which banks decide about their investment strategy based on a private belief about the state of the world and a social belief formed from observing the actions of peers. Observ…
We provide two distributed confidence ball algorithms for solving linear bandit problems in peer to peer networks with limited communication capabilities. For the first, we assume that all the peers are solving the same linear bandit problem, and prove that our algorithm achieves the optimal asymptotic regret rate of a…
Automates detecting problem statements in peer assessments.
problem Identifying problem statements in peer assessment reviews.
method Used machine learning models including neural networks and traditional classifiers.
result Hierarchical Attention Network classifier achieved 93.1% accuracy.
Peer-induced fairness framework audits algorithmic fairness in AI applications.
problem Current auditing methods lack robustness and fail to distinguish between algorithmic discrimination and subject limitations.
method Combines counterfactual fairness and peer comparison strategy for a reliable auditing tool.
result Demonstrates significant unfairness in micro-firms compared to non-micro firms, highlighting the framework's potential.
Distributed learning techniques such as federated learning have enabled multiple workers to train machine learning models together to reduce the overall training time. However, current distributed training algorithms (centralized or decentralized) suffer from the communication bottleneck on multiple low-bandwidth worke…
Study optimal risk sharing in decentralized peer-to-peer markets with robust risk measures.
problem Optimizing risk sharing in decentralized markets with non-convex risk measures.
method Characterization of Pareto-optimal allocations using robust distortion risk measures and probabilistic risk aversion.
result Shape of allocations depends on agents' tail risk assessments.
Study compares financial and gambling markets, finding similarities and potential applications.
problem Lack of comprehensive study on gambling markets compared to financial markets.
method Comprehensive comparison of five aspects: platform, product, procedure, participant, and strategy.
result Well-established financial strategies can be applied to gambling markets, particularly in peer-to-peer betting exchanges.
Study finds Aave token network has core-periphery structure, with high decentralization predicting better returns.
problem Understanding the actual decentralization in DeFi token transactions on the Ethereum blockchain.
method Applied social network analysis to measure decentralization in Aave token transactions.
result A more decentralized Aave token network predicts higher returns and lower volatility.
Paper proves PI consensus algorithm converges exponentially under restricted secant inequality.
problem Proving convergence of PI consensus algorithm without convexity.
method Lyapunov theory, restricted secant inequality, rate-matching discretization, local pre-conditioning.
result Exponential convergence of PI consensus algorithm for non-convex functions.
Minsky Financial Instability, Interscale Feedback, Percolation and Marshall-Walras Disequilibriumq-fin.GN
We study analytically and numerically Minsky instability as a combination of top-down, bottom-up and peer-to-peer positive feedback loops. The peer-to-peer interactions are represented by the links of a network formed by the connections between firms, contagion leading to avalanches and percolation phase transitions pr…
The paper analyzes reinsurance strategies in peer-to-peer insurance schemes.
problem Strategic interaction between plan managers and reinsurers in P2P insurance.
method Develops two game-theoretic contract designs: Pareto and Bowley designs, deriving optimal contracts and analyzing their welfare effects.
result The Bowley design yields a unique optimal contract, while the Pareto design allows for multiple Pareto-optimal contracts.
This paper considers a variant of the classical online learning problem with expert predictions. Our model's differences and challenges are due to lacking any direct feedback on the loss each expert incurs at each time step . We propose an approach that uses peer prediction and identify conditions where it succeeds.…
Bias and heterogeneity in peer assessment can lead to the issue of unfair scoring in the educational field. To deal with this problem, we propose a reference ranking method for an online peer assessment system using HodgeRank. Such a scheme provides instructors with an objective scoring reference based on mathematics.
The study improves credit evaluation in peer-to-peer lending using machine learning.
problem Traditional credit histories are insufficient for distinguishing good from bad borrowers.
method Used machine learning classification and clustering algorithms to predict creditworthiness.
result Achieved 65% F1 and 73% AUC on LendingClub data, identifying key secondary attributes.
In massive open online courses (MOOCs), peer grading serves as a critical tool for scaling the grading of complex, open-ended assignments to courses with tens or hundreds of thousands of students. But despite promising initial trials, it does not always deliver accurate results compared to human experts. In this paper,…
A novel approach tackles sparse linear bandits with reduced communication costs and minimal cumulative regret.
problem Sparse linear bandits with high-dimensional feature vectors and limited relevant features.
method Cooperative Thresholded Lasso using Lasso and ridge regression for dimension reduction and aggregation.
result Regret bound of with high probability.
Peer grading is the process of students reviewing each others' work, such as homework submissions, and has lately become a popular mechanism used in massive open online courses (MOOCs). Intrigued by this idea, we used it in a course on algorithms and data structures at the University of Hamburg. Throughout the whole se…
Peer review is the foundation of scientific publication, and the task of reviewing has long been seen as a cornerstone of professional service. However, the massive growth in the field of machine learning has put this community benefit under stress, threatening both the sustainability of an effective review process and…
Graph neural nets improve discrete choice modeling with network effects.
problem Modeling network effects in discrete choice problems.
method Graph Convolutional Neural Network (GCNN) architecture.
result Higher predictive performance than standard models with interpretability.
