A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
Study finds no consistent return predictability using payout ratios across 16 countries.
Study finds dividend payout policy positively impacts firm profitability.
This paper considers nonlinear regular-singular stochastic optimal control of large insurance company. The company controls the reinsurance rate and dividend payout process to maximize the expected present value of the dividend pay-outs until the time of bankruptcy. However, if the optimal dividend barrier is too low t…
Based on a point of view that solvency and security are first, this paper considers regular-singular stochastic optimal control problem of a large insurance company facing positive transaction cost asked by reinsurer under solvency constraint. The company controls proportional reinsurance and dividend pay-out policy to…
This study tackles basis risk in weather parametric insurance using Monte Carlo simulations.
The paper analyzes fairness of compensation-based risk-sharing schemes for fund payouts.
Study optimal strategies for insurer's dividends, investments, and liabilities.
Study shows how business cycle affects dividend payout based on managerial stock incentives.
This paper solves an optimal dividend payout problem with ratcheting constraints using a novel method.
Optimal reinsurance and dividend strategy for insurance companies in a finite time.
This paper optimizes dividend payout rates with a drawdown constraint in a stochastic model.
Default risk significantly affects the corporate policies of a firm. We develop a model in which a limited liability entity subject to Poisson default shock jointly sets its dividend policy and capital structure to maximize the expected lifetime utility from consumption of risk averse equity investors. We give a comple…
Optimal dividend payout strategy found for Brownian risk model with ratcheting constraint.
We study a singular stochastic control problem faced by the owner of an insurance company that dynamically pays dividends and raises capital in the presence of the restriction that the surplus process must be above a given dividend payout barrier in order for dividend payments to be allowed. Bankruptcy occurs if the su…
The paper optimizes insurance strategies for two collaborating business lines.
This paper considers an optimal control of a big financial company with debt liability under bankrupt probability constraints. The company, which faces constant liability payments and has choices to choose various production/business policies from an available set of control policies with different expected profits and…
Optimizes bank capital structure under Basel III constraints, simplifying complex dynamics.
Optimal dividend payout strategies with drawdown constraint identified.
Study shows activist board representation improves Japanese companies' performance.
We determine the optimal investment strategy in a Black-Scholes financial market to minimize the so-called {\it probability of drawdown}, namely, the probability that the value of an investment portfolio reaches some fixed proportion of its maximum value to date. We assume that the portfolio is subject to a payout that…
Paper uses Shapley values to explain how clusters of training data affect predictions.
In the context of a locally risk-minimizing approach, the problem of hedging defaultable claims and their Follmer-Schweizer decompositions are discussed in a structural model. This is done when the underlying process is a finite variation Levy process and the claims pay a predetermined payout at maturity, contingent on…
The Kelly Criterion is applied to prediction markets to analyze risk and return.
We propose a quasi-Monte Carlo algorithm for pricing knock-out and knock-in barrier options under the Heston (1993) stochastic volatility model. This is done by modifying the LT method from Imai and Tan (2006) for the Heston model such that the first uniform variable does not influence the stochastic volatility path an…
Study optimizes dividend payout strategies under fluctuating interest rates.
Tontines were once a popular type of mortality-linked investment pool. They promised enormous rewards to the last survivors at the expense of those died early. And, while this design appealed to the gambling instinc}, it is a suboptimal way to generate retirement income. Indeed, actuarially-fair life annuities making c…
We construct a deep portfolio theory. By building on Markowitz's classic risk-return trade-off, we develop a self-contained four-step routine of encode, calibrate, validate and verify to formulate an automated and general portfolio selection process. At the heart of our algorithm are deep hierarchical compositions of p…
A financial contract's value is determined by a quantum measurement outcome, and a pricing state exists to value it.
This paper generalizes the framework for arbitrage-free valuation of bilateral counterparty risk to the case where collateral is included, with possible re-hypotecation. We analyze how the payout of claims is modified when collateral margining is included in agreement with current ISDA documentation. We then specialize…
Machine learning improves portfolio allocation between index and risk-free assets.
We develop a model for indifference pricing in derivatives markets where price quotes have bid-ask spreads and finite quantities. The model quantifies the dependence of the prices and hedging portfolios on an investor's beliefs, risk preferences and financial position as well as on the price quotes. Computational techn…
Adaptive strategies reduce pension fund costs and risks.
This paper studies long term investing by an investor that maximizes either expected utility from terminal wealth or from consumption. We introduce the concepts of a generalized stochastic discount factor (SDF) and of the minimum price to attain target payouts. The paper finds that the dynamics of the SDF needs to be c…
Optimizes dividend payouts with fixed costs and regime switching.
We study a continuous-time asset-allocation problem for an insurance firm that backs up liabilities from multiple non-life business lines with underwriting profits and investment income. The insurance risks are captured via a multidimensional jump-diffusion process with a multivariate compound Poisson process with depe…
We discuss - in what is intended to be a pedagogical fashion - generalized "mean-to-risk" ratios for portfolio optimization. The Sharpe ratio is only one example of such generalized "mean-to-risk" ratios. Another example is what we term the Fano ratio (which, unlike the Sharpe ratio, is independent of the time horizon)…
FORE evaluates occupancy ratios without requiring Bellman completeness.
Optimal option portfolios under Sharpe Ratio maximization with skew-elliptical t-distributed returns
Omega ratio, defined as the probability-weighted ratio of gains over losses at a given level of expected return, has been advocated as a better performance indicator compared to Sharpe and Sortino ratio as it depends on the full return distribution and hence encapsulates all information about risk and return. We comput…
We present a new methodology of computing incremental contribution for performance ratios for portfolio like Sharpe, Treynor, Calmar or Sterling ratios. Using Euler's homogeneous function theorem, we are able to decompose these performance ratios as a linear combination of individual modified performance ratios. This a…
The paper proposes an asset allocation strategy using the Sortino ratio for better performance.
We consider an insurance company modelling its surplus process by a Brownian motion with drift. Our target is to maximise the expected exponential utility of discounted dividend payments, given that the dividend rates are bounded by some constant. The utility function destroys the linearity and the time homogeneity of …
A new ratio, the Hansen ratio, simplifies mean-variance portfolio theory.
Develops a new density ratio estimator for causal inference.
New PU ratio predicts long-term Bitcoin returns better than other methods.
The expected present value of dividends is one of the classical stability criteria in actuarial risk theory. In this context, numerous papers considered threshold (refractive) and barrier (reflective) dividend strategies. These were shown to be optimal in a number of different contexts for bounded and unbounded payout …
The paper studies curves of constant-ratio in pseudo-Galilean space.
Unified framework for OOD detection using class ratio estimation.