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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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12253749 · Oct 201919922001200920172026
48 results for patient deterioration

Robust policies improve ICU transfer outcomes by predicting patient deterioration.

problem Higher mortality rates for unplanned ICU transfers.
method Markov Decision Process model to predict patient severity and optimize transfer policies.
result Robust policies are more aggressive in transferring patients than nominal policies, improving overall patient care.

Machine learning improves early detection of patient deterioration in Brazilian hospitals.

problem Challenges in recognizing clinical deterioration in hospital settings.
method Application of machine learning to analyze EHR data from multiple hospitals.
result Machine learning models outperformed traditional protocols by 25 percentage points in AUC.

Activity and motion analysis has the potential to be used as a diagnostic tool for mental disorders. However, to-date, little work has been performed in turning stratification measures of activity into useful symptom markers. The research presented in this thesis has focused on the identification of objective activity …

2019-08-14abs ↗pdf ↗

Model predicts wound and episode-level readmission risk and time to re-admit.

problem Identify patients at high risk of re-admission to prevent wound recurrences and reduce healthcare costs.
method Data-driven analysis of wound care and episode-level patient data.
result Model achieves high recall and precision for predicting re-admission risk and time.

Much work aims to explain a model's prediction on a static input. We consider explanations in a temporal setting where a stateful dynamical model produces a sequence of risk estimates given an input at each time step. When the estimated risk increases, the goal of the explanation is to attribute the increase to a few r…

2019-07-10abs ↗pdf ↗

Novel framework identifies pump-specific deterioration rates using Bayesian hierarchical hazard modeling and causal discovery.

problem Challenges in asset management due to heterogeneous deterioration rates in pump equipment.
method Bayesian hierarchical hazard modeling with causal discovery, GPU-accelerated No-U-Turn Sampling (NUTS), and DirectLiNGAM.
result Identified striking heterogeneity in deterioration rates, with negative effects 400 times larger than positive effects.

New monitoring method detects ML risk models' performance changes in medical interventions.

problem Monitoring ML risk models in healthcare is complicated by confounding medical interventions.
method Developed a new score-based CUSUM monitoring procedure with dynamic control limits.
result Valid inference is possible if conditional exchangeability or time-constant selection bias hold.

Study develops a dynamic risk model for COVID-19 mortality using UK Biobank data.

problem Developing tools to monitor high-risk patients during the COVID-19 pandemic.
method Data-driven random forest classification model using baseline characteristics and symptoms.
result Model predicts COVID-19 mortality with excellent performance (AUC: 0.91), identifying novel predictors.

Simulation framework assesses ROI of chronic disease adherence and policy timing.

problem Uncertainty in ROI of adherence-enhancing interventions under heterogeneous patient behavior and socioeconomic variation.
method Simulation-based framework integrating disease progression, time-varying adherence, and policy timing.
result Early and adaptive interventions yield highest ROI, exceeding 20% under certain conditions.

Proposes a framework to explain KS deterioration in credit risk models.

problem Inconsistent and ad hoc diagnosis of KS decline in credit risk models.
method Counterfactual diagnostic framework attributing KS decline to sampling variability, portfolio composition, covariate shift, and residual deterioration.
result The proposed approach provides more interpretable and governance-relevant explanations than threshold-based review alone.

Proposes efficient algorithm for system-level I&M decisions under uncertainty.

problem Optimal management strategies for deteriorating civil engineering systems.
method Factored partially observable Markov decision process with Bayesian networks and DDMAC reinforcement learning.
result DDMAC policies offer substantial benefits over heuristic approaches in system-level cost optimization.

Accelerated gradient method's stability deteriorates exponentially with steps.

problem Algorithmic stability of Nesterov's accelerated gradient method.
method Analysis of two notions of algorithmic stability for Nesterov's accelerated gradient method.
result Stability of Nesterov's accelerated method deteriorates exponentially with the number of gradient steps.

Federated CTMC model estimates bridge deterioration hazards without sharing raw data.

problem Bridge inspection data privacy and cross-organizational data sharing constraints.
method Federated CTMC hazard model with local optimization and FedAvg aggregation.
result Federated model converges on global benchmark parameters without data transfer.

Study evaluates federated learning with differential privacy on MIMIC-III, improving model performance with careful parameter tuning.

problem Training machine learning models on privacy-sensitive data sets locked in healthcare facilities.
method Extensive evaluation of federated and differential privacy techniques on MIMIC-III dataset, analyzing various parameters.
result Careful parameter tuning is crucial for federated learning with differential privacy, especially for data distribution and communication strategies.

