A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
TimeTrail detects financial fraud patterns through temporal correlation analysis.
In this paper, we propose a mixture of probabilistic partial canonical correlation analysis (MPPCCA) that extracts the Causal Patterns from two multivariate time series. Causal patterns refer to the signal patterns within interactions of two elements having multiple types of mutually causal relationships, rather than a…
An empirical study of joint bivariate probability distribution of two consecutive price increments for a set of stocks at time scales ranging from one minute to thirty minutes reveals asymmetric structures with respect to the axes y=0, y=x, x=0 and y=-x. All four asymmetry patterns remarkably resemble a four-blade mill…
Neural networks memorize exceptions, leading to poor generalization.
Multi-view time series classification (MVTSC) aims to improve the performance by fusing the distinctive temporal information from multiple views. Existing methods mainly focus on fusing multi-view information at an early stage, e.g., by learning a common feature subspace among multiple views. However, these early fusio…
Graph Canonical Correlation Analysis improves CCA for multiomics datasets.
We develop correlated random measures, random measures where the atom weights can exhibit a flexible pattern of dependence, and use them to develop powerful hierarchical Bayesian nonparametric models. Hierarchical Bayesian nonparametric models are usually built from completely random measures, a Poisson-process based c…
Extends quadratic loss for SVM and deep learning to improve pattern correlation.
Memory capacity of DAM scales exponentially with feature separation, unaffected by correlations.
We introduce two types of ordinal pattern dependence between time series. Positive (resp. negative) ordinal pattern dependence can be seen as a non-paramatric and in particular non-linear counterpart to positive (resp. negative) correlation. We show in an explorative study that both types of this dependence show up in …
A new model analyzes document structure and customer shopping patterns.
In order to emphasize cross-correlations for fluctuations in major market places, series of up and down spins are built from financial data. Patterns frequencies are measured, and statistical tests performed. Strong cross-correlations are emphasized, proving that market moves are collective behaviors.
AGCRN forecasts traffic using adaptive graph and recurrent learning.
Sequences of correlated binary patterns can represent many time-series data including text, movies, and biological signals. These patterns may be described by weighted combinations of a few dominant structures that underpin specific interactions among the binary elements. To extract the dominant correlation structures …
This paper analyzes correlations in patterns of trading of different members of the London Stock Exchange. The collection of strategies associated with a member institution is defined by the sequence of signs of net volume traded by that institution in hour intervals. Using several methods we show that there are signif…
TCGPN improves stock forecasting by capturing temporal correlation patterns.
A cornerstone of human statistical learning is the ability to extract temporal regularities / patterns from random sequences. Here we present a method of computing pattern time statistics with generating functions for first-order Markov trials and independent Bernoulli trials. We show that the pattern time statistics c…
We propose a methodology to explore and measure the pairwise correlations that exist between variables in a dataset. The methodology leverages copulas for encoding dependence between two variables, state-of-the-art optimal transport for providing a relevant geometry to the copulas, and clustering for summarizing the ma…
A simple baseline outperforms deep learning methods in transportation forecasting.
Method detects multi-timescale consumer spending patterns from receipts.
We demonstrate that minority mechanisms arise in the dynamics of markets because of effects of price impact; accordingly the relative importance of minority and delayed majority mechanisms depends on the frequency of trading. We then use minority games to illustrate that a vanishing price return auto-correlation functi…
Cryptocurrency market activity is decomposed into recurring and noise components, revealing patterns tied to macroeconomic reports.
Review of correlation-based financial networks and entropy measures.
Study identifies and analyzes spurious correlations in data-driven models.
Enhanced deep learning model forecasts household leverage series accurately.
Randomization helps verify if data mining results are due to inherent patterns.
The European Union and Eurozone present an inquisitive case of strongly interconnected network with high degree of dependence among nodes. This research focused on investment network of European Union and its major trading partners for specific time period 2001 to 2014. The changing investment patterns within Eurozone …
Biclustering is an unsupervised data mining technique that aims to unveil patterns (biclusters) from gene expression data matrices. In the framework of this thesis, we propose new biclustering algorithms for microarray data. The latter is done using data mining techniques. The objective is to identify positively and ne…
We present a novel algorithm, Westfall-Young light, for detecting patterns, such as itemsets and subgraphs, which are statistically significantly enriched in one of two classes. Our method corrects rigorously for multiple hypothesis testing and correlations between patterns through the Westfall-Young permutation proced…
New method handles correlated genes for better genomic prediction.
We analyze the sequence of time intervals between consecutive stock trades of thirty companies representing eight sectors of the U. S. economy over a period of four years. For all companies we find that: (i) the probability density function of intertrade times may be fit by a Weibull distribution; (ii) when appropriate…
The study of the critical dynamics in complex systems is always interesting yet challenging. Here, we choose financial market as an example of a complex system, and do a comparative analyses of two stock markets - the S&P 500 (USA) and Nikkei 225 (JPN). Our analyses are based on the evolution of crosscorrelation struct…
Paper proposes efficient algorithm for recovering sparsity pattern from deterministic missing data.
We consider a few quantities that characterize trading on a stock market in a fixed time interval: logarithmic returns, volatility, trading activity (i.e., the number of transactions), and volume traded. We search for the power-law cross-correlations among these quantities aggregated over different time units from 1 mi…
A representative model in integrative analysis of two high-dimensional correlated datasets is to decompose each data matrix into a low-rank common matrix generated by latent factors shared across datasets, a low-rank distinctive matrix corresponding to each dataset, and an additive noise matrix. Existing decomposition …
This research examines rare spurious correlations in neural networks and their impact on accuracy and privacy.
This paper looks into the analysis of the long-range auto-correlations and cross-correlations in bond market. Based on Detrended Moving Average (DMA) method, empirical results present a clear evidence of long-range persistence that exists in one year scale. The degree of long-range correlation related to maturities has…
This paper compares imputation and direct parameter estimation methods for missing data in correlation matrix visualization.
Data mining techniques on the biological analysis are spreading for most of the areas including the health care and medical information. We have applied the data mining techniques, such as KNN, SVM, MLP or decision trees over a unique dataset, which is collected from 16,380 analysis results for a year. Furthermore we h…
The paper uses distance correlation for brain connectivity and a novel multi-task learning model for age prediction.
Market Mill is a complex dependence pattern leading to nonlinear correlations and predictability in intraday dynamics of stock prices. The present paper puts together previous efforts to build a dynamical model reflecting the market mill asymmetries. We show that certain properties of the conditional dynamics at a sing…
Liberalization of electricity markets has increasingly created the need for understanding the volatility and correlation structure between electricity and financial markets. This work reveals the existence of structural changes in correlation patterns among these two markets and links the changes to both fundamentals a…
Technical trading rules and linear regressive models are often used by practitioners to find trends in financial data. However, these models are unsuited to find non-linearly separable patterns. We propose a decision tree forecasting model that has the flexibility to capture arbitrary patterns. To illustrate, we constr…
New tensor framework connects Fisher information, hypergraphs, and multi-observable correlations.
Large bundles of myelinated axons, called white matter, anatomically connect disparate brain regions together and compose the structural core of the human connectome. We recently proposed a method of measuring the local integrity along the length of each white matter fascicle, termed the local connectome. If communicat…
The study of hierarchy in networks of the human brain has been of significant interest among the researchers as numerous studies have pointed out towards a functional hierarchical organization of the human brain. This paper provides a novel method for the extraction of hierarchical connectivity components in the human …
ChatGPT predicts stock market movements based on Bloomberg headlines, showing a positive correlation over short to medium terms.
Predicts COVID-19 spread using dictionary learning and online NMF.