Credit risk prediction is an effective way of evaluating whether a potential borrower will repay a loan, particularly in peer-to-peer lending where class imbalance problems are prevalent. However, few credit risk prediction models for social lending consider imbalanced data and, further, the best resampling technique t…
Paper develops Byzantine-resilient algorithms for decentralized learning.
problem Vulnerability of distributed learning to Byzantine attacks.
method Dual approach for decentralized optimization.
result Convergence guarantees and experimental validation of the proposed algorithm.
This paper proposes a two-stage scoring approach to help lenders decide their fund allocations in the peer-to-peer (P2P) lending market. The existing scoring approaches focus on only either probability of default (PD) prediction, known as credit scoring, or profitability prediction, known as profit scoring, to identify…
The rise of connected personal devices together with privacy concerns call for machine learning algorithms capable of leveraging the data of a large number of agents to learn personalized models under strong privacy requirements. In this paper, we introduce an efficient algorithm to address the above problem in a fully…
This study compares decentralized banks and finds some lack decentralization.
problem Decentralized banks do not fully decentralize transactions as expected.
method Network analysis of transaction data from four banks using core-periphery features.
result MakerDao and Compound are more decentralized than Aave and Liquity.
Learning with noisy labels is a common challenge in supervised learning. Existing approaches often require practitioners to specify noise rates, i.e., a set of parameters controlling the severity of label noises in the problem, and the specifications are either assumed to be given or estimated using additional steps. I…
Federated Learning is the current state of the art in supporting secure multi-party machine learning (ML): data is maintained on the owner's device and the updates to the model are aggregated through a secure protocol. However, this process assumes a trusted centralized infrastructure for coordination, and clients must…
Access to sufficient annotated data is a common challenge in training deep neural networks on medical images. As annotating data is expensive and time-consuming, it is difficult for an individual medical center to reach large enough sample sizes to build their own, personalized models. As an alternative, data from all …
Experiment shows author rankings can improve peer review scores.
problem Improving accuracy in machine learning conference peer review.
method Used Isotonic Mechanism to calibrate review scores using author rankings.
result Calibrated scores outperform raw scores in estimating ground truth review scores.
We consider peer review in a conference setting where there is typically an overlap between the set of reviewers and the set of authors. This overlap can incentivize strategic reviews to influence the final ranking of one's own papers. In this work, we address this problem through the lens of social choice, and present…
A decentralized online quantum cash system, called qBitcoin, is given. We design the system which has great benefits of quantization in the following sense. Firstly, quantum teleportation technology is used for coin transaction, which prevents from the owner of the coin keeping the original coin data even after sending…
Solomon and Golo [1] have recently proposed an autocatalytic (self-reinforcing) feedback model which couples a macroscopic system parameter (the interest rate), a microscopic parameter that measures the distribution of the states of the individual agents (the number of firms in financial difficulty) and a peer-to-peer …
Deep neural networks reduce loan portfolio risk.
problem Minimizing risk in peer-to-peer lending portfolios.
method Proposed DeNN and DSNN models to predict default probability and time.
result DeNN model significantly reduces portfolio VaRs at various confidence levels.
Online Peer to Peer Lending (P2PL) systems connect lenders and borrowers directly, thereby making it convenient to borrow and lend money without intermediaries such as banks. Many recommendation systems have been developed for lenders to achieve higher interest rates and avoid defaulting loans. However, there has not b…
Paper tackles low sample and communication complexities in decentralized bilevel optimization.
problem Decentralized bilevel optimization problems with limited computation and communication capabilities.
method Proposes INTERACT and SVR-INTERACT algorithms to achieve low sample and communication complexities.
result Achieves both low sample and communication complexities for solving decentralized bilevel optimization problems.
Unified framework for Byzantine robust gossip algorithms with guaranteed performance.
problem Vulnerability of decentralized machine learning to misbehaving devices.
method Introduces F-RG framework and CS+ robust aggregation rule for Byzantine resilience.
result CS+-RG has near-optimal breakdown tolerance and outperforms existing methods.
DICE estimates data influence cascade in decentralized learning networks.
problem Lack of fair incentives discourages participation in decentralized learning.
method Designs DICE to estimate influence cascade in decentralized networks.
result Influence cascade is influenced by data, topology, and loss landscape curvature.
As the number of contributors to online peer-production systems grows, it becomes increasingly important to predict whether the edits that users make will eventually be beneficial to the project. Existing solutions either rely on a user reputation system or consist of a highly specialized predictor that is tailored to …
Evaluating Structured Strategy Backtests: Peer Benchmarks, Regime Timing, and Live Performanceq-fin.PM
Backtests of structured strategies lose much of their predictive power in live trading.
problem Uncertainty in how marketed backtests predict live performance of structured strategies.
method Analysis of 1,726 structured strategies from ten global institutions.
result Raw backtests have limited portability into live trading and deteriorate sharply.
Federated learning (FL) is an emerging collaborative machine learning method to train models on distributed datasets with privacy concerns. To properly incentivize data owners to contribute their efforts, Shapley Value (SV) is often adopted to fairly assess their contribution. However, the calculation of SV is time-con…
Green stocks show less factor exposure heterogeneity compared to brown stocks.
problem Exploring differences in factor exposure between green and brown stocks.
method Examined S&P 500 firms grouped by greenhouse gas emissions, analyzing factor exposure over 2014-2020.
result Green stocks have less factor exposure heterogeneity than brown stocks, except for the value factor.