Study predicts 10-year survival rates for breast cancer patients.
problem Predicting long-term survival of breast cancer patients.
method Machine learning approaches to assess survival rates.
result Improved accuracy in predicting 10-year survival.
On-device research index
arXiv research
A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
168,742 papers · 148 categories
Trend · papers per month
48 results for “patient prediction”
Adaptive prediction timing improves healthcare outcomes by predicting patient events at the right frequency.
problem Inconsistent prediction granularity in healthcare models.
method Introduces a novel approach using Bayesian recurrent models and a new aggregation method to adapt prediction frequency based on uncertainty.
result Adaptive prediction timing leads to improved predictive performance, especially in the critical first 12 hours of patient stay.
Many computational models were proposed to extract temporal patterns from clinical time series for each patient and among patient group for predictive healthcare. However, the common relations among patients (e.g., share the same doctor) were rarely considered. In this paper, we represent patients and clinicians relati…
Language models improve clinical prediction models using EHR data.
problem Limited patient data for training clinical prediction models.
method Using patient representation schemes from natural language processing.
result 3.5% mean improvement in AUROC on five prediction tasks.
Predicting Glaucoma Visual Field Loss by Hierarchically Aggregating Clustering-based Predictorsstat.ML
This study addresses the issue of predicting the glaucomatous visual field loss from patient disease datasets. Our goal is to accurately predict the progress of the disease in individual patients. As very few measurements are available for each patient, it is difficult to produce good predictors for individuals. A rece…
StageNet improves health risk prediction by integrating disease stage information.
problem Improving health risk prediction for patients with chronic conditions.
method StageNet uses a stage-aware LSTM and stage-adaptive convolutional modules to extract and integrate disease stage information.
result StageNet achieves up to 12% higher AUPRC for risk prediction and over 58% higher Calinski-Harabasz score for patient subtyping compared to state-of-the-art models.
Machine learning predicts patient recruitment for clinical trials.
problem Improving patient recruitment prediction for clinical trials.
method Machine learning methods applied to historical clinical trial data.
result Reduced prediction error compared to current industry standards.
Improved forecasting of suicide attempts using LSGPs for patients with little data.
problem Challenges in predicting suicide attempts due to their rarity and patient heterogeneity.
method Introduced Latent Similarity Gaussian Processes (LSGPs) to capture patient heterogeneity.
result LSGPs outperform baseline models, even without kernel-design, and offer new insights into patient similarity.
Deep learning model predicts severe COVID-19 outcomes.
problem Predicting severe COVID-19 outcomes in ED patients.
method Deep feature fusion model using EHR data and CXR images.
result CO-RISK score achieved AUC of 0.95 and 0.92 for 24 and 72 hours predictions, superior to human performance.
Background. Real-world data show that approximately 50% of psoriasis patients treated with a biologic agent will discontinue the drug because of loss of efficacy. History of previous therapy with another biologic, female sex and obesity were identified as predictors of drug discontinuations, but their individual predic…
In Vitro Fertilization (IVF) Cumulative Pregnancy Rate Prediction from Basic Patient Characteristicsq-bio.QM
Paper predicts IVF pregnancy rates from basic patient info.
problem Predicting IVF pregnancy rates from patient characteristics.
method Clustering patients into groups, then SVM models for each group.
result Support vector machine models achieve best overall performance.
The health outcomes of high-need patients can be substantially influenced by the degree of patient engagement in their own care. The role of care managers includes that of enrolling patients into care programs and keeping them sufficiently engaged in the program, so that patients can attain various goals. The attainmen…
Kernel Cox partially linear regression: building predictive models for cancer patients' survivalstat.ML
Paper develops a method to predict cancer patient survival using molecular profiles.
problem Accurately predicting cancer patient survival with complex survival-molecular profile relationships.
method Kernel Cox partially linear regression with a novel regularized garrotized kernel machine (RegGKM) method.
result The proposed method outperforms other methods in predicting survival accuracy.
In the scenario of real-time monitoring of hospital patients, high-quality inference of patients' health status using all information available from clinical covariates and lab tests is essential to enable successful medical interventions and improve patient outcomes. Developing a computational framework that can learn…
Bayesian CNN improves MRI stroke diagnosis accuracy and uncertainty quantification.
problem Uncertainty quantification in automated image analysis for medical decision-making.
method Bayesian Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) with aggregation methods for patient-level diagnoses.
result Bayesian CNN achieved 95.33% accuracy on 511 patients, 2% higher than non-Bayesian.