Improved forecasting of suicide attempts using LSGPs for patients with little data.

problem Challenges in predicting suicide attempts due to their rarity and patient heterogeneity.
method Introduced Latent Similarity Gaussian Processes (LSGPs) to capture patient heterogeneity.
result LSGPs outperform baseline models, even without kernel-design, and offer new insights into patient similarity.

Efficiently fine-tunes patient-independent seizure detection models with tensor kernel machine.

problem Improving seizure detection accuracy for wearable devices.
method Transfer learning with tensor kernel machine using canonical polyadic decomposition.
result Patient fine-tuned model achieves high performance with smaller model size.

The Lasso is a computationally efficient regression regularization procedure that can produce sparse estimators when the number of predictors (p) is large. Oracle inequalities provide probability loss bounds for the Lasso estimator at a deterministic choice of the regularization parameter. These bounds tend to zero if …

2014-03-18abs ↗pdf ↗

Simulates patient pathways to detect delayed rare disease diagnoses.

problem Delayed rare disease diagnoses in France, causing health system and patient harm.
method Probabilistic modelling of patient pathways to create an alert system.
result Alert system detects and refers wandering patients to CRMRs.

The paper develops a method to predict the latent deterioration phase in limit order books before stress is observed.

problem Limit order books can transition rapidly from stable to stressed conditions, making it difficult to detect the latent deterioration phase.
method The paper formalizes a three-regime causal data-generating process and proposes a trigger-based detector combining MAX aggregation of complementary signal channels, a rising-edge condition, and adaptive thresholding.
result The proposed method achieves mean lead-time of +18.6 timesteps with perfect precision and moderate coverage, outperforming classical change-point and microstructure baselines.

Deep learning model creates patient representations for scalable EHR-based stratification.

problem Challenges in summarizing and representing patient data from EHRs prevent scalable stratification analysis.
method Unsupervised framework based on deep learning (ConvAE) using word embeddings, CNNs, and autoencoders.
result ConvAE significantly outperformed baselines in clustering diverse patient cohorts, identifying clinically relevant subtypes.

Characterizing a patient's progression through stages of sepsis is critical for enabling risk stratification and adaptive, personalized treatment. However, commonly used sepsis diagnostic criteria fail to account for significant underlying heterogeneity, both between patients as well as over time in a single patient. W…

2018-01-09abs ↗pdf ↗

Study automates detection of visitation disruptions in ICU patients.

problem Difficulty in detecting frequent visitation disruptions in ICU patients.
method Used DensePose R-CNN model to count people in video frames, analyzed disruptions and patient outcomes.
result Automated method detects visitation disruptions, impacts on pain and length of stay examined.

Bayesian methods improve group testing for identifying infected patients.

problem Identifying infected patients from group testing results with false positives.
method Bayesian inference and belief propagation algorithm, combined with expectation-maximization method.
result True-positive rate improved by considering credible intervals.

Study quantifies firm risks from nature decline, showing significant equity losses.

problem Estimating the financial impact of nature deterioration on companies.
method Developed metrics (Country Degradation Index, Nature Risk Score) and assessed five environmental hazards.
result Global equities lose 26.8% in a nature decline scenario, with worst firms losing 75%.

Model identifies key problems in HIV patients' records.

problem Complex and time-consuming task of identifying patient problems from electronic health records.
method Unsupervised phenotyping approach that jointly learns phenotypes from structured and unstructured data.
result Learned phenotypes and their relatedness are clinically valid and surpass existing methods.

Study develops electronic phenotypes of ICU patient acuity.

problem Limited time for patient acuity assessments and imprecise clinical trajectory prediction.
method Developed electronic phenotypes using automated variable retrieval in electronic health records.
result Identified three phenotypes: persistently stable, persistently unstable, and transitioning from unstable to stable.

Deep learning clusters patient time-series data for better prognosis.

problem Clustering time-series data for patient phenotyping and prognosis.
method Deep predictive clustering with novel loss functions for future outcome distribution.
result Model achieves superior clustering performance and identifies meaningful patient subgroups.

Machine learning detects NASH patients from medical claims data.

problem Detecting undiagnosed NASH patients for screening and management.
method Gradient-boosted decision trees trained on administrative medical claims data.
result Model precision for NASH detection is significantly higher than NASH incidence.