The paper develops a method to predict ICU mortality risk across diverse patient populations.
problem Improving patient survival by recognizing risky trajectories during ICU stays.
method Domain adaptation strategies to learn mortality prediction models robust to diverse ICU populations.
result The proposed model outperforms baselines, achieving AUC numbers up to 0.88 for the Cardiac ICU population.
Model predicts wound and episode-level readmission risk and time to re-admit.
problem Identify patients at high risk of re-admission to prevent wound recurrences and reduce healthcare costs.
method Data-driven analysis of wound care and episode-level patient data.
result Model achieves high recall and precision for predicting re-admission risk and time.
Model predicts VKA dosage for Indian patients, aiding in safe medication.
problem Safe and accurate dosing of VKA drugs for Indian patients.
method Support Vector Machine (SVM) Regression model trained on patient data.
result Predicted dosages closely match actual dosages.
Deep learning predicts SAH patient mortality from initial CT scans.
problem High mortality rates in SAH patients.
method CNN-based algorithm using transfer learning on CT scans.
result Model accurately predicts mortality (74% accuracy, 82% AUC).
Study predicts risk of true-lumen narrowing after ATAAD surgery using CT data.
problem Early post-surgery risk assessment for aortic dissection patients.
method Retrospective study with CT data, derived cross-sectional shapes, form factor (FF) for morphology assessment, linear discriminant analysis (LDA) for risk classification, LOPO-CV for prediction.
result Machine-learning model accurately predicts risk for all high-risk patients and low-risk patients, potentially reducing hospital visits.
Machine Intelligence for Outcome Predictions of Trauma Patients During Emergency Department Carecs.LG
Machine learning predicts trauma patient mortality risk.
problem Predicting mortality risk in trauma patients using traditional regression models.
method Transfer learning-based machine learning algorithm applied to trauma patient data.
result Machine learning model achieved similar performance to contemporary models without restrictive criteria.
Identifies patient-specific root causes of disease using structural equation models.
problem Detecting significant variables in complex diseases that differ between patients.
method Defining patient-specific root causes as exogenous errors in a structural equation model, quantifying predictivity using Shapley values, and developing a fast algorithm called Root Causal Inference.
result Significant improvements in accuracy by uncovering root causes with large effect sizes at the individual level but clinically insignificant effect sizes at the group level.
Automated brain tumor segmentation plays an important role in the diagnosis and prognosis of the patient. In addition, features from the tumorous brain help in predicting patients overall survival. The main focus of this paper is to segment tumor from BRATS 2018 benchmark dataset and use age, shape and volumetric featu…
Modelling of Sickle Cell Anemia Patients Response to Hydroxyurea using Artificial Neural Networksq-bio.QM
Model predicts HU response for sickle cell patients.
problem Predicting which sickle cell patients will respond to Hydroxyurea.
method Developed Deep Artificial Neural Network models.
result 92.6% accuracy in predicting HbF response.
Study finds RNNs predict STBG better than ARIMA, useful for diabetes patients.
problem Improving short-term blood glucose prediction for diabetes management.
method Investigated Recurrent Neural Networks (RNNs) and compared them to ARIMA for STBG prediction.
result Population-based RNN model outperforms ARIMA across various prediction horizons.
Enhances patient failure prediction using dynamic survival models.
problem Lack of precise individual level prediction in conventional models.
method Developed counterfactual dynamic survival model (CDSM).
result Inflection point of estimated survival curves predicts patient failure time.
LMM predicts healthcare costs and risks with improved accuracy.
problem Wasteful healthcare spending and inefficiencies in risk prediction.
method Generative pre-trained transformer trained on patient event sequences.
result Improves cost prediction by 14.1% and chronic conditions prediction by 1.9%.
Improving the quality of end-of-life care for hospitalized patients is a priority for healthcare organizations. Studies have shown that physicians tend to over-estimate prognoses, which in combination with treatment inertia results in a mismatch between patients wishes and actual care at the end of life. We describe a …
Patients with Type I Diabetes (T1D) must take insulin injections to prevent the serious long term effects of hyperglycemia - high blood glucose (BG). Patients must also be careful not to inject too much insulin because this could induce hypoglycemia (low BG), which can potentially be fatal. Patients therefore follow a …
Method predicts ODX scores for breast cancer patients based on clinical data.
problem Predicting ODX scores for breast cancer patients to aid decision-making.
method Distributional random forest approach using 9 clinico-pathological characteristics.
result Correctly predicted 92% of low risk and 40.2% of high risk patients.
Currently, approximately 30% of epileptic patients treated with antiepileptic drugs (AEDs) remain resistant to treatment (known as refractory patients). This project seeks to understand the underlying similarities in refractory patients vs. other epileptic patients, identify features contributing to drug resistance acr…
With continuous glucose monitoring (CGM), data-driven models on blood glucose prediction have been shown to be effective in related work. However, such (CGM) systems are not always available, e.g., for a patient at home. In this work, we conduct a study on 9 patients and examine the online predictability of data-driven…
Prediction models can harm patients even when accurate, leading to self-fulfilling prophecies.
problem Prediction models can lead to harmful decisions that worsen patient outcomes.
method Formal characterization of harmful prediction models and analysis of their impact.
result Well-calibrated models are ineffective for decision-making as they do not change the data distribution.
Blood lactate concentration is a strong indicator of mortality risk in critically ill patients. While frequent lactate measurements are necessary to assess patient's health state, the measurement is an invasive procedure that can increase risk of hospital-acquired infections. For this reason we formally define the prob…
An accurate model of patient-specific kidney graft survival distributions can help to improve shared-decision making in the treatment and care of patients. In this paper, we propose a deep learning method that directly models the survival function instead of estimating the hazard function to predict survival times for …
Paper proposes a new method for more accurate group testing of infected patients.
problem Identifying infected patients efficiently with reduced tests and corrected errors.
method Adaptive design of pools based on Bayesian posterior prediction using belief propagation algorithm.
result The proposed method results in more accurate identification of infected patients.
We present a personalized and reliable prediction model for healthcare, which can provide individually tailored medical services such as diagnosis, disease treatment, and prevention. Our proposed framework targets at making personalized and reliable predictions from time-series data, such as Electronic Health Records (…
Developing reliable workload predictive models can affect many aspects of clinical decision making procedure. The primary challenge in healthcare systems is handling the demand uncertainty over the time. This issue becomes more critical for the healthcare facilities that provide service for chronic disease treatment be…
Machine learning approaches have been effective in predicting adverse outcomes in different clinical settings. These models are often developed and evaluated on datasets with heterogeneous patient populations. However, good predictive performance on the aggregate population does not imply good performance for specific …
In this paper, we introduce the use of a personalized Gaussian Process model (pGP) to predict the key metrics of Alzheimer's Disease progression (MMSE, ADAS-Cog13, CDRSB and CS) based on each patient's previous visits. We start by learning a population-level model using multi-modal data from previously seen patients us…
Accurate models of patient survival probabilities provide important information to clinicians prescribing care for life-threatening and terminal ailments. A recently developed class of models - known as individual survival distributions (ISDs) - produces patient-specific survival functions that offer greater descriptiv…
Framework predicts patient risk progression over time.
problem Predicting how patient risk changes over time.
method Supervised contrastive learning framework with embedding properties.
result Framework outperforms baselines in mortality and cognitive impairment datasets.
Databases of electronic health records (EHRs) are increasingly used to inform clinical decisions. Machine learning methods can find patterns in EHRs that are predictive of future adverse outcomes. However, statistical models may be built upon patterns of health-seeking behavior that vary across patient subpopulations, …
Most approaches to machine learning from electronic health data can only predict a single endpoint. Here, we present an alternative that uses unsupervised deep learning to simulate detailed patient trajectories. We use data comprising 18-month trajectories of 44 clinical variables from 1908 patients with Mild Cognitive…
With the emergence of the Hospital Readmission Reduction Program of the Center for Medicare and Medicaid Services on October 1, 2012, forecasting unplanned patient readmission risk became crucial to the healthcare domain. There are tangible works in the literature emphasizing on developing readmission risk prediction m…
Study evaluates approaches to improve worst-case model performance across patient subpopulations.
problem Improving model accuracy for specific patient subpopulations.
method Comparison of distributionally robust optimization (DRO) and standard learning procedures.
result Standard learning procedures generally outperform DRO approaches for improving model performance across subpopulations.
Predictive models identify patients at risk of severe COVID-19.
problem Identifying patients at risk of severe COVID-19 to ease healthcare strain.
method Machine learning on routinely collected clinical data.
result Models predict positive SARS-CoV-2 tests, hospitalizations, and critical care with high accuracy.
Identifying Risk of Opioid Use Disorder for Patients Taking Opioid Medications with Deep Learningcs.LG
Deep learning predicts opioid use disorder risk in patients.
problem Identifying patients at high risk of opioid use disorder.
method Applied LSTM models to analyze electronic health records of opioid users.
result LSTM model outperformed other methods with F1 score of 0.8023 and AUCROC of 0.9